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United States Senate elections in Michigan, 2014

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2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Michigan

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 5, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Carl Levin Democratic Party
Carl Levin.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Michigan.png
Voters in Michigan will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014.

The current incumbent is Carl Levin (D), who has served in his position since 1979. With Levin's retirement, many are predicting the Michigan U.S. Senate race to be one of the more competitive races in 2014. Cook Political Report rated it as a "Toss Up" as of July 18, 2014. Gary Peters (D, MI-14) will face against Terri Lynn Land (R) in the general election. Sabato's Crystal Ball, meanwhile, is calling it a "Likely D," giving advantage to the Democrats. Despite the media hype surrounding the race, Rep. Gary Peters has led Terri Lynn Land, the former Michigan Secretary of State, in the September polls.

In early October, the National Republican Senatorial Committee decided to pull a portion of its advertisements from the state. $1 million dollars worth of airtime was removed for the dates between October 21 to October 28. The decision came as a blow to Land's campaign which has been consistently trailing in the polls against Peters.[3]

Both candidates are on even grounds when comparing their campaign coffers. The April Quarterly reported that Peters maintains around $3,450,000 cash-on-hand while Land has around $4,350,000. Expenditures have been similar across the board with both candidates trying to bolster their campaigns as the general election nears. Peters has received strong support from prominent Democratic members, such as Hillary Clinton, who have assisted in his campaign. He also received endorsement from key figures, such as former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

Neither candidate faced opposition in their primaries. Libertarian Party candidate Jim Fulner, independent Richard Matkin and Green Party candidate Chris Wahmhoff will also run in the general election.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 22, 2014
August 5, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Michigan is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[4][5][6]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters must have registered by June 7, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 6, 2014.[7]

See also: Michigan elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the open Senate seat currently held by Carl Levin (D). Levin was first elected in 1978. On March 7, 2013, Levin announced that he would retire rather than seek re-election in 2014.[8]

Candidates

General election candidates

August 5, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Declined to run

Race background

A new super PAC, Pure PAC, was formed to support Republican candidates and ran attack ads against Gary Peters. The ads attacked Peters for his "runaway spending" and for supporting Obamacare. The PAC spent $15,000 on the ads, which ran for three weeks.[10]

Issues

Campaign issues

Land

Land's website lists the following issues:

Free and Fair Trade: Trade policies from Washington all too often dramatically harm our state’s economy and cost Michigan good-paying middle class jobs. I will only support trade agreements that put Michigan businesses and workers on a level playing field with other countries.

Real Health Care Reform: ObamaCare has increased health care costs. ObamaCare has caused people to lose their insurance. ObamaCare regulations and taxes have discouraged health care innovation. Small businesses are even scaling back plans to hire more workers to avoid the penalty for having more than 50 employees. Some employers have reduced employees’ hours and have been forced to drop insurance plans.

There is a better way.

Immigration: We have a crisis on our southern border. The first duty of the federal government is to protect its citizens, but it cannot do that if it does not know who is coming in and out of the country.

The broken border with Mexico has cost Michigan jobs. Those who blatantly ignore our laws should not be rewarded, while those who follow the law are forced to wait in line to enter our country – this only invites more lawlessness.

It’s time for a systematic approach: We must enforce the immigration laws that are already on the books, make the immigration system more efficient, increase high-tech visas and seal off the border to Mexico. My plan will put Michigan First by protecting our middle class jobs and helping Michigan businesses grow.[11]

Peters

Peters' website lists the following issues:

Jobs & Economy: We make things in Michigan, and Gary is proud of that tradition. Whether it’s investing in Michigan Main Street businesses, strengthening our automotive industry, expanding agricultural innovation, or promoting entrepreneurial talents, Gary will continue to lead the fight for Michigan’s economic future and a strong middle class in the U.S. Senate.

Health Care: Medicare has helped make health care affordable for thousands of Michigan seniors, and Gary is committed to ensuring it can be relied upon for generations to come. He has consistently opposed the Republican Ryan Budget Plan to privatize Medicare and end the guaranteed benefit for our seniors, and will continue to fight against any efforts to cut such a vital program.

