Iowa Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

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Iowa Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbents prior to election:
Terry E. Branstad Republican Party
Kim ReynoldsRepublican Party
Terry Branstad
Kim Reynolds
Iowa State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor/Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor, Agriculture Commissioner

Battleground Races
Iowa House of Representatives
Iowa State Senate

Possible trifecta for Republicans
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State executive offices in Iowa
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The Iowa Gubernatorial and Lieutenant election will take place on November 4, 2014, following a primary on June 3.

Iowa Governor Terry E. Branstad (R) and Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds (R) are seeking re-election in 2014 and will run a single ticket in the general election. The winners of the election will serve 4-year concurrent terms in office.

The gubernatorial race is not the only race on the November ballot that could shift the balance of power in Iowa. The Iowa House of Representatives and Iowa State Senate have been identified by Ballotpedia as two of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Both chambers and the governor's office could be held by a single party, which would turn Iowa into a state government trifecta. Learn more about the state's most competitive legislative races on the battleground chambers page.

Iowa is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. The primary is closed, but voters are allowed to change their political party affiliation on election day.[1]

Candidates

Running mates listed together in order of "Governor/Lieutenant Governor"

General election

Lost in Primary


Primary Election Results

Governor of Iowa, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTerry Branstad Incumbent 83% 129,712
Tom Hoefling 16.8% 26,284
Write-in 0.2% 279
Total Votes 156,275
Election Results Via:Iowa Secretary of State.


Race background

Republican incumbent Terry Branstad is running for re-election to a sixth non-consecutive term as governor in 2014. Branstad first held the governorship from 1983 to 1999, and then reemerged after years in political retirement to win back the office in the 2010 gubernatorial election. In January 2011, one week into his comeback term, Branstad became both Iowa's and the nation's longest serving governor.[12] Current Iowa Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds (R), who was Branstand's running mate in 2010, is also seeking re-election and will share the ticket with Branstad for the second time this November.[13]

Despite a troubling couple of months leading up to the June 2 primary, Branstad managed an easy victory over GOP challenger Tom Hoefling to secure the party's re-nomination.

Branstad and Hatch will appear on the November general election ballot along with third party candidates Lee Hieb (Libertarian), Jim Hennager (New Independent Party) and Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party) and their respective running mates.[14][15]

Polls, approval ratings

Before Branstad formally launched his campaign, polls showed him in excellent standing for winning re-election, with an average lead of 20 percentage points in hypothetical general election match-ups.[16] Branstad had looked considerably less secure around the time ex-Democratic challenger Tyler Olson entered the race back in July 2013, with only 43 percent of polled voters saying they believed the governor deserved to be re-elected and 54 percent answering that he has held office long enough, even though 51 percent approved of his performance. December's numbers from Quinnipiac University gave him a boost of eight percentage points in both approval and "deserves to be re-elected" categories.[17][18] As of mid-March, polled continued to show Branstad sitting comfortably at 63 percent job approval and Hatch trailing behind by 15 points.[19]

By spring, a string of scandals inside the Branstad administration had caused a steep downturn in the incumbent's job approval and trust rating among Iowa voters. In a short space of time, Branstad was accused of using his office to commit or facilitate a variety of crimes and improprieties, such as: the wrongful firing of a state trooper who nabbed the governor for speeding, crooked dealings with a state judge, abuse in an Iowa juvenile home and giving hush-payments to fired state employees claiming to victims of political revenge. Amid the resulting storm of bad press directed at Branstad and his office, the governor maintained a policy of denying knowledge or involvement in these alleged transgressions. According to an April 22 Public Policy Poll for Progress Iowa, 83 percent of Iowa voters said they were either somewhat or very aware of the scandals and 56 percent indicated they were unconvinced by Branstad's official line of denial.[20] In addition, 30 percent of respondents said they thought Branstad should resign, while the rest were split almost evenly between believing he should stay and "Not sure." As of April, besides shedding voters' doubt on Branstad's honesty and integrity, the allegations cost the jobs of numerous state department leaders and prompted state lawmakers to call for an independent investigation.[20][21] Branstad closed out the month leading Hatch 45-43, his smallest-ever edge, according to a poll conducted on behalf of the conservative-leaning Daily Caller.[22]

