New York's 21st Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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New York's 21st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Bill Owens Democratic Party
Bill owens.jpg

New York U.S. House Elections
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2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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The 21st Congressional District of New York will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
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New York's 21st Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates this district as evenly matched between Democratic and Republican voters.[1] FairVote also rates the district as very closely matched, but predicts that the 2014 election will lean slightly Democratic with 51.9% of the vote.[2] In 2012, although Democratic President Barack Obama won the district by a fairly safe 6.1% margin of victory, Democratic incumbent Bill Owens won by a mere 1.9% margin of victory. In addition, Owens is not running for re-election, leaving the seat open.

Democratic candidate Aaron Woolf did not face a challenger in the primary election, but the primary race between Republicans Elise Stefanik and Matt Doheny was more competitive. Stefanik was endorsed by the majority of Republican leaders in the district and had been campaigning significantly longer than Doheny. On the other hand, Public Opinion Strategies released a poll before Doheny had officially announced his candidacy showing Doheny with a significant lead over Stefanik. Stefanik had also received criticism for not being a native of New York's 21st District.[3] Despite these factors, Stefanik easily defeated Doheny in the June 24 Republican primary. Since Doheny also ran uncontested in the Independence primary, he will still be on the ballot in the November general election, but on July 25, 2014, Doheny stated that he would not be actively campaigning and endorsed Stefanik for the seat.[4]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 14, 2014
June 24, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: New York is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[5][6][7]

Voter registration: To vote in the federal primary, voters had to register by May 30, 2014. To vote in the state primary, voters must register by August 15, 2014.[8]

See also: New York elections, 2014

Incumbent: The district's incumbent, Bill Owens (D), who was first elected in 2009, announced that he would not seek re-election in 2014.

New York's 21st Congressional District is located in the northeastern portion of the state and includes Clinton, Franklin, St. Lawrence, Jefferson, Lewis, Hamilton, Essex, Warren, Washington and Fulton counties and parts of Saratoga and Herkimer counties.[9]

Candidates

General election candidates


June 24, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary


Conservative Party Conservative Primary


Independence Party of America Independence Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


Working Families Party Working Families Primary


Green Party Green Primary

Disqualified

Failed to file


Primary results

U.S. House, New York District 21 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngElise Stefanik 61% 15,292
Matt Doheny 39% 9,773
Total Votes 25,065
Source: Results via Associated Press Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

Race background

Before announcing his retirement in January 2014, incumbent Bill Owens (D) was a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[21]

The National Republican Congressional Committee added Elise Stefanik (R) to their "On the Radar" list in November 2013. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[22][23]

Independence Party filing

In addition to the Republican and Conservative parties, Elise Stefanik also tried to file with the Independence Party. However, the New York Board of Elections declared her petition to be invalid. The investigation arose after Stefanik accused her opponent in the Republican primary, Matt Doheny, of producing fraudulent signatures. Doheny retaliated by accusing Stefanik of the same offense, and the New York Board of Elections declared both Stefanik's Independence petition and Doheny's Conservative petition invalid.[24]

Endorsements

Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik has received the following endorsements:

  • The Susan B. Anthony List Candidate Fund[25]
  • Several community and business leaders, listed on her website[26]
  • New York Assemblyman Dan Stec[27]
  • Rep. Paul Ryan[28]
  • The Essex County Board of Supervisors (14 out of 18 supervisors)[29]
  • The Franklin County Conservative Party[30]
  • Eleven of the 12 Republican county chairs in New York's 21st District[31]
  • The Support, Honor, Elect (SHE) PAC[32]
  • Mitt Romney[33]
  • Matt Doheny, Stefanik's rival in the GOP primary[4]

Aaron Woolf

Aaron Woolf has received the following endorsements:

Polls

Republican primary polls

Matt Doheny vs. Elise Stefanik
Poll Matt Doheny Elise StefanikMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies** (January 20-21, 2014)
49%13%+/-5.83283
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

**Note: Some news sources have called the accuracy of this poll into question, as Public Opinion Strategies previously worked for Doheny.[37]

General election polls

General election candidates
Poll Matt Doheny Aaron WoolfMatt FunicielloUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies (May 19-20, 2014)
43%21%5%31%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

Matt Doheny

  • Matt Doheny discussed his campaign for Congress in his first 2014 campaign ad.[38]
  • American Crossroads, a conservative super PAC, released an attack ad against Doheny in early June of 2014. The ad criticized Doheny for losing three previous elections, being sued over not paying rent, being charged for boating while intoxicated and reportedly breaking labor laws.[39]



Matt Doheny's first 2014 campaign ad

American Crossroads ad attacking Doheny

Elise Stefanik


Stefanik 2014 campaign ad

Campaign contributions

Bill Owens

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Owens’ reports before he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2014.[40]

Bill Owens (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[41]April 15, 2013$15,447.11$165,782.76$(44,541.43)$136,688.44
July Quarterly[42]July 15, 2013$136,688.44$230,465.29$(60,722.51)$306,431.22
October Quarterly[43]October 15, 2013$306,431.22$212,991.29$(71,491.65)$447,930.86
Year-End Quarterly[44]December 31, 2013$447,930$181,879$(82,321)$547,488
Running totals
$791,118.34$(259,076.59)

Aaron Woolf

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Woolf's reports.[45]

Aaron Woolf (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[46]April 15, 2014$0.00$417,184.96$(13,779.89)$403,405.07
Running totals
$417,184.96$(13,779.89)