America needs more than just a sick-care system. We need to move towards a results-driven, sustainable, health care system that puts the well-being of our families first. Gary will work in the U.S. Senate to make sure health care reform continues to move forward in a practical, common-sense way.

Military & Veterans: The son of a World War II veteran, Gary was instilled the importance and value of service. When he was 34 years old, Gary felt compelled to serve his country and joined the U.S. Navy Reserve. After the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Gary volunteered and served again. Trained as a sharpshooter in pistol and rifle and as a Seabee Combat Specialist, Gary eventually rose to the rank of Lieutenant Commander.

When our veterans file claims with the VA, they shouldn’t be subjected to staggering backlogs. Gary is working with his colleagues to reduce the backlog at the VA and get our veterans and their families the benefits they’ve earned.

All of us are indebted to the men and women that serve our nation. And Gary will continue to fight for Michigan’s service men and women, veterans, and their families.[11]

Race ratings

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in Michigan is considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. [12]

Polls

Gary Peters vs. Terri Lynn Land
Poll Gary Peters Terri Lynn LandUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports (September 17-18, 2014)
41%39%20%+/-4750
Mitchell Research (September 15, 2014)
43%41%9%+/-3.4829
Glengariff Group/Detroit News (September 3-5, 2014)
47%37%12%+/-4.0600
Mitchell Research (August 5, 2014)
45%44%11%+/-5.0626
Marist Polls (July 1-3, 2014)
43%37%19%+/-3.3870
Public Policy Polling (June 26-29, 2014)
41%36%24%+/-4.1578
Public Policy Polling (April 3-6, 2014)
41%36%23%+/-3.4825
Clarity Campaigns Lab (February 22-23, 2014)
46%40%14%+/-2.55859
Public Policy Polling (December 5-8, 2013)
40%42%18%+/-31,034
Denno Research (November 12-14)
37%36%27%+/-4600
Inside Michigan Politics (October 29, 2013)
43%38%19%+/-4794
Public Policy Polling (October 14–15, 2013)
43%36%21%+/-3.9642
Mitchell Research (October 6–10, 2013)
39%40%21%+/-4600
EPIC-MRA (September 7–10, 2013)
38%37%25%+/-4600
Mitchell Research (August 26, 2013)
36%39%25%+/-2.231,881
AVERAGES 41.53% 38.53% 19.2% +/-3.66 805.87
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

As of September 2014, 78 percent of money spent on television ads for this race had come from independent organizations. In support of Land, $8 million was spent on television ad from outside interest group. Spending in support of Peters was at $5.7 million.[13]

Candidates

Terri Lynn Land


Terri Lynn Land, "Success Story"

Terri Lynn Land, "Really?"

Terri Lynn Land, "Billionaire"

Terri Lynn Land, "Bought"

Terri Lynn Land, "War on Michigan"

Terri Lynn Land, "Stop Fighting, Start Listening"

Terri Lynn Land, "I Pledge"

Terri Lynn Land, "Cheap Talk"

Terri Lynn Land, "Roadblock"

Terri Lynn Land, "Free & Fair Trade"

Terri Lynn Land, "Playing Both Sides"

Terri Lynn Land, "Two Faced"

Terri Lynn Land, "Siphoned Off"

Terri Lynn Land, "Sides"

Terri Lynn Land, "Profiting from Pollution"

Terri Lynn Land, "Turn the Page"

Terri Lynn Land, "Turn the Page"

Terri Lynn Land, "Bad Loans"

Terri Lynn Land, "Moms Get Things Done"

Gary Peters


Gary Peters, "Protect"

Gary Peters, "Gary's Story"

Gary Peters, "Generations"

Gary Peters, "Service"

Gary Peters, "Frugal"

Gary Peters, "BAM"

Gary Peters, "For Real"

Outside Groups

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee


Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, "Months Later"

Senate Majority PAC


Senate Majority PAC, "Wash"

Senate Majority PAC, "Backwards"

AFSCME


AFSCME, "Family"

