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Bill Daley

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Bill Daley
William Daley.jpg
Former Candidate
PartyDemocratic
Elections and appointments
Next generalMarch 18, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Prior offices
U.S. Commerce Secretary
1997-2000
White House Chief of Staff
2011-2012
Personal
ProfessionVenture Capitalist, Banking Executive
Websites
Personal website
Campaign website
Bill Daley campaign logo
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Bill Daley was a Democratic candidate for Governor of Illinois in the 2014 elections. He filed his candidate paperwork on June 11, 2013.[1] Daley's entry set up a primary battle with current incumbent Pat Quinn, who is running for re-election in 2014.[2][3]

On Sept. 16, 2013, less than two months after mounting his bid for governor, Daley abruptly exited the race for reasons which he did not immediately specify, although he intimated that it was not due to a lack of confidence in his campaign's odds for succeeding in the election. Daley cited an unanticipated "enormity" factor to the that drove the decision, telling reporters, "I've lost sleep ... and struggling over the last couple weeks over whether or not what's needed I can provide over a long period," he said. "It's not about a campaign of 6 months or 14 months. It really is about a minimum of 5 to nine years to begin to straighten out this state." Daley's withdrawal from the Democratic primary field is a coup for embattled incumbent Pat Quinn, whose bleak re-election prospects stand to improve considerably in the absence of a strong primary challenge.[4]

Biography

Daley served as the U.S. Commerce Secretary during the Clinton administration and was the White House chief of staff under President Obama.[5]The primary is scheduled for March 18, 2014.

A banking executive for the majority of his career, Daley has held a number of top-tier positions. These have included President and Chief Operating Officer of Amalgamated Bank of Chicago, Chairman of the Midwest for JPMorgan Chase, and, most recently, he was made head of JPMorgan Chase's Office of Corporate Responsibility.[6]

Daley holds a bachelor's degree from Chicago's Loyola University, and a law degree from John Marshall Law School.

Education

B.A. - Loyola University in Chicago LL.B. - John Marshall Law School


Daley announces his candidacy for governor in 2014 - released June 11, 2013

Elections

2014

See also: Illinois gubernatorial election, 2014

Daley was running for election as Illinois Governor in 2014. On September 16, 2013, under two months after formalizing his bid, Daley made the surprising decision to withdraw his candidacy.[4] Had he remained in the race, Daley would have faced incumbent Pat Quinn for the Democratic nomination in the primary election on March 18, 2014. The general election takes place November 4, 2014.

Race background

Current incumbent Pat Quinn, a Democrat who went from lieutenant governor to governor following Rod Blagojevich's 2009 impeachment, is facing re-election in 2014. Quinn ran for, and won, a full term in 2010 and is running for his second full four-year term. According to multiple outside ratings, Quinn is among the most vulnerable governors in the 2014 electoral cycle.[7]

Quinn's 2010 running-mate and first term incumbent Lt. Gov Sheila Simon (D) announced in February 2013 that she would not run for re-election in 2014. Simon said she wanted to seek a new office that would allow her to have a "greater impact," and later declared her candidacy for state comptroller.[8][9] Simon's thinly veiled swipe at the office's unsatisfactory "impact" potential was followed shortly thereafter by the Illinois House of Representatives' approval of a proposal seeking to eliminate the position of lieutenant governor altogether by constitutional amendment. In order for the measure to be passed, it must win approval of both the State Senate and Illinois voters. If the proposal is approved in a statewide public vote, the office will remain intact for one final term following the 2014 election.[10] Quinn said he wanted “a people person” to replace Simon, and ultimately settled on former Chicago public schools chief Paul Vallas.[11]

The 2014 electoral cycle marked the first time in Illinois history that candidates for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor ran on a single ticket in the primary election phase. Spurred by the 2010 election fiasco when Democratic nominee for lt. governor Scott Lee Cohen had to drop out of the race after being arrested on charges of steroid use and domestic battery, the new joint ticket rule was enacted to support the notion of a critical governor-lieutenant governor partnership. In theory, allowing governor hopefuls to hand pick their running mates for the primary would induce the campaigns to "better define their priorities for voters and cover more ground as election season gets underway."[11]

As of April 2014, Illinois is one of 13 Democratic state government trifectas. The biggest threat to Quinn winning re-election, then, was expected to have come courtesy of his fellow Democrats, namely William "Bill" Daley, a past U.S. Commerce Secretary and White House chief of staff and attorney general Lisa Madigan. But by September 2013, Quinn had dodged both bullets: First, Madigan, who had been expected to enter the primary race, announced that she would instead seek re-election to her current post.[12][13][14] After brief consideration,[15] Daley, "a member of Chicago's first political family," for his relation to two of Chicago's longest-reigning mayors, abruptly withdrew his bid for the Democratic nomination after a promising first stretch.[14] His departure marked a veritable coup for Quinn, whose bleak re-election prospects improved considerably in the absence of a strong primary challenge.[4]

Quinn is the fifth out of a total of forty-six previous Illinois lieutenant governors to have succeeded to the governorship mid-term. As governor, Quinn has emphasized improving the state government's ethical standards and protecting public-sector labor unions. His tenure thus far has been marred by steep, deeply unpopular budget cuts and tax increases stemming from long-term state debt among other issues that have factored into his status among the least popular governors facing re-election in 2014.[16]

