2013 Convention Preview: Virginia's GOP delegates to choose nominees for lt. gov and AG this weekend!
Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2011
- Main article: State executive official elections, 2011
The Kentucky gubernatorial election of 2011 was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2011 following a primary election on May 17, 2011. [1] Polling hours on all election days are from 6:00 am to 6:00 pm, local time.
The state's current Governor, Steve L. Beshear (D) first won election in 2007 and won re-election again in 2011. His current Lieutenant Governor, Daniel Mongiardo, ran for and lost the Democratic primary for the Class III U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican Rand Paul. Beshear's running mate for 2011 is Jerry Abramson, a former Louisville mayor.
Beshear and Abramson defeated both the Republican team of state Senate President David Williams and outgoing Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer and an independent candidate, trial attorney Gatewood Galbraith, and his running mate, Dea Riley.
Kentucky elects the governor and the lieutenant governor on a shared ticket; the two offices have a single primary race.
| 2011 State Executive Official Elections |
| Kentucky Gov./Lt. Gov. • SoS • AG Down Ballot Offices Louisiana Gov. • Lt. Gov • SoS • AG Down Ballot Offices Mississippi Gov. • Lt. Gov • SoS • AG Down Ballot Offices West Virginia Gov. |
| News • Calendar |
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Key dates |
| 2 Race background |
| 3 Race tracking |
Key dates
- Detailed dates and deadlines relevant to the election are listed at the Kentucky State Board of Elections and may change as the state legislature has the power to amend the schedule.[2]
- Voters may check their registration status, register for the first time, or request an absentee ballot at the Kentucky State Board of Election's Voter Registration Portal.
- Certified results for elections are legally due no later than June 6, 2011 for the primary and November 28, 2011 for general election results. These are the latest dates for the state canvassers to meet and full certified results may not be publicly available until several days later.
- Administrative deadlines are at close of business (4:00) unless otherwise noted.
| Deadline | Event |
|---|---|
| Jan. 25 | Declaration of candidacy for primary |
| Apr. 18 | Voter registration for primary |
| Apr. 29 - May 16 | Absentee ballot request, in person |
| 'May 10 | Absentee ballot request, by mail |
| May 17 | Emergency absentee ballot request for primary |
| May 17 | Primary election |
| May 27 | Last day to request a recount and to challenge primary results |
| June 6 | Certification of primary results |
| August 9 | Declaration of candidacy for general election |
| Oct 11 | Voter registration for general election |
| Oct 21 - Nov 7 | Absentee ballot request for general election, in person |
| Oct 28 | Write-in candidate announcement for general election |
| Nov 1 | Absentee ballot request for general election, by mail |
| Nov 8 | Emergency absentee ballot request for general election |
| Nov 8 | General election |
| Nov 15 | Last day to challenge general election results |
| Nov 18 | Last day to request a general election recount |
| Nov 28 | Certification of general election results |
Race background
Steve Beshear has previously served in Kentucky's House of Representatives, as the Commonwealth's Attorney General, and then as the Lieutenant General, all prior to being elected to his first term as Governor. Well known throughout the state, he secured his first term with a 17-point plurality, ousting Republican incumbent Ernie Fletcher.
In office, he has been a relatively unpopular governor; despite coming in closer to the top when compared with his peers in other states, this is in a political landscape where only a handful of governors can claim to have approval ratings that crack 50%.[3] He has seen his numbers rise since the beginning of his term, with approval ratings taken in conjunction with preliminary polls on the 2011 gubernatorial election giving him favorable ratings in the high-40's.
His only announced primary contender was Otis Hensley, Jr., something of a perennial candidate. In the 2007 Democratic primary for the governorship he took 1.09%, compared to 41.02% for Beshear. By the time the deadline for candidates to fle passed, Hensley's name was not on any official lists of gubernatorial hopefuls.
Across the aisle, the State Senate President, David L. Williams and businessman Phillip Moffet have declared their candidacies. Beshear is beating each by double digit margins in hypothetical matchups, with larger edges over Moffet. Undecided voters are also higher when voters are asked to make a theoretical choice between Beshear and Moffet then when Williams is the named GOP candidate. At this point, with nine months before the polls open, this reflects Moffet's lower name recognition and a voting base still reeling from the blast of information in the 2010 midterms.
Beshear will make his re-election run with a new running mate. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Daniel Mongiardo chose to pursue a U.S. Senate seat, making him unavailable when Beshear announced he would run again in July of 2009. In Mongiardo's place, Jerry Abramson, Lousiville's Mayor, joined the ticket.
Among GOP hopefuls, Representative Mike Harmon has signed on with Moffet and Williams' campaign has State Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer. Farmer's stint as a Kentucky Wildcat player may boost his appeal and name recognition on the campaign trail.