Elise Stefanik

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Stefanik's reports.[47]

Elise Stefanik (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[48]October 15, 2013$0.00$180,569.22$(15,712.59)$164,856.63
Year-End[49]January 31, 2014$164,856.63$75,035.52$(37,764.40)$202,127.75
April Quarterly[50]April 15, 2014$202,127.75$268,760.03$(120,062.43)$350,825.35
Running totals
$524,364.77$(173,539.42)

Matt Doheny

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Doheny's reports.[51]

Matt Doheny (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[52]April 15, 2014$0.00$542,167.00$(25,722.19)$516,444.81
Running totals
$542,167$(25,722.19)

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Bill Owens (D) won re-election to the United States House. He ran in the 21st District due to redistricting in 2011. He defeated Matt Doheny (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, New York District 21 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Owens Incumbent 47.1% 126,631
     Republican Matthew Doheny 45.3% 121,646
     Green Donald Hassig 1.6% 4,174
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 6.1% 16,290
Total Votes 268,741
Source: New York State Board of Elections "U.S. House of Representatives Results"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Paul Tonko won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Theodore Danz (R) in the general election.[53]

U.S. House, New York District 21 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngPaul Tonko incumbent 56.9% 124,889
     Republican Theodore J. Danz, Jr. 39.1% 85,752
     Blank/Scattering Write-in 4% 8,784
Total Votes 219,425

See also

External links

References

  1. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 26, 2014
  2. FairVote, "2014 Elections in New York," accessed May 26, 2014
  3. North Country Public Radio, "NY21: Is Elise Stefanik a fresh new voice or a carpetbagger?," accessed May 26, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 Syracuse Media Group, "Matt Doheny endorses rival Elise Stefanik for Congress in NY-21," accessed July 28, 2014
  5. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  6. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  7. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  8. New York Board of Elections Website, "Register to Vote," accessed January 3, 2014
  9. New York Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  10. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Home," accessed March 11,2 014
  11. Capitol Confidential, "Matt Doheny to launch third bid for NY-21," accessed March 11, 2014
  12. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Home," accessed March 11,2 014
  13. Capitol Confidential, "Matt Doheny to launch third bid for NY-21," accessed March 11, 2014
  14. syracuse.com, "Democrats choose filmmaker Aaron Woolf to run for Congress in North Country," February 12, 2014
  15. syracuse.com, "Democrats choose filmmaker Aaron Woolf to run for Congress in North Country," February 12, 2014
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 New York Board of Elections, "Candidate Petition List," accessed April 14, 2014
  17. WWNY TV, "Macomb's Burke Announces Bid For Congress," accessed March 11, 2014
  18. 18.0 18.1 [http://www.wwnytv.com/news/local/Burke-Hassig-Kicked-Of-Ballot-In-Congressional-Race-257385061.html WWNY TV 7, " Burke, Hassig Kicked Off Ballot In Congressional Race," accessed May 19, 2014]
  19. Joe Gilbert for U.S. Congress, "About Joe", accessed October 24, 2013
  20. Email submission to Ballotpedia on December 30, 2013
  21. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  22. Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’" accessed November 21, 2013
  23. NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
  24. Watertown Daily Times, "Stefanik challenges Republican opponent Doheny’s ballot petitions," accessed May 19, 2014
  25. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Release: Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Elise Stefanik in New York’s 21st District," accessed May 26, 2014
  26. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Stefanik Campaign Announces Community and Business Leader Endorsements," accessed May 26, 2014
  27. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Assemblyman Dan Stec endorses Elise Stefanik for NY-21," accessed May 26, 2014
  28. Time Warner Cable News, "Former V.P. candidate Paul Ryan to visit Watertown for Elise Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  29. Adirondack Daily Enterprise, "Essex County supervisors favor Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  30. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Franklin County Conservative Party endorses Elise Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  31. Elise Stefanik for Congress, "Republicans Officially Endorse Stefanik For Congress," accessed May 26, 2014
  32. Post Star, "SHE PAC endorses Stefanik," accessed May 26, 2014
  33. Syracuse, "Mitt Romney endorses Elise Stefanik for Congress in GOP primary," accessed May 27, 2014
  34. North Country Public Radio, "Owens endorses and campaigns with Aaron Woolf in NY21 race," accessed May 19, 2014
  35. Watertown Daily Times, "Woolf receives endorsement from Rep. Tonko in NY21 race," accessed May 19, 2014
  36. Roll Call, "Democrats Endorse Documentary Filmmaker for Owens’ Seat," accessed May 19, 2014
  37. WWNYTV, "Poll: Republicans Favor Doheny Over Stefanik For Congress," accessed May 26, 2014
  38. YouTube, "Opportunity," accessed June 4, 2014
  39. National Journal, "American Crossroads Goes Negative Against Republican Candidate," accessed June 4, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens Summary Report," accessed August 1, 2013
  41. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens April Quarterly," accessed August 1st, 2013
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens July Quarterly," accessed July 30, 2013
  43. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  44. Federal Election Commission, "Bill Owens Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 13, 2014
  45. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Wolf Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  46. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Wolf April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  47. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  48. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik October Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  49. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik Year-End," accessed April 28, 2014
  50. Federal Election Commission, "Elise Stefanik April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  51. Federal Election Commission, "Matt Doheny Summary Report," accessed April 28, 2014
  52. Federal Election Commission, "Matt Doheny April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  53. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013