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Florida's 7th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 7th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
John L. Mica Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
John L. Mica Republican Party
John L. Mica.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 7th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 7th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

John Mica was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was John L. Mica (R), who was first elected in 1992.

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 7th Congressional District is located in eastern Florida and includes parts of Seminole, Orange, and Volusia counties.[3]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Jason Kendall
Republican Party John L. MicaGreen check mark transparent.png
Independent Fred Marra


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent No Party Affiliation

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, Florida District 7 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn L. Mica Incumbent 58.7% 185,518
     Democratic Jason Kendall 41.3% 130,479
     Independent Fred Marra 0% 13
Total Votes 316,010
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

The primary took place on August 14.[7]

Democratic Primary

Florida's 7th Congressional District Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJason Kendall 61.3% 12,816
Nicholas Ruiz III 38.7% 8,088
Total Votes 20,904

Republican Primary

Florida's 7th Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Mica 61.2% 32,119
Sandra Adams 38.8% 20,404
Total Votes 52,523

Race background

Endorsements

On July 25, 2012 incumbent John L. Mica received an endorsement from Mike Huckabee.[8] The endorsement comes after Mica's opponent, 24th District incumbent, Sandy Adams received endorsements from Sarah Palin[8] and Allen West.[9]

Race rating

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 7th District is a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 7th as a solidly Republican district.[10]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

Sandy Adams and John Mica were both drawn into this district. Mica’s previous district made up 72 percent of the redrawn 6th District. Adams represented just more than half of the 7th District.[11]

The winner of the Republican primary between incumbents Mica and Adams was heavily favored to win in the general election in November.[11]

Prior to redistricting the 7th District consisted of the suburban area between Orlando and Daytona Beach and included St. Augustine, the first settlement in the United States. The district included all of Flagler and St. Johns counties, a very small portion of eastern Putnam County, parts of Volusia County including the central area of (DeLand, Deltona) and the northeastern coastal areas of (Ormond Beach and Daytona Beach), much of western Seminole County, and a small, predominantly suburban portion of Orange County.

The 7th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[12][13]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 7th District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[14]

  • 2012: 46D / 54R
  • 2010: 43D / 57R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 7th Congressional District has a PVI of R+5, which is the 184th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 50-50 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 57-43 percent over John Kerry (D).[15]

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Mica won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Heather Beaven (D) in the general election.[16]

U.S. House, Florida District 7 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn L. Mica Incumbent 69% 185,470
     Democratic Heather Beaven 31% 83,206
Total Votes 268,676

See also

External links

References