United States Senate elections in Alaska, 2014

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDan Sullivan 48% 135,445
     Democratic Mark Begich Incumbent 45.8% 129,431
     Libertarian Mark Fish 3.7% 10,512
     Independent Ted Gianoutsos 2% 5,636
     N/A Write-in 0.5% 1,376
Total Votes 282,400
Source: Alaska Secretary of State



CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Alaska

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 19, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Dan Sullivan Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mark Begich Democratic Party
Mark Begich.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[2]


Other Senate Elections
Alabama • Alaska • Arkansas • Colorado • Delaware • Georgia • Idaho • Illinois • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Montana • Nebraska • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • North Carolina • Oklahoma • Oregon • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Virginia • West Virginia • Wyoming

2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Alaska.png
Voters in Alaska elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Mark Begich (D) was defeated by Dan Sullivan (R) in the general election, putting an end to the most expensive campaign in state history at that time. Given that a combined total of $39 million of outside spending was used to target approximately 500,000 potential swing voters, the race was also the most expensive race, per capita, in the 2014 election cycle.[3]

Begich held one of the most vulnerable Senate seats going into the 2014 election. He had only served one term in the Senate and was a Democrat seeking re-election in a red state. This, combined with the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act and Begich's support for it, made this an uphill battle for the incumbent. Begich himself believed he lost the race due to voters' disapproval of Obama, not Begich's own record.[4]

Both Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as a toss up.[5][6] Additionally, FiscalTimes listed it as one of the seven most vulnerable seats in the country, and The Washington Post included it on their list of the top 10 races to watch in 2014.[7]

Four Republican candidates stepped up to challenge Begich: former Commissioner of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan, Lt. Gov Mead Treadwell, Joe Miller and John Jaramillo. Sullivan, the Republican front runner in the race, triumphed over the other candidates in the primary on August 19, 2014. Sullivan led the field in both fundraising totals and polling numbers throughout the months leading up to the primary.

Begich faced Sullivan and a number of third-party challengers in the general election. Third-party candidates were predicted to have a large impact in the race, as the winner of the Senate race in both 2008 and 2010 won without a majority of the vote. Begich won the seat over former incumbent Ted Stevens (R) by 1.3 percent in 2008, while third-party candidates took in more than 5 percent of the vote in that election. Third-party candidates again took in over 5 percent of the vote in 2014. However, it was not enough to swing the race back in Begich's favor.[8]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 2, 2014
August 19, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Alaska is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their primary election. The Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party allow any registered voters. The Alaska Republican Party allows only registered Republicans, nonpartisan or undeclared voters.[9]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by July 20, 2014.[10] For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 5, 2014.[11]

See also: Alaska elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election filled the Senate seat held by Mark Begich (D). Begich was first elected in 2008.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Mark Begich
Republican Party Dan Sullivan Approveda
Libertarian Party Mark Fish
Independent Ted Gianoutsos
Independent Sid Hill (Write-in)


August 19, 2014, primary results
Democratic PartyLibertarian PartyLimeslashed.png ADL Primary[12]

Democratic Party Mark Begich - Incumbent Approveda
Democratic Party William Bryk
Libertarian Party Mark Fish
Libertarian Party Scott Kohlhaas
Libertarian Party Thom Walker Approveda
Limeslashed.png Zachary Kile (Alaskan Independence Party)
Limeslashed.png Vic Kohring (Alaskan Independence Party) Approveda

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Unaffiliated candidates

Withdrew

Limeslashed.png Vic Kohring - Kohring withdrew in early September and endorsed Dan Sullivan[13]
Libertarian Party Thom Walker - Walker withdrew from the race after winning the primary. He was replaced by Mark Fish on the general election ballot.[14]

Rumored but did not run

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDan Sullivan 48% 135,445
     Democratic Mark Begich Incumbent 45.8% 129,431
     Libertarian Mark Fish 3.7% 10,512
     Independent Ted Gianoutsos 2% 5,636
     N/A Write-in 0.5% 1,376
Total Votes 282,400
Source: Alaska Secretary of State

Primary election

U.S. Senate, Alaska Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMark Begich Incumbent 96.6% 58,092
William Bryk 3.4% 2,024
Total Votes 60,116
Source: Alaska Secretary of State


U.S. Senate, Alaska Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDan Sullivan 40.1% 44,740
Joe Miller 32.1% 35,904
Mead Treadwell 24.9% 27,807
John Jaramillo 2.9% 3,246
Total Votes 111,697
Source: Alaska Secretary of State


U.S. Senate, Alaska Libertarian Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngThom Walker 61% 3,167
Mark Fish 24.9% 1,290
Scott Kohlhaas 14.1% 734
Total Votes 5,191
Source: Alaska Secretary of State


U.S. Senate, Alaska, Alaskan Independence Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVic Kohring 57.8% 2,557
Zachary Kile 42.2% 1,869
Total Votes 4,426
Source: Alaska Secretary of State

Race background

Begich was a Democratic senator in a red state, making his seat one of the most vulnerable in 2014. The unpopularity of President Obama's healthcare mandate, combined with its poor implementation, was a major issue that Begich needed to overcome in order to win re-election.

