California gubernatorial election, 2014

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California Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
June 3, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Jerry Brown Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Jerry Brown Democratic Party
Jerry Brown 1.jpg

California State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Controller, Superintendent, Insurance Commissioner

Current trifecta for Democrats
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State executive offices in California
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The California gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jerry Brown (D) ran successfully for re-election against Republican candidate Neel Kashkari in 2014. Brown won another four-year term by defeating Kashkari.[1]

California is one of three states to use a blanket primary, or top-two system, which allows all candidates to run and all voters to vote but only moves the top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, to the general election.[2][3][4]

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party Jerry Brown - Incumbent Green check mark transparent.png[5]
Republican Party Neel Kashkari - Former Assistant U.S. Treasury Secretary, Investment Firm Executive[6]

Lost in the primary

Democratic Party Akinyemi Agbede - Mathematician[7]
Republican Party Richard Aguirre - Economist, 2010 candidate[8]
Republican Party Alma Marie Winston - CEO of project funding company[7]
Republican Party Glenn Champ - Contractor[7][9]
Republican Party Tim Donnelly - Member of the California State Assembly, representing District 33.[10]
Green Party Luis Rodriguez - Author, journalist and political activist[11]
Independent (No Party Preference) Robert Newman - Psychologist, Farmer, perennial candidate[12]
Independent (No Party Preference), Janel Hyeshia Buycks - Minister[7]
Independent (No Party Preference), "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz - Businessman[13][7]
Independent (No Party Preference), Rakesh Kumar Christian - 2010 candidate[14][15]
Independent Joe Leicht - Golf course manager[16][7]
Pink.png Peace and Freedom Party, Cindy L. Sheehan - Activist, perennial candidate[14][17]

Top-two primary system

Since California implemented the top-two primary system, minor party and no party preference candidates have had a harder time making it onto the ballot. In 2012, minor parties put 21 candidates on the ballot in California. For the 10 years prior to that election, they averaged a combined 133 candidates on the ballot.[18] Additionally, in the 111 elections for federal or state office in which a minor party did place a candidate on the primary ballot against at least two major party candidates in a top-two primary system, no minor party candidate has placed first or second in order to move on to the general election.[19][20]

Results

General election

Governor of California, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJerry Brown Incumbent 60% 4,388,368
     Republican Neel Kashkari 40% 2,929,213
Total Votes 7,317,581
Election Results via California Secretary of State.

Primary election

Governor of California, Blanket Primary, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJerry Brown Incumbent 54.3% 2,354,769
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngNeel Kashkari 19.4% 839,767
     Republican Tim Donnelly 14.8% 643,236
     Republican Andrew Blount 2.1% 89,749
     Republican Glenn Champ 1.8% 76,066
     Green Luis Rodriguez 1.5% 66,876
     Peace and Freedom Cindy L. Sheehan 1.2% 52,707
     Republican Alma Marie Winston 1.1% 46,042
     Nonpartisan Robert Newman 1% 44,120
     Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 0.9% 37,024
     Republican Richard Aguirre 0.8% 35,125
     Nonpartisan "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz 0.3% 14,929
     Nonpartisan Janel Hyeshia Buycks 0.3% 12,136
     Nonpartisan Rakesh Kumar Christian 0.3% 11,142
     Nonpartisan Joe Leicht 0.2% 9,307
Total Votes 4,332,995
Election Results California Secretary of State.


Race background

Democratic incumbent Gov. Jerry Brown was elected to a record-breaking fourth non-consecutive term in the office.[21]

Including Brown, 15 candidates filed for the June 3 California gubernatorial primary election. Laguna Hills Mayor Andrew Blount (R), who was seen as a strong challenger to Brown, withdrew from the race one month before the primary due to health issues. Bount's exit left a total of fourteen hopefuls, few with the political connections or money to provide a substantial general election challenge. California Assemblyman Tim Donnelly (R) and former Treasury official official Neel Kashkari (R) proved to be formidable campaigners in the primary, though Brown was heavily favored for re-election.[22]

Throughout the primary campaign season, polls underscored projections that Brown would win another four-year term as California's chief executive in 2014. A Field Poll released in early April put Brown 40 percentage points ahead of what then appeared to be his biggest competitor, Tim Donnelly. Brown drew 57 percent to Donnelly's 17 percent, with ex-candidate Blount at 3 percent and Kashkari at 2 percent. The final poll before the primary conducted for USC and the Los Angeles Times foreshadowed Donnelly's demise, pushing Kashkari into second place overall at 18 percent, with Donnelly at 13 percent and Brown holding tight at 50 percent.[23]

The California Gubernatorial race was rated by the Cook Political Report as "Solid Democratic." Brown defeated Republican challenger Neel Kashkari in the November 4 general election by a wide, 18 percentage point margin of victory.

