Colorado's 6th Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Colorado's 6th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Mike Coffman Republican Party
Mike Coffman.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[2]


Colorado U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Colorado.png
BattlegroundRace.jpg
The 6th Congressional District of Colorado will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

Our analysis points to the Colorado's 6th Congressional District being a battleground with a fairly even split of registered Democratic and Republican voters. Cook's PVI shows the district as D+1, while Fairvote rates the district as Leans Republican.[3][4] Additionally, the margin of victory in 2012 was only 2 percent and the district was won by President Barack Obama by 5.1 percent in 2012 and 8.7 percent in 2008.

Incumbent Mike Coffman will face former Colorado House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D) in the general election.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 31, 2014
June 24, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Colorado is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. The primary is considered closed, but unaffiliated voters may choose to affiliate with a party on election day in order to vote.[5]

Voter registration: Voters can register to vote in the primary by either June 2 (by mail, at a voter registration agency, voter registration drive or DMV), June 16 (online) or on election day (in-person at a voter service polling center). For the general election, voters can register November 4, 2014, through election day.[6]

See also: Colorado elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Mike Coffman (R), who was first elected in 2008.

The 6th District is one of five located in central Colorado.[7]

Candidates

General election candidates

Republican Party Mike Coffman
Democratic Party Andrew Romanoff

June 24, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Race background

Republican incumbent Mike Coffman's narrow re-election victory in 2012 signaled to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee that the 6th District is vulnerable to partisan switch in 2014. As of January 2013, the DCCC was already at work recruiting Democrats to take on incumbents in targeted districts.

According to a Roll Call report released on Jan. 22, the DCCC capitalized on the elite guest lists at events surrounding the presidential inauguration to vet potential candidates in three promising congressional districts, including former Colorado Speaker Andrew Romanoff, who had already been considering a bid for the 6th District seat.[10] The 6th District became significantly more hospitable to Democratic candidates after 2011, when it was redrawn to include nearly as many Democratic and unaffiliated voters as Republican voters.[11] Romanoff officially declared his candidacy on Feb 1.[12]

Democratic Super PAC House Majority PAC listed incumbent Mike Coffman as 1 of 10 they are targeting as vulnerable incumbent Republicans in 2014, with the focus on those holding competitive seats.[13]

Debate

On August 14, 2014, Rep. Coffman and challenger Romanoff squared off in a debate over immigration, campaign finance and the budget. During the debate, Romanoff asked Coffman to agree to a deal to refuse all "special interest" money, but Coffman declined his offer.[14]

Immigration was a large issue in the debate. Coffman called for an immigration solution that prioritized securing the border and opposed "a special path to citizenship for adults who knowingly broke the law." Romanoff countered by calling for "the comprehensive immigration reform this nation so desperately needs."[14]

The two candidates also clashed on the budget, healthcare and abortion rights. Coffman supports repeal of the Affordable Care Act and opposes abortion rights, while Romanoff wants to fix the law and supports abortion rights.[14]

Media

SEIU

SEIU launched an ad campaign on July 15, 2014, targeting four Republican incumbents in the U.S. House over their chamber’s inaction on immigration reform in 2014.

The ad campaign targeted Coffman and Cory Gardner of Colorado, David Valadao of California and Joe Heck of Nevada with a round of Spanish-language television ads for about two weeks. The ad buy was in the mid-six figures.[15]

Climate change ad


League of Conservation Voters ad released August 12, 2013, against Mike Coffman, "Ostrich Ad"

The League of Conservation Voters began an ad campaign on climate change on August 12, 2013. The campaign targeted three House Republicans, including Mike Coffman.[16]

The ad states, "This is the African Ostrich. Tall, flightless, head in the sand. And this is Congressman Coffman, also with his head in the sand — on climate change.”[16]

The group also launched ads against Dan Benishek and Rodney Davis. In total, the campaign spent roughly $2 million on the ads.[16]

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

HR 676

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

Yea3.png On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans--Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas-- voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[17] Coffman joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[18][19]

Government shutdown
See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[20] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[21] Mike Coffman voted for the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[22]

Yea3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[23] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Mike Coffman voted for HR 2775.[24]