Sullivan, the Republican frontrunner throughout the race, won the primary election on August 19, 2014.[15][16][17][18] He then defeated Begich in the general election.

Libertarian support

Begich's campaign spent considerable effort supporting Libertarian Mark Fish by making sure Fish was included in debates, highlighting issue positions that Begich and Fish shared and even spending money promoting Fish's campaign. Begich's communications director said in a statement, "Since many of the debate hosts won’t include Mr. Fish, Sen. Begich believes it is only fair to give Alaska voters all the information." The goal of this maneuver was to siphon away votes from Sullivan to Fish. Pollster Ivan Moore said of the strategy, "I think Begich is playing a game where if he can shake half a percent off of Sullivan and onto Fish, it’s half a percent that Sullivan hasn’t got. And that may well make the difference.”[19]

Sullivan's campaign responded to the strategy by stating, "Mark Begich is using a third-party candidate as a political tool in a shameless attempt to try and bolster his own sinking campaign. But, Alaskans know better -- they know that a vote for a third-party candidate is a vote for Mark Begich.”[19]

Native outreach

Begich's campaign employed a massive outreach program to Alaska's native population in an attempt to help him turn the tables in his difficult re-election bid. His campaign opened 16 field offices staffed by 90 people across the state, compared to Sullivan's five offices and 14 staffers which were clustered in the more heavily populated southern and eastern regions of the state. Begich said of the campaign, "We have knocked on every single door in rural Alaska. This is unbelievable. No one’s ever done it like this — ever." When polling numbers were brought up Begich responded, "I don’t care if we’re up or down. We’re winning on the ground because we will turn out more voters."[20]

Murder victim ads

Begich's campaign released an ad on August 29, 2014, accusing Sullivan of letting a sex offender be released from prison early due to a mistake missing his earlier felony conviction. The criminal then allegedly murdered a couple and sexually assaulted an elderly woman and an infant. The ad referred to the case of Jerry Active, who was awaiting trial at the time of the election.[21]

In response to Begich's ad, Sullivan released his own, accusing Begich of lying in his claim that Sullivan "let a lot of sex offenders get off with light sentences." Sullivan's campaign also showed that the mistake that led to Jerry Active's release happened before Sullivan became attorney general.[21]

After both candidates' ads began airing on television, the lawyer of the victims' family asked both candidates to take down their ads. He said that the ads could potentially affect the jury's decision in the upcoming trial. Sullivan's campaign agreed to remove the ad, stating, "Mark Begich began this distasteful and offensive debate, and our campaign is pleased we could play a role along with the victims' attorney to end it."[22] Begich, however, did not agree to take down his ad. Instead, the ad was altered to "remove any potential reference to the pending criminal case," according to Begich's campaign. In response to this, the family's lawyer, Bryon Collins, sent a letter to Begich's campaign asking to remove all ads and references to the case. The letter said, "You are tearing this family apart to the point that your ad was so shocking to them they now want to permanently leave the state as quickly as possible. Again, to be perfectly clear, it was your ad that shocked them."[23]

Debates

Begich and Sullivan participated in their first debate on August 27, 2014. The debate was hosted in Anchorage by the group United for Liberty. Begich presented himself as the more experienced candidate who knows how Congress operates, while Sullivan emphasized a distrust of Congress. A straw poll was taken following the debate, which showed Begich as the winner due to larger support from Independent voters.[24]

Campaign spending

Put Alaska First, a super PAC that supported incumbent Begich, announced plans to buy over $4 million in ads prior to the general election.[25] In response to this news, a number of Republican groups reserved airtime following the primary. Sullivan bought $480,000 in ads from September 23 through November 4. American Crossroads reserved $5.5 million in ads, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee also reserved $2.2 million in ads.[26][27]

Third-party candidates

Third-party candidates were expected to play a large role in this election. In 2010 and 2008, a candidate won election to the U.S. Senate without a majority of the votes. Begich defeated incumbent Ted Stevens (R) to win the seat in 2008 by 1.3 percent, while third-party candidates took in over 5 percent of the vote. These candidates were ultimately not enough for Begich's re-election efforts to succeed, although third-party candidates did take in over 5 percent of the vote in 2014.[8]

