Florida Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

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Florida Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Rick Scott Republican Party
Rick Scott.jpg

Florida State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Agriculture Commissioner

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The Florida gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Governor Rick Scott (R) is eligible to run for re-election and began making plans for his campaign as early as May of 2012.[1] The office of lieutenant governor is currently vacant following the resignation of Scott's 2010 running-mate, Jennifer Carroll.

Florida is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[2][3][4]


Gubernatorial Candidates

Democratic Primary Candidates

Republican Primary Candidates

Third Party and Write-in candidates


Lieutenant Gubernatorial Candidates


Race background

Republican incumbent Rick Scott is seeking a second term as governor in 2014.

Sources such as Governing, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Washington Post and Daily Kos have consistently rated Scott among the top five most vulnerable gubernatorial incumbents facing re-election in 2014.[12][13][14][15]

In June 2013, ex-Florida Sen. Nan Rich became the first Democrat in the race, and has since been joined by a slew of other lesser-known hopefuls, mostly from third parties; There are currently over twenty active candidates gunning for Scott's job.[16] Among them is former governor and newly minted Democrat Charlie Crist, whose candidacy looms most ominously over Scott's re-election pursuit. [17][18][19]

Long affiliated with the Republican Party, Crist's first party switch occurred in 2010, when, after losing the Republican primary for U.S. Senate to Marco Rubio, he became an Independent as a way to preserve his candidacy into the general election. Crist's latest party makeover in the fall of 2013 was widely interpreted as a strategic maneuver aimed at helping him unseat Scott in 2014.[20]


Crist vs. Scott

Crist vs. Scott (June 2014 - present)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce)
June 11, 2014
38%41%21%+/-3.5806
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
June 20-23, 2014
41%42%8%+/-3.5541
Gravis Marketing
June 20-23, 2014
39%41%15%+/-3.01,232
Survey USA/WFLA-TV
June 30-7/2
43%45%5%+/-3.4558
AVERAGES 40.25% 42.25% 12.25% +/-3.35 784.25
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Crist vs. Scott (January 2014 - June 2014)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Florida Poll
January 27-February 1, 2014
47%40%13%+/-31,006
University of North Florida
March 6-16, 2014
34%33%17%+/-4.35507
Sunshine State News/VSS
March 31-April 3, 2014
44%45%10%+/-3.46800
SurveyUSA Poll
April 10-24, 2014
46%41%6%+/-4.5502
Mason Dixon Poll
April 15-22, 2014
42%42%12%+/-3.8700
Rasmussen Reports Poll
April 21-22, 2014
45%39%10%+/-4750
Quinnipiac University
April 23-28, 2014
48%38%12%+/-2.61,413
News Channel 8/Survey USA Poll
April 30, 2014
44%41%8%+/-4.3-
Gravis Marketing
April 23-25, 2014
43%44%9%+/-3.0907
McLaughlin (R-American Future Fund)
May 4-6, 2014
38%42%20%+/-3.4800
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
May 9-12, 2014
44%41%8%+/-4.2554
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
May 20-22, 2014
40%42%8%+/-4.3531
Saint Leo University
May 28-June 4, 2014
41%43%16%+/-3.5420
Public Policy Poll
June 4-9, 2014
42%42%16%+/-3.3672
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
June 5-10, 2014
44%40%8%+/-3.4556
AVERAGES 42.8% 40.87% 11.53% +/-3.67 553.6
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Crist vs. Scott (May 2012 - January 2014)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)Don't Know/RefusedOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Florida Opinion Research
May 23–25, 2012
48.1%34.1%12.8%5.0%+/-3.46802
Quinnipiac University Poll
June 11-16, 2013
47%37%12%4%+/-2.91,176
Public Policy Poll
September 27-29, 2013
50%38%12%0%+/-4.1579
University of Florida Poll
September 30-October 8, 2013
44%40%14%2%+/-4.27526
Cherry Communication/Florida Chamber of Commerce Poll
October 4-8, 2013
46%41%13%0%+/-4.0618
Quinnipiac University Poll
November 12-17, 2013
47%40%14%8%+/-2.41,464
Saint Leo Polling Institute Poll of Likely voters
December 1-8, 2013
46%34%20%0%+/-5.0318
Fabrizio McLaughlin & Associates Poll (Internal, leaked)
November 24-26, 2013
49%45%6%0%+/-3.11,000
Public Policy Poll
January 16-21, 2014
43%41%15%0%+/-6.3591
Quinnipiac University Poll
January 22-27, 2014
50%34%12%4%+/-2.51,565
AVERAGES 47.01% 38.41% 13.08% 2.3% +/-3.8 863.9
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Rich vs. Scott

Governor of Florida Hypothetical Match-Up Poll
Poll Nan Rich (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 11-16, 2013)
36%42%18%+/-2.91,176
Public Policy Poll
(September 27-29, 2013)
36%37%27%+/-4.1579
University of Florida Poll
(September 30-October 8, 2013)
28%43%27%+/-4.27526
Cherry Communication/Florida Chamber of Commerce Poll
(October 4-8, 2013)
29%40%31%+/-4.0618
Quinnipiac University Poll
(November 12-17, 2013)
35%43%14%+/-2.41,646
Public Policy Poll
(January 16-21, 2014)
34%40%25%+/-6.3591
Quinnipiac University
(January 22-27, 2014)
37%41%19%+/-2.51,565
University of Florida
(January 27-February 1, 2014)
36%41%0%+/-3.01,006
Saint Leo University
(March 16-19, 2014)
32%40%28%+/-3.5401
Quinnipiac University
(April 23-28, 2014)
36%42%15%+/-2.61,413
AVERAGES 33.9% 40.9% 20.4% +/-3.56 952.1
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Campaign media

Rick Scott

English-language campaign ads


Navy - Posted to YouTube 4/16/14

Ran Away - Posted to YouTube 4/24/14

Grandpa - Posted to YouTube 5/16/14

Spanish-language campaign ads


Oportunidad, Scott's 1st Spanish-language campaign ad - Posted to YouTube 4/21/14

Nos Abandonó, Spanish-language version of Ran Away- Posted to YouTube 5/6/14

Charlie Crist


Sunshine, Crist's first 1st TV ad-spot of campaign - Posted to YouTube 7/6/14

Florida Democratic Party


Answers - Florida Democratic Party ad reprising 2010 campaign attacks against Rick Scott over his alleged Medicaid fraud - Posted to YouTube 6/18/14

See also

External links

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References

  1. News-Press.com, "Florida parties already prepping for 2014 gubernatorial race," May 20, 2012
  2. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  5. Miami Herald, "State Sen. Nan Rich will run for governor in 2014," April 16, 2012
  6. Bay News, "A year away, Gov. Scott, Dems prep for next governor's race," July 16, 2012
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election," June 20, 2014
  8. Elizabeth Cuevas-Neunder on Facebook, "Timeline," accessed October 2, 2013
  9. Farid Khavari for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed November 4, 2013
  10. Independent Political Report, "Adrian Wyllie Announces Run for Florida Governor as LP candidate: One of the First to Do So," February 7, 2013, accessed June 26, 2013
  11. Politifact.com, "Alexander Snitker's file," accessed February 22, 2013
  12. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
  13. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top gubernatorial races," September 27, 2013
  14. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14," October 6, 2013
  15. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 12, 2012
  16. Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election - Governor," accessed October 7, 2013
  17. The Sun Sentinel, "Charlie Christ Announces Candidacy For Florida's Governor, As A Democrat," November 4, 2013
  18. Politico, "Ex-GOP Fla. Gov. Charlie Crist to run for job as Democrat," November 1, 2013
  19. The Daily Caller, "Charlie Crist briefly visits with Democratic Governors Association," January 9, 2013
  20. The Hill, "Charlie Crist joins Democratic party ahead of gubernatorial election," December 8, 2012