[24]

Polls

General election

Governor of California
Poll Jerry Brown * (D) Neel Kashkari (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23
55%37%9%+/-27,463
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary and hypothetical match-ups

Governor of California
Poll Jerry Brown* (D) Tim Donnelly (R)Neel Kashkari (R) (Not included in Poll 1 or 3)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Institute of California
November 12-19, 2013
46%16%0%29%+/-4.51,081
The Field Poll
November 15-December 3, 2014
52%9%3%25%+/-3.5836
Public Policy Institute of California
January 14-21, 2014
53%17%0%28%+/-3.81,151
Public Policy Institute of California
March 11-18, 2014
47%10%2%36%+/-4.7936
The Field Poll
March 18-April 5, 2014
57%17%2%20%+/-4.5504
Public Policy Institute of California
April 8-15, 2014
46%9%2%38%+/-5.1944
Public Policy Institute of California
May 8-16, 2014
48%15%10%27%+/-3.61,702
Survey USA/KABC/KFSN/KGTV/KPIX
May 16-19, 2014
57%18%11%10%+/-4.0610
USC/LA Times Poll
May 21-28, 2014
50%13%18%10%+/-4.4671
AVERAGES 50.67% 13.78% 5.33% 24.78% +/-4.23 937.22
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Note: An asterisk (*) denotes incumbent status.

Past elections

2010

2010 Race for Governor - General Election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party Approveda Jerry Brown 53.4%
     Republican Party Meg Whitman 41.5%
     American Independent Party Chelene Nightengale 1.6%
     Libertarian Party Dale Ogden 1.5%
     Green Party Laura Wells 1.2%
     Peace and Freedom Party Carlos Alvarez 0.8%
Total Votes 8,085,908

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 82,596,338 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 36.4 percent of the VEP.[25] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[26]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[27]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Indiana (28 percent), Texas (28.5 percent) and Utah (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (59.3 percent), Wisconsin (56.9 percent) and Alaska (55.3 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[28]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes for top office  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,200,000 33.5 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 290,000 55.3 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,550,000 34.4 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 875,000 41.2 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,750,000 31.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,025,000 53.0 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,089,880 42.3 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney general 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 150,000 30.3 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 5,951,561 42.7 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,575,000 38.2 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 366,125 36.2 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 440,000 39.1 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,550,000 39.5 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,350,000 28.0 Secretary of state 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,150,000 50.6 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 875,000 42.8 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,440,000 44.2 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 625,000 59.3 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,750,000 41.9 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,150,000 43.9 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,151,835 42.7 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 2,025,000 51.3 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 650,000 29.7 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,450,000 32.3 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 365,000 46.1 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 550,000 41.3 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 600,000 31.8 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 500,000 48.8 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,825,000 30.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 550,000 38.3 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,900,000 28.8 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,900,000 40.7 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 248,670 43.8 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,150,000 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 825,000 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,500,000 52 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,500,000 36.1 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 325,000 41.7 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,246,301 34.8 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 279,412 44.5 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,400,000 29.1 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,750,000 28.5 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 550,000 28.8 Attorney general 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,200,000 36.7 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,050,000 41.6 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 460,000 31.8 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,425,000 56.9 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 38.7 Governor 52,703 33.6
United States 82,596,338 36.4

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on November 19, 2014. The results in this table draw from unofficial results as of November 12, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
February 20, 2014 Deadline for candidates to file signatures in lieu of a filing fee
March 7, 2014 Candidate filing deadline if paying fee for ballot access
June 3, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
November 6-December 2, 2014 State Canvassing Board meeting to certify election results
January 5, 2015 Inauguration day for state executive officials in general election

Recent news

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All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

California Gubernatorial Election News Feed

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See also

External links

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Suggest a link

References

  1. California Secretary of State, "Campaign Finance:Statement of Intention," accessed November 27, 2012
  2. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  5. California Secretary of State, "Campaign Finance:Statement of Intention," accessed November 27, 2012
  6. Neel Kashkari for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed February 2, 2014
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 VOLUNTARY CAMPAIGN SPENDING LIMITS FOR CANDIDATES FOR STATEWIDE ELECTIVE OFFICE," March 10, 2014 (dead link)
  8. Richard Aguirre for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 11, 2013
  9. Glenn Champ for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  10. Tim Donnelly for Governor, accessed July 8, 2013
  11. Green Party Watch, "Luis Rodriguez announces Green campaign for Governor of California," accessed August 14, 2013
  12. Robert Newman for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed January 20, 2014
  13. "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  14. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Aug15candidates
  15. American Public Party Official Website, "A New Foundation for Development and Progress," accessed September 11, 2013
  16. Joe Leicht for Governor of California 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  17. Cindy Sheehan for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 11, 2013
  18. Calnewsroom.com, "In statewide debut, top-two primary blocks third parties from June ballot," February 14, 2014
  19. Ballot Access News, "California Special Election Returns, State Senate District 23," March 26, 2014
  20. Ballot Access News, "Top-Two System Again Excludes All Minor Parties from General Election Campaign if At Least Two Major Party Members Ran," June 4, 2014
  21. The Sacramento Bee, "Gov. Jerry Brown to become the longest serving governor in California history," October 5, 2013
  22. The Orange County Register, "Laguna Hills mayor drops out of governor's race," April 29, 2014
  23. Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, "New University of Southern California Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll," May 21-28, 2014
  24. Cook Political Report, "2014 Governors Race Ratings," May 16, 2014
  25. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  26. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  27. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  28. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014