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New Hampshire state executive official elections, 2012

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One state executive position was up for election in 2012 in the state of New Hampshire. The New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, following a primary on September 11, 2012.

In September 2011, incumbent governor John Lynch (D) announced he would not seek another term in office. He explained that although "for me, being governor of the State of New Hampshire is the best job in the world [and] serving in this role is the highest privilege of my life, democracy demands periodic change. To refresh and revive itself, democracy needs new leaders and new ideas."[1]

Six candidates were eager to take Lynch up on his call to "refresh and revive" the state of New Hampshire: three Republicans and three Democrats ran in the primary elections. Ovide Lamontagne (R) made his second run for the state's top office; he ran unsuccessfully in 1996 but was the best known of the candidates and had a slight lead over all of the Democratic candidates in polling prior to the primary elections. Two former state Senators ran for the Democratic nomination, though neither Maggie Hassan nor Jackie Cilley was well known among New Hampshire voters who had, in the context of this election, been dubbed "an unengaged electorate."


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Governor

Democratic Party Maggie Hassan (D): former state senator Green check mark transparent.png[2]
Republican Party Ovide Lamontagne (R)
Libertarian Party John J. Babiarz (L)[3]

Governor of New Hampshire General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaggie Hassan 54.7% 378,934
     Republican Ovide Lamontagne 42.6% 295,026
     Libertarian John J. Babiarz 2.8% 19,251
Total Votes 693,211
Election Results via New Hampshire Secretary of State.


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Key dates

Deadline Event
June 6 - June 15 Candidate filing period
Sept. 4 Voter registration for primary election
Sept. 11 Primary election; absentee ballots due by 5:00 pm
Oct. 27 Voter registration for general election
Nov. 6 General election

Race tracking

See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
2012 Race Rankings - New Hampshire Governor
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[4] Leans Democratic
Governing Politics[5] Lean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Leans Democrat
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[7] No prediction yet
The Rothenberg Political Report[8] Safe Democrat
Overall Call

Race background

In New Hampshire, Democratic candidate Maggie Hassan was expected to "face an uphill climb" to keep the governor seat in the Democratic party's favor.[9]

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2011
2012
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Governor Primary

Democratic PartySeptember 11 Democratic primary candidates:
Republican PartySeptember 11 Republican primary candidates:
Libertarian PartyLibertarian candidates

General election candidates

October 23-28, 2012

Governor of New Hampshire: Hassan vs. Lamontagne
Poll Maggie Hassan Ovide LamontagneOther/undecidedJohn BabiarzMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
October 23, 2012
46%48%5%1%+/-4.5500
New England College
October 23-25, 2012
45%45%9%1%+/-4.1571
PPP
October 26-28, 2012
48%44%0%0%+/-3.3874
AVERAGES 46.33% 45.67% 4.67% 0.67% +/-3.97 648.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

May-October 14, 2012

Governor of New Hampshire: Hassan vs. Lamontagne
Poll Maggie Hassan Ovide LamontagneOther/undecidedJohn BabiarzMargin of ErrorSample Size
WMUR Granite State Poll
April 9-20, 2012
34%29%37%0%+/-4.2538
Public Policy Polling
May 10-13, 2012
39%40%21%0%+/-2.01,163
WMUR Granite State Poll
August 1-12, 2012
31%33%36%0%+/-4.1581
Public Policy Polling
August 9-12, 2012
45%43%12%0%+/-3.01,055
American Research Group
September 15-17, 2012
46%47%5%2%+/-4.2558
Rasmussen Reports
September 18, 2012
44%48%9%0%+/-4.5500
WMUR Granite State Poll
September 27-30, 2012
38%36%25%2%+/-3.9638
Rasmussen Reports
October 9, 2012
48%46%6%0%+/-4.5500
American Research Group
October 9-11, 2012
40%46%11%3%+/-4600
Suffolk University Political Research Center
October 12-14, 2012
41%38%16%4%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 40.6% 40.6% 17.8% 1.1% +/-3.88 663.3
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Republican primary

Governor of New Hampshire: Republican primary
Poll Ovide Lamontagne Kevin SmithOther candidate/UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
August 9-12, 2012
49%21%30%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Democratic primary

Governor of New Hampshire: Democratic primary
Poll Maggie Hassan Jackie CilleyOther candidate/UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
August 9-12, 2012
30%24%46%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

General election candidates

Maggie Hassan

Hassan received endorsements from:[13]

Ovide Lamontagne

Lamontagne received endorsements from:[16]

  • New Hampshire/Vermont Chapter of the Associated Builders and Contractors[17]
  • National Federation of Independent Business
  • Senator John McCain
  • The Eagle Tribune
  • Seacoast Online
  • The Nashua Telegraph
  • The Conway Daily Sun
  • The Concord Monitor
  • Businessman Steve Kenda
  • House Legislative Leadership Team
  • Foster's Daily Democrat
  • Sheriffs Craig Wiggin, Michael Downing, and Michael Prozzo
  • Executive Councilor Dan St. Hilaire
  • State senator Bob Odell
  • State senator Jim Forsythe
  • Former U.S. Senator Gordon Humphrey
  • Former New Hampshire House Speaker Gene Chandler

Primary election candidates

Jackie Cilley

  • State Employees' Association of New Hampshire[18]
  • Professional Fire Fighters of New Hampshire[19]
  • Gary Hirshberg, co-founder and ex-chief executive officer of Stonyfield Farm after previously considering a bid himself.[20]

General election

Ovide Lamontagne

On August 23, 2012, Republican candidate Ovide Lamontagne revealed his campaign had roughly $718,000 remaining from the nearly $1.2 million he had raised to that point.[21] Lamontagne had approximately $600,000 more cash on hand than any other candidate.

As of October 18, 2012, Lamontagne's campaign had a 2-1 lead over any other competitor in campaign funds.[22] Lamontagne had nearly $286,000 on hand, compared with a little more than $134,000 for Maggie Hassan's campaign.[22] Lamontagne's campaign reported that it raised nearly $302,000 since the September 11th Republican primary and had spent more than $274,000, leaving it with nearly $286,000 in the bank as of October 18, 2012.[22]

Maggie Hassan

Democratic candidate Maggie Hassan raised nearly as much as Lamontagne in fundraising prior to the primary election.[21] Of the $930,000 raised by Hassan's campaign, only $100,000 remained as of August 23, 2012.[21]

Hassan raised nearly $1.1 million prior to the September 11th Democratic primary but spent almost all of it to defeat challenger Jackie Cilley in order to take the Democratic nomination.[22] Hassan entered the general election with just $16,000 on hand, compared with $258,000 in the bank for Republican challenger Lamontagne. In the month following the primary election, Hassan raised more than $470,000, according to the report filed October 18, 2012, and she spent nearly $353,000, leaving her with a little more than $134,000 cash-on-hand.[22]

In a news release, Hassan's campaign reported that more than 2,100 individuals donated money since the September 11th Democratic primary.[22] Reports also showed that more than 5,500 people gave money to Hassan's campaign in total, with 77 percent giving $100 or less, according to the campaign's news release.[22]

Among Hassan's larger donors were famed filmmaker Ken Burns, a Walpole resident who gave Hassan a total of $3,500 including $1,000 on October 1, 2012 and Joseph Morone, the president and chief executive officer of Rochester-based Albany International, who donated $8,100 including $1,000 on September 28, 2012.[22]

John Babiarz

Babiarz reported $217.36 on hand as of October 16, 2012, having spent $522.64 and raised $740, including a $500 contribution from himself.[22]

Republican and Democratic Governors Association

The Republican Governors Association raised $88 million and the Democratic Governors Association collected $23.6 million, according to filings with the IRS in October 2012.[9] Both groups poured money into the tossup race in New Hampshire.

Live Free PAC

The Live Free PAC, which is funded by the Republican Governors Association, on October 17, 2012 reported spending nearly $5.81 million on the race.[22]

Primary election

Jackie Cilley

Jackie Cilley had $52,000 on hand as of August 23, 2012 from the $269,000 total that had been donated to her campaign.

Kevin Smith

Lamontagne's primary opponent, Kevin Smith, had $101,000 cash on hand on August 23, 2012 from the $342,000 his campaign raised to that point.[21]

See also

External links

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References

  1. NewHampshire.com, "Governor won't seek corner office again," September 19, 2011
  2. WMUR "General Election Results" accessed November 6, 2012
  3. New Hampshire Secretary of State, "Cumulative Filings" accessed September 13, 2012
  4. The Cook Political Report, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  5. Governing Politics, “Looking Ahead: The 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Landscape”, December 2, 2010
  6. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2011 Governor Ratings”
  7. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  8. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  9. 9.0 9.1 NPR "Republican Governors Gear Up For Election Gains" accessed October 18, 2012
  10. New Hampshire Public Radio, "New Hampshire Governor" accessed September 11, 2012
  11. AP Results, "New Hampshire Governor Election Results" accessed September 11, 2012
  12. New Hampshire Secretary of State, "Cumulative Filings" accessed September 13, 2012
  13. Maggie Hassan for Governor, "Endorsements," accessed August 11, 2012
  14. Huffington Post, "Bill Clinton to endorse Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire gubernatorial race," July 22, 2012
  15. Union Leader, "NEA endorses Democrat Hassan for NH governor" accessed August 16, 2012
  16. Ovide 2012, "Endorsements," accessed October 12, 2012
  17. Ovide 2012 "Associated Builders and Contractors Endorse Ovide for Governor" accessed October 12, 2012
  18. Fosters, "State employee union supports Cilley in governor's race," June 19, 2012
  19. Union Leader, "Cilley gets Fire Fighters' endorsement in bid to be NH governor," July 11, 2012
  20. Concord Monitor, "Ex-Stonyfield exec backs Cilley" accessed August 21, 2012
  21. 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 Concord Monitor, "Lamontagne leads money race" accessed August 24, 2012
  22. 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.5 22.6 22.7 22.8 22.9 Concord Monitor, "Lamontagne leads in campaign funding" accessed October 18, 2012