Primary endorsements

On August 14, 2014, Joe Miller agreed to endorse the winner of the Republican primary in order to help defeat Begich in November. Prior to this announcement, Miller had not ruled out a potential run as an independent in November if he were defeated in the primary. Sullivan and Mead Treadwell had previously agreed to back the winner of the GOP primary.[28]

Democratic meddling

An outside group, Put Alaska First PAC, spent over $4 million in ads attacking GOP front-runner Sullivan. Republicans accused the group and Democrats of "meddling" in the GOP primary in an attempt to face an easier general election race. Supporters of incumbent Begich said that the ads were not meant for the primary and had general election appeal. Art Hackney, a Republican operative in Alaska, said of the attack ads, "They’re trying simply to make sure Dan Sullivan is damaged goods. They’ve put a lot of money behind it, and, frankly, they’ve turned it into a primary that’s possible to go almost any way."[29]

Race ratings

Most vulnerable seats

The Fiscal Times compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list were: Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats were held by Democrats.[7]

Early polling indicated that Gov. Sean Parnell (R) could have been Begich’s strongest opponent, but Parnell decided not to enter the race. The seat was considered a toss-up.[7]

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in Alaska was considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. When Alaska attorney general Dan Sullivan entered the race in late 2013, the Republican primary field became even more murky.[30]

Issues

See also: Energy and the 2014 election: the ballots and beyond

ISIS

Following President Barack Obama's speech on September 10, 2014, about military action against ISIS, incumbent Mark Begich said the following: "I just don’t believe the president’s right on funding the rebels. I still don’t come away with a feeling that we know who they are. We may know who they are today, but what are they going to be like six months from now?" He also said that other countries in the region should be the ones to fight the terrorist group on the ground. "They should be the ones putting boots on the ground. They should be the ones putting money on the table to support the weapons and the training and so forth. They are the most at risk.”[31]

Sullivan's residency

Residency issues plagued Sullivan since his entry into the race. It was questioned whether Sullivan was eligible for a Maryland tax break known as the Homestead exemption that he had been receiving on his Maryland home. Sullivan was benefiting from the tax break in 2008, while at the same time voting in Alaska by mail. It was ruled that Sullivan properly received the tax breaks. In response to the investigation and ruling Sullivan's campaign said, "Mark Begich's liberal allies have made it abundantly clear he is willing to say or do anything to shamefully distort Dan's record, and this time was clearly no different."[32]

Mark Begich

Begich's campaign website listed the following issues among others. For a full list of issue statements, click here.

  • Fiscal Responsibility: "After watching Washington rack up a $16 trillion national debt, I knew we had to focus on fiscal discipline for our country. I have been working across party lines to cut wasteful federal spending—large and small. I supported a balanced budget amendment. And I have refused to take a pay raise every year since I’ve been elected."
  • Economy and Jobs: "My top priority is growing Alaska’s economy by creating good jobs right now for Alaskans and investing in critical infrastructure such as roads, bridges, ports and harbors to help create jobs. I secured more than $1 billion to build and fix Alaska’s infrastructure, to create new jobs and expand our economy."
  • Veterans: "When I was elected to the Senate, I immediately sought and secured a seat on the Senate Committee on Veterans’ Affairs. With more than 76,000 veterans in Alaska—the most per capita in the nation—we must focus on the critical need for expanded veteran’s health care, job training and placement, mental health support and housing assistance."
  • Energy: "From day one in the Senate, I have championed efforts to get a comprehensive energy bill which capitalizes on Alaska’s role as America’s energy storehouse. Alaskans know first-hand the many options to reduce America’s dependence on foreign oil and create new jobs. We have vast opportunities for increased oil and gas development and renewable energy deployment."
  • Women and Families: "I’ve always been proud that one of my first votes in the Senate was for the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act. To me, fair pay for women in the workplace isn’t a complicated issue — it all comes down to basic fairness. The Lilly Ledbetter Act was the kind of common sense, bipartisan solution we need more of in Washington."

[33]

—Mark Begich's campaign website, http://www.markbegich.com/priorities/

Dan Sullivan

Sullivan's campaign website listed the following issues among others. For a full list of issue statements, click here.

