Tom Hoefling

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Tom Hoefling
Tom Hoefling.jpg
Governor of Iowa
Former Candidate
PartyRepublican
Elections and appointments
Last electionJune 3, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Military service
Service/branchU.S. Army
Websites
Personal website
Campaign website
Tom Hoefling was a 2014 Republican candidate for Governor of Iowa.[1] He lost to incumbent Terry Branstad in the Republican primary election on June 3, 2014.

Elections

2014

See also: Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014

Hoefling ran for Governor of Iowa in 2014. He sought the Republican nomination in the primary election on June 3, 2014. The general election took place November 4, 2014.

Results

Primary election
Governor of Iowa, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTerry Branstad Incumbent 83% 129,752
Tom Hoefling 16.8% 26,299
Write-in 0.2% 294
Total Votes 156,345
Election Results via Iowa Secretary of State.


Race background

Incumbent standing before re-election

Before Branstad formally launched his campaign, polls showed him in excellent standing for re-election, with an average lead of 20 percentage points in hypothetical general election match-ups.[2] Branstad had looked considerably less secure around the time ex-Democratic challenger Tyler Olson entered the race in July 2013, with only 43 percent of polled voters saying they believed the governor deserved to be re-elected and 54 percent answering that he held office long enough, even though 51 percent approved of his performance. A December 2013 poll by Quinnipiac University gave him a boost of 8 percent in both approval and "deserves to be re-elected" categories.[3][4] By mid-March 2014, polls continued to show Branstad sitting comfortably at 63 percent job approval and Hatch trailing behind by 15 points.[5]

Candidate withdrawals

Democratic State Rep. Tyler Olson declared his candidacy for governor in July 2013 and was considered a strong contender for the party's nomination before withdrawing from the race in December 2013.[6] He decided to drop out following the announcement of his separation from wife Sarah Olson, who had been an instrumental part of his family-oriented campaign.[7][8] Olson's withdrawal was followed soon thereafter by former state Sen. Bob Krause's announcement he was shutting down his campaign. Their absences cleared the path for remaining Democratic hopeful Jack Hatch to face Branstad in the general election. Krause immediately gave Hatch his support, while Olson declined to endorse Hatch upon dropping out of the race.[6][9]

Polls

General election
Polls in October 2014

Governor of Iowa: Branstad v. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
NBC News/Marist
October 2014
58%36%6%+/-2.81,235
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
50%37%13%+/-32,322
AVERAGES 54% 36.5% 9.5% +/-2.9 1,778.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Polls through September 2014

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%33%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
52%29%19%+/-3.8650
Quinnipiac University Poll
(March 5-10, 2014)
46%35%15%+/-2.61,411
Suffolk
(April 3-8, 2014)
42%32%24%+/-3.5800
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa*
(April 19-20, 2014)
43%38%19%+/-3.8677
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa Continued*
(April 19-20, 2014)
41%40%19%+/-3.8677
Vox Populi/Daily Caller Poll
(April 22-24, 2014)
45%43%12%+/-4.0600
Hickman Analytics Poll
(April 24-30, 2014)
50%40%10%+/-4.4500
Global Strategy Group
(May 13-15, 2014)
47%40%13%+/-4.0602
Public Policy Poll
(May 15-19, 2014)
48%40%12%+/-3.3914
Vox Populi Polling
(June 4-5, 2014)
51%40%9%+/-3.8667
Rasmussen
(June 4-5, 2014)
49%40%8%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 12-16, 2014)
47%38%14%+/-2.71,277
NBC News/Marist Poll
(July 16, 2014)
53%38%10%+/-2.51,599
Loras College Poll
(September 2-5, 2014)
55.5%33.5%11%+/-2.821,200
AVERAGES 47.9% 37.3% 14.2% +/-3.43 929.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

*The April 19-20 Progress Iowa poll is displayed above as two separate polls to delineate responses registered before and after respondents were provided information on recent scandals effecting the administration of Gov. Branstad.

Hypothetical match-ups

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Krause
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Bob Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%31%19%+/-2.41,617
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Olson
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Tyler Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
50%32%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
51%28%21%+/-3.8650
AVERAGES 50.5% 30% 19.5% +/-3.1 1,133.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Note: An asterisk (*) denotes incumbent status.

On The Issues Vote Match

Hoefling's Vote Match results from On The Issues.
See also: On The Issues Vote Match

On The Issues conducts a VoteMatch analysis of elected officials based on 20 issue areas. Rather than relying on incumbents to complete the quiz themselves, the VoteMatch analysis is conducted using voting records, statements to the media, debate transcripts or citations from books authored by or about the candidate. Based on the results of the quiz, Hoefling is a Libertarian-Leaning Conservative. Hoefling received a score of 26 percent on social issues and 96 percent on economic issues.Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; refs with no content must have a name

On The Issues organization logo.

The table below contains the results of analysis compiled by staff at On The Issues.

On The Issues Vote Quiz[10]
Economic Issues Social Issues
Issue Stance Issue Stance
Legally require hiring women & minorities Strongly Opposes Abortion is a woman's unrestricted right Strongly Opposes
Expand ObamaCare Strongly Opposes Comfortable with same-sex marriage Strongly Opposes
Vouchers for school choice Favors Keep God in the public sphere Strongly Favors
Absolute right to gun ownership Strongly Favors Human needs over animal rights Strongly Favors
Higher taxes on the wealthy Strongly Opposes Stricter punishment reduces crime Favors
Support & expand free trade Favors Pathway to citizenship for illegal aliens Strongly Opposes
Stricter limits on political campaign funds Opposes Maintain US sovereignty from UN Strongly Favors
Prioritize green energy Strongly Opposes Expand the military Favors
Stimulus better than market-led recovery Strongly Opposes Stay out of Iran Opposes
Privatize Social Security Strongly Favors Never legalize marijuana Favors
Note: Information last updated: June 23, 2014.[11]

Recent news

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Tom Hoefling News Feed

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See also

External links

Campaign Facebook
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References

  1. Tom Hoefling for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 5, 2013
  2. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  3. Quinnipiac University, Iowa Voters Like Gov. Branstad, But Say It's Time To Go, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Possible 2014 Challengers Are Largely Unknown, July 19, 2013
  4. Quinnipiac University Poll, "December 17, 2013 - Iowa Gov's Approval, Re-election Prospects Improve, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Tops Clinton By 5 Points In 2016 Race," December 17, 2013
  5. Des Moines Register, "Iowa Poll: Support for Branstad up; Hatch sees little progress," March 8, 2014
  6. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named withdrew
  7. Tyler Olson for Governor 2014, "Homepage," accessed July 11, 2013
  8. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  9. The Des Moines-Register, "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch," January 2, 2013
  10. The questions in the quiz are broken down into two sections -- social and economic. In social questions, liberals and libertarians agree in choosing the less-government answers, while conservatives and populists agree in choosing the more-restrictive answers. For the economic questions, conservatives and libertarians agree in choosing the less-government answers, while liberals and populists agree in choosing the more-restrictive answers.
  11. On The Issues, "Tom Hoefling Vote Match," accessed June 23, 2014