Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2011
- Main article: State executive official elections, 2011
The Mississippi gubernatorial election of 2011 was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2011, following a primary held on August 2, 2011. Republican Phil Bryant, the state's current lieutenant governor, defeated Democrat Hattiesburg mayor Johnny DuPree.
Term limits prevented the state's current Governor, Haley Barbour, from running for a third term, and there was a large field of candidates jockeying for his seat. Both Republicans and Democrats had multiple candidates enter the primary elections, two candidates claiming to represent the Reform Party sought a spot on the ballot, and one independent candidate qualified for the general election.
In early September 2011, though, all three third-party candidates were removed from the ballot. Independent candidate William D. Oatis withdrew from the race citing a lack of money to support his campaign, and the Mississippi State Board of Election Commissioners removed both Reform Party hopefuls, Bobby Kearan and Shawn O'Hara, from the ballot. Despite an announcement on the Reform Party National Committee's website that Kearan was their official candidate[1], the Mississippi State Board of Elections granted formal recognition to the O'Hara campaign. But O'Hara was also running for Mississippi Treasurer, and Mississippi Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann removed him from the gubernatorial race, citing a Mississippi law that stipulates candidates who file for multiple offices can only run in the race for which they filed most recently.[2]
- Background
- November 8 general election
- August 23 primary runoff election
- August 2 primary election
- Campaign finance
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Key dates |
| 2 Race background |
| 3 Race tracking |
Key dates
- The full calendar for the 2011 electoral season is available online from the Mississippi Secretary of State. Dates may change in accordance with Secretary of State's regulations and with the state's Constitution.
- Voters may check their registration status, register for the first time, or request an absentee ballot at the Mississippi Secretary of State's Voter Registration Portal.
- A candidate must receive at least a simple majority of votes cast to avoid a run-off. The same requirement for 50% plus one applies to the general election; if the election does not yield a winner in a statewide race, the state Senate will choose a winner from among the top two vote getters when it reconvenes in January 2012.
- Administrative deadlines are at close of business (5:00) unless otherwise noted.
| Deadline | Event |
|---|---|
| Mar. 1 | Declaration of candidacy |
| June 18 | Absentee voting begins for the primary election |
| July 2 | Voter registration (in person) for the primary |
| July 3 | Voter registration (postmark on a mailed application) for the primary |
| Aug. 2 | Primary election |
| Aug. 23 | Runoff primary election, if required |
| Sept. 2 | Certification of results for primary |
| Sept. 24 | Absentee voting begins for the general election |
| Oct. 8 | Voter registration (in person) for the general election |
| Oct. 9 | Voter registration (postmark on a mailed application) for the general election |
| Nov. 8 | General election |
| Nov. 29 | Runoff general election, if required |
| Dec. 8 | Certification of results for general election |
Race background
Haley Barbour's popularity could rub off on his lieutenant governor, Phil Bryant, who is hoping to succeed him. Given Mississippi's Republican preferences, it likely won't be needed. In addition to Bryant, two new political faces have entered the race, retired Coast Guard Major General Hudson Holliday and businessman Dave Dennis.
Additionally, both the Secretary of State, Delbert Hosemann, and the State Treasurer, Tate Reeves, each a Republican, are potential entrants. Fewer Democrats are lined up at this early date; the only names officially in the race are businessman Bill Luckett and Mayor Johnny DuPree of Hattiesburg. Overall, at the gubernatorial level, Mississippi's Democratic bench is thin.[3]
Race tracking
- See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
| 2011 Race Rankings for Governor of Mississippi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race Tracker | Race Rating | |||
| The Cook Political Report | Likely Republican | |||
| Governing Politics | Safe Republican | |||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Solid Republican | |||
| The Rothenberg Political Report | Republican Favored | |||
| Overall Call | Likely Republican | |||
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Results |
| 2 Polls |
Results
| Governor of Mississippi, 2011 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | 61% | 544,851 | ||
| Democratic | Johnny DuPree | 39% | 348,617 | |
| Total Votes | 893,468 | |||
Candidates
Democratic
- Johnny DuPree, a realtor and the Mayor of Hattiesburg since 2001
Republican
- Phil Bryant, Haley Barbour's Lieutenant Governor, made his candidacy official on January 3, 2011.[4]
Former candidates
Reform
Independent
Results
| Governor - Democratic primary runoff results (Unofficial) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote Percentage | |
| Democratic Party | |
55% | |
| Democratic Party | Bill Luckett, Jr. | 45% | |
| Total Votes | 309,728 | ||
| Contents |
|---|
| 1 Results |
| 2 Candidates |
| 2.1 Democratic primary candidates |
| 2.2 Republican primary candidates |
| 2.3 Reform candidates |
| 2.4 Independent candidates |
| 3 Polls |
Results
| Gubernatorial Republican Primary election | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote Percentage | |
| Republican Party | James Broadwater | 1.2% | |
| Republican Party | |
59.5% | |
| Republican Party | Dave Dennis | 25.7% | |
| Republican Party | Hudson Holliday | 4.7% | |
| Republican Party | Ron Williams | 8.8% | |
| Total Votes | 289,788 | ||
| Gubernatorial Democratic Primary election | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote Percentage | |
| Democratic Party | William Bond Compton, Jr. | 9.8% | |
| Democratic Party | |
43.5% | |
| Democratic Party | |
39.2% | |
| Democratic Party | Guy Dale Shaw | 7.3% | |
| Total Votes | 412,530 | ||
In Mississippi, a majority of the primary vote is required in order to advance to the general election. Because neither DuPree nor Luckett, Jr. won a clear majority, the two will faced off in a primary runoff on August 23. Dupree won that contest, and with that win earned the Democratic seat on the ballot in November.