  • Protecting Alaskans: "Working to protect Alaskans, particularly the most vulnerable, has always been a critical component of Dan’s public service career. Having the opportunity to serve in a leadership role to find solutions to these critical issues has been an honor."
  • Jobs & The Economy: "The Obama Administration has failed to get the economy moving forward, resulting in one of the weakest recoveries from a recession in our nation’s history. Millions of Americans can’t find work."
  • 2nd Amendment: "As a Marine-qualified “expert” on the rifle and pistol, Dan is a strong advocate and defender of our Second Amendment rights. Americans are protected by the Constitution to keep and bear arms. However, President Obama and Senate Democrats have taken steps to infringe on those rights, and they must be stopped."
  • Energy & Natural Resources: "Given Alaska’s world-class resource base and strategic global location, our natural resource potential can lead America into a new era of economic prosperity. As Commissioner of the Department of Natural Resources, Dan defended the state’s economic interests and worked with the private sector to maximize Alaska’s full economic potential. His work has focused on getting big things done for Alaska, and when necessary, aggressively fighting back against those who try to shutdown or delay economic opportunities for our citizens."
  • Healthcare: "Access to affordable and quality healthcare is an extremely important issue to Alaskans, and it is critical for policy makers to achieve that goal. At the same time, we must revive our national economy and rein in the trillions of dollars of deficits that the Obama Administration has run over the past five years."

[33]

—Dan Sullivan's campaign website, http://www.sullivan2014.com/

Republican primary

Obama impeachment

In a debate the week prior to the primary, candidate Joe Miller insisted that, "It’s time to impeach this president for dereliction of duty, selectively enforcing the law, and usurping powers that the Constitution does not authorize. He is willfully undermining the rule of law and creating chaos." Miller also called on the other Republican candidates in the race to join his support of the impeachment. Neither candidate took him up on his offer.[34]

As a result of his call for impeachment, Miller's popularity on Facebook surged. This popularity increase was measured by "People Talking About This" data or PTAT. Miller's PTAT statistic increased by over 30 times its average in the past several months and surpassed that of both Sullivan and Treadwell.[34] In the end, Miller was unable to overcome Sullivan's primary lead. However, he did take second place in the Republican primary.[35]

Immigration

Miller emphasized immigration as a key issue in this race. During a debate held on August 10, 2014, Miller asked primary opponents Treadwell and Sullivan to sign an anti-amnesty pledge reading, "I will oppose any attempt by Congress or the President to grant amnesty (any pathway to citizenship) for illegal aliens." Both Treadwell and Sullivan refused to sign the pledge.[36]

Mead Treadwell

Treadwell's campaign website listed the following issues among others. For a full list of issue statements, click here.

  • Healthcare: "America’s healthcare system needs reform but Obamacare is not the reform we need. I will work to repeal Obamacare. Already businesses across the country are dropping coverage for spouses, cutting back hours for their employees and insurance premiums are up. Their idea: more government dependence. This is unacceptable. Obamacare is making it harder for Alaskans to support their families and it is a dangerous program that we cannot afford."
  • Energy: "The President has a pipeline problem and it is not just called Keystone. Misguided federal energy and environmental policies have been devastating to Alaska and our country. The Trans-Alaska oil pipeline is running less than one-third full. Under President Obama, exploration in the Arctic has slowed to a crawl and the acreage for exploration in the National Petroleum Reserve Alaska has been cut in half. I know Alaska can be the engine that drives America."
  • Second Amendment: "The Second Amendment protects our right to self-defense. Law-abiding citizens have the right to keep and bear arms, plain and simple. I will defend the right for Alaskans to defend their families and their homes. The U.S. Senate Majority today is working to erode our Second Amendment rights and Mark Begich supports their leadership. I will oppose all efforts to water down the Second Amendment."
  • Sanctity of Life: "Government exists to protect our rights and liberties - not to take them away. I believe that this protection extends to all lives, including the unborn. Every person has a purpose and path in the world and I firmly believe life begins at conception. Three years ago, I worked with pro-life groups to pass the parental notification initiative and I have fought to make it work. I do not believe government money should support abortion."
  • Traditional Marriage: "As your Lieutenant Governor I have sworn an oath to defend our state’s constitution and our constitution clearly states marriage is between one man and one woman. Marriage is a sacrament of the church and I will defend traditional marriage as it is defined by our state’s constitution."

[33]

—Mead Treadwell's campaign website, https://web.archive.org/web/2/http://www.treadwellalaska.com/issues

Key votes

Below are important votes the incumbent cast.