Finishing out declared candidates is Independent Gatewood Galbraith, a perennial candidate making his fifth gubernatorial run. He has sought numerous other offices and has previously been a registered Democrat and a Reform Party candidate. His performance in previous elections shows he might play the spoiler in a close race if the 2011 campaign goes well for him.
Race tracking
- See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
| 2011 Race Rankings for Governor of Kentucky | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race Tracker | Race Rating | |||
| The Cook Political Report | Leans Democratic | |||
| Governing Politics | Toss-up | |||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | |||
| The Rothenberg Political Report | Toss-up/Tilting Democrat | |||
| Overall Call | Leans Democratic | |||
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Results |
| 2 Polls |
Results
| Governor and Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 2011 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | 55.7% | 464,245 | ||
| Republican | David Williams and Richie Farmer | 35.3% | 294,034 | |
| Independent | Gatewood Galbraith and Dea Riley | 9% | 74,860 | |
| Total Votes | 833,139 | |||
Polls
On February 28 and March 1, 2010, Braun Research conducted a telephone survey of 804 Kentucky voters who are likely to vote in 2011. Respondents were asked "if the election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, and your choices were the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Herry Abramson or the Republican ticket of David Williams and Richie Farmer, who would you vote for?"
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Beshear (D) | Williams (R) | Don't Know | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28 - Mar 1, 2010 | Braun Research, Inc | 48.4% | 37.6% | 12.6% | 804 |
Eight months later, Mason-Dixon Polling conducted a similar survey, and though the Beshear/Abramson ticket lost a little bit of ground, they maintained a 15 point advantage over Williams/Farmer. In a later poll, conducted in June 2011, the incumbent and his running mate gained 6 points, with 7% of the polled voters gaining clarifying their position in the eight months between polls.
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Beshear (D) | Williams (R) | Galbraith (I) | Don't Know | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 - 19, 2010 | Mason-Dixon Polling | 45% | 30% | 5% | 20% | 625 |
| June 6 - 8, 2011 | Braun Research, Inc | 51% | 29.6% | 5.6% | 13.8% | 802 |
| August 25 - 28, 2011 | Public Policy Polling | 55% | 28% | 10% | 8% | 600 |
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Results |
| 2 Candidates |
| 3 Polls |
Results
In the event that no candidate received more than 40% of the vote in her party's primary, a run-off would have been scheduled. Turnout was scant, perhaps even lighter than predicted, but in the Republican field, the only real primary, David Williams finished with an eight point cushion to avoid that run-off.
| Gubernatorial Republican Primary election | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote Percentage | |
| Republican Party | |
48.22% | |
| Republican Party | Phil Moffett | 37.98% | |
| Republican Party | Barbara Holsclaw | 13.80% | |
| Total Votes | 142,108 | ||
| Gubernatorial Democratic Primary election | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote Percentage | |
| Democratic Party | |
(uncontested) | |
| Democratic Party | Otis Hensley, Jr. | (left race) | |
| Total Votes | |||
Candidates
Democratic
- Steve Beshear, the current Governor, running with Jerry E. Abramson, the former Mayor of Louisville.
- Otis "Bull Man" Hensley, Jr., a contractor for the state highway department, was running with Richard Robbins, his co-candidate in prior races. Hensley's name did not appear on the list of final candidates released on January 26, 2011, and he has presumably left the race.
Republican
- State Senator David Williams, running with Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer.
- Jefferson County Clerk Barbara Holsclaw, running with Bill Vermillion, Jr.
- Businessman Phil Moffett,[4] running with State Representative Mike Harmon for lieutenant governor, a ticket that aligned itself with the Tea Party.
Independent
- Attorney and frequent candidate Gatewood Galbraith, running with Dea Riley, a marketing professional.
Polls
Republican
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Holsclaw/Vermillion | Moffett/Harmon | Williams/Farmer | Don't Know/Other | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 8 - 13 | Survey USA | 12% | 21% | 47% | 21% | 507 |
The Kentucky Registry of Election Finance administers laws regulating election financing and reporting. It is also the repository for all reports that candidates and committees are required to file.
Due dates for reports
|
Due dates for the 2011 primary season are as follows: 32-day pre- Primary Report, due April 15, 2011 15-day pre- Primary Report, due May 2, 2011 30-day post- Primary Report, due June 16, 2011 60-day post- Primary Report, due July 16, 2011 |
Due dates for the general season are as follows: 32-day pre- General Report, due October 7, 2011 15-day pre- General Report, due October 24, 2011 30-day post- General Report, due December 8, 2011 60-day post- General Report, due January 7, 2012 |
- Contributions include all fundraising and donations, loans, money rolled over from previous accounts, and all other income to the campaign.
- Reports are listed by the day the candidate filed, which may or may not be the due date.
- Amended reports are only put on a separate line if the amendment showed a changes in the total amounts; otherwise, there is simply a note to indicate that an amendment was filed.
