Arizona's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Arizona's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 28, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Raul Grijalva Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Benjamin Quayle Republican Party
Benjamin Quayle.JPG

Arizona U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Arizona.png
The 3rd Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Democrat Raul Grijalva was re-elected to the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Arizona's 3rd, on November 6, 2012. He had previously served as Representative for the 7th District.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 30, 2012
August 28, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Arizona's primary system is considered semi-closed. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[2]

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 30. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[3]

See also: Arizona elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Benjamin Quayle (R), who was first elected in 2010.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. The 3rd District is located in the southern portion and southwestern corner of the state. Yuma, Maricopa, Pima and Santa Cruz counties are included in the new district boundaries.[4]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Raul GrijalvaGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
Libertarian Party Blanca Guerra


August 28, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Note: The following candidates withdrew prior to the primary: David Crowe.[7]

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Election results

U.S. House, Arizona District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva Incumbent 58.4% 98,468
     Republican Gabriela Saucedo Mercer 37.1% 62,663
     Libertarian Blanca Guerra 4.5% 7,567
Total Votes 168,698
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arizona

The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[10][11]

Registration statistics

As of October 22, 2012, District 3 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Arizona Secretary of State:

Arizona Congressional District 3[12]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 3 368,595 113,905 59,571 95,119 Democratic 91.21% 138.28%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Arizona's 3rd District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 55D / 45R
  • 2010: 54D / 46R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Arizona's 3rd Congressional District has a PVI of D+7, which is the 133rd most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 59-41 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 57-43 percent over George W. Bush (R).[14]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Amanda Aguirre

J. Manuel Arreguin

Raul Grijalva

Gabriela Saucedo Mercer

Blanca Guerra

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Benjamin Quayle won election to the United States House. He defeated Jon Hulburd, Michael Shoen and Leonard Clark in the general election.[29]

This is the 3rd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.
U.S. House, Arizona District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBenjamin Quayle 52.2% 108,689
     Democratic Jon Hulburd 41.1% 85,610
     Libertarian Michael Shoen 5% 10,478
     Green Leonard Clark 1.6% 3,294
Total Votes 208,071

See also

External links

References

  1. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 2, 2014
  3. Arizona Secretary of State, "Important Dates," accessed June 29, 2012
  4. Arizona Redistricting, "Map" accessed July 7, 2012
  5. 5.0 5.1 Tucson Weekly, "Tucson Physician Announces Plan To Challenge Grijalva," February 14, 2012
  6. Arizona Star "Grijalva makes it official: Will seek re-election in CD 3," accessed February 23, 2012
  7. Primary candidate list
  8. "Another “Gabby” for U.S. Congress: Gabriela Saucedo Mercer to announce for CD 7 on March 2," TucsonCitizen.com, February 26, 2011
  9. Arizona Daily Star, "Democrat Arreguin to run against Grijalva in CD3," February 14, 2012
  10. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Arizona's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  11. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  12. Arizona Secretary of State, "State of Arizona Registration Report," April 23, 2012
  13. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Arizona," September 2012
  14. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Amanda Aguirre April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Amanda Aguirre July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Amanda Aguirre Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "J. Manuel Arreguin April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "J. Manuel Arreguin July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  20. Federal Election Commission, "J. Manuel Arreguin Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Raul Grijalva April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Raul Grijalva July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Raul Grijalva Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Gabriela Saucedo Mercer April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Gabriela Saucedo Mercer July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Gabriela Saucedo Mercer Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Blanca Guerra April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Blanca Guerra July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  29. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"