United States Senate elections in Michigan, 2014

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2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Michigan

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 5, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Carl Levin Democratic Party
Carl Levin.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

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Voters in Michigan will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014. With the retirement of longtime Sen. Carl Levin, many are predicting the Michigan U.S. Senate race to be one of the more competitive races in 2014. Cook Political Report rated it as a "Toss Up" as of July 18, 2014. Sabato's Crystal Ball, meanwhile, is calling it a "Likely D" hold for Democrats. Despite the media hype surrounding the race, Rep. Gary Peters (D, MI-14) has led Republican Terri Lynn Land, the former Michigan Secretary of State, in recent polls.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 22, 2014
August 5, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Michigan is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters must have registered by June 7, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 6, 2014.[6]

See also: Michigan elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the open Senate seat currently held by Carl Levin (D). Levin was first elected in 1978. On March 7, 2013, Levin announced that he would retire rather than seek re-election in 2014.[7]

Candidates

General election candidates

August 5, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Declined to run

Race background

A new super PAC, Pure PAC, was formed to support Republican candidates and ran attack ads against Gary Peters. The ads attacked Peters for his "runaway spending" and for supporting Obamacare. The PAC spent $15,000 on the ads, which ran for three weeks.[9]

Race ratings

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in Michigan is considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. [10]

Polls

Gary Peters vs. Terri Lynn Land
Poll Gary Peters Terri Lynn LandUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Mitchell Research(August 5, 2014)
45%44%11%+/-5.0626
Marist Polls (July 1-3, 2014)
43%37%19%+/-3.3870
Public Policy Polling (June 26-29, 2014)
41%36%24%+/-4.1578
Public Policy Polling (April 3-6, 2014)
41%36%23%+/-3.4825
Clarity Campaigns Lab (February 22-23, 2014)
46%40%14%+/-2.55859
Public Policy Polling (December 5-8, 2013)
40%42%18%+/-31,034
Denno Research (November 12-14)
37%36%27%+/-4600
Inside Michigan Politics (October 29, 2013)
43%38%19%+/-4794
Public Policy Polling (October 14–15, 2013)
43%36%21%+/-3.9642
Mitchell Research (October 6–10, 2013)
39%40%21%+/-4600
EPIC-MRA (September 7–10, 2013)
38%37%25%+/-4600
Mitchell Research (August 26, 2013)
36%39%25%+/-2.231,881
AVERAGES 41% 38.42% 20.58% +/-3.62 825.75
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

Terri Lynn Land


Terri Lynn Land, "Free & Fair Trade"

Terri Lynn Land, "I Pledge"

Terri Lynn Land, "War on Michigan"

Gary Peters


Gary Peters, "PetersforCongress.com Welcome Video"

Campaign contributions

Candidate ballot accecss
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Gary Peters

Gary Peters (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[11]April 15, 2013$486,738.99$373,147.00$(46,500.46)$813,385.53
July Quarterly[12]July 15, 2013$813,385.53$1,049,815.42$(81,176.68)$1,782,024.27
October Quarterly[13]October 15, 2013$1,781,999.27$1,032,351.14$(315,307.30)$2,499,043.11
Year-End[14]January 31, 2014$2,499,093.15$1,008,572.93$(584,005.11)$2,923,660.97
April Quarterly[15]April 15, 2014$2,923,660.97$1,355,019.03$(822,276.22)$3,456,403.78
Running totals
$4,818,905.52$(1,849,265.77)

Terri Lynn Land

Terri Lynn Land (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[16]October 14, 2013$0.00$2,050,599.51$(111,787.10)$1,938,812.41
Year-End[17]January 31, 2014$1,938,812.41$1,662,812.68$(263,327.94)$3,338,297.15
April Quarterly[18]April 24, 2014$3,338,297.15$1,507,117.13$(483,993.25)$4,351,421.03
Running totals
$5,220,529.32$(859,108.29)

Land contributed $1 million to her campaign in the third quarter, nearly half of her total contributions for the quarter.[19]

Election history

2012

On November 6, 2012, Debbie Stabenow won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Pete Hoekstra (R), Scotty Boman (L), Harley Mikkelson (G), Richard Matkin (UST) and John Litle (NLP) in the general election.

U.S. Senate, Michigan General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDebbie Stabenow Incumbent 58.8% 2,735,826
     Republican Pete Hoekstra 38% 1,767,386
     Libertarian Scotty Boman 1.8% 84,480
     Green Harley Mikkelson 0.6% 27,890
     UST Richard Matkin 0.6% 26,038
     NLP John Litle 0.2% 11,229
Total Votes 4,652,849
Source: Michigan Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2008

On November 4, 2008, Carl Levin won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Jack Hoogendyk, Jr. (R), Scotty Boman (L), Harley G. Mikkelson (G), Michael N. Nikitin (U.S. Taxpayers Party) and Doug Dern (Natural Law) in the general election.[20]

U.S. Senate, Michigan General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarl Levin incumbent 62.7% 3,038,386
     Republican Jack Hoogendyk, Jr. 33.8% 1,641,070
     Libertarian Scotty Boman 1.6% 76,347
     Green Harley G. Mikkelson 0.9% 43,440
     U.S. Taxpayers Party Michael N. Nikitin 0.6% 30,827
     Natural Law Doug Dern 0.4% 18,550
Total Votes 4,848,620

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 24, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed July 24, 2014
  3. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  6. Michigan Department of State Website, "Registering to Vote: Step 2," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. Carl Levin, U.S. Senator from Michigan, "Newsroom: Sen. Carl Levin announces he will not seek re-election in 2014," March 7, 2013
  8. Washington Post "Dave Camp might run for Senate in Michigan," accessed July 15, 2013
  9. Detroit Free Press, "Super PAC commercial targets U.S. Rep. Peters, parodies Pure Michigan ads," September 18, 2013
  10. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  11. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters April Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters July Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  13. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Gary Peters April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land Year-End." accessed April 29, 2014
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Terri Lynn Land April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  19. Roll Call, "Two Senate Candidates Put Up $1 Million or More for 2014," October 28, 2013
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013