Maryland gubernatorial election, 2010
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- 1 November 2, 2010 general election results
- 2 Inauguration and transition
- 3 September 14, 2010 primary
- 4 Race ratings
- 5 Polling
- 6 Candidates
- 7 Campaign finance
- 8 Gubernatorial electoral history
- 9 Presidential electoral history
- 10 See also
- 11 External links
- 12 References
In the Maryland gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, incumbent Democrat Martin O'Malley defeated Republican Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. Ehrlich himself previously served a single term as governor, before losing to O'Malley in 2006.
In the September 14 primary elections, Ehrlich and O'Malley each won an overwhelming victory against token opposition.
November 2, 2010 general election results
As of December 1, 2010, results were certified.
|Maryland Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial General Election, 2010|
|Democratic||Martin O'Malley/Anthony G. Brown Incumbent||56.2%||1,044,961|
|Republican||Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr./Mary Kane||41.8%||776,319|
|Libertarian||Susan J. Gaztanaga/Doug McNeil||0.8%||14,137|
|Green||Maria Allwine/Ken Eidel||0.6%||11,825|
|Constitution||Eric Delano Knowles/Michael T. Hargadon||0.5%||8,612|
|Democratic||Ralph Jaffe (Write-In)||0%||319|
|Unaffiliated||Corrogan R. Vaughan/Jim Crawford||0%||179|
|Election Results via Maryland State Board of Elections|
Inauguration and transition
Governor O'Malley began his second term on January 12, 2011.
As a reeelected incumbent, Martin O'Malley did not have the same level of transition activity as some newly elected governors. His Lieutenant Governor, Anthony G. Brown also returned to serve another term
September 14, 2010 primary
O'Malley faced token opposition in J.P. Cusick and Ralph Jaffe; between the two of them, their vote share amounts to less than 15%, leaving the incumbent to gallop away with the voters' blessing to seek a third term.
For the GOP, Maryland was the stage for another battle between and establishment favorite, well-connected to the party and adept at maneuvering in political waters, and a newcomer backed by the Tea Party. Sarah Palin's endorsement and a last minute push by supporters wasn't enough to bring Murphy within striking distance and he fell to Ehrlich by a 5:1 ratio.
From 2003 to 2007, Ehrlich was Maryland chief executive, making him the first Republican to helm the state since the late 1960's. Two decades Murphy's senior and with statewide name recognition, Ehrlich was already commanding the field with only 2% of precincts reporting. Some observers suggest that Ehrlich may benefit in the general election from having faced Murphy in the primary season. Murphy was significantly to the right of Ehrlich and the latter has, to some extent, painted himself as a moderate relative to Ehrlich, something that may help in the next seven weeks.
Polls taken during the primary testing the electoral waters for a race between O'Malley and Ehrlich showed a dead heat. Democrats held a 2:1 registration edge over the GOP in Maryland. On the other hand, during his term on office, Ehrlich took positions on issues such as minimum wage and mandating employer provided health care that would tar his conservatives credentials in some states but which set him out as the sort of Republican that Maryland would elect.
|2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary|
|J.P. Cusick and Michael W. Lang. Jr. (D)||10.89%|
|Ralph Jaffe and Freda Jaffe(D)||4.03%|
|Martin O'Malley and Anthony G. Brown (D)||85.08%|
|2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary|
|Robert L. "Bob" Ehrlich, Jr. and Mary Kane (R)||80.22%|
|Brian Murphy and Mike Ryman (R)||19.78%|
|2010 Race Rankings Maryland|
|Race Tracker||Race Rating|
|The Cook Political Report||Lean Democrat|
|Congressional Quarterly Politics||Leans Democratic|
|Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball||Likely Democratic|
|Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard||Solid Democratic|
|The Rothenberg Political Report||Democrat Favored|
6. Cook Political Report moved race from "Toss-up" to "Leans Democrat" on October 29th.
5. Larry J. Sabato moved race from "Leans Democrat" to "Likely Democrat" on October 28th.
4. Rothenberg moved race from "Lean Democrat" to "Democrat Favored" on October 28th.
3. Rasmussen moved race from "Toss-up" to "Solid Democratic" on October 24th.
2. Rothenberg moved race from "Toss-up Tilting Democratic" to "Lean Democrat" on October 1st ratings.
1. Cook Political Report moved race from "Lean Democratic" to "Toss-up" in September 30th ratings.
General election polling
Ehrlich had more or less every registered Republican in the state on his side and was walking away with the Independent vote. But in Maryland, that isn't enough by itslef. O'Malley argued that returning the governorship to GOP hands would damage Maryland, something that stymied Ehrlich's attempt o get the same crossover support that won him the race in 2002.
