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United States Senate elections in New Jersey, 2012

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections in New Jersey

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Bob Menendez Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Bob Menendez Democratic Party
Bob Menendez.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Likely D (prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of New Jersey.png
Voters in New Jersey elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections. Incumbent Bob Menendez won the election.[1]
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 2, 2012
June 5, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New Jersey has a mostly closed primary system, in which registered Republicans and Democrats can only vote in their own party's primary, but voters who have never voted in a primary before may choose either party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 11, 2012. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16, 2012.[2]

See also: New Jersey elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by Bob Menendez (D). First appointed to the U.S. Senate in 2005, Menendez ran for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Bob Menendez Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Joe Kyrillos
Libertarian Party Kenneth Kaplan
Green Party Ken Wolski
Independent Inder "Andy" Soni
Independent Gwen Diakos
Independent Eugene Martin Lavergne
Independent Daryl Brooks
Independent Robert "Turk" Turkavage
Independent Gregory Pason
Independent J. David Dranikoff


June 5, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Note: Michael Doherty and Ian Linker withdrew before the primary.

Libertarian Party Libertarian Party

Independent Third party

Note: Jeff Boss will not appear on the general election ballot.

Green Party Green Party

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, New Jersey, General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Menendez Incumbent 58.9% 1,987,680
     Republican Joe Kyrillos 39.4% 1,329,534
     Libertarian Kenneth R. Kaplan 0.5% 16,803
     Green Ken Wolski 0.5% 15,801
     Jersey Strong Independents Gwen Diakos 0.3% 9,359
     Totally Independent Candidate J. David Dranikoff 0.1% 3,834
     America First Inder "Andy" Soni 0.1% 3,593
     Responsibility Fairness Integrity Robert "Turk" Turkavage 0.1% 3,532
     Socialist Party USA Gregory Pason 0.1% 2,249
     No Slogan Eugene Martin Lavergne 0.1% 2,198
     Reform Nation Daryl Mikell Brooks 0.1% 2,066
Total Votes 3,376,649
Source: New Jersey Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Republican Primary

U.S. Senate, New Jersey Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Kyrillos 76.9% 163,817
Bader Qarmout 6% 12,823
Joe Rullo 8.1% 17,161
David Douglas Brown 9% 19,238
Total Votes 213,039

Race background

Republican primary

Four Republicans squared off in the June 5, 2012 primary to decide who would face incumbent Bob Menendez in the general. All four challengers faced name recognition problems, with state Senator Joe Kyrillos' name familiar to less than one third of New Jerseyans.[17]

Longtime legislator Kyrillos was considered the frontrunner, with a healthy $1.4 million in campaign funds. But Bader Qarmout, Joe Rullo, and David Douglas Brown had support from Tea Party groups and certain Republican leaders.[17] The three newcomers considered their lack of political experience to be an advantage, with many voters frustrated with party deadlock. Kyrillos, on the other hand, commented, "I wonder sometimes how people can just jump into a race of this magnitude."[17]

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report released race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There were seven possible designations:[18]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- New Jersey Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[19]     
September 13, 2012[20]     
August 21, 2012[21]     
July 12, 2012[22]     
May 31, 2012[23]     
May 10, 2012[24]     
March 22, 2012[25]     
March 1, 2012[26]     
January 26, 2012[27]     
December 22, 2011[28]     
December 1, 2011[29]     

Polls

Robert Menendez vs. Joe Kyrillos

Robert Menendez vs. Joe Kyrillos
Poll Robert Menendez Joe KyrillosSomeone ElseDon't know/NAMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll of Likely Voters (August 27 - September 2, 2012)
50%40%0%10%+/-2.61,471
Stockton College
(October 12-18, 2012)
52%30%0%0%+/-3.5811
Survey USA
(October 17,18 2012)
53%33%5%9%+/-4.2577
Inquirer New jersey
(October 23-25, 2012)
50%32%0%0%+/-4601
AVERAGES 51.25% 33.75% 1.25% 4.75% +/-3.58 865
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Bob Menendez

Bob Menendez[30] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[31]April 13, 2012$8,160,713.86$1,706,707.94$(376,411.94)$9,491,009.86
Pre-Primary[32]May 24, 2012$9,491,009.86$531,091.08$(578,326.81)$9,443,774.13
July Quarterly[33]July 13, 2012$9,443,774.13$1,163,545.30$(261,953.45)$10,345,365.98
Running totals
$3,401,344.32$(1,216,692.2)

