New York's 21st Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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New York's 21st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Bill Owens Democratic Party
Bill owens.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[3]


New York U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New York.png
The 21st Congressional District of New York will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
BattlegroundRace.jpg

New York's 21st Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. Both The Cook Political Report and FairVote rate this district's 2014 election as a toss up.[4][5] In 2012, although Democratic President Barack Obama won the district by a fairly safe 6.1 percent margin of victory, Democratic incumbent Bill Owens won by a mere 1.9 percent margin of victory. In addition, Owens is not running for re-election, leaving the seat open.

Democratic candidate Aaron Woolf did not face a challenger in the primary election, but the primary race between Republicans Elise Stefanik and Matt Doheny was more competitive. Stefanik was endorsed by the majority of Republican leaders in the district and had been campaigning significantly longer than Doheny. On the other hand, Public Opinion Strategies released a poll before Doheny had officially announced his candidacy showing Doheny with a significant lead over Stefanik. Stefanik had also received criticism for not being a native of New York's 21st District.[6] Despite these factors, Stefanik easily defeated Doheny in the June 24 Republican primary. Since Doheny also ran uncontested in the Independence primary, he will still be on the ballot in the November general election, but on July 25, 2014, Doheny stated that he would not be actively campaigning and endorsed Stefanik for the seat.[7]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 14, 2014
June 24, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: New York is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[8][9][10]

Voter registration: To vote in the federal primary, voters had to register by May 30, 2014. To vote in the state primary, voters must register by August 15, 2014.[11]

See also: New York elections, 2014

Incumbent: The district's incumbent, Bill Owens (D), who was first elected in 2009, announced that he would not seek re-election in 2014.

New York's 21st Congressional District is located in the northeastern portion of the state and includes Clinton, Franklin, St. Lawrence, Jefferson, Lewis, Hamilton, Essex, Warren, Washington and Fulton counties and parts of Saratoga and Herkimer counties.[12]

Candidates

General election candidates


June 24, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary


Conservative Party Conservative Primary


Independence Party of America Independence Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


Working Families Party Working Families Primary


Green Party Green Primary

Disqualified

Failed to file


Primary results

U.S. House, New York District 21 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngElise Stefanik 61% 15,292
Matt Doheny 39% 9,773
Total Votes 25,065
Source: Results via Associated Press Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

Race background

Before announcing his retirement in January 2014, incumbent Bill Owens (D) was a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[24]

The National Republican Congressional Committee added Elise Stefanik (R) to their "On the Radar" list in November 2013. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[25][26]

Independence Party filing

In addition to the Republican and Conservative parties, Elise Stefanik also tried to file with the Independence Party. However, the New York Board of Elections declared her petition to be invalid. The investigation arose after Stefanik accused her opponent in the Republican primary, Matt Doheny, of producing fraudulent signatures. Doheny retaliated by accusing Stefanik of the same offense, and the New York Board of Elections declared both Stefanik's Independence petition and Doheny's Conservative petition invalid.[27]

Youngest congresswoman

If elected in November, Elise Stefanik would be the youngest woman ever elected to the U.S. House of Representatives.[28] The record for youngest congresswoman thus far has been held by Elizabeth Holtzman (D-NY). Holtzman was elected in 1972 at the age of 31.[29]

Endorsements

Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik has received the following endorsements:

  • The Susan B. Anthony List Candidate Fund[30]
  • Several community and business leaders, listed on her website[31]
  • New York Assemblyman Dan Stec[32]
  • Rep. Paul Ryan[33]
  • The Essex County Board of Supervisors (14 out of 18 supervisors)[34]
  • The Franklin County Conservative Party[35]
  • Eleven of the 12 Republican county chairs in New York's 21st District[36]
  • The Support, Honor, Elect (SHE) PAC[37]
  • Mitt Romney[38]
  • Matt Doheny, Stefanik's rival in the GOP primary[7]

Aaron Woolf

Aaron Woolf has received the following endorsements:

Polls

Republican primary polls

Matt Doheny vs. Elise Stefanik
Poll Matt Doheny Elise StefanikMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies** (January 20-21, 2014)
49%13%+/-5.83283
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

**Note: Some news sources have called the accuracy of this poll into question, as Public Opinion Strategies previously worked for Doheny.[42]

General election polls

General election candidates
Poll Elise Stefanik (R) Aaron Woolf (D)Matt Funiciello (G)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Siena College Research Institute (September 4-9, 2014)
46%33%10%11%+/-4.0591
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


General election candidates if Doheny had won the Republican primary
Poll Matt Doheny (R) Aaron Woolf (D)Matt Funiciello (G)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies (May 19-20, 2014)
43%21%5%31%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

Aaron Woolf

Aaron Woolf released a campaign ad in September 2014 attacking his Republican opponent, Elise Stefanik, for being a "Washington-insider."[43]


Woolf 2014 campaign ad attacking Elise Stefanik

Matt Doheny

  • Matt Doheny discussed his campaign for Congress in his first 2014 campaign ad.[44]
  • American Crossroads, a conservative super PAC, released an attack ad against Doheny in early June of 2014. The ad criticized Doheny for losing three previous elections, being sued over not paying rent, being charged for boating while intoxicated and reportedly breaking labor laws.[45]



Matt Doheny's first 2014 campaign ad

American Crossroads ad attacking Doheny

Elise Stefanik


Stefanik 2014 campaign ad

Campaign contributions

Bill Owens

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Owens’ reports before he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2014.[46]

Bill Owens (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[47]April 15, 2013$15,447.11$165,782.76$(44,541.43)$136,688.44
July Quarterly[48]July 15, 2013$136,688.44$230,465.29$(60,722.51)$306,431.22
October Quarterly[49]October 15, 2013$306,431.22$212,991.29$(71,491.65)$447,930.86
Year-End Quarterly[50]December 31, 2013$447,930$181,879$(82,321)$547,488
Running totals
$791,118.34$(259,076.59)

Aaron Woolf

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Woolf's reports.[51]

Aaron Woolf (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[52]April 15, 2014$0.00$417,184.96$(13,779.89)$403,405.07
Running totals
$417,184.96$(13,779.89)

Elise Stefanik

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Stefanik's reports.[53]

Elise Stefanik (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[54]October 15, 2013$0.00$180,569.22$(15,712.59)$164,856.63
Year-End[55]January 31, 2014$164,856.63$75,035.52$(37,764.40)$202,127.75
April Quarterly[56]April 15, 2014$202,127.75$268,760.03$(120,062.43)$350,825.35
Running totals
$524,364.77$(173,539.42)

Matt Doheny

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Doheny's reports.[57]

Matt Doheny (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[58]April 15, 2014$0.00$542,167.00$(25,722.19)$516,444.81
Running totals
$542,167$(25,722.19)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Bill Owens (D) won re-election to the United States House. He ran in the 21st District due to redistricting in 2011. He defeated Matt Doheny (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, New York District 21 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Owens Incumbent 47.1% 126,631
     Republican Matthew Doheny 45.3% 121,646
     Green Donald Hassig 1.6% 4,174
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 6.1% 16,290
Total Votes 268,741
Source: New York State Board of Elections "U.S. House of Representatives Results"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Paul Tonko won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Theodore Danz (R) in the general election.[59]

U.S. House, New York District 21 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngPaul Tonko incumbent 56.9% 124,889
     Republican Theodore J. Danz, Jr. 39.1% 85,752
     Blank/Scattering Write-in 4% 8,784
Total Votes 219,425

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. The Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for September 12, 2014," accessed September 15, 2014
  5. FairVote, "2014 Elections in New York," accessed May 26, 2014
  6. North Country Public Radio, "NY21: Is Elise Stefanik a fresh new voice or a carpetbagger?," accessed May 26, 2014
  7. 7.0 7.1 Syracuse Media Group, "Matt Doheny endorses rival Elise Stefanik for Congress in NY-21," accessed July 28, 2014
  8. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  9. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  10. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  11. New York Board of Elections Website, "Register to Vote," accessed January 3, 2014
  12. New York Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  13. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Home," accessed March 11,2 014
  14. Capitol Confidential, "Matt Doheny to launch third bid for NY-21," accessed March 11, 2014
  15. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Home," accessed March 11,2 014
  16. Capitol Confidential, "Matt Doheny to launch third bid for NY-21," accessed March 11, 2014
  17. syracuse.com, "Democrats choose filmmaker Aaron Woolf to run for Congress in North Country," February 12, 2014
  18. syracuse.com, "Democrats choose filmmaker Aaron Woolf to run for Congress in North Country," February 12, 2014
  19. 19.0 19.1 19.2 19.3 New York Board of Elections, "Candidate Petition List," accessed April 14, 2014
  20. WWNY TV, "Macomb's Burke Announces Bid For Congress," accessed March 11, 2014
  21. 21.0 21.1 [http://www.wwnytv.com/news/local/Burke-Hassig-Kicked-Of-Ballot-In-Congressional-Race-257385061.html WWNY TV 7, " Burke, Hassig Kicked Off Ballot In Congressional Race," accessed May 19, 2014]
  22. Joe Gilbert for U.S. Congress, "About Joe", accessed October 24, 2013
  23. Email submission to Ballotpedia on December 30, 2013
  24. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  25. Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’" accessed November 21, 2013
  26. NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
  27. Watertown Daily Times, "Stefanik challenges Republican opponent Doheny’s ballot petitions," accessed May 19, 2014
  28. Politico, "George W. Bush insider vies to become youngest congresswoman," accessed September 10, 2014
  29. The Huffington Post, "Elise Stefanik May Become Congress' Youngest Woman Ever," accessed September 10, 2014
  30. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Release: Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Elise Stefanik in New York’s 21st District," accessed May 26, 2014
  31. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Stefanik Campaign Announces Community and Business Leader Endorsements," accessed May 26, 2014
  32. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Assemblyman Dan Stec endorses Elise Stefanik for NY-21," accessed May 26, 2014
  33. Time Warner Cable News, "Former V.P. candidate Paul Ryan to visit Watertown for Elise Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  34. Adirondack Daily Enterprise, "Essex County supervisors favor Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  35. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Franklin County Conservative Party endorses Elise Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  36. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Republicans Officially Endorse Stefanik For Congress," accessed May 26, 2014
  37. Post Star, "SHE PAC endorses Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  38. Syracuse, "Mitt Romney endorses Elise Stefanik for Congress in GOP primary," accessed May 27, 2014
  39. North Country Public Radio, "Owens endorses and campaigns with Aaron Woolf in NY21 race," accessed May 19, 2014
  40. Watertown Daily Times, "Woolf receives endorsement from Rep. Tonko in NY21 race," accessed May 19, 2014
  41. Roll Call, "Democrats Endorse Documentary Filmmaker for Owens’ Seat," accessed May 19, 2014
  42. WWNYTV, "Poll: Republicans Favor Doheny Over Stefanik For Congress," accessed May 26, 2014
  43. YouTube, "Storming out," accessed September 12, 2014
  44. YouTube, "Opportunity," accessed June 4, 2014
  45. National Journal, "American Crossroads Goes Negative Against Republican Candidate," accessed June 4, 2014
  46. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens Summary Report," accessed August 1, 2013
  47. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens April Quarterly," accessed August 1st, 2013
  48. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens July Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  49. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  50. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 13, 2014
  51. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Wolf Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  52. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Wolf April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  53. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  54. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik October Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  55. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik Year-End," accessed April 28, 2014
  56. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  57. Federal Election Commission, "Matt Doheny Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  58. Federal Election Commission, "Matt Doheny April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  59. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013