|2010 Race for Maryland Governor - Rasmussen Reports|
|Date Reported||Ehrlich (R)||O'Malley (D)||Other||Don't Know|
|October 4, 2010||41%||49%||1%||8%|
|September 22-26, 2010||41%||52%||-||6%|
Primary election polling
In a Magellan poll of 750 likely voters taken on June 29, 2010, Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley trailed his Republican challenger, Bob Ehrlich 43% to 46%. The same poll found that Ehrlich enjoyed a 51% 'Favorable' rating while Gov. O'Malley had gone 'upside down', with 'Unfavorable' opinion slightly edging 'Favorable' opinion, 45% to 41%.
Rasmussen also showed a remarkable trend in this traditionally blue state. July 8, 2010 polls results put Ehrlich at 47% to O'Malley's 45%. Preceding polls going back to late February show that O'Malley's one time six point lead has slowly eroded. As the incumbent, Martin O'Malley was also plagued by voter dissatisfaction with his job performance; those who 'strongly disapproved' of him represented a third of the voters he needed in November. Voters who 'somewhat' or 'strongly' disapprove of O'Malley's leadership totaled 48%, while those 'somewhat' and 'strongly' in approval added up to 50%, an edge, if a worryingly small one.
Contrasting O'Malley's numbers as the governor to his numbers as a candidate, his positives slightly outweighed his negatives - 49% to 45%. Opponent Bob Ehrlich posted a 54% to 37% spread on the same question, meaning that O'Malley had a deficit to make up before voters headed to the polls.
The tightening of the race intensified the attention pollsters pay to the looming contest. On July 14, 2010, Public Policy Polling released new numbers putting O'Malley and Ehrlich at 45% and 42%, respectively. Realistically, such poll results meant the race was neck and neck. DC based political news serviced Real Clear Politics moved its own weighting of the gubernatorial contest slightly to reflect the new polls from Rasmussen and PPP, giving the GOP's Ehrlich a tiny 0.3% lead. Closing out July, the Baltimore Sun's survey have O'Malley a tiny lead, 45% to Ehrlich's 42%, with 7% of voters still deciding. Patrick Gonzales, who ran the Sun's poll, noted the undeniably tight numbers and said, "it's clear that either candidate could win in November."
|The November Ballot – Who's Made It? Maryland Governor|
|Martin O'Malley, with Anthony G. Brown||Democrat|
|Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr., with Mary Kane||Republican|
|Maria Allwine, with Ken Eidel||Green|
|Susan J. Gaztanaga, with Doug McNeil||Libertarian|
|Eric Delano Knowles, with Michael Hargadon||Constitution Party|
|Ralph Jaffe, with Freda Jaffe||write-in (Democratic)|
|Corrogan R. Vaughan, with Jim Crawford||write-in (Democratic)|
|This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who have since been officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.|
- Eric Delano Knowles is an Air Force vet who worked as a bartender in Annapolis.
- with Michael Hargadon, a retired dentist, for Lieutenant Governor
- J.P. Cusick's campaign was highly focused on child support and custody issues. He has himself served time on two occasions for failing to make court ordered child support payments and three time for vandalizing government buildings, includng spray painting portions of the Ten Commandments on the Maryland State House. A perennial candidate, Cusick is proud of his record and uses it when campaigning. On his campaign site, he states he is, "financing his own campaign and...does not request [or] require any campaign contributions."
- with Michael W. Lang, Jr. for Lieutenant Governor. Interestingly, Lang ran his own campaign website, which was linked to via Cusick's page. Lang is a Korean War vet and worked as a computer scientist for U.S. Naval Logistics out of Annapolis before retiring.
- Ralph Jaffe runs a non-traditional school from his home; he admitted at a candidate forum that he did not recognize that the man he stopped to ask for directions as he was on the way to file his candidacy papers was Martin O'Malley.
- with Freda Jaffee for Lieutenant Governor. Miss Jaffee is the candidate's sister.
- Martin O'Malley, the current governor.
- with Anthony G. Brown for Lieutenant Governor. Brown is a former Minority Whip for the Maryland House of Delegates and an Army Reservist. He is also Gov. O'Malley's current Lt. Gov.