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png During the shutdown in October 2013, the Senate rejected, down party lines, every House-originated bill that stripped the budget of funding for the Affordable Care Act. A deal was reached late on October 16, 2013, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The bill to reopen the government, H.R. 2775, lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[37] The final vote on H.R. 2775 was 81-18, with all 18 votes against the bill from Republican members. Mark Begich voted with the Democratic Party for the bill.[38]

Obamacare

Yea3.png Begich voted in favor of H.R. 3590 (The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act). The bill passed the Senate 60-39 on December 24, 2009.[39]

Endorsements

Governor Sean Parnell decided to stay neutral in the Republican primary and did not endorse either his lieutenant governor, Mead Treadwell, or his former director of natural resources, Dan Sullivan. He stated, "I think both could be excellent U.S. senators, so I’ve chosen to stay out of taking an official position."[40]

Dan Sullivan

  • Club for Growth PAC: Club President Chris Chocola said, "Dan Sullivan is a fiscal conservative with a stellar track record in Alaska and we strongly endorse him for the United States Senate. Dan has fought for pro-growth tax reform, taken on ObamaCare in court, and beaten back federal overreach by Obama’s EPA. In the Senate, Dan Sullivan will continue the fight for economic freedom and we can’t wait to see him help deliver for America the kinds of pro-growth policies he’s already delivered for Alaska."[41]
  • Condoleezza Rice: Rice endorsed Sullivan in a campaign ad for American Crossroads. In the ad she said, "Dan Sullivan is tireless in his defense of this country. He showed that in his service in the military, and he showed that in his service in the White House and in the State Department. Now, Dan faces political attacks because he wanted his family by his side. Remember that serving our country required some time in our capital. Dan will be a great senator because he loves and cares for the state of Alaska, and he's a great family man."[42]
  • Support and Defend PAC: The national veterans group endorsed Sullivan in late July 2014. President and founder Grant Moody said, "We are excited to endorse Dan. We are confident he’ll be a strong voice for the values of economic freedom and good governance that we champion, and that he’ll represent the state of Alaska with the clarity of focus and strength of character that have been instilled in him throughout his military service in the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve."[43]

Joe Miller

  • Sarah Palin, who said in her endorsement statement, "We said we'd send the good guys in Washington their reinforcements, so, Alaska, here we go! Vote for Joe Miller on Tuesday and shake off the liberal stronghold so we can get on the right track."[44]
  • Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who said in his endorsement statement, "Joe Miller is a true constitutional conservative with a vision to protect our borders and restore America".[45]
  • The Gun Owners of America’s Political Victory Fund and the National Association for Gun Rights PAC, two of the most prominent groups which advocate Second Amendment rights, endorsed Miller.[46]
  • Alaska Right to Life PAC: "The pro-life position Joe Miller takes isn’t merely a common political platitude, but is centered in the core of who he is. Joe will be a champion for the pro-life cause in Washington and is exactly the caliber of man we need representing Alaska in the US Senate. Alaska Right to Life’s Political Action Committee is proud to endorse him."[47]

Mead Treadwell

  • RedState Editor-in-Chief Erick Erickson: Treadwell "is better on the stand your ground law in Alaska than his opponent."[48]

Media

Begich released a radio ad on August 19, 2013, highlighting his opposition to the No Child Left Behind Act. The ad stated that the No Child Left Behind Act does not work with the diversity of Alaska's schools.[49]

Dan Sullivan

Supporting


Ad in which Condoleezza Rice defends Dan Sullivan

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Service"

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Big Heart"

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Cheap Talk"

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Basin"

Alaska's Energy, America's Values ad supporting Sullivan in the primary

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Values"

Sullivan for U.S. Senate: "Running"

Condoleezza Rice: "America Needs Dan Sullivan"

Opposing

Put Alaska First released four ads attacking Sullivan.[50] VoteVets.org also released an ad attacking Sullivan for not protecting the rights of Alaskans.[51]


Put Alaska First - Sullivan's Real Home

Put Alaska First - Lost

Put Alaska First ad attacking the Koch brothers

Put Alaska First - Never Forget

VoteVets.org ad attacking Sullivan

Begich campaign video using clips of what Sullivan's primary challengers said to attack him

National Education Association ad attacking Sullivan for selling out state teachers

Mark Begich

Supporting


Road -- Mark Begich for U.S. Senate

Put Alaska First ad supporting Obamacare

Mark Begich - Polar Ice

Mark Begich - Clinic

Begich for Senate ad attacking Sullivan and Treadwell for positions on women's health

Put Alaska First ad attacking Sullivan and Treadwell on government control

Begich's campaign released the following ad referring to himself and fellow Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski as a great team that shouldn't be broken up. In response to the ad, Murkowski sent Begich a "cease and desist" letter in an attempt to get the ad taken down.[52]


Begich campaign ad describing how he and Sen. Lisa Murkowski are a "Great Team"

Opposing

Americans for Prosperity released an ad attacking Begich for not keeping his word.[53] The American Energy Alliance also released an attack ad targeting Begich for supporting the Carbon Tax.[54]


