Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010

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Breaking news

In the Nevada gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, Republican Brian Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid. Republican Jim Gibbons, the incumbent Governor was not expected to run for re-election but ultimately did choose to seek a second term. He was the only gubernatorial incumbent to lose his own party's nomination in 2010.

In the June 8, 2010 primary elections, Sandoval defeated Gibbons by a 2-to-1 margin for the GOP nomination while Reid easily defeated Frederick Conquest, his major competition among Democrats.

November 2, 2010 general election results

Results were certified official by the Nevada Supreme Court on November 23, 2010.[1]

Governor of Nevada, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Rory Reid 41.6% 298,171
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Sandoval 53.4% 382,350
     Green David Scott Curtis 0.6% 4,437
     Libertarian Arthur Forrest Lampitt 0.7% 4,672
     Independent Eugene DiSimone 0.9% 6,403
     Independent Aaron Y. Honig 0.4% 3,216
     Independent Floyd Fitzgibbons 0.7% 5,049
     NA None 1.7% 12,231
Total Votes 716,529


Inauguration and transition

Inaugural date

Governor-elect Brian Sandoval was sworn in on the steps of the state capitol on January 3, 2011 and gave his inaugural address immediately after.

Transition team

Governor-elect Brian Sandoval's transition site was at Sandoval Transition. Heidi Gansert served as Transition Leader, with Dale Erquiaga serving as the Assistant Transition Leader.[2]

At the former's invitation, Governor-elect Sandoval worked with outgoing Governor Jim Gibbons, who lost the GOP primary to Sandoval, to prepare Nevada's next budget, for the fiscal year beginning July 1, 2011. Varying forecasts predicted Nevada faced a budget shortfall of anywhere from $1 to $3 billion.[3]

Appointments in the Sandoval Administration

In addition to heading the transition, Heidi Gansert was named as Chief of Staff to Governor Sandoval along with Dale Erquiaga as Senior Adviser.

Current Director of the Department of Administration and budget director, Andrew Clinger was also been reappointed to his post.[4] Also renamed to their current posts were Caleb Cage as Director of Veterans Services, Susan Martinovich as Transportation Director, Director of the Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation Larry Mosley, and Health and Human Services Director Mike Willden.[5][6]

Additional new appointees were Ann Wilkinson as Deputy Chief of Staff and Mary-Sarah Kinner as Press Secretary. Wilkinson was previously Senior Assistant City Attorney for the city of Henderson, Nevada. Kinner was already part of Sandoval's team, having been Communications Director for the gubernatorial campaign.

June 8, 2010 primary

2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary[7]

Governor of Nevada, 2010
Candidate Vote % Votes
Frederick L. Conquest 14.7% 16,775
Green check mark transparent.pngRory Reid 70.1% 80,162
None 15.3% 17,454
Total Votes 114,391
Governor of Nevada, 2010
Candidate Vote % Votes
Tony Atwood 1.4% 2,440
Jim Gibbons Incumbent 27.2% 47,616
Stanleigh Harold Lusak 0.8% 1,380
Michael L. Montandon 12.6% 22,003
Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Sandoval 55.5% 97,201
None 2.5% 4,400
Total Votes 175,040


Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking

2010 Race Rankings Nevada
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[8] Likely Republican
Congressional Quarterly Politics[9] Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[11] Solid GOP
The Rothenberg Political Report[12] Currently Safe Republican
Overall Call Republican

Changes

2. Rothenberg moved race from "Republican Favored" to "Currently Safe Republican" in October 1st ratings.

1. Rasmussen moved races from "Leans GOP" to "Solid GOP" following September 4th polling.

Polling

When the 2010 season was still in it infancy, a Nevada News Bureau poll, published on November 23, 2009, indicated that if Goodman runs as an Independent, he will pull more votes from Democrat Reid than from Republican Sandoval. The automated poll included responses from 3,080 active voters.[13]

Date Pollster Sandoval Goodman Reid
November 19-20, 2009 P.M.I., Inc. 35% 28% 21%

General election polling

CNN/Time

2010 Race for Governor of Nevada - CNN/Time
Date Reported Reid (D) Sandoval (R) Other Don't Know
October 1-5, 2010[14] 33% 56% 10% -
September 10-14, 2010[15] 31% 58% 10% 1%
(Sample) n=789 MoE=+/- 3.5% p=0.05