- George Owings - Former State Veterans Affairs Secretary and former State House Majority Whip As of late June, he was on no official list of candidates. On July 1, 2010, he officially withdrew from the race, saying only he had undergone emergency treatment for a major disease and was following his physician's recommendation to recover.
- Maria Allwine is a long-time activist, especially related to 'social justice' actions. At a 2006 protest outside the National Security Agency, she was one of 13 activists taken into custody for coming too close to Fort Meade All charges were ultimately dimissed by the U.S. District Court.
- with Ken Eidell for Lieutenant Governor
- Corrogan R. Vaughan began the midterm election cycle as a Senate hopeful before switching to a gubernatorial candidacy. He worked in the airline industry for several years before the September 11th attacks and lost his job in the ensuing industry contraction. Since then, he returned to school and worked in political consultancy. On his website, Mr. Vaughan self-identified as Republican and described himself as, "a Christian conservative who is a constitutionalist and understands that our nation is not a democracy but a republic, one nation under God."
- with Jim Crawford for Lieutenant Governor
- Susan J. Gaztanaga has been heavily active in Maryland's libertarian campaigns for years. Her husband, Lorenzo, also ran on a libertarian ticket, seeking the win the state's 2nd Congressional District.
- with Doug McNeil for Lieutenant Governor. One of the founder's of Baltimore's Libertarian Party, McNeil is an Army vet and works as a computer engineer. He also runs a nonpartisan group dedicated to fairness and transparency in ballot access. He was intially running his own gubernatorial bid, which he ended in order to join Gaztanaga's ticket.
- Attorney Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. served first in Maryland's state legislature and later in Congress before winning election as the first Republican governor the state had chosen in 30 years in 2002. Following his single term in office, he returned to private legal practice.
- with Mary Kane for Lieutenant Governor. Kane was the Maryland Secretary of State from 2005 to 2007 and has also served as Special Projects Director for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
- Larry Hogan, founder and CEO of the Hogan Company, was part of Bob Ehrlich's cabinet during the latter's first term. On February 1, 2010, he announced, "I am officially concluding my exploratory committee and calling on my friend Bob Ehrlich to enter this race for governor." He also formally endorsed the choice of Mary Kane to co-campaign with Ehrlich.
- Patrick McDonough, District 7 delegate from 1979-1998 and from 2003-present.
- Brian Murphy, graduate of the University of Maryland, former Constellation Energy employee, and founder of Plimhimmon Group and Smith Island Baking Company.
- with Mike Ryman for Lieutenant Governor. Ryman is a former USMC officer and FBI agent. He more recently retired from the U.S. Government as a Federal Senior Executive Service law enforcement officer. He joined Murphy's ticket on July 16, 2010. Previously the Murphy campaign had Carmen M. Amedori, a former member of both the State House of Delegates and the Maryland Parole Commission, on board. Miss Amedori left the campaign's ticket, in late April, only shortly after signing on on April 17th; in interviews she stated she still believed Murphy was a good alternative to Ehrlich but that she did not believe he could win a primary. She also formally endorsed Ehrlich. The day before accepting the Lt. Gov. slot of Mr. Murphy's ticket, she ended her own bid for the U.S. Senate.
- Michael J. Pappas, Parliamentarian of the Maryland Republican Party and second Vice-Chair of the Baltimore County Republican Central Committee, formed an exploratory committee in December 2008. He ceased campaigning in early November 2009, saying, "I have determined that the best interest of my family and business requires that I stop my run for Governor effective immediately." On his since shuttered website, he added that he exited the race in order to give his family the support that would allow his wife to accept an executive level job and because he felt his obligations to his law firm's clients meant he did not have the time to campaign. He endorsed Larry Hogan for the GOP gubernatorial nominee; Hogan, however, soon left the race, himself.
Candidates for 2010 are most easily searchable using the "Summary Reports Filed Page"
A guide to forms and reports submitted by candidates and committees is also online at Maryland's ELECTrack page.
Additionally, information on campaign finance disclosures is broken down into several useful metrics on "Follow the Money."
