Nevada's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Nevada's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 10, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Joe Heck Republican Party
Joe Heck.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely R[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Lean R[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[3]


Nevada U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Nevada.png
The 3rd Congressional District of Nevada will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
BattlegroundRace.jpg

Nevada's 3rd Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. However, the Cook Political Report and FairVote disagree on just how competitive this election will be. Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates Nevada's 3rd District as evenly matched between Democratic and Republican voters.[4] FairVote, on the other hand, rates the district as Likely R.[5] This could still make for a competitive race, but one that would most likely favor the Republican candidate. Republican incumbent Joe Heck has only been in office since 2011, but he won re-election in 2012 with a fairly safe 7.5 percent margin of victory. The district voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential election, but President Barack Obama won the district by a mere 0.8 percent margin of victory.

Bilbray won the June 10 Democratic primary by a wide margin of victory.[6] As of two weeks before the primary election, her challenger, Zachary Campbell, did not have a campaign website and had not done any significant advertising or fundraising. News articles simply referred to him as Bilbray's "little-known opponent."[7]

Incumbent Joe Heck ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. For the general election, Heck maintains a lead in the general election polls, but Bilbray contends that she will be able to close the gap.[8]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 14, 2014
June 10, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Nevada is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[9][10][11]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by May 10, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 14, 2014.[12]

See also: Nevada elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Joe Heck (R), who was first elected in 2010.

Nevada's 3rd Congressional District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes the portion of Clark County that is south of Las Vegas.[13]

Candidates

General election candidates


June 10, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Withdrew

Primary results

U.S. House, Nevada District 3 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngErin Bilbray 84% 13,203
Zachary Campbell 16% 2,510
Total Votes 15,713
Source: 99% reporting, Results via Associated Press Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

Race background

Republican incumbent Joe Heck's narrow re-election victory in 2012, combined with Obama's win over the district, signaled to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee that the 3rd District is vulnerable to partisan switch in 2014. As of January, 2013, the DCCC was already at work recruiting Democrats to take on incumbents in targeted districts.

According to a Roll Call report released on Jan. 22, the DCCC capitalized on the elite guest lists at events surrounding the presidential inauguration to vet potential candidates in three promising congressional districts, including Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray, who had expressed interest in the 3rd District seat prior to her arrival in Washington.[17][18]

Democratic Super PAC House Majority PAC listed incumbent Joe Heck as one of 10 they are targeting as vulnerable incumbent Republicans in 2014, with the focus on those holding competitive seats.[19]

Endorsements

Joe Heck

Joe Heck has received the following endorsements for his 2014 re-election campaign:

Erin Bilbray

Erin Bilbray has been endorsed by the following groups:[21]

Polls

General election polls

Joe Heck vs. Erin Bilbray
Poll Joe Heck Erin BilbrayUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Mellman Group, Inc. (April 21-23, 2014)
39%31%30%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Key votes

Government affairs

HR 676

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

Yea3.png On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans--Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas-- voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[22] Heck joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[23][24]

Campaign contributions

Joe Heck

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Heck's reports.[25]

Joe Heck (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[26]April 15, 2013$231,236.32$169,940.84$(108,345.45)$292,831.71
July Quarterly[27]July 15, 2013$292,831.71$431,795.36$(65,985.41)$658,641.66
October Quarterly[28]October 15, 2013$658,641.66$242,700.25$(78,984.17)$822,357.74
Year-End Quarterly[29]December 31, 2013$822,357$262,582$(69,240)$1,020,149
April Quarterly[30]April 15, 2014$1,020,149.60$365,086.36$(146,240.62)$1,238,995.34
Running totals
$1,472,104.81$(468,795.65)

Erin Bilbray

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Bilbray's reports.[31]

Erin Bilbray (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[32]October 14, 2013$0.00$253,158.62$(58,224.04)$194,934.58
Year-End[33]January 31, 2014$194,934.58$164,661.65$(114,072.54)$245,523.69
April Quarterly[34]April 15, 2014$245,523.69$271,528.27$(90,533.67)$426,518.29
Running totals
$689,348.54$(262,830.25)

Media

SEIU

Service Employees International Union (SEIU) launched an ad campaign on July 15, 2014, targeting four Republican incumbents in the U.S. House over their chamber’s inaction on immigration reform in 2014.

The ad campaign targeted Cory Gardner and Mike Coffman of Colorado, David Valadao of California and Heck of Nevada with a round of Spanish-language television ads for about two weeks. The ad buy was in the mid-six figures.[35]

Erin Bilbray


Introductory campaign video from Erin Bilbray[36]

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

The 3rd Congressional District of Nevada held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Joe Heck (R) won re-election. He defeated John Oceguera (D), Tom Jones (AI) and Jim Murphy (I) in the general election.[37] The primary was held on June 12.[38]

U.S. House, Nevada District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic John Oceguera 42.9% 116,823
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Heck Incumbent 50.4% 137,244
     Independent American Party of Nevada Tom Jones 2.1% 5,600
     Independent Jim Murphy 4.7% 12,856
Total Votes 272,523
Source: Nevada Secretary of State "U.S. House of Representatives Results"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Joseph Heck won election to the United States House. He defeated incumbent Dina Titus (D), Barry Michaels (I), Scott David Narter (Independent American) and Joseph P. Silvestri (L) in the general election.[39]

U.S. House, Nevada District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Heck 48.1% 128,916
     Democratic Dina Titus incumbent 47.5% 127,168
     Independent Barry Michaels 2.4% 6,473
     Independent American Scott David Narter 0.5% 1,291
     Libertarian Joseph P. Silvestri 1.5% 4,026
Total Votes 267,874

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 27, 2014
  5. FairVote, "2014 Elections in Nevada," accessed May 27, 2014
  6. Associated Press, "Nevada - Summary Vote Results," accessed September 10, 2014
  7. Las Vegas Review Journal, "Similar registration makes 3rd Congressional District race state’s most competitive," accessed May 27, 2014
  8. Las Vegas Review Journal, "Bilbray poll contends House race ‘wide open’," accessed May 27, 2014
  9. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  10. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  11. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  12. Long Distance Voter, "Voter Registration Rules," accessed January 3, 2014
  13. Nevada Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  14. Roll Call,' "DCCC Uses Inauguration to Tout Potential House Recruits," January 22, 2013
  15. Mother Jones, "Poker Champ Frank Kassela—a Democrat for One Week—Is Running for Congress," accessed November 5, 2013
  16. Law Vegas Sun, "Poker player Frank Kassela drops bid for Congress," accessed March 19, 2014
  17. Roll Call, "DCCC Uses Inauguration to Tout Potential House Recruits," January 22, 2013
  18. Raltson Reports, "Democratic national committeewoman exploring run against Rep. Joe Heck," January 9, 2013
  19. Sunshine State News, "Democratic Super-PAC Targets Steve Southerland" accessed March 8, 2013
  20. The Washington Post, "Mitt Romney returns to political stage as Republicans prepare for midterms," accessed May 27, 2014
  21. Erin Bilbray for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed March 26, 2014
  22. U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
  23. Yahoo News, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," accessed July 30, 2014
  24. Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Heck 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 22, 2013
  26. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  27. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  28. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 25, 2013
  29. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 12, 2014
  30. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Summary Report," accessed April 23, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray October Quarterly," accessed March 19, 2014
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Year End," accessed March 19, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
  35. Politico, "Service Employees International Union targets four House Republicans," accessed July 15, 2014
  36. YouTube, "Dedicated," accessed March 26, 2014
  37. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Nevada"
  38. Nevada Secretary of State, "2012 Congressional primary results," accessed May 5, 2014
  39. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013