Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Analysis for 2012
This page is used to provide readers with information about updates to Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Study. After each state releases an official primary candidate list, members of the Ballotpedia staff perform an analysis of each district's race to look for the following circumstances:
- Primary competitiveness
Using the official primary candidate lists from each state, staff members analyzed each district's race to look for the following circumstances:
- No incumbent running with only one candidate
- No incumbent running with a contested primary
- Incumbent is running uncontested
- Incumbent is running in a contested primary
- No candidate has declared
- General election competitiveness
Using the official candidate lists from each state, staff members analyzed each district's race to look for the following circumstances:
- Incumbent is not running
- Incumbent faces a primary challenger
- Only one major party candidate in the general election
After the raw data was obtained, our staff analyzed the states to determine if there was noticeable partisan difference as well as the difference between states with and without term limits.
After the analysis of a state has been completed, the Competitiveness Study will be updated and the changes will be reflected on this page. Additionally, links to detailed reports of each state's individual competitiveness numbers will be posted on this page.
Note: California, Louisiana and Washington employ a top-two primary system. In top-two states, two candidates can advance to the general election.
|Filing date||State||% Open seats||% Incumbents facing a primary||% Major party candidates with major party competition||Competitiveness index||Individual Breakdown|
|July 12||New York||20.6||10.8||65.7||32.4||Link|
|June 27||Rhode Island||33.7||8.9||46||29.53||Link|
|June 15||New Hampshire||46.5||30||79.5||52.00||Link|
|April 13||North Dakota||11.5||25.3||82.7||39.83||Link|
|March 30||South Carolina||25||14.1||30||23.03||Link|
|March 27||South Dakota||21.5||19.1||65.7||35.43||Link|
|March 20||New Mexico||31.9||18.8||47.3||32.67||Link|
|February 29||North Carolina||30.7||26.5||60.6||39.27||Link|
|January 28||West Virginia||37.8||6.8||69.2||37.93||Link|
|December 7, 2011||Ohio||14.6||13.8||88.8||39.07||Link|
|December 5, 2011||Illinois||22.6||19.2||36.7||26.17||Link|
- State legislative elections, 2012
- 2012 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index
- On September 14, 2012, Joseph Perkins from CalWatchdog published an article arguing that the top-two system was not explicitly included in Ballotpedia's study. For more read here.