Reporting periods and due dates
Reporting periods and due dates for statewide candidates for the November 2010 elections were as follows:
- 2009 Annual (due the 3rd Wednesday of January each year, or January 20, 2010)
- Pre-Primary 1 (due the 4th Tuesday preceding the Primary Election, or August 13, 2010)
- Pre-Primary 2 (due the 2nd Friday preceding the Primary Election, or September 3, 2010)
- Pre-General (due the 2nd Friday preceding the Election, or October 22, 2010)
- Post-General (due the 3rd Tuesday following the General Election, or November 23, 2010)
- 2010 Annual (due the 3rd Wednesday of January each year, or January 12, 2011)
|Martin Joseph O'Malley Campaign Finance Reports|
|Report||Date Filed||Beginning Balance||Cash Contributions||Loans||Non-Monetary Contributions||(Total Expenditures)||Cash on Hand|
|Pre-Primary 2||September 3, 2010||$5,365,859.54||$239,411.19||$0.00||$3,082.51||$(418,352.01)||$5,186,918.72|
|Pre-Primary 1||August 17, 2010||$4,815,924.37||$2,848,728.09||$0.00||$27,598.86||$(2,298,792.92)||$5,365,859.54|
|2010 Annual||January 20, 2010||$1,783,415.16||$4,013,017.81||$0.00||$83,108.17||$(980,508.60)||$4,815,924.37|
|Bob Ehrlich Campaign Finance Reports|
|Report||Date Filed||Beginning Balance||Cash Contributions||Loans||Non-Monetary Contributions||(Total Expenditures)||Outstanding Debts||Cash on Hand|
|Pre-Primary 2||September 3, 2010||$2,066,299.13||$698,114.66||$0.00||$11,651.67||$(292,606.18)||$||$2,471,807.61|
|Pre-Primary 1||August 17, 2010||$141,778.90||$3,169,863.93||$0.00||$57,400.19||$(1,245,343.70)||$44,500.00||$2,066,299.13|
|2010 Annual||January 20, 2010||$151,529.00||$76,397.81||$0.00||$7,377.20||$(86,147.91)||$0.00||$141,778.90|
Gubernatorial electoral history
|1998 Gubernatorial Results|
|Parris N. Glendening (D)||55.14%|
|Ellen R. Sauerbrey (R)||44.82%|
|Jacqueline Crabtree (Democratic write-in)||0%|
|2002 Gubernatorial Results|
|Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. (R)||51.55%|
|Kathleen Kennedy Townsend (D)||47.68%|
|Spear Lancaster (L)||0.68%|
|Ralph Jaffe (Democratic write-in)||0.01%|
|James T. Lynch, Jr. (Democratic write-in)||0.00%|
|2006 Gubernatorial Results|
|Martin O'Malley (D)'||52.7%|
|Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr.(R)||46.2%|
|Simmins (Republican write-in)||0.00%|
|Ralph Jaffe(Democratic write-in)||0.00%|
Presidential electoral history
|2000 Presidential Results|
|George W. Bush (R)||40.2%|
|Al Gore (D)||56.6%|
|2004 Presidential Results|
|George W. Bush (R)||42.9%|
|John Kerry (D)||55.9%|
|2008 Presidential Results|
|John McCain (R)||36.5%|
|Barack Obama (D)||61.9%|
|1992 Presidential Results|
|George H.W. Bush (R)||35.6%|
|Bill Clinton (D)||49.8%|
|1996 Presidential Results|
|Bob Dole (R)||38.3%|
|Bill Clinton (D)||54.3%|
- Allwine for Governor
- J.P. Cusick 2010
- Bob Ehrlich for Maryland
- Gaztanagna for Governor
- Mike Hargadon for Lieutenant Governor
- Hogan for Maryland
- Knowles / Hargadon for Governor
- Michael W. Lang, Jr. as Lieutenant Governor
- Maurphy & Ryman, A New Direction for Maryland
- O'Malley-Brown, Moving Maryland Forward
- Owings for Governor - The website is now officially retired.
