Florida's 8th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Bill Posey Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Daniel Webster Republican Party
Daniel Webster (Florida).jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 8th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 8th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Bill Posey was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Daniel Webster (R), who was first elected in 2010. Webster will run in the 10th District in 2012.[3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 8th Congressional District is located in eastern Florida and includes Brevard, Orange, and Indiana River counties.[4]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Shannon Roberts
Republican Party Bill PoseyGreen check mark transparent.png
Independent Richard Gillmor


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent No Party Affiliation

Election results

U.S. House, Florida District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Posey Incumbent 58.9% 205,432
     Democratic Shannon Roberts 37.5% 130,870
     Independent Richard Gillmor 3.6% 12,607
Total Votes 348,909
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 8th District is a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 8th as a solidly Republican district.[7]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

According to Roll Call's Race Ratings Posey should easily win another term in his central coastal district, which was shored up in the redraw.[8]

Prior to redistricting the 8th District took in parts of Orange County, Lake County, Marion County and Osceola County. Most of Orlando was included in the district.

The 8th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 8th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 41D / 59R
  • 2010: 45D / 55R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 8th Congressional District has a PVI of R+8, which is the 133rd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 56-44 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 59-41 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Daniel Webster won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Alan Grayson (D, Pag Dunmire (I), Georgia L. Metcalfe (I), Steven J. Gerritzen (I) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Florida District 8 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDaniel Webster 56.1% 123,586
     Democratic Alan Grayson 38.2% 84,167
     Tea Party Peg Dunmire 3.8% 8,337
     Independent George L. Metcalfe 1.9% 4,143
     Independent Steven J. Gerritzen 0% 11
Total Votes 220,244

See also

External links

References