Campaign contributions

Andrew Romanoff

Andrew Romanoff (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[25]April 15, 2013$0.00$514,477.46$(21,786.07)$492,691.39
July Quarterly[26]July 15, 2013$492,691.39$506,169.24$(80,444.03)$918,416.60
October Quarterly[27]October 15, 2013$918,416.60$524,871.09$(108,787.59)$1,334,500.10
Year-End[28]January 29, 2014$1,334,500$458,943$(123,826)$1,669,617
April Quarterly[29]April 15, 2014$1,669,617$603,520$(174,519)$2,098,619
Pre-Primary[30]June 12, 2014$2,098,619$465,824$(213,442)$2,351,001
July Quarterly[31]July 15, 2014$2,351,001$376,684$(52,263)$2,675,422
Running totals
$3,450,488.79$(775,067.69)

Mike Coffman

Mike Coffman (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[32]April 15, 2013$7,832.78$519,033.99$(135,175.75)$391,691.02
July Quarterly[33]July 15, 2013$391,691.02$566,203.80$(103,040.91)$854,853.91
October Quarterly[34]October 15, 2013$854,853.91$524,441.70$(151,637.33)$1,227,658.28
Year-End[35]January 31, 2014$1,227,658$404,827$(154,849)$1,477,636
April Quarterly[36]April 15, 2014$1,477,636$593,805$(226,699)$1,844,742
Pre-Primary[37]June 12, 2014$1,844,742$336,669$(214,576)$1,966,835
July Quarterly[38]July 15, 2014$1,966,835$405,083$(83,705)$2,288,213
Running totals
$3,350,063.49$(1,069,682.99)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Mike Coffman (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joe Miklosi, Patrick Provost and Kathy Polhemus in the general election.

U.S. House, Colorado District 6 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Joe Miklosi 45.8% 156,930
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Coffman Incumbent 47.8% 163,922
     Libertarian Patrick Provost 2.5% 8,597
     Independent Kathy Polhemus 3.9% 13,442
Total Votes 342,891
Source: Colorado Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Mike Coffman won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Flerlage (D), Rob McNealy (L) and Michael Shawn Kearns (Write-in) in the general election.[39]

U.S. House, Colorado District 6 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Coffman incumbent 65.7% 217,368
     Democratic John Flerlage 31.5% 104,104
     Libertarian Rob McNealy 2.9% 9,466
     Write-in Michael Shawn Kearns 0% 5
Total Votes 330,943

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 28, 2014
  3. FairVote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed November 5, 2013
  4. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," accessed April 4, 2014
  5. Colorado Revised Statutes, "Title 1, Article 7, Section 201, Voting at primary election," accessed January 2, 2014
  6. Colorado Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQs," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. Colorado November 2011 Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 23, 2012
  8. Denver Post, "Andrew Romanoff indicates he might challenge Mike Coffman in Congress," January 15, 2013
  9. The Denver Post, "Andrew Romanoff to run in Colorado's 6th Congressional District," February 3, 2013
  10. Roll Call, "DCCC Uses Inauguration to Tout Potential House Recruits," January 22, 2013
  11. The Denver Post, "Andrew Romanoff indicates he might challenge Mike Coffman," January 15, 2013
  12. The Denver Post, "Andrew Romanoff to run in Colorado's 6th Congressiional District," February 3, 2013
  13. Sunshine State News, "Democratic Super-PAC Targets Steve Southerland" accessed March 8, 2013
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 The Island Packet, "Candidates clash in Colorado congressional debate," August 14, 2014
  15. Politico, "Service Employees International Union targets four House Republicans," accessed July 15, 2014
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 Washington Post, "Environmental group launches $2 million ad campaign on climate change," accessed August 12, 2013
  17. U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
  18. Yahoo News, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," accessed July 30, 2014
  19. Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
  20. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  21. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  22. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  23. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  24. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff October Quarterly," accessed October 30, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff Year-End," accessed February 11, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff Pre-Primary," accessed June 23, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman April Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2013
  35. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman Year-End," accessed February 4, 2014
  36. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman April Quarterly," accessed April 20, 2014
  37. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman Pre-Primary," accessed June 23, 2014
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  39. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013