- Pappas 2010
- Corrogan R. Vaughan 4 Maryland
- Maria Allwine: email@example.com
- Anthony G. Brown: firstname.lastname@example.org
- Vaughan R. Corrogan: email@example.com
- Jim Crawford: firstname.lastname@example.org
- J. P. Cusick: JPCusickSR@yahoo.com
- Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr.: email@example.com
- Ken Eidel: firstname.lastname@example.org
- Susan J. Gaztanaga: DiazVivar@aol.com
- Michael Hargadon: email@example.com
- Ralph Jaffee: Rjaffe4@verizon.net
- Mary Kane: firstname.lastname@example.org
- Eric Delano Knowles: email@example.com
- Doug McNeil: MDfor Democracy@aol.com
- Brian Murphy: firstname.lastname@example.org
- Martin O'Malley: email@example.com
- Mike Ryman: firstname.lastname@example.org
- Maryland State Board of Elections, "2010 General Election Unofficial Results, updated November 10, 2010 at 14:51, accessed November 10, 2010 and December 21, 2010
- Fox News, "Ehrlich Beats Palin-Backed Candidate in GOP Primary for Maryland Governor," September 14, 2010
- Business Week, "Ehrlich Republican Win Sets Maryland Governor Rematch," September 14, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Unofficial Primary Election Results ”, September 14, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Unofficial Primary Election Results ”, September 14, 2010
- The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
- CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
- Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
- Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
- Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
- Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Maryland Governor: O’Malley (D) Pulls Ahead of Ehrlich (R)”, October 5, 2010
- Washington Post, “O'Malley gains ground over Ehrlich in Maryland governor's race, poll shows”, August 26, 2010
- [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
- Magellan, "BOB EHRLICH HAS SLIGHT LEAD ON MARTIN O’MALLEY, 46% TO 43%," July 2, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, "Maryland Governor: Ehrlich 47%, O’Malley 46%," July 12, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, "Maryland Governor: O’Malley 49%, Ehrlich 43%," February 26, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, "Maryland Governor: O’Malley 47%, Ehrlich 44%," April 22, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, "Maryland Governor: Ehrlich (R) 45%, O’Malley (D) 45%," June 10, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, "Toplines - Maryland Governor - July 8, 2010," July 8, 2010
- Public Policy Polling, "The Maryland governor's race is close," July 12, 2010
- Real Clear Politics, "Ehrlich Moves Ahead In RCP Average For Maryland," July 14, 2010
- Real Clear Politics, "MD Gov Poll: O'Malley With Slight Edge," July 27, 2010
- Baltimore Sun, "Gonzales poll shows statistical tie in governor's race," July 27, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “General Election State Candidates List”, official as of October 6, 2010
- Constitution Party News, "Eric Delano Knowles Seeks Constitution Party NominationFor Governor Of Maryland!," July 15, 2010 (dead link)
- FaceBook, "Eric Knowles for Governor, accessed July 23, 2010
- Washington Post, "A Maverick Proud of His Jail Time Takes on Steny Hoyer in Primary," February 4, 2008
- Vote JP, "Platform and Financing," accessed July 23, 2010 (dead link)
- The Baltimore Sun, "Lesser-known candidates also want to be governor," July 10, 2010
- Washington Post, "O'Malley Might Face Democratic Challenger," May 7, 2009
- Home Town Annapolis, "George Owings drops out of governor's race," July 1, 2010
- Jonah House, "13 PEACE ACTIVISTS ARRESTED AT NATIONAL SECURITY AGENCY," July 6, 2006 (dead link)
- Vaughan 4 Maryland, "Candidate Profile, accessed July 23, 2010
- Ehrlich Portrait Unveiled In Annapolis, June 4, 2008
- Baltimore Sun, "McDonough says he would test waters of gubernatorial run," August 12, 2009
- Washington Post, "Businessman Brian Murphy enters GOP primary race for Md. governor," April 17, 2010
- The Dysfunction of Maryland Politics and the National Scene, "Lt. Governor Candidate Carmen Amedori Leaves Camp Murphy, Throws Support behind Bob Ehrlich for Governor," April 30, 2010
- PolitickerMD, "Pappas throws name in ring for governor," December 9, 2008
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Gubernatorial 2010 Pre-Primary 2 (09/03/2010) for the 'O'Malley, Martin Friends Of' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Gubernatorial 2010 Pre-Primary 1 (08/17/2010) for the 'O'Malley, Martin Friends Of' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Annual 2010 (01/20/2010) for the 'O'Malley, Martin Friends Of' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Gubernatorial 2010 Pre-Primary 2 (09/03/2010) for the 'Ehrlich, Bob For Maryland Committee' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Gubernatorial 2010 Pre-Primary 1 (08/17/2010) for the 'Ehrlich, Bob For Maryland Committee' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2010 Annual 2010 (01/20/2010) for the 'Ehrlich, Bob For Maryland Committee' account”, accessed October 9, 2010
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “1998 Gubernatorial General Election Results”, last updated October 24, 2000
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “2002 Gubernatorial General - Official Results”, certified December 2, 2002
- Maryland State Board of Elections, “Official 2006 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor”
- Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010
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