AFSCME People, "Dirt"

AFSCME People, "Fall"

Campaign contributions

Candidate ballot accecss
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Gary Peters

Gary Peters (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[14]April 15, 2013$486,738.99$373,147.00$(46,500.46)$813,385.53
July Quarterly[15]July 15, 2013$813,385.53$1,049,815.42$(81,176.68)$1,782,024.27
October Quarterly[16]October 15, 2013$1,781,999.27$1,032,351.14$(315,307.30)$2,499,043.11
Year-End[17]January 31, 2014$2,499,093.15$1,008,572.93$(584,005.11)$2,923,660.97
April Quarterly[18]April 15, 2014$2,923,660.97$1,355,019.03$(822,276.22)$3,456,403.78
July Quarterly[19]July 15, 2014$3,456,403$1,964,341$(2,152,368)$3,268,376
Running totals
$6,783,246.52$(4,001,633.77)

Terri Lynn Land

Terri Lynn Land (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[20]October 14, 2013$0.00$2,050,599.51$(111,787.10)$1,938,812.41
Year-End[21]January 31, 2014$1,938,812.41$1,662,812.68$(263,327.94)$3,338,297.15
April Quarterly[22]April 24, 2014$3,338,297.15$1,507,117.13$(483,993.25)$4,351,421.03
July Quarterly[23]July 15, 2014$4,361,421$3,386,199$(2,494,119)$5,253,500
Running totals
$8,606,728.32$(3,353,227.29)

Land contributed $1 million to her campaign in the third quarter, nearly half of her total contributions for the quarter.[24]

Election history

2012

On November 6, 2012, Debbie Stabenow won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Pete Hoekstra (R), Scotty Boman (L), Harley Mikkelson (G), Richard Matkin (UST) and John Litle (NLP) in the general election.

U.S. Senate, Michigan General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDebbie Stabenow Incumbent 58.8% 2,735,826
     Republican Pete Hoekstra 38% 1,767,386
     Libertarian Scotty Boman 1.8% 84,480
     Green Harley Mikkelson 0.6% 27,890
     UST Richard Matkin 0.6% 26,038
     NLP John Litle 0.2% 11,229
Total Votes 4,652,849
Source: Michigan Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2008

On November 4, 2008, Carl Levin won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Jack Hoogendyk, Jr. (R), Scotty Boman (L), Harley G. Mikkelson (G), Michael N. Nikitin (U.S. Taxpayers Party) and Doug Dern (Natural Law) in the general election.[25]

U.S. Senate, Michigan General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarl Levin incumbent 62.7% 3,038,386
     Republican Jack Hoogendyk, Jr. 33.8% 1,641,070
     Libertarian Scotty Boman 1.6% 76,347
     Green Harley G. Mikkelson 0.9% 43,440
     U.S. Taxpayers Party Michael N. Nikitin 0.6% 30,827
     Natural Law Doug Dern 0.4% 18,550
Total Votes 4,848,620

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 24, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed July 24, 2014
  3. Detroit Free Press, "GOP cancels spending on TV ads for Terri Lynn Land," October 7, 2014
  4. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  6. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  7. Michigan Department of State Website, "Registering to Vote: Step 2," accessed January 3, 2014
  8. Carl Levin, U.S. Senator from Michigan, "Newsroom: Sen. Carl Levin announces he will not seek re-election in 2014," March 7, 2013
  9. Washington Post "Dave Camp might run for Senate in Michigan," accessed July 15, 2013
  10. Detroit Free Press, "Super PAC commercial targets U.S. Rep. Peters, parodies Pure Michigan ads," September 18, 2013
  11. 11.0 11.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributed to the original source.
  12. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  13. Michigan Live, "Michigan Delegation: 78% of U.S. Senate TV ads bought by outside organizations," September 7, 2014
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters April Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters July Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  19. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed October 15, 2014
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land Year-End." accessed April 29, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed October 15, 2014
  24. Roll Call, "Two Senate Candidates Put Up $1 Million or More for 2014," October 28, 2013
  25. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013