New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014

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New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
September 9, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Maggie Hassan Democratic Party
Margaret Wood Hassan.jpg

New Hampshire State Executive Elections
Governor
Battleground Races
New Hampshire House of Representatives
New Hampshire State Senate
Possible trifecta for Democrats
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State executive offices in New Hampshire
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The New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) is running for re-election against Republican candidate Walter Havenstein. The winner of the election will serve a two-year term in office.

New Hampshire is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, but in order to do so, they have to choose a party before voting. This changes their status from unaffiliated to affiliated with that party, unless they fill out a card to return to undeclared status.[1] The primary was held September 9, 2014.

The gubernatorial race is not the only race on the November ballot that could shift the balance of power in New Hampshire. The New Hampshire House of Representatives and New Hampshire State Senate have been identified by Ballotpedia as two of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Both chambers and the governor's office could be held by a single party, which would turn New Hampshire into a state government trifecta. Learn more about the state's most competitive legislative races on the battleground chambers page.

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party Maggie Hassan - Incumbent
Republican Party Walt Havenstein[2]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Ian Freeman[3]
Democratic Party Clecia Terrio[3]
Republican Party Daniel Greene[3]
Republican Party Andrew Hemingway - former campaign manager for Newt Gingrich[4]
Republican Party Jonathan Smolin[3]

Did not file

Republican Party Brad Cook - attorney at Sheehan Phinney, secretary of the Business and Industry Association of New Hampshire[5]

Withdrawn candidates

Republican Party George Lambert - member of the New Hampshire House of Representatives, representing Hillsborough 44[6][7]


Results

Primary election

Democratic primary

Governor of New Hampshire, Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMaggie Hassan Incumbent 94.3% 37,098
Ian Freeman 4.1% 1,609
Clecia Terrio 1.7% 654
Total Votes 39,361
Election Results Via:NECN. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 95% precincts reporting.

Republican primary

Governor of New Hampshire, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngWalter Havenstein 55.6% 59,016
Andrew Hemingway 37.4% 39,747
Daniel Greene 4.7% 4,945
Jonathan Smolin 2.4% 2,507
Total Votes 106,215
Election Results Via:NECN. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 95% precincts reporting.

Debates

August 12 Republican debate

Republican candidates Walter Havenstein, Andrew Hemingway and Jonathan Smolin debated economic policy and casino gambling at Franklin Pierce University. Havenstein argued for a reduced tax on business profits and budget cuts that he claimed would produce 25,000 jobs by 2017. Hemingway proposed a flat income tax rate, a decreased corporate tax rate and reducing regulations to strengthen businesses. Smolin suggested that the state could reduce or eliminate college tuition to keep young workers in New Hampshire.[8]

The three primary opponents disagreed on the prospect of casino gambling in the state. Havenstein argued against casinos on the grounds that they wouldn't significantly improve the economy. Hemingway was more amenable to casinos, suggesting that current groups that run charity gambling operations could oversee new casinos. Smolin voiced support for a small number of casinos to provide a boost to New Hampshire's economy.[8]

All three candidates found consensus in their opposition to the Affordable Care Act and support for school choice in New Hampshire public schools.[8]

Polls

General election

General election - Major party candidates and "other" category
Poll Maggie Hassan Walter HavensteinOtherUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
New England College
September 19-20, 2014
52%39.6%3.8%4.6%+/-2.541,494
University of New Hampshire
September 29-October 5, 2014
46%36%2%16%+/-3.8532
New England College
October 3, 2014
51.4%41.3%3%4.4%+/-2.731,286
New England College
October 9, 2014
48.7%43.5%2.7%5.1%+/-2.981,081
CNN/ORC
October 18-21, 2014
51%45%0%4%+/-31,023
American Research Group Inc.
October 19-22, 2014
53%43%0%4%+/-4600
AVERAGES 50.35% 41.4% 1.92% 6.35% +/-3.18 1,002.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
General election - Hassan v. Havenstein
Poll Maggie Hassan Walter HavensteinUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
September 10-11, 2014
51%40%9%+/-4750
American Research Group, Inc.
September 12-15, 2014
48%40%12%+/-4.2544
American Research Group, Inc.
September 27-29, 2014
55%40%5%+/-4600
AVERAGES 51.33% 40% 8.67% +/-4.07 631.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary election and hypothetical match-ups

Hypothetical Match-up Poll Hassan vs. Republican candidates
Poll Maggie Hassan Daniel GreeneWalt HavensteinAndrew HemingwayJonathan SmolinMax AbramsonUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Suffolk University
June 14-18, 2014
53%13%0%0%0%3%30%+/--800
Suffolk University
June 14-18, 2014
51%0%19%0%0%3%28%+/--800
Suffolk University
June 14-18, 2014
51%0%0%17%0%3%29%+/--800
Suffolk University
June 14-18, 2014
52%0%0%0%15%3%31%+/--800
AVERAGES 51.75% 3.25% 4.75% 4.25% 3.75% 3% 29.5% +/-0 800
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Due to the nature of the match-up poll. A value of 0 was given to candidates not included in that round.

Republican gubernatorial primary
Poll Daniel Greene Walt HavensteinAndrew HemingwayJonathan SmolinUndecidedRefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Suffolk University
June 14-18, 2014
4%13%7%2%72%3%+/--419
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.



Campaign media

Maggie Hassan


Maggie Hassan ad: Problem Solver

Walt Havenstein


Walt Havenstein ad: Second Term

Outside organizations

National Rifle Association


NRA ad: Defend Freedom in New Hampshire, Defeat Maggie Hassan

Republican Governors Association


RGA ad: Too Little

Past elections

2012

Governor of New Hampshire General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaggie Hassan 54.7% 378,934
     Republican Ovide Lamontagne 42.6% 295,026
     Libertarian John J. Babiarz 2.8% 19,251
Total Votes 693,211
Election Results via New Hampshire Secretary of State.


2010

Governor of New Hampshire, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn H. Lynch Incumbent 52.6% 240,346
     Republican John Stephen 45% 205,616
     Libertarian John J. Babiarz 2.2% 10,089
     Nonpartisan Scattering 0.1% 537
Total Votes 456,588

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
June 13, 2014 Filing deadline
September 9, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election

Ballotpedia reports

To learn more about developments in this race, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:

Recent news

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See also

External links

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References