Senator Begich Needs to Keep His Word

American Energy Alliance ad attacking Begich

Crossroads GPS ad attacking Begich for paying female staffers less

Polls

Begich vs. Sullivan

Mark Begich vs. Dan Sullivan
Poll Mark Begich Dan SullivanNot Sure/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports (October 27-30, 2014)
42%47%11%+/-4887
Moore Information - for Dan Sullivan (October 26-28, 2014)
38%42%20%+/-4500
Harstad Research - for Senate Majority PAC and Put Alaska First (October 18-22, 2014)
44%44%12%+/-4700
Hellenthal Associates (October 15-21, 2014)
49%39%12%+/-4.88403
Rasmussen Reports (October 8-12, 2014)
45%48%7%+/-4700
Fox News Poll (October 4-7, 2014)
40%44%16%+/-3.5707
CNN/ORC Poll (October 1-6, 2014)
44%50%6%+/-3.5704
Hickman Analytics, Inc. (September 26-October 2, 2014)
41%46%13%+/-4.9400
Rasmussen Reports (September 23-24, 2014)
43%48%9%+/-4750
Public Policy Polling (September 18-21, 2014)
41%43%16%+/-3.6880
Public Policy Polling (May 8-11, 2014)
43%37%20%+/-4.1582
Dan Sullivan internal poll (April 27-28, 2014)
44%42%14%+/-4500
Harper Polling (September 24-25, 2013)
43%41%16%+/-3.62731
AVERAGES 42.85% 43.92% 13.23% +/-4.01 649.54
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Mark Begich vs. Dan Sullivan/3rd Party candidates
Poll Mark Begich Dan SullivanZachary KileTed GianoutsosSidney HillNot SureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (January 30-February 1, 2014)
41%37%6%1%2%13%+/-3.4850
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Republican primary

Begich vs. Treadwell


Begich vs. Miller


Campaign contributions

Candidate ballot accecss
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

Pre-Primary

Begich maintained a fundraising edge over all Republican challengers in the weeks leading up to the primary. He had raised a grand total of $6,340,423 and had just over $2 million left on hand.[55] Sullivan led the Republican field with just over $4 million in total contributions and just under $1 million on hand.[56] Next up was Treadwell who had received $1.2 million in campaign contributions and reported $141,743 on hand.[57] Miller trailed behind the rest of the candidates with $327,781 in total contributions and $188,236 on hand.[58]

Mark Begich

Mark Begich (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[59]April 15, 2013$952,260.37$947,943.67$(382,271.15)$1,517,932.89
July Quarterly[60]July 15, 2013$1,517,932.89$993,064.55$(462,594.51)$2,048,402.93
October Quarterly[61]October 15, 2013$2,048,402.93$813,189.58$(428,646.86)$2,432,945.65
Year-End[62]January 31, 2014$2,432,945$849,363$(473,012)$2,809,296
April Quarterly[63]April 15, 2014$2,809,281$1,045,615$(1,035,974)$2,819,472
July Quarterly[64]July 15, 2014$2,819,472$1,268,202$(1,933,882)$2,153,792
Pre-Primary[65]August 4, 2014$2,153,792$423,046$(515,394)$2,061,443
October Quarterly[66]October 12, 2014$2,061,443$1,515,166$(2,380,003)$1,196,607
Pre-General[67]October 20, 2014$1,196,607$511,783$(986,884)$721,505
Running totals
$8,367,372.8$(8,598,661.52)

Daniel Sullivan

Daniel Sullivan (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[68]January 31, 2014$0$1,276,151$(158,723)$1,117,427
April Quarterly[69]April 14, 2014$1,117,427$1,365,035$(549,140)$1,933,335
July Quarterly[70]July 15, 2014$1,933,335$1,162,842$(1,385,667)$1,710,510
Pre-Primary[71]August 4, 2014$1,710,510$264,329$(981,916)$992,924
October Quarterly[72]October 15, 2014$992,924$2,547,472$(2,378,457)$1,161,938
Pre-General[73]October 23, 2014$1,161,938$501,180$(1,213,612)$449,506
Running totals
$7,117,009$(6,667,515)

Mead Treadwell

Mead Treadwell (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[74]July 15, 2013$10,000.00$10,300.00$(11,660.43)$8,639.57
July Quarterly[75]July 15, 2013$8,639.57$170,270.51$(48,560.77)$130,349.31
October Quarterly[76]October 15, 2013$130,349.31$196,307.58$(171,769.14)$154,887.75
Year-End[77]January 29, 2014$154,887$229,056$(289,140)$94,803
April Quarterly[78]April 15, 2014$94,803$344,507$(262,043)$177,268
July Quarterly[79]July 16, 2014$177,268$164,468$(174,688)$167,047
Pre-Primary[80]August 5, 2014$167,047$92,072$(117,376)$141,743
Running totals
$1,206,981.09$(1,075,237.34)
**As of the Pre-Primary Report, Treadwell's campaign committee owed $248,445 in outstanding loans to Mead Treadwell.

