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Maine gubernatorial election, 2014

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Maine Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 10, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Paul LePage Republican Party
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Maine State Executive Elections
Governor

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The Maine gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Paul LePage (R) is running for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Maine has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in a primary election is limited to registered members of that party.

Office Incumbent Assumed Office Incumbent running?
Governor Paul LePage
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2011 Yes[1]

Candidates

Race background

Paul LePage is running for a second term as governor in 2014.[11][4] The often divisive Republican is widely considered one of the most vulnerable gubernatorial incumbents facing re-election this year. Sources ranging from Governing, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Washington Post and Daily Kos have rated the 2014 Maine governor's race as a tossup.[12][13][14][15] In June 2013, after Democratic U.S. Rep. Mike Michaud launched his bid for the office, LePage briefly indicated interest in running for Michaud's seat in the U.S. House in 2014 as a way to avoid the risk of such a formidable challenge.[16][4] Though his threat of a congressional run amounted to nothing, LePage proved he is not impervious to the pessimism surrounding his re-election campaign.

On November 4, 2013, after establishing himself as the race's front-runner, Michaud disclosed in an op-ed column submitted to three of the state’s major news outlets that he is gay.[17] Michaud emphasized that his sexuality is irrelevant to his ability to perform as governor, if elected. He said he came out in response to "whisper campaigns" instigated by opponents in order to cast suspicion about his personal life.[18] The revelation puts Michaud in the running - alongside 2014 Maryland gubernatorial hopeful state Rep. Heather Mizeur - to become the first openly gay man or woman to be elected governor in the nation's history.

Polls

Hypothetical match-up polls

2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Three-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)Eliot Cutler (I)Undecided or refusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
40%31%26%3%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
39%35%18%8%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
40%34%16.8%9.1%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
38%36%15%10%+/-3.2964
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(January 13-23, 2014)
45%32%18%5%+/--400
Public Policy Polling
(April 1-2, 2014)
44%37%14%5%+/--583
The Pan Atlantic SMS Group
(March 31- April 5, 2014)
37.3%38.6%20.3%3.7%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 40.47% 34.8% 18.3% 6.26% +/-2.86 621.71
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Two-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
61%34%5%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
54%39%7%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
55.9%36.1%7.9%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
53%39%8%+/-3.2964
AVERAGES 55.98% 37.03% 6.98% +/-3.79 742.25
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

See also

External links

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Suggest a link

Campaign websites

References

  1. Paul LePage for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed October 3, 2013
  2. LePage for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  3. 3.0 3.1 Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," March 4, 2013
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 The Washington Post blogs, "Rep. Mike Michaud steps into Maine governors race," June 13, 2013
  5. Michaud 2014 For Governor Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed June 26, 2013
  6. Eliot Cutler for Maine 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  7. Bangor Daily News, "Independent Eliot Cutler announces run for governor in Bangor," September 24, 2013
  8. Kennebec Journal, "Michaud to formalize gubernatorial bid Thursday in Lewiston," August 14, 2013
  9. David Slagger for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  10. GBNR 2014 Official Campaign Website of Lee Schulteis, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  11. Maine Biz, "LePage eyes long-term goals, says 2014 run likely," May 8, 2013
  12. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
  13. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top gubernatorial races," September 27, 2013
  14. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14," October 6, 2013
  15. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 12, 2012
  16. The Morning Sentinel, "LePage: Sorry if you were offended," June 24, 2013
  17. Portland Press Herald, "Rep. Michaud’s op-ed column: Yes, I’m gay. Now let’s get our state back on track," November 4, 2013
  18. Portland Press Herald, "Maine governor candidate Mike Michaud: I’m gay ," accessed November 4, 2013