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Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2011

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Main article: State executive official elections, 2011

The Kentucky gubernatorial election of 2011 was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2011 following a primary election on May 17, 2011.[1] Polling hours on all election days are from 6:00 am to 6:00 pm, local time.

The state's current Governor, Steve L. Beshear (D) first won election in 2007 and won re-election again in 2011. His current Lieutenant Governor, Daniel Mongiardo, ran for and lost the Democratic primary for the Class III U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican Rand Paul. Beshear's running mate for 2011 is Jerry Abramson, a former Louisville mayor.

Beshear and Abramson defeated both the Republican team of state Senate President David Williams and outgoing Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer and an independent candidate, trial attorney Gatewood Galbraith, and his running mate, Dea Riley.

Kentucky elects the governor and the lieutenant governor on a shared ticket; the two offices have a single primary race.

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2011
State Executive Official Elections

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Kentucky
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Louisiana
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NewsCalendar
Contents
1 Key dates
2 Race background
3 Race tracking

Key dates

  • Detailed dates and deadlines relevant to the election are listed at the Kentucky State Board of Elections and may change as the state legislature has the power to amend the schedule.[2]
  • Voters may check their registration status, register for the first time, or request an absentee ballot at the Kentucky State Board of Election's Voter Registration Portal.
  • Certified results for elections are legally due no later than June 6, 2011 for the primary and November 28, 2011 for general election results. These are the latest dates for the state canvassers to meet and full certified results may not be publicly available until several days later.
  • Administrative deadlines are at close of business (4:00) unless otherwise noted.
Deadline Event
Jan. 25 Declaration of candidacy for primary
Apr. 18 Voter registration for primary
Apr. 29 - May 16 Absentee ballot request, in person
'May 10 Absentee ballot request, by mail
May 17 Emergency absentee ballot request for primary
May 17 Primary election
May 27 Last day to request a recount and to challenge primary results
June 6 Certification of primary results
August 9 Declaration of candidacy for general election
Oct 11 Voter registration for general election
Oct 21 - Nov 7 Absentee ballot request for general election, in person
Oct 28 Write-in candidate announcement for general election
Nov 1 Absentee ballot request for general election, by mail
Nov 8 Emergency absentee ballot request for general election
Nov 8 General election
Nov 15 Last day to challenge general election results
Nov 18 Last day to request a general election recount
Nov 28 Certification of general election results

Race background

Steve Beshear has previously served in Kentucky's House of Representatives, as the Commonwealth's Attorney General, and then as the Lieutenant General, all prior to being elected to his first term as Governor. Well known throughout the state, he secured his first term with a 17-point plurality, ousting Republican incumbent Ernie Fletcher.

In office, he has been a relatively unpopular governor; despite coming in closer to the top when compared with his peers in other states, this is in a political landscape where only a handful of governors can claim to have approval ratings that crack 50%.[3] He has seen his numbers rise since the beginning of his term, with approval ratings taken in conjunction with preliminary polls on the 2011 gubernatorial election giving him favorable ratings in the high-40's.

His only announced primary contender was Otis Hensley, Jr., something of a perennial candidate. In the 2007 Democratic primary for the governorship he took 1.09%, compared to 41.02% for Beshear. By the time the deadline for candidates to fle passed, Hensley's name was not on any official lists of gubernatorial hopefuls.

Across the aisle, the State Senate President, David L. Williams and businessman Phillip Moffet have declared their candidacies. Beshear is beating each by double digit margins in hypothetical matchups, with larger edges over Moffet. Undecided voters are also higher when voters are asked to make a theoretical choice between Beshear and Moffet then when Williams is the named GOP candidate. At this point, with nine months before the polls open, this reflects Moffet's lower name recognition and a voting base still reeling from the blast of information in the 2010 midterms.

Beshear will make his re-election run with a new running mate. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Daniel Mongiardo chose to pursue a U.S. Senate seat, making him unavailable when Beshear announced he would run again in July of 2009. In Mongiardo's place, Jerry Abramson, Lousiville's Mayor, joined the ticket.

Among GOP hopefuls, Representative Mike Harmon has signed on with Moffet and Williams' campaign has State Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer. Farmer's stint as a Kentucky Wildcat player may boost his appeal and name recognition on the campaign trail.

Finishing out declared candidates is Independent Gatewood Galbraith, a perennial candidate making his fifth gubernatorial run. He has sought numerous other offices and has previously been a registered Democrat and a Reform Party candidate. His performance in previous elections shows he might play the spoiler in a close race if the 2011 campaign goes well for him.