Nominees
Beshear & Abramson
| Steve Beshear and Jerry Abramson Campaign Finance Reports[5] | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions | (Expenditures) | Cash on Hand | ||||
| 30 Day Post-Primary | June 16, 2011 | $3,239,082.90 | $134,605.50 | $(2,887,718.53) | $485,969.87 | ||||
| 15 Day Pre-Primary | May 2, 2011 | $3,322,565.04 | $200,627.84 | $(284,109.98) | $3,239,082.90 | ||||
| 32 Day Pre-Primary | April 15, 2011 | $2,640,682.94 | $1,146,120.20 | $(464,242.10) | $3,322,565.04 | ||||
Williams & Farmer
| David Williams and Richie Farmer Campaign Finance Reports[6] | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions | (Expenditures) | Cash on Hand | ||||
| 30 Day Post-Primary | June 16, 2011 | $206,511.277 | $92,787.00 | $(209,935.02) | $89,363.25 | ||||
| 15 Day Pre-Primary | May 6, 2011 | $669,839.23 | $76,934.00 | $(540,261.96) | $206,511.27 | ||||
| 32 Day Pre-Primary | April 15, 2011, amended May 16, 2011 | $641,658.57 | $446,943.01 | $(418,762.35) | $669,839.23 | ||||
Former candidates
Holsclaw & Vermillion
| Barbara Holsclaw and William Vermillion Campaign Finance Reports[7] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions | (Expenditures) | Cash on Hand | |
| 15 Day Pre-Primary | May 2, 2011 | $15,289.44 | $3,925.00 | $(6,566.48) | $12,647.96 | |
| 32 Day Pre-Primary | April 15, 2011, amended April 27, 2011 | $0.00 | $22,774.00 | $(7,484.56) | $15,289.44 | |
Moffett & Harmon
| Phil Moffett and Mike Harmon Campaign Finance Reports[8] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions | (Expenditures) | Cash on Hand | |
| 15 Day Pre-Primary | May 2, 2011 | $11,361.17 | $23,329.00 | $(18,446.16) | $16,244.01 | |
| 32 Day Pre-Primary | April 15, 2011, amended April 21, 2011 | $8,737.45 | $57,758.00 | $(55,134.28) | $11,361.17 | |
See also
External links
Campaign sites
Democrats
Republicans
Third parties
References
- ↑ The Green Papers, "2010 Gubernatorial Primaries at a Glance"
- ↑ Kentucky State Board of Elections, "2011 Kentucky Election Calendar", accessed November 30, 2010
- ↑ Public Policy Polling, "Gubernatorial Approval Ratings", March 11, 2010
- ↑ VIDEO: Pure Politics: On video: Phil Moffett explains his Republican candidacy for governor", July 29, 2010
- ↑ Kentucky Registry of Finance, “Statement Filed by: BESHEAR, STEVEN / ABRAMSON, JERRY: SLATE - STATEWIDE 05/17/2011 PRIMARY", accessed May 3, 2011
- ↑ Kentucky Registry of Finance, “Statement Filed by: WILLIAMS, DAVID / FARMER, RICHIE: SLATE - STATEWIDE 05/17/2011 PRIMARY", accessed May 3, 2011
- ↑ Kentucky Registry of Finance, “Statement Filed by: HOLSCLAW, BARBARA / VERMILLION, WILLIAM: SLATE - STATEWIDE 05/17/2011 PRIMARY", accessed May 3, 2011
- ↑ Kentucky Registry of Finance, “Statement Filed by: MOFFETT, PHIL / HARMON, MIKE: SLATE - STATEWIDE 05/17/2011 PRIMARY", accessed May 3, 2011
State of Kentucky Frankfort (capital) | |
|---|---|
| Ballot measures |
List of Kentucky ballot measures | Local measures | School bond issues | Ballot measure laws | History of I&R | History of direct democracy | Campaign Finance Requirements | |
| Government |
Kentucky State Constitution | House of Representatives | Senate | Legislative Research Commission | |
| State executive officers |
Governor | Lieutenant Governor | Attorney General | Secretary of State | State Treasurer | Auditor of Public Accounts | Commissioner of Education | Commissioner of Insurance | Commissioner of Agriculture | Commissioner of Natural Resources | Secretary of Labor Cabinet | Chairman of Public Services | |
| Judiciary |
Kentucky Supreme Court | Court Election (2008) | Circuit Court of Appeals | District Courts | Judicial Nominating Commission | Judicial news | Judicial activist organizations | |
| Transparency Topics |
Open Records Act | Transparency Checklist | Government corruption reports | Transparency Legislation | Open Records procedures | Transparency Advocates | Transparency blogs | State budget | Taxpayer-funded lobbying associations | Freedom Kentucky | |
| Divisions |
State |
List of Counties |
List of Cities |
List of School Districts | |