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Arizona's 9th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Arizona's 9th Congressional District
General Election Date
November 6, 2012
Primary Date
August 28, 2012
November 6 Election Winner:
Kyrsten Sinema Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Newly created district
Arizona U.S. House Elections
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9
2012 U.S. Senate Elections
Flag of Arizona.png

The 9th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. The race was too close to call for a full week after the election.[1] Kyrsten Sinema (D) was declared the winner on November 12, 2012.[2]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 30, 2012
August 28, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Arizona's primary system is considered semi-closed. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[3]

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 30. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[4]

See also: Arizona elections, 2012

Incumbent: There was no incumbent for the 2012 elections, as the 9th District was newly created as a result of the 2010 Census.

This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. The 9th District was based in Tempe, Arizona and is one of five primarily urban districts centered around Phoenix, Arizona.[5]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Kyrsten Sinema Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Vernon Parker
Libertarian Party Powell Gammil


August 28, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

According to the website Daily Kos, this race was one of nine top-ballot 2012 races that contained Libertarian candidates who received more total votes than was the difference between the Democratic winner and the GOP runner-up. In this case, Powell Gammill took in over 7,300 more votes than the number that separated Sinema and Parker.[7]

Election results

U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema 48.7% 121,881
     Republican Vernon B. Parker 44.6% 111,630
     Libertarian Powell Gammill 6.6% 16,630
Total Votes 250,141
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"
U.S. House, Arizona District 9 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema 40.8% 15,536
David Schapira 30% 11,419
Andrei Cherny 29.3% 11,146
Total Votes 38,101
U.S. House, Arizona District 9 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVernon Parker 22.5% 11,184
Lisa Borowsky 6.6% 3,281
Leah Campos Schandlbauer 4.3% 2,139
Travis Grantham 18.4% 9,179
Wendy Rogers 21% 10,479
Martin Sepulveda 20.4% 10,165
Jeff Thompson 6.7% 3,358
Total Votes 49,785

Race background

Arizona's 9th was considered to be Leaning Democratic according to the New York Times race ratings. The new 9th District, located in East Phoenix, Tempe and parts of Scottsdale, was considered likely to become Democratic. Meanwhile, Republican incumbents David Schweikert and Benjamin Quayle competed in the primary for the 6th District.[8]

Arizona's 9th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[9]

Republican challenger Vernon Parker was included in the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlighted challengers who represented the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[10]

Arizona's Governor, Jan Brewer's super PAC, Jan PAC, spent money in each of Arizona's three most competitive races. In Arizona's 9th, it spent $23,257 to oppose Democratic candidate Kyrsten Sinema.[11]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arizona
Map of the 9th Congressional District of Arizona (dead link) before and after the 2010 redistricting.

The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[12][13]

Registration statistics

As of October 22, 2012, District 9 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Arizona Secretary of State:

Arizona Congressional District 9[14]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 9 361,929 109,994 122,540 129,395 Republican 11.41% 0%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Partisanship figures from 2010 relating to the incumbent were unavailable for this district due to the seat being open.[15]

  • 2012: 48D / 52R
  • 2010: Unavailable

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Arizona's 9th Congressional District has a PVI of R+1, which is the 231st most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 52-48 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 51-49 percent over John Kerry (D).[16]

Endorsements

Andrei Cherny

Cherny was endorsed by former president Bill Clinton.[17]

Vernon Parker

Parker was endorsed by former President George H.W. Bush. A full list of endorsements can be found here.[18]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Andrei Cherny

David Schapira

Kyrsten Sinema

Lisa Borowsky

Leah Campos Schandlbauer

Travis Grantham

Vernon Parker

Wendy Rogers

Martin Sepulveda

Jeff Thompson

District history

Candidate ballot access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg
Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

This is a newly created district.

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. ↑ National Journal, "Kyrsten Sinema Winner in Arizona's 9th District," November 13, 2012
  3. ↑ Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 2, 2014
  4. ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "Important Dates," accessed June 29, 2012
  5. ↑ Arizona Redistricting, "Map" accessed July 7, 2012
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Arizona Republic "Cherny announces bid for Congressional district 9," February 9, 2012
  7. ↑ Daily Kos, "Libertarians provided the margin for Democrats and at least nine elections," November 15, 2012
  8. ↑ New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 7, 2012
  9. ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  10. ↑ NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  11. ↑ Bloomberg Businessweek, "Arizona’s Brewer Spends Super-PAC Cash for GOP House Candidates," October 25, 2012
  12. ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Arizona's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  13. ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  14. ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "State of Arizona Registration Report," April 23, 2012
  15. ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Arizona," September 2012
  16. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  17. ↑ Campaign website, President Clinton: My decision
  18. ↑ Campaign website, endorsement
  19. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Andrei Cherny April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  20. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Andrei Cherny July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  21. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Andrei Cherny Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  22. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "David Schapira April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  23. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "David Schapira July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  24. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "David Schapira Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  25. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kyrsten Sinema April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  26. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kyrsten Sinema July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  27. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kyrsten Sinema Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  28. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Lisa Borowsky July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  29. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Lisa Borowsky Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  30. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Leah Campos Schandlbauer April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  31. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Leah Campos Schandlbauer July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  32. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Leah Campos Schandlbauer Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  33. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Travis Grantham April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  34. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Travis Grantham July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  35. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Travis Grantham Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  36. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Vernon Parker April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  37. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Vernon Parker July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  38. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Vernon Parker Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  39. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Wendy Rogers April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  40. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Wendy Rogers July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  41. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Wendy Rogers Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  42. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Martin Sepulveda April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  43. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Martin Sepulveda July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  44. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Martin Sepulveda Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  45. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Jeff Thompson Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
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Arizona's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Ruben Gallego (D)
Mark Kelly (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)

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