Race tracking

See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
2011 Race Rankings for Governor of Kentucky
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report Leans Democratic
Governing Politics Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Democratic
The Rothenberg Political Report Toss-up/Tilting Democrat
Overall Call Leans Democratic

Contents
1 Results
2 Polls

Results

Governor and Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 2011
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Beshear and Jerry E. Abramson 55.7% 464,245
     Republican David Williams and Richie Farmer 35.3% 294,034
     Independent Gatewood Galbraith and Dea Riley 9% 74,860
Total Votes 833,139


Polls

On February 28 and March 1, 2010, Braun Research conducted a telephone survey of 804 Kentucky voters who are likely to vote in 2011. Respondents were asked "if the election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, and your choices were the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Herry Abramson or the Republican ticket of David Williams and Richie Farmer, who would you vote for?"

Date of Poll Pollster Beshear (D) Williams (R) Don't Know Number polled
Feb 28 - Mar 1, 2010 Braun Research, Inc 48.4% 37.6% 12.6% 804

Eight months later, Mason-Dixon Polling conducted a similar survey, and though the Beshear/Abramson ticket lost a little bit of ground, they maintained a 15 point advantage over Williams/Farmer. In a later poll, conducted in June 2011, the incumbent and his running mate gained 6 points, with 7% of the polled voters gaining clarifying their position in the eight months between polls.

Date of Poll Pollster Beshear (D) Williams (R) Galbraith (I) Don't Know Number polled
Oct 18 - 19, 2010 Mason-Dixon Polling 45% 30% 5% 20% 625
June 6 - 8, 2011 Braun Research, Inc 51% 29.6% 5.6% 13.8% 802
August 25 - 28, 2011 Public Policy Polling 55% 28% 10% 8% 600

Contents
1 Results
2 Candidates
3 Polls

Results

In the event that no candidate received more than 40% of the vote in her party's primary, a runoff would have been scheduled. Turnout was scant, perhaps even lighter than predicted, but in the Republican field, the only real primary, David Williams finished with an eight point cushion to avoid that runoff.


Gubernatorial Republican Primary election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Republican Party ApprovedaDavid Williams 48.22%
     Republican Party Phil Moffett 37.98%
     Republican Party Barbara Holsclaw 13.80%
Total Votes 142,108


Gubernatorial Democratic Primary election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party ApprovedaSteve Beshear (uncontested)
     Democratic Party Otis Hensley, Jr. (left race)
Total Votes


Candidates

Democratic

  • Steve Beshear, the current Governor, running with Jerry E. Abramson, the former Mayor of Louisville.
  • Otis "Bull Man" Hensley, Jr., a contractor for the state highway department, was running with Richard Robbins, his co-candidate in prior races. Hensley's name did not appear on the list of final candidates released on January 26, 2011, and he has presumably left the race.

Republican

Independent


Polls

Republican

Date of Poll Pollster Holsclaw/Vermillion Moffett/Harmon Williams/Farmer Don't Know/Other Number polled
April 8 - 13 Survey USA 12% 21% 47% 21% 507

The Kentucky Registry of Election Finance administers laws regulating election financing and reporting. It is also the repository for all reports that candidates and committees are required to file.


Due dates for reports

Due dates for the 2011 primary season are as follows:

32-day pre- Primary Report, due April 15, 2011

15-day pre- Primary Report, due May 2, 2011

30-day post- Primary Report, due June 16, 2011

60-day post- Primary Report, due July 16, 2011

Due dates for the general season are as follows:

32-day pre- General Report, due October 7, 2011

15-day pre- General Report, due October 24, 2011

30-day post- General Report, due December 8, 2011

60-day post- General Report, due January 7, 2012

  • Contributions include all fundraising and donations, loans, money rolled over from previous accounts, and all other income to the campaign.
  • Reports are listed by the day the candidate filed, which may or may not be the due date.
  • Amended reports are only put on a separate line if the amendment showed a changes in the total amounts; otherwise, there is simply a note to indicate that an amendment was filed.

Nominees

Beshear & Abramson

Steve Beshear and Jerry Abramson Campaign Finance Reports[5]
Report Date Filed Beginning Balance Total Contributions (Expenditures) Cash on Hand
30 Day Post-Primary June 16, 2011 $3,239,082.90 $134,605.50 $(2,887,718.53) $485,969.87
15 Day Pre-Primary May 2, 2011 $3,322,565.04 $200,627.84 $(284,109.98) $3,239,082.90
32 Day Pre-Primary April 15, 2011 $2,640,682.94 $1,146,120.20 $(464,242.10) $3,322,565.04

Williams & Farmer

David Williams and Richie Farmer Campaign Finance Reports[6]
Report Date Filed Beginning Balance Total Contributions (Expenditures) Cash on Hand
30 Day Post-Primary June 16, 2011 $206,511.277 $92,787.00 $(209,935.02) $89,363.25
15 Day Pre-Primary May 6, 2011 $669,839.23 $76,934.00 $(540,261.96) $206,511.27
32 Day Pre-Primary April 15, 2011, amended May 16, 2011 $641,658.57 $446,943.01 $(418,762.35) $669,839.23

Former candidates

Holsclaw & Vermillion

Moffett & Harmon

See also

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Suggest a link

External links

Campaign sites

Democrats

Republicans

Third parties

References