Joe Kyrillos

Joe Kyrillos[34] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[35]April 13, 2012$0.00$1,759,151.23$(369,689.28)$1,389,461.95
Pre-Primary[36]May 21, 2012$1,389,461.95$600,588.36$(348,990.94)$1,641,059.37
July Quarterly[37]July 13, 2012$1,641,059.37$746,797.43$(413,553.92)$1,974,302.88
Running totals
$3,106,537.02$(1,132,234.14)

Election history

2008

On November 4, 2008, Frank Lautenberg was re-elected to the United States Senate for a fourth non-consecutive term. He defeated Dick Zimmer (R), Jason Scheurer (Libertarian), J.M. Carter (God We Trust), Daryl Mikell Brooks (Poor People’s Campaign), Sara Lobman (Socialist Workers) and Jeffrey Boss (Boss for Senate).[38]

United States Senate, New Jersey General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Lautenberg Incumbent 56% 1,951,218
     Republican Dick Zimmer 42% 1,461,025
     Libertarian Jason Scheurer 0.5% 18,810
     God We Trust J.M. Carter 0.5% 15,935
     Poor People’s Campaign Daryl Mikell Brooks 0.5% 15,925
     Socialist Workers Sara Lobman 0.3% 10,345
     Boss for Senate Jeffrey Boss 0.3% 9,187
Total Votes 3,482,445

2006

On November 7, 2006, Bob Menendez was elected to the United States Senate to continue holding the office he acquired through his appointment earlier that year. He defeated Thomas H. Kean, Jr. (R), J. M. Carter (God We Trust), Len Flynn (Libertarian), Edward Forchion (Legalize Marijuana (G.R.I.P.), Daryl Mikell Brooks (Poor People’s Campaign), N. Leonard Smith (Solidarity, Defend Life), Angela L. Lariscy (Socialist Workers), and Gregory Pason (Socialist Party USA).[39]

United States Senate, New Jersey General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBob Menendez Incumbent 57.2% 58,333
     Republican Thomas H. Kean, Jr. 41.2% 41,998
     God We Trust J. M. Carter 0.4% 395
     Libertarian Len Flynn 0.3% 345
     Legalize Marijuana (G.R.I.P.) Edward Forchion 0.3% 336
     Poor People’s Campaign Daryl Mikell Brooks 0.3% 263
     Solidarity, Defend Life N. Leonard Smith 0.2% 166
     Socialist Workers Angela L. Lariscy 0.1% 90
     Socialist Party USA Gregory Pason 0% 47
Total Votes 101,973

See also

External links

References

  1. Townhall.com, "Senate Election Summary"
  2. New Jersey Department of State, "Voter Registration Information," accessed June 30, 2012
  3. New York Times, "Menendez Gears Up for 2012 Senate Race, With Christie Looming as a Factor," accessed January 6, 2012
  4. NJ.com, "Doherty, Kyrillos set up 'classic' GOP primary fight to challenge U.S. Sen. Menendez," accessed January 6, 2012
  5. NJ Herald, "Garrett neutral, so far, on Republican race for U.S. Senate," accessed February 18, 2011
  6. WOBM "Ocean County Solar Entrepreneur Runs for U.S. Senate," accessed January 6, 2012
  7. NJ.gov, "U.S. Senate Primary Candidates," accessed April 2, 2012
  8. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  9. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  10. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  11. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  12. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  13. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  14. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  15. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  16. NJ.gov" Candidate List Accessed September 19, 2012
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 New Jersey Spotlight, "U.S. Senate Race: Republican Party Primary," May 25, 2012
  18. Cook Political Report, "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011
  19. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  20. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  21. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  22. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  23. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  24. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  25. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  26. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  27. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  28. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  29. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  30. FEC Reports, "Robert Menendez Summary Reports" accessed August 20,2012
  31. FEC Reports, "April Quarterly" accessed August 20, 2012
  32. FEC Reports, "Pre-Primary" accessed August 20, 2012
  33. FEC Reports, "July Quarterly" accessed August 20, 2012
  34. FEC Reports, "Joe Kyrillos Summary Reports" accessed August 20, 2012
  35. FEC Reports, "April Quarterly" accessed August 20, 2012
  36. FEC Reports, "Pre-Primary" accessed August 20, 2012
  37. FEC Reports, "July Quarterly" accessed August 20, 2012
  38. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"
  39. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006"