Arizona's 4th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Arizona's 4th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 28, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Paul Gosar Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Ed Pastor Democratic Party
Ed Pastor.jpg

Arizona U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Arizona.png
The 4th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Incumbent Paul Gosar (R) was re-elected to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.[1] He had represented the 1st District before running for the 4th District in 2012.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 30, 2012
August 28, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Arizona's primary system is considered semi-closed. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[2]

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 30. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[3]

See also: Arizona elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Ed Pastor (D), who was first elected in 1991. As a result of redistricting, Pastor ran for election in the 7th Congressional District.[4]

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. The 4th District covers the entire western portion of Arizona. Mohave, Yavapai, Gila, Pinal, La Paz and Yuma counties are included in the new district boundaries.[5]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Johnnie Robinson
Republican Party Paul GosarGreen check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Joe Pamelia
Independent Richard Grayson


August 28, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Note: The following candidates withdrew prior to the primary: Paul Babeu.[8][9]

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Americans Elect candidate

Election results

U.S. House, Arizona District 4 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPaul Gosar Incumbent 66.8% 162,907
     Democratic Johnnie Robinson 28.4% 69,154
     Libertarian Joe Pamelia 3.8% 9,306
     Independent Richard Grayson 1% 2,393
Total Votes 243,760
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arizona

The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[10][11]

Registration statistics

As of October 22, 2012, District 4 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Arizona Secretary of State:

Arizona Congressional District 4[12]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 4 366,297 81,646 153,708 131,643 Republican 88.26% 240.17%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Arizona's 4th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 31D / 69R
  • 2010: 41D / 59R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Arizona's 4th Congressional District has a PVI of R+16, which is the 40th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 65-35 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 64-36 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Paul Gosar

Ron Gould

Rick Murphy

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2010

This is the 4th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

On November 2, 2010, Ed Pastor won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Janet Contreras, Joe Cobb and Rebecca Dewitt in the general election.[23]

U.S. House, Arizona District 4 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEd Pastor Incumbent 66.9% 61,524
     Republican Janet Contreras 27.5% 25,300
     Libertarian Joe Cobb 3% 2,718
     Green Rebecca Dewitt 2.6% 2,365
Total Votes 91,907

See also

External links

References

  1. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 2, 2014
  3. Arizona Secretary of State, "Important Dates," accessed June 29, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 Phoenix Business Journal "Gould in, Gosar moves, Quayle ponders as 2012 Arizona races take shape," January 11, 2012
  5. Arizona Redistricting, "Map" accessed July 7, 2012
  6. The Arizona Republic, "Democrat running in Arizona's District 4," February 12, 2012
  7. Roll Call "Paul Gosar to Switch Districts to Seek Re-Election," January 9, 2012
  8. Primary candidate list
  9. The Hill, "Embattled sheriff drops Arizona House bid," May 11, 12
  10. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Arizona's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  11. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  12. Arizona Secretary of State, "State of Arizona Registration Report," April 23, 2012
  13. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Arizona," September 2012
  14. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Paul Gosar April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Paul Gosar July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Paul Gosar Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Gould April Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Gould July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Gould Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Rick Murphy July Quarterly," accessed August 23, 2012
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Rick Murphy Pre-Primary," accessed August 23, 2012
  23. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013