Ballotpedia's 2012 General Election Review Articles: Montana Congressional Seats

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

December 5, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional team


MADISON, Wisconsin: Montana had one U.S. House seat on the ballot in 2012. Incumbent Denny Rehberg (R) did not seek re-election on November 6, 2012.

Going into the general election, Republicans were expected to win this seat. Polling had begun to show a narrowing gap between Steve Daines (R) and Kim Gillan (D) as the election approached. In the end, Daines won by over 10 percentage points.

Here are the candidates who won election from Montana.

District General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
At-large Democratic Party Kim Gillan
Republican Party Steve Daines
Libertarian Party David Kaiser
Denny Rehberg Republican Party Steve Daines No

Members of the U.S. House from Montana -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 0 0
     Republican Party 1 1
Total 1 1

Margin of victory for winners

There were a total of 1 seats up for election in 2012 in Montana. The following table shows the margin of victory for each district winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%.
DistrictWinnerMargin of VictoryTotal VoteTop Opponent
Montana, At-Large, District Republican Party Steve Daines10.5%479,740Kim Gillan

National picture

Both chambers of the United States Congress remain split after the November 6, 2012 election. Democrats increased their majority in the U.S. Senate while cutting into the Republicans majority in the U.S. House. Of the 435 candidates who won election to the U.S. House, 85 of them were challengers, which represents 19.5 percent of U.S. House members. Of those 85, 50 are Democratic and 35 are Republican. A total of 27 incumbents were defeated -- 10 Democratic and 17 Republican.

2012 United States House General Election Results
Party Total Winners Incumbent Winners Defeated Incumbents Incumbent Re-Election Rate** Non-Incumbent Winners
Democratic 201 151 10 93.8% 50
Republican 234 198 17 92.1% 35
TOTALS 435 349 27 92.8% 85
**Note: The incumbent re-election rate is calculated by dividing the total incumbents winners by the total incumbents who appeared on the general election ballot.
U.S. Senate Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 51 53
     Republican Party 47 45
     Independent 2 2
Total 100 100
U.S. House Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 193 201
     Republican Party 242 234
Total 435 435

See also