Texas primary 2014 state executive officials preview

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March 3, 2014

March 3, 2014 Election Preview
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Jump to the race for:
*Texas Governor
*Texas Lieutenant Governor
*Texas Attorney General
*Texas down ballot offices

By Garrett Fortin

The 2014 Texas primary elections are being held on March 4, 2014. There are seven offices involved: Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General and four down ballot positions. In all, there are ten races to watch, including three Democratic and seven Republican contested primaries. In four primaries, the Democrats only have one candidate. Races in which no candidate gets 50% or more of the vote will be decided in a runoff election on May 27 between the top two candidates.

Below, Ballotpedia has put together a preview of those upcoming elections. Key players and background information have been compiled, as well as a look at the current polling data. Thoughts on the outcome of the race have also been included for races with polling data.

Texas's polling hours on Election Day are from 7:00 am to 7:00 pm, Central time (Mountain time in the El Paso area).



Texas Governor
See also: Texas gubernatorial election, 2014

Both Republicans and Democrats have contested primaries for Texas Governor. There are four candidates for the Republican nomination but a runoff seems unlikely given current Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott's lead in recent polls.[1] In the Democratic primary, Texas State Senator Wendy Davis holds a similarly commanding lead over her sole opponent.[1]

Ballotpedia predicts that both Greg Abbott and Wendy Davis will win their primaries and avoid a runoff.

Texas gubernatorial primary polls

Republican primary

Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll Greg Abbott Miriam MartinezLisa FritschSECEDE KilgoreMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
88%5%5%2%+/-5.37543
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll Greg Abbott Lisa FritschTom PaukenMiriam MartinezLarry KilgoreDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
50%3%2%2%1%42%+/-5.021,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Democratic primary

Governor of Texas - Democratic Primary
Poll Wendy Davis Ray MadrigalMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
85%15%+/-6.06381
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Texas Lieutenant Governor
See also: Texas Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

Only the Republicans have a contested primary for Texas Lieutenant Governor. The incumbent, David Dewhurst, faces three challengers. Polling has shown Dewhurst in the lead but well below the 50% mark needed to avoid a runoff. Texas State Senator Dan Patrick performs second-best in the polling and may join Abbott in the runoff.[1] In the Democratic primary, Texas State Senator Leticia Van de Putte is unopposed.

Ballotpedia predicts that David Dewhurst will receive the most votes but be forced into a runoff with Dan Patrick.

Texas lieutenant governor primary polls
Lt. Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll David Dewhurst Dan PatrickJerry PattersonTodd StaplesDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
26%13%10%5%46%+/-5.021,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Lt. Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll David Dewhurst Dan PatrickJerry PattersonTodd StaplesMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
38%31%14%16%+/-5.37543
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Texas Attorney General
See also: Texas attorney general election, 2014

Only the Republicans have a contested primary for Texas Attorney General. Of the three candidates, State Representative Dan Branch and State Senator Ken Paxton were headed for the runoff in recent polling.[1] Attorney Sam Houston is unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Ballotpedia predicts that the Republican primary will result in a runoff between Ken Paxton and Dan Branch.

Texas attorney general primary polls
Texas Attorney General - Republican Primary
Poll Barry Smitherman Ken PaxtonDan BranchDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
11%10%5%74%+/-5.371,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Texas Attorney General - Republican Primary
Poll Barry Smitherman Ken PaxtonDan BranchMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
19%39%42%+/-5.37543
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Texas down ballot offices
See also: Texas down ballot state executive elections, 2014

The are four down ballot offices with six contested primaries. Two offices, Texas Comptroller and Texas Land Commissioner only have Republican primaries. The other two, Texas Agriculture Commissioner and Texas Railroad Commissioner have both Republican and Democratic contested primaries. Four Republicans are vying for the Comptroller nomination and former Texas gubernatorial candidate Debra Medina has led in both polls.[1][2] In the Republican primary for Land Commissioner, David Watts and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush's son George P. Bush face off.

Eight major-party candidates are contesting the Agriculture Commissioner primaries, five Republicans and three Democrats. Perhaps the most colorful is musician and perennial candidate Richard "Kinky" Friedman, who is running as a Democrat this time around. In the Railroad Commissioner race, four Republicans and two Democrats vie for their party's nominations. There is no public polling of these races, so we are guaranteed to have some surprises on Election Day in any event.

Ballotpedia predicts that Debra Medina will lead in the Republican primary for Comptroller but will face a runoff.

Texas Comptroller primary polls
Texas Comptroller - Republican Primary
Poll Debra Medina Raul TorresGlenn HegarHarvey HilderbranDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
14%5%4%2%75%+/-5.021,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Texas Comptroller - Republican Primary
Poll Debra Medina Raul TorresGlenn HegarHarvey HilderbranMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
39%12%25%25%+/-5.37543
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


See also

External links

References

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