Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 22, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
John Yarmuth Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
John Yarmuth Democratic Party
John Yarmuth.jpg

Kentucky U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Kentucky.png
The 3rd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 3rd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

John Yarmuth was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 7, 2012
May 22, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Kentucky has a closed primary system, meaning the selection of a party's candidates in a primary election is limited to registered members of that party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 23. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[2]

See also: Kentucky elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was John Yarmuth (D), who was first elected in 2006.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District encompasses nearly the whole city of Louisville, which, since the merger of 2003, is contiguous with Jefferson County.[3]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party John Yarmuth Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Brooks Wicker
Independent Robert DeVore Jr.


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Third Party Primary

Election results

U.S. House, Kentucky District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Yarmuth Incumbent 64% 206,385
     Republican Brooks Wicker 34.5% 111,452
     Independent Robert DeVore Jr. 1.5% 4,819
Total Votes 322,656
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"
U.S. House, Kentucky District 3 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Yarmuth Incumbent 86.7% 43,635
Burrel Charles Farnsley 13.3% 6,716
Total Votes 50,351

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky

The 3rd District was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting.[9]

It will now cover all but the eastern precincts of the previous district, as these will be moved to the 4th District.[9] The southern portion of Jefferson County used to be in the 2nd District, but will now be included in the 3rd.[9]

Registration statistics

As of October 24, 2012, District 3 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Kentucky State Board of Elections:

Kentucky Congressional District 3[10]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 3 499,671 295,278 160,353 44,040 Democratic 84,14% 2.51%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.


District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Kentucky's 3rd District saw no change in partisanship due to redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 53D / 47R
  • 2010: 53D / 47R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District has a PVI of D+3, which is the 166th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 57-43 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 51-49 percent over George W. Bush (R).[12]

Campaign donors

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are John Yarmuth and Brooks Wicker's reports.

John Yarmuth (2012)[13] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[14]April 15, 2012$412,520.90$81,037.45$(61,079.52)$432,478.83
July Quarterly[15]July 15, 2012$396,718.55$184,220.27$(49,396.24)$531,542.58
Running totals
$265,257.72$(110,475.76)
Brooks Wicker (2012)[16] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[17]April 12, 2012$214.87$3,213.74$(2,794.78)$633.83
July Quarterly[18]July 13, 2012$633.83$2,609.20$(1,058.83)$2,184.20
Running totals
$5,822.94$(3,853.61)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

On November 2, 2010, John Yarmuth won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Todd Lally (R), Edward A. Martin (L) and Michael D. Hansen (I) in the general election.[19]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Yarmuth 54.7% 139,940
     Republican Todd Lally 44% 112,627
     Libertarian Edward A. Martin 0.8% 2,029
     Independent Michael D. Hansen 0.5% 1,334
Total Votes 255,930

See also

External links

References

  1. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Kentucky State Board of Elections, "Voter Information Guide," accessed June 29, 2012
  3. Kentucky Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 24, 2012
  4. cn|2 "U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth to run for fourth term in 2012" accessed December 19, 2011
  5. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  6. Kentucky Secretary of State "Candidate List" accessed February 7, 2012
  7. cn|2 "Republican Brooks Wicker to run for Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District" accessed December 18, 2011
  8. Kentucky Secretary of State "2012 Candidate List"
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 Channel 2 Pure Politics, "Analysis: New congressional map only slightly moves the political needle in the 6 districts" accessed February 29, 2012
  10. Kentucky State Board of Elections, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," June 11, 2012
  11. , "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Kentucky," September 2012
  12. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  13. Federal Election Commission, "John Yarmuth Summary Report," accessed October 1, 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed October 1, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed October 1, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Brooks Wicker Summary Report," accessed October 1, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed October 1, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed October 1, 2012
  19. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013 accessed November 12, 2011