Florida's 15th Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Florida's 15th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Dennis A. Ross Republican Party
Dennis A. Ross.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid R[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R[2]

Fairvote's Monopoly Politics: Likely R[3]

Florida U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 15th Congressional District of Florida will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

Incumbent Dennis A. Ross (R) was first elected in 2010. He is running for re-election in 2014. He will face former television reporter Alan Cohn (D) in the general election.[4]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 2, 2014
August 26, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Florida is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[5][6][7]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters have to register by July 28, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 6, 2014.[8]

See also: Florida elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Dennis A. Ross (R), who was first elected in 2010.

Florida's 15th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Hillsborough and Polk counties.[9]

Candidates

General election candidates


August 26, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

Government affairs

HR 676

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

Yea3.png On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans--Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas-- voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[11] Ross joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[12][13]

Economy

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[14] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[15] Dennis Ross voted to approve the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[16]

Nay3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[17] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Dennis Ross voted against HR 2775.[18]

Polls

General election match-up
Poll Dennis Ross Alan CohnUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
June 5-8, 2014
42%35%23%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Dennis Ross

Dennis A. Ross (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[19]July 8, 2013$155,097.68$75,723.52$(103,340.45)$185,768
July Quarterly[20]July 15, 2013$185,768$199,880.14$(58,467.93)$327,181
October Quarterly[21]October 13, 2013$268,892.96$107,469.00$(172,111.98)$262,538
Year-end[22]January 31, 2014$262,538$165,781$(50,081)$378,237
April Quarterly[23]April 15, 2014$378,237$169,091$(78,538)$468,790
July Quarterly[24]July 15, 2014$468,790$227,008$(135,788)$560,010
Pre-Primary[25]August 12, 2014$560,010$38,745$(149,340)$449,415
October Quarterly[26]October 15, 2014$449,415$194,211$(104,853)$538,773
Running totals
$1,177,908.66$(852,520.36)

Alan Cohn

Alan Cohn (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[27]October 17, 2013$0.00$14,902$(8,061)$6,840
Year End[28]January 31, 2014$6,840$60,456$(25,790)$41,506
April Quarterly[29]April 15, 2014$41,506$84,607$(55,812)$70,300
July Quarterly[30]July 15, 2014$70,300$79,497$(73,534)$76,263
Pre-Primary[31]August 14, 2014$76,263$50,008$(62,401)$63,871
October Quarterly[32]October 15, 2014$63,871$87,614$(53,554)$97,931
Running totals
$377,084$(279,152)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Dennis A. Ross (R) won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Bill Posey won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Shannon Roberts (D) in the general election.[33]

U.S. House, Florida District 15 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Posey incumbent 64.7% 157,079
     Democratic Shannon Roberts 35.3% 85,595
Total Votes 242,674

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed August 5, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 5, 2014
  3. Fairvote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed August 5, 2014
  4. Tampa Bay.com, "Former TV reporter to run against U.S. Rep. Dennis Ross," accessed August 28, 2013
  5. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  6. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  7. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  8. Florida Division of Elections Website, "Register to Vote," accessed January 3, 2014
  9. Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed July 5, 2012
  10. Tampa Bay.com, "Former TV reporter to run against U.S. Rep. Dennis Ross," accessed August 28, 2013
  11. U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
  12. Yahoo News, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," accessed July 30, 2014
  13. Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
  14. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  15. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  16. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  17. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  18. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" July 22, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 22, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2013
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 10, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Dennis Ross July Quarterly," accessed September 30, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Dennis Ross Pre-Primary," accessed September 30, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Dennis Ross October Quarterly," accessed October 20, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 24, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Alan Cohn July Quarterly," accessed September 30, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Alan Cohn Pre-Primary," accessed September 30, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Alan Cohn October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
  33. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013