Mason Dixon Polling

2010 Race for Governor of Nevada - Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date Reported Sandoval (R) Reid (D) Other Don't Know
September 20-22, 2010[16] 51% 37% 5% 7%
September 7-9, 2010[17] 52% 36% 4% 8%
(Sample) n=625 MoE=+/- 4.0% p=0.05

Rasmussen Reports

2010 Race for Governor of Nevada - Rasmussen Reports[18]
Date Reported Sandoval (R) Reid (D) Other Don't Know
October 17, 2010[19] 56% 37% 2% 4%
October 11, 2010[20] 55% 40% 3% 3%
October 5, 2010[21] 53% 40% 2% 5%
September 28, 2010[22] 53% 40% 2% 5%
September 13, 2010[23] 52% 39% 3% 5%
August 26, 2010[24] 52% 36% 3% 8%
July 27, 2010[25] 50% 40% 6% 4%
July 12, 2010[26] 57% 36% 3% 4%
June 22, 2010[27] 55% 33% 8% 4%
June9, 2010[28] 54% 31% 3% 13%
April 27, 2010[29] 53% 35% 6% 9%
March 31, 2010[30] 55% 34% 6% 4%
March 3, 2010[31] 53% 35% 7% 5%
February 3, 2010[32] 45% 33% 11% 12%
(Sample)[33] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Candidates

The November Ballot – Who Made It? Nevada Governor[34]
Nominee Affiliation
Rory Reid Democrat
Brian Sandoval Republican
David Scott Curtis Green
Arthur Forrest Lampitt Libertarian
Eugene “Gino” DiSimone Independent
Aaron Y. Honig Independent
Floyd Fitzgibbons - endorsed DiSimone Independent American Party
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.

Democratic

  • Frederick L. Conquest, professor of anthropology at the College of Southern Nevada
  • Rory Reid, Democratic Clark County Commissioner. Reid is the son of U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

Green

  • David Scott Curtis

Independent

  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone
  • Oscar Goodman, the Democratic mayor of Las Vegas, indicated he was considering a run as an Independent. However, on January 25, 2010, he decided he would not be running.[35]
  • Aaron Y. Honig

Independent American

  • Floyd Fitzgibbons

Libertarian

  • Arthur Forest Lampitt

Republican

Campaign spots

Rory Reid


Rory Reid for Governor' 'Plans' ad.

Rory Reid for Governor' 'Smart Kids' ad.

Rory Reid for Governor' 'Apple' ad.

Rory Reid for Governor' 'Brian Sandoval's Math' ad.

Brian Sandoval


Brian Sandoval for Governor' 'Remember Our Veterans' ad.

Brian Sandoval for Governor' 'Angry' ad.

Brian Sandoval for Governor' 'Dishonest' ad.

Brian Sandoval for Governor' 'Better' ad.

Republican Governors Association


Republican Governors Association' 'What Happens in DC Hurts in Nevada' ad.

Republican Governors Association' 'Rory, Son of Harry' ad.

An ad the RGA ran in the Nevada race used actual recordings of Democratic candidate Rory Reid, son of U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, arguing against using his last name in his campaign. What had been Rory Reid's attempt to distance himself from his unpopular father, battling his own re-election bid, became ammunition for the GOP.

Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[39]
Candidates Percentage
Keny C. Guinn (R) 51.63%
Jan Leverty Jones (D) 43.04%
Chuck A. Horne (IA) 1.73%
Terry C. Savage (L) 1.69%
(write-in) 2.92%
Total votes 433,630
2002 Gubernatorial Results[40]
Candidates Percentage
Kenny C. Guinn (R) 68.12%
Joe Neal (D) 21.97%
Dick Geyer (L) 1.60%
David G. Holmgren (IA) 1.40%
Jerry L. Norton (I) 1.10%
Charles Laws (I) 21.97%
(write-in) 4.69%
Total votes 503,539
2006 Gubernatorial Results[41]
Candidates Percentage
Jim Gibbons (R) 47.93%
Dina Titus (D) 43.92%
Christopher H. Hansen (IA) 3.44%
Craig O. Bergland (G) 1.16%
(write-in) 3.56%
Total votes 582,158




Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 49.52%
Al Gore (D) 45.98%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 50.47%
John Kerry (D) 47.88%
2008 Presidential Results[42]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 42.65%
Barack Obama (D) 55.15%


1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 34.73%
Bill Clinton (D) 37.36%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 42.91%
Bill Clinton (D) 43.93%

See also

External links

Candidate pages

References

  1. SilverState2010, "U.S Senate/Statewide Candidates," accessed November 12, 2010
  2. Sandoval Transition, "Sandoval Announces Transition Team Leadership," November 3, 2010
  3. Las Vegas Review Journal, "Sandoval positive about state budget: Incoming governor optimistic despite forecast of deep cuts," November 10, 2010
  4. Sandoval Transition, "Sandoval Announces Chief Of Staff And Other Positions," November 10, 2010
  5. Sandoval Transition, "Sandoval Announces Plans To Reappoint Director Of Veterans Services," November 11, 2010
  6. Sandoval Transition, "Sandoval Names Deputy Chief Of Staff And Press Secretary," November 15, 2010
  7. 7.0 7.1 Nevada Secretary of State, "Results of the 2010 Primary," accessed February 12, 2013
  8. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  9. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  10. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  11. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  12. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  13. Nevada News Bureau, "Poll Shows Sandoval Benefiting in Three-Way Race for Governor," November 23, 2009
  14. CNN/Time, “CNN/Time Opinion Research Poll: Connecticut, Missouri, Nevada, New York”, October 6, 2010
  15. CNN/Time, “CNN/Time Opinion Research Poll: Connecticut, Missouri, Nevada, New York”, October 6, 2010
  16. Las Vegas Review Journal, "GOVERNOR'S RACE: Poll: Reid chipping away at Sandoval's lead: Democrat trails among independents and on home turf," September 25, 2010
  17. Las Vegas Review Journal, “ELECTION 2010: Sandoval keeps large lead in governor race: Reid closes gap some but is still behind 16 percentage points ”, September 11, 2010
  18. Rasmussen Reports, “State Profiles: Nevada”, accessed August 30, 2010
  19. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) Pulls Further Ahead of Reid (D)”, October 19, 2010
  20. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Reid (D) Continues to Trail Sandoval (R)”, October 14, 2010
  21. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) Still Holds Steady Lead Over Reid (D)”, October 8, 2010
  22. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) Still Tops 50% Against Reid (D)”, September 29, 2010
  23. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) 52%, Reid (D) 39%”, September 16, 2010
  24. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) 52% Reid (D) 36%”, August 19, 2010
  25. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) 50%, Reid (D) 40%”, July 29, 2010
  26. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) 57%, Reid (D) 36% ”, July 14, 2010
  27. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Governor of Nevada: Sandoval (R) 55%, Reid (D) 33%”, June 25, 2010
  28. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Sandoval 54%, Reid 31% ”, June 11, 2010
  29. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Sandoval 53%, Reid 35% ”, April 29, 2010
  30. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Sandoval 55%, Reid 34%”, April 6, 2010
  31. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Rory Reid Now Trails Two GOP Hopefuls”, March 7, 2010
  32. Rasmussen Reports, “Governor of Nevada: Reid Trails Sandoval, Beats Other GOP Hopefuls ”, February 8, 2010
  33. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  34. Nevada Secretary of State, “Secretary of State's 1st Revised Certified List of Candidates to Appear on the November 2, 2010, General Election Ballot”, certified September 7, 2010
  35. Las Vegas Sun, "Las Vegas mayor Oscar Goodman holds press conference," January 25, 2010
  36. Nevada Appeal, "Gov. Gibbons files for re-election," March 12, 2010
  37. Reno Gazette Journal, "Governor of Nevada's race: Fallon retiree, Vegas investor also on ballot," May 16, 2010
  38. Nevada News Bureau, "Nevada Teachers Union Endorses Rory Reid for Governor," November 21, 2009
  39. Nevada Secretary of State, “1998 General Election Results“
  40. Nevada Secretary of State, “2002 General Election Results“
  41. Nevada Secretary of State, “2006 General Election Results“
  42. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010