Read the The Tuesday Count. New edition available now!

Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2011

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Main article: State executive official elections, 2011

The Mississippi gubernatorial election of 2011 was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2011, following a primary held on August 2, 2011. Republican Phil Bryant, the state's current lieutenant governor, defeated Democrat Hattiesburg mayor Johnny DuPree.

Term limits prevented the state's current Governor, Haley Barbour, from running for a third term, and there was a large field of candidates jockeying for his seat. Both Republicans and Democrats had multiple candidates enter the primary elections, two candidates claiming to represent the Reform Party sought a spot on the ballot, and one independent candidate qualified for the general election.

In early September 2011, though, all three third-party candidates were removed from the ballot. Independent candidate William D. Oatis withdrew from the race citing a lack of money to support his campaign, and the Mississippi State Board of Election Commissioners removed both Reform Party hopefuls, Bobby Kearan and Shawn O'Hara, from the ballot. Despite an announcement on the Reform Party National Committee's website that Kearan was their official candidate[1], the Mississippi State Board of Elections granted formal recognition to the O'Hara campaign. But O'Hara was also running for Mississippi Treasurer, and Mississippi Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann removed him from the gubernatorial race, citing a Mississippi law that stipulates candidates who file for multiple offices can only run in the race for which they filed most recently.[2]

[edit]

2011
State Executive Official Elections

NevadaUtahColoradoNew MexicoArizonaMontanaCaliforniaOregonWashingtonIdahoOklahomaKansasNebraskaSouth DakotaNorth DakotaIowaMissouriArkansasLouisiana state executive official elections, 2011AlabamaGeorgiaFloridaSouth CarolinaIllinoisTennesseeNorth CarolinaIndianaOhioMaineVirginiaNew JerseyVermontVermontMarylandRhode IslandRhode IslandMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMichiganAlaskaHawaiiWyomingTexasMississippi state executive official elections, 2011MinnesotaWisconsinKentucky state executive official elections, 2011West Virginia state executive official elections, 2011PennsylvaniaDelawareDelawareConnecticutConnecticutNew YorkNew HampshireNew HampshireSEO map 2011.png

Kentucky
Gov./Lt. Gov.SoSAG
Down Ballot Offices

Louisiana
Gov.Lt. GovSoSAG
Down Ballot Offices

Mississippi
Gov.Lt. GovSoSAG
Down Ballot Offices

West Virginia
Gov.
NewsCalendar
Contents
1 Key dates
2 Race background
3 Race tracking

Key dates

  • Voters may check their registration status, register for the first time, or request an absentee ballot at the Mississippi Secretary of State's Voter Registration Portal.
  • A candidate must receive at least a simple majority of votes cast to avoid a runoff. The same requirement for 50% plus one applies to the general election; if the election does not yield a winner in a statewide race, the state Senate will choose a winner from among the top two vote getters when it reconvenes in January 2012.
  • Administrative deadlines are at close of business (5:00) unless otherwise noted.
Deadline Event
Mar. 1 Declaration of candidacy
June 18 Absentee voting begins for the primary election
July 2 Voter registration (in person) for the primary
July 3 Voter registration (postmark on a mailed application) for the primary
Aug. 2 Primary election
Aug. 23 Runoff primary election, if required
Sept. 2 Certification of results for primary
Sept. 24 Absentee voting begins for the general election
Oct. 8 Voter registration (in person) for the general election
Oct. 9 Voter registration (postmark on a mailed application) for the general election
Nov. 8 General election
Nov. 29 Runoff general election, if required
Dec. 8 Certification of results for general election


Race background

Haley Barbour's popularity could rub off on his lieutenant governor, Phil Bryant, who is hoping to succeed him. Given Mississippi's Republican preferences, it likely won't be needed. In addition to Bryant, two new political faces have entered the race, retired Coast Guard Major General Hudson Holliday and businessman Dave Dennis.

Additionally, both the Secretary of State, Delbert Hosemann, and the State Treasurer, Tate Reeves, each a Republican, are potential entrants. Fewer Democrats are lined up at this early date; the only names officially in the race are businessman Bill Luckett and Mayor Johnny DuPree of Hattiesburg. Overall, at the gubernatorial level, Mississippi's Democratic bench is thin.[3]

Race tracking

See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
2011 Race Rankings for Governor of Mississippi
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report Likely Republican
Governing Politics Safe Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Solid Republican
The Rothenberg Political Report Republican Favored
Overall Call Likely Republican

Contents
1 Results
2 Polls

Results

Governor of Mississippi, 2011
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Bryant 61% 544,851
     Democratic Johnny DuPree 39% 348,617
Total Votes 893,468


Candidates

Democratic

  • Johnny DuPree, a realtor and the Mayor of Hattiesburg since 2001

Republican

Former candidates

Reform

Independent

Results

Governor - Democratic primary runoff results (Unofficial)
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party ApprovedaJohnny DuPree 55%
     Democratic Party Bill Luckett, Jr. 45%
Total Votes 309,728


Contents
1 Results
2 Candidates
2.1 Democratic primary candidates
2.2 Republican primary candidates
2.3 Reform candidates
2.4 Independent candidates
3 Polls

Results

Gubernatorial Republican Primary election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Republican Party James Broadwater 1.2%
     Republican Party ApprovedaPhil Bryant 59.5%
     Republican Party Dave Dennis 25.7%
     Republican Party Hudson Holliday 4.7%
     Republican Party Ron Williams 8.8%
Total Votes 289,788


Gubernatorial Democratic Primary election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party William Bond Compton, Jr. 9.8%
     Democratic Party ApprovedaJohnny DuPree 43.5%
     Democratic Party ApprovedaBill Luckett, Jr. 39.2%
     Democratic Party Guy Dale Shaw 7.3%
Total Votes 412,530

In Mississippi, a majority of the primary vote is required in order to advance to the general election. Because neither DuPree nor Luckett, Jr. won a clear majority, the two will faced off in a primary runoff on August 23. Dupree won that contest, and with that win earned the Democratic seat on the ballot in November.


Candidates

Democratic

Republican

Reform

Currently, two groups claim to represent the official Reform Party of Mississippi. A determination has not been made by the State Board of Election Commissioners as to which group should be recognized as the official Reform Party of Mississippi.

Independent

Polls

Public Policy Polling conducted a telephone survey of 817 Mississippi voters, asking them which candidate they would vote for in a number of pair-ups. The following tables present their findings, which make it clear that the Republican party, regardless of which candidate goes to the general election, is very likely to win.

The margin of error for all surveys is +/- 3.4%.

Date of Poll Pollster Bryant (R) DuPree (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 56% 25% 19% 817
Date of Poll Pollster Bryant (R) Luckett (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 53% 27% 20% 817
Date of Poll Pollster Dennis (R) DuPree (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 41% 28% 31% 817
Date of Poll Pollster Dennis (R) Luckett (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 43% 25% 32% 817
Date of Poll Pollster Holliday (R) DuPree (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 37% 28% 35% 817
Date of Poll Pollster Holliday (R) Luckett (D) Undecided Number polled
Mar 24-27 Public Policy Polling 38% 28% 34% 817

The Secretary of State regulates campaign finance and maintains all records online.

Due dates for reports

Due dates for the 2011 primary season are as follows:

Periodic report due May 10, 2011

Periodic report due June 10, 2011

Periodic report due July 8, 2011

48 hour primary reports due July 24-31, 2011

Pre-election primary report due July 26, 2011

48 hour runoff reports due August 14-21, 2011

Pre-election runoff report due August 16, 2011

Due dates for the 2011 general season are as follows:

Periodic report due October 10, 2011

48 hour reports due October 30 - November 6, 2011

Pre-election report due November 1, 2011

48 hour runoff reports due November 20-27, 2011

Pre-election runoff report due November 22, 2011

  • Italicized reports are only due if a runoff is required.
  • 48-hour reports are due on all contribution over $200.

Nominees

Compton

William Compton, Jr. Campaign Finance Reports[6]
Report Date Filed Beginning Balance Total Contributions (Expenditures) Cash on Hand
Periodic Report June 10, 2011 $300.00 $300.00 $0 $0
Periodic Report May 10, 2011 $300.00 $300.00 $0 $0


See also

External links

Campaign sites

Democrats

Republicans

Reform

References