Joe Miller

Joe Miller (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[81]April 15, 2013$426,783.51$47.14$(850.00)$425,980.65
July Quarterly[82]July 15, 2013$425,980.65$18,394.34$(126,920.07)$317,454.92
October Quarterly[83]October 15, 2013$317,454.92$13,691.00$(43,440.49)$287,705.43
Year-End[84]January 31, 2014$287,705$30,490$(86,489)$231,705
April Quarterly[85]April 15, 2014$231,705$101,400$(37,751)$295,354
July Quarterly[86]July 15, 2014$295,354$129,504$(121,297)$303,561
Pre-Primary[87]August 4, 2014$303,561$34,255$(149,580)$188,236
Running totals
$327,781.48$(566,327.56)

Outside spending

As of October 2014, Alaska's U.S. Senate race had attracted roughly $25 million in outside spending. Of this money, $4,863,634 went to support Begich while $8,271,708 was spent in opposition of him. Sullivan had $1,941,853 spent supporting him and $9,571,090 spent in opposition. The remaining money was spent prior to the primary on Treadwell and Miller.[88] A total of $39 million worth of outside money was ultimately spent on the race.[3]

Mark Begich

  • Put Alaska First PAC was by far the biggest outside spender in the race. The PAC spent $7,317,459 supporting Begich and opposing Sullivan.[88]
  • The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) came in second with spending totaling $1,760,952.
  • The League of Conservation Voters was the next biggest liberal spender in the race. It spent $1.4 million in support of incumbent Begich.[88]
  • Alaska SalmonPAC also spent nearly $1 million in support of Begich.[88]
  • Additionally, the following groups spent over $100,000 to assist in Begich's re-election: NEA Advocacy Fund, Planned Parenthood Votes, the Democratic Party of Alaska, the International Association of Fire Fighters and Planned Parenthood Action Fund.[88]

Dan Sullivan

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Lisa Murkowski won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Joe Miller (R), Scott T. McAdams (D), Frederick Haase (L), Tim Carter (Nonaffiliated) and Ted Gianoutsos (Nonaffiliated) in the general election.[89]

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Write-in Green check mark transparent.pngLisa Murkowski incumbent 39.7% 101,091
     Republican Joe Miller 35.6% 90,839
     Democratic Scott T. McAdams 23.6% 60,045
     Libertarian Frederick Haase 0.6% 1,459
     Nonaffiliated Tim Carter 0.4% 927
     Nonaffiliated Ted Gianoutsos 0.2% 458
Total Votes 254,819

2008

On November 4, 2008, Mark Begich won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Ted Stevens (R), Bob Bird (Alaskan Independence), Frederick Haase (L) and Ted Gianoutsos (NPA) in the general election.[90]

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark Begich 47.8% 151,767
     Republican Ted Stevens incumbent 46.5% 147,814
     Alaskan Independence Bob Bird 4.2% 13,197
     Libertarian Frederick Haase 0.8% 2,483
     No Party Affiliation Ted Gianoutsos 0.4% 1,385
     N/A Write-in 0.3% 1,077
Total Votes 317,723

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed July 28, 2014
  3. 3.0 3.1 Los Angeles Times, "Alaska Senate race becomes most expensive campaign in state's history," October 30, 2014
  4. Alaska Dispatch News, "Begich says Obama discontent, not Active ad, cost him Senate seat," November 22, 2014
  5. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  6. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed July 28, 2014
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 Fiscal Times, "7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue" accessed February 15, 2013
  8. 8.0 8.1 Alaska Dispatch News, "Third-party candidates could tip scales in Alaska's US Senate race," July 10, 2014
  9. State of Alaska Division of Elections Website, "Primary Election Information," accessed January 2, 2014
  10. DMV.org, "Voter Registration in Alaska," accessed January 3, 2014
  11. State of Alaska Division of Elections "2014 Election Dates and Hours," accessed February 19, 2014
  12. In Alaska, candidates from the Democratic, Libertarian and Alaskan Independence parties all appear on the same ballot. The candidate who receives the most votes from each party then advances to the general election.
  13. Newsminer.com, "Independence party candidate exits US Senate race," September 3, 2014
  14. Alaska Dispatch News, "Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws," August 27, 2014
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  18. Politico, "2014 Alaska Senate Primaries Results," accessed August 20, 2014
  19. 19.0 19.1 Alaska Dispatch News, "In tight US Senate race, the enemy of Begich's enemy is his friend," October 28, 2014
  20. The Washington Post, "In Alaska’s remote villages, Begich quietly built an advantage on the ground," October 4, 2014
  21. 21.0 21.1 Alaska Dispatch News, "Sullivan wants 'deceitful' ad about Mt. View killings off air; Begich campaign stands by it," August 29, 2014
  22. KTUU, "Murder Victims’ Family Lawyer Asks Senate Candidates to Stop Running Ads," August 31, 2014
  23. The Hill, "Begich takes heat for Willie Horton-style ad," September 2, 2014
  24. Alaska Public Media, "Senate Candidates Stake Ground In Unconventional First Debate," August 28, 2014
  25. Alaska Dispatch, "Begich super PAC will drop more than $4M on campaign ads," accessed May 19, 2014
  26. Politico Pro, "Campaigns," accessed May 19, 2014
  27. The Washington Post, "READ IN: Friday, May 16, 2014: No earmarks in WRRDA, Ernst leads Iowa field, Crossroads lands in Alaska, White House has ‘commitment’ from Boehner, and Biden’s book royalties," May 16, 2014
  28. The Washington Post, "Senate Republicans catch a break in Alaska," August 15, 2014
  29. Politico, "Alaska primary a test of Democratic ‘meddling’," August 19, 2014
  30. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  31. Newsminer.com, "Alaska's members of Congress react to Obama's ISIS speech," September 11, 2014
  32. Alaska Public Media, "Dems Ask Maryland to Investigate Sullivan Tax Breaks," September 4, 2014
  33. 33.0 33.1 33.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributed to the original source.
  34. 34.0 34.1 The Hill, "In Alaska, candidate's call for impeachment resonates on Facebook," August 18, 2014
  35. Politico, "Key Senate Primaries Results by State," accessed August 20, 2014
  36. Breitbart, "Two Alaska GOP Senate Candidates Refuse to Sign Anti-Amnesty Pledge," August 11, 2014
  37. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  38. Senate.gov, "H.R. 2775 As Amended," accessed October 31, 2013
  39. United States Senate, "Roll Call - H.R. 3590," accessed August 13, 2014
  40. Politico, "Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race," November 21, 2013
  41. Club for Growth, "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Dan Sullivan For U.S. Senate," March 12, 2014
  42. The Hill, "Condoleezza Rice backs Dan Sullivan in Alaska," March 24, 2014
  43. Dan Sullivan's campaign website, "Sullivan Endorsed by National Veterans Group," accessed August 13, 2014
  44. Fox News, "Palin backs Tea Party favorite Joe Miller for Alaska GOP Senate nod", August 15, 2014
  45. Western Journalism, "Sheriff Joe Arpaio Endorses Joe Miller In Alaska Senate Race", August 8, 2014
  46. Delta News Web, "National Association for Gun Rights PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate," March 18, 2014 (dead link)
  47. People's Pundit Daily, "Alaska Senate Candidate Joe Miller Picks Up Key Endorsement From Pro-Life Group," April 17, 2014
  48. Treadwell for United States Senate, "Red State’S Erickson Endorses Mead Treadwell," June 18, 2014
  49. Politico, "Mark Begich launching ad on education," August 19, 2013
  50. YouTube, "Put Alaska First - Sullivan's Real Home," accessed February 13, 2014
  51. Youtube, ""Oath" - VoteVets.org Ad In Alaska," accessed July 2, 2014
  52. The Hill, "Murkowski sends 'cease and desist' letter to Begich over ad," August 7, 2014
  53. YouTube, "Senator Begich Needs to Keep His Word," accessed February 24, 2014
  54. YouTube, "Two Begiches," accessed July 2, 2014
  55. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  56. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  57. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  58. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  59. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  60. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich July Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  61. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  62. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  63. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  64. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2014
  65. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  66. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2014
  67. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
  68. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  69. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  70. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2014
  71. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  72. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2014
  73. Federal Election Commission, "Daniel Sullivan Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
  74. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  75. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  76. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  77. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  78. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  79. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2014
  80. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  81. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  82. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  83. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  84. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  85. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  86. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2014
  87. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  88. 88.0 88.1 88.2 88.3 88.4 88.5 88.6 88.7 88.8 88.9 Open Secrets, "Alaska Senate Race - Outside Spending," accessed October 8, 2014
  89. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  90. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013