Candidates
Democratic
- William Bond Compton, Jr., a highschool teacher and previous gubernatorial candidate
- Johnny DuPree, a realtor and the Mayor of Hattiesburg since 2001
- Bill Luckett, Jr., an attorney, real estate developer, and business owner in Clarksdale.
- Guy Dale Shaw, a former tax assessor
Republican
- James Broadwater, running as a Tea Party candidate
- Phil Bryant, Haley Barbour's Lieutenant Governor, made his candidacy official on January 3, 2011.[5]
- Dave Dennis, the owner of a contracting business on Mississippi's Gulf Coast
- Hudson Holliday, a retired two-star General and small business owner
- Ron Williams
Reform
Currently, two groups claim to represent the official Reform Party of Mississippi. A determination has not been made by the State Board of Election Commissioners as to which group should be recognized as the official Reform Party of Mississippi.
Independent
Polls
Public Policy Polling conducted a telephone survey of 817 Mississippi voters, asking them which candidate they would vote for in a number of pair-ups. The following tables present their findings, which make it clear that the Republican party, regardless of which candidate goes to the general election, is very likely to win.
The margin of error for all surveys is +/- 3.4%.
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Bryant (R) | DuPree (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 56% | 25% | 19% | 817 |
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Bryant (R) | Luckett (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 53% | 27% | 20% | 817 |
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Dennis (R) | DuPree (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 41% | 28% | 31% | 817 |
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Dennis (R) | Luckett (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 43% | 25% | 32% | 817 |
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Holliday (R) | DuPree (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 37% | 28% | 35% | 817 |
| Date of Poll | Pollster | Holliday (R) | Luckett (D) | Undecided | Number polled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24-27 | Public Policy Polling | 38% | 28% | 34% | 817 |
The Secretary of State regulates campaign finance and maintains all records online.
Due dates for reports
|
Due dates for the 2011 primary season are as follows: Periodic report due May 10, 2011 Periodic report due June 10, 2011 Periodic report due July 8, 2011 48 hour primary reports due July 24-31, 2011 Pre-election primary report due July 26, 2011 48 hour run-off reports due August 14-21, 2011 Pre-election run-off report due August 16, 2011 |
Due dates for the 2011 general season are as follows: Periodic report due October 10, 2011 48 hour reports due October 30 - November 6, 2011 Pre-election report due November 1, 2011 48 hour run-off reports due November 20-27, 2011 Pre-election run-off report due November 22, 2011 |
- Italicized reports are only due if a run-off is required.
- 48-hour reports are due on all contribution over $200.
Nominees
Compton
| William Compton, Jr. Campaign Finance Reports[6] | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions | (Expenditures) | Cash on Hand | ||||
| Periodic Report | June 10, 2011 | $300.00 | $300.00 | $0 | $0 | ||||
| Periodic Report | May 10, 2011 | $300.00 | $300.00 | $0 | $0 | ||||
See also
- Gubernatorial elections, 2011
- Governor of Mississippi
- Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi
- Mississippi
External links
Campaign sites
Democrats
Republicans
Reform
References
- ↑ '"ReformParty.org, "Candidates: Mississippi," accessed September 20, 2011
- ↑ Chron.com, "2 candidates out of Miss. gov race, and 2 remain," September 9, 2011
- ↑ Majority in MS, "The 2011 Players (the Democrats)", December 31, 2009
- ↑ Clarion Ledger, "Bryant to make gov. bid official", January 3, 2011
- ↑ Clarion Ledger, "Bryant to make gov. bid official", January 3, 2011
- ↑ Mississippi Secretary of State, "Campaign finance filing results," Accessed July 7, 2011
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