Candidate withdrawals

Democratic State Rep. Tyler Olson declared his candidacy for governor in July 2013 and was considered a strong contender for the party's nomination before withdrawing from the race in December.[23] He decided to drop out following the announcement of his separation from wife Sarah Olson, who had been an instrumental part of his family-oriented campaign.[24][25] Olson's withdrawal was followed soon thereafter by former state Sen. Bob Krause's announcement he was shutting down his campaign. Their absences cleared the path for remaining Democratic hopeful Jack Hatch to face Branstad in the general election. Krause immediately gave Hatch his support, while Olson noticeably declined to endorse Hatch upon dropping out of the race.[23][26]


Polls

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%33%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
52%29%19%+/-3.8650
Quinnipiac University Poll
(March 5-10, 2014)
46%35%15%+/-2.61,411
Suffolk
(April 3-8, 2014)
42%32%24%+/-3.5800
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa*
(April 19-20, 2014)
43%38%19%+/-3.8677
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa Continued*
(April 19-20, 2014)
41%40%19%+/-3.8677
Vox Populi/Daily Caller Poll
(April 22-24, 2014)
45%43%12%+/-4.0600
Hickman Analytics Poll
(April 24-30, 2014)
50%40%10%+/-4.4500
Global Strategy Group
(May 13-15, 2014)
47%40%13%+/-4.0602
Public Policy Poll
(May 15-19, 2014)
48%40%12%+/-3.3914
Vox Populi Polling
(June 4-5, 2014)
51%40%9%+/-3.8667
Rasmussen
(June 4-5, 2014)
49%40%8%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 12-16, 2014)
47%38%14%+/-2.71,277
NBC News/Marist Poll
(July 16, 2014)
53%38%10%+/-2.51,599
Loras College Poll
(September 2-5, 2014)
55.5%33.5%11%+/-2.821,200
AVERAGES 47.9% 37.3% 14.2% +/-3.43 929.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

*The April 19-20 Progress Iowa poll is displayed above as two separate polls to delineate responses registered before and after respondents were provided information on recent scandals effecting the administration of Gov. Branstad.

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Krause
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Bob Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%31%19%+/-2.41,617
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Olson
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Tyler Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
50%32%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
51%28%21%+/-3.8650
AVERAGES 50.5% 30% 19.5% +/-3.1 1,133.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

See also

External links

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References

  1. Iowa Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQ," accessed January 3, 2014
  2. Branstad and Reynolds 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed November 7, 2013
  3. Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office 2014 General Election," accessed July 24, 2014
  4. Jack Hatch for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 17, 2013
  5. The Daily Iowan, "Iowa senator announces campaign for governor," September 17, 2013
  6. SunHerald.com, "Democratic state senator launches run for governor," September 16, 2013
  7. Dr. Lee Hieb for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 17, 2014
  8. Official website of the Libertarian Party, "Libertarian Party Candidates 2014," accessed July 25, 2014
  9. Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office 2014 General Election," accessed August 6, 2014
  10. Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office November 4, 2014 General Election," accessed August 21, 2014
  11. Tom Hoefling for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 5, 2013
  12. Smart Politics, "The Top 50 Longest-Serving Governors of All Time," April 10, 2013
  13. The DesMoines Register, "It’s official: Terry Branstad will run for sixth term as Iowa governor," January 15, 2014
  14. Lee Hieb for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 17, 2014
  15. Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office 2014 General Election," accessed August 6, 2014
  16. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  17. Quinnipiac University, Iowa Voters Like Gov. Branstad, But Say It's Time To Go, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Possible 2014 Challengers Are Largely Unknown, July 19, 2013
  18. Quinnipiac University Poll, "December 17, 2013 - Iowa Gov's Approval, Re-election Prospects Improve, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Tops Clinton By 5 Points In 2016 Race," December 17, 2013
  19. Des Moines Register, "Iowa Poll: Support for Branstad up; Hatch sees little progress," March 8, 2014
  20. 20.0 20.1 Progress Iowa, "NEW POLL: Branstad Approval Rating Plummets After Scandals," April 22, 2014
  21. The Des Moines Register, "Branstad fires state director over secret settlement scandal," April 8, 2014
  22. Daily Caller, "Iowa Governor Poll," April 22-24, 2014
  23. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named withdrew
  24. Tyler Olson for Governor 2014, "Homepage," accessed July 11, 2013
  25. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  26. The Des Moines-Register, "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch," January 2, 2013