Ohio's 9th Congressional District elections, 2012

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2014



CongressLogo.png

Ohio's 9th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
March 6, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Marcy Kaptur Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Marcy Kaptur Democratic Party
Marcy Kaptur.jpg

Ohio U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Ohio.png
The 9th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur won the election.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
December 7, 2011
March 6, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Ohio has a mostly closed primary system, in which voters must vote in the same party's primary as in the previous election, or register with the other party to switch.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by February 5. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 7.[2]

See also: Ohio elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Marcy Kaptur (D), though because of redistricting, she will face a primary challenge from Dennis J. Kucinich, who represents Ohio's 10th District. Kaptur has represented the 9th District since 1983.[3]

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Ohio's 9th Congressional District is located in the northernmost portion of the state and includes portions of Lucas, Wood, Ottawa, Erie, Lorain, and Cuyahoga counties.[4]

On March 30, 2012, the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting.[5] The 9th District was included in the list.[5]

Politico rated the 9th District race between Dennis Kucinich and Marcy Kaptur one of the five ugliest member vs. member battles.[6]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Marcy KapturGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Samuel Wurzelbacher
Libertarian Party