Florida's 8th congressional district elections, 2012
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| November 6, 2012 |
| August 14, 2012 |
Bill Posey  |
Daniel Webster |
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Bill Posey was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place .[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Daniel Webster (R), who was first elected in 2010. Webster will run in the 10th District in 2012.[3]
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 8th congressional district is located in eastern Florida and includes Brevard, Orange, and Indiana River counties.[4]
Candidates
Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.
General election candidates
August 14, 2012 primary results
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Election Results
| U.S. House, Florida District 8 General Election, 2012 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 37.5% | 130,870 | |
| Republican |  Bill Posey Incumbent |
58.9% | 205,432 | |
| Independent | Richard Gillmor | 3.6% | 12,607 | |
| Total Votes | 348,909 | |||
| Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Race background
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 8th district is a solidly Republican district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 8th as a solidly Republican district.[7]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
According to Roll Call's Race Ratings Posey should easily win another term in his central coastal district, which was shored up in the redraw.[8]
Prior to redistricting the 8th district took in parts of Orange County, Lake County, Marion County and Osceola County. Most of Orlando was included in the district.
The 8th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]
- 79 percent from the 15th congressional district
- 21 percent from the 24th congressional district
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 8th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]
- 2012: 41D / 59R
- 2010: 45D / 55R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 8th congressional district has a PVI of R+8, which is the 133rd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 56-44 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 59-41 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]
District history
2010
On November 2, 2010, Daniel Webster won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Alan Grayson (D, Pag Dunmire (I), Georgia L. Metcalfe (I), Steven J. Gerritzen (I) in the general election.[13]
| U.S. House of Representatives, Florida's 8th Congressional District, General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Daniel Webster |
56.1% | 123,586 | |
| Democratic | Alan Grayson | 38.2% | 84,167 | |
| Tea Party | Peg Dunmire | 3.8% | 8,337 | |
| Independent | George L. Metcalfe | 1.9% | 4,143 | |
| Independent | Steven J. Gerritzen | 0% | 11 | |
| Total Votes | 220,244 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
- Bill Posey's campaign website
- Shannon Roberts' Campaign Website
- Richard Gillmor's Campaign website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
References
- ↑ ABC News "2012 General Election Results"
- ↑ Florida Department of State "Register to Vote," Accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ [http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/breaking-down-the-florida-gops-redistricting-map/2012/01/26/gIQAdCFYTQ_blog.html Washington Post "Breaking down the Florida GOP’s redistricting map" Accessed February 13, 2012.
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Florida Secretary of State Elections Division "Candidate List" Accessed March 28, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call "Race Ratings: Florida Offers Democrats Chances at Pickups" Accessed February 28, 2012
- ↑ Center for Politics "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call "Race Ratings: Florida Offers Democrats Chances at Pickups" Accessed February 28, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
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