Primary review, cross-party vote phenomenon

On September 3, individuals aiming to qualify for a slot on the March 2014 primary ballot began gathering signatures. The filing period for major party primary candidates ended on December 2, 2013, with only one Democrat, Tio Hardiman, filing to go up against Quinn. Candidates from the Republican end included state Sens. Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, state treasurer Dan Rutherford and venture capitalist Bruce Rauner. Early polls showed Rutherford as the frontrunner for the GOP nomination, but Rauner rocketed ahead of the pack by November 2013 and maintained a 15-point average lead up to the March primary, which he won.[17]

A newcomer to politics, Rauner achieved the name recognition he needed to overcome his more established opponents with the help of massive campaign contributions totaling nearly $14 million, including $6 million of his own money, the highest amount a candidate has ever spent on his own primary campaign for governor in Illinois.[18][19]

Unofficial results from the March 18 primaries revealed some steep deviations from typical voting behaviors recorded in past elections. Based on the breakdown of votes in the Republican and Democratic gubernatorial primaries provided by the Chicago Tribune on election night, Ballot Access News analyzed what appeared to be a spectacularly low turnout of Democratic voters (438,112 votes) in the party's contested, albeit only nominally, primary. They detected that hundreds of thousands of Democratic voters must have taken advantage of the state's mixed-hybrid primary system to vote the Republican ballot instead of their own. Under Illinois' primary rules, voters can change parties each year but must declare a party affiliation at the polls. Depending on which party is chosen, the voter will then be counted as registered for that party. Voters may change party affiliation at polls or caucus.[20]

The mass cross-over by Democrats was linked to one specific issue highlighted in this year's GOP governor's race: government employee unions. Most of the Democrats who participated in the Republican primary did so in order to ensure Kirk Dillard, who has sided with the unions in the state senate, would lose to Bruce Rauner, who has promised to curtail union influence.[21]

In Illinois, the last time more votes were cast in the Republican than the Democratic gubernatorial primary was 1986; not since the 1940's have so few votes been cast in a Democratic gubernatorial primary election. Compared to the last five Illinois gubernatorial elections, there was no significant spike in Republican votes this year, indicating the trend reversal was caused by a tremendous drop in Democratic gubernatorial primary votes cast.[21]


Polls

Illinois Governor - 2014 Republican Primary
Poll Bill Brady Kirk DillardBruce RaunerDan RutherfordUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Capitol Fax/We AskAmericaPoll
June 20, 2013
18%11%12%22%38%+/-2.81,310
WeAskAmerica
November 26, 2013
18%10%26%17%29%+/-2.81,233
Chicago Tribune/WGN
February 2-8, 2014
20%11%40%13%15%+/-4600
WeAskAmerica
February 25, 2014
12.8%17.25%35.6%7.48%26.88%+/-31,178
Chicago Tribune/WGN
March 1-5, 2014
18%23%36%9%13%+/-4600
WeAskAmerica
March 4, 2014
11.65%14.45%39.88%8.20%25.82%+/-2.851,262
WeAskAmerica
March 11, 2014
18.9%25.76%46.46%8.88%0%+/-2.91,235
WeAskAmerica
March 16, 2014
19.35%27.36%44.24%9.04%0%+/-3.01,126
AVERAGES 17.09% 17.48% 35.02% 11.83% 18.46% +/-3.17 1,068
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


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See also

External links

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References

  1. Chicagobusiness.com, "Daley files paperwork for governor run," June 10, 2013
  2. Quinn for Illinois Official Campaign Website, "Home," accessed June 11, 2013
  3. Crain's Chicago Business, "Bill Daley makes it official: He's in the race," July 30, 2013
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 New Jersey Herald, "Daley: Exit from race doesn't mean I couldn't win," September 17, 2013
  5. Governing, "William Daley Considering Bid for Illinois Governor," December 21, 2012
  6. Bill Daley - Democrat for Illinois, 2014 Official Campaign Website, "About Bill," accessed August 7, 2013
  7. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 11, 2012
  8. Chicago Tribune, "Simon will not run again for lieutenant governor," February 13, 2013
  9. Chicago Magazine, "What Happens After Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon Quits Pat Quinn’s Team," March 26, 2013
  10. The Chicago Tribune, "House votes to eliminate lieutenant governor post," April 12, 2013
  11. 11.0 11.1 CBS Local - Chicago, "2014 Governor Candidates To Choose Running Mates," August 24, 2013
  12. Capitol Fax, "This just in… Lisa Madigan announces re-election bid," July 15, 2013
  13. Governing, "William Daley Considering Bid for Illinois Governor," December 21, 2012
  14. 14.0 14.1 Chicagobusiness.com, "Daley files paperwork for governor run," June 10, 2013
  15. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named dropout
  16. St. Louis Today, "Illinois Gov. Quinn 2nd least popular incumbent going into 2014," April 9, 2013
  17. CapitolFax.com, "Capitol Fax/We Ask America Poll - Poll shows Rauner movement," July 8, 2013
  18. Crain's Chicago Business, "How Bruce Rauner won the GOP primary," March 19, 2014
  19. Peoria Public Radio, "How the self-funding of Rauner's campaign is impacting the race for Governor," March 12, 2014
  20. Chicago Tribune, "Election Calendar, Primary Results," last updated March 18, 2014
  21. 21.0 21.1 Ballot Access News, "Shockingly Low Turnout in Illinois Democratic Primary Suggests Many Democrats Voted in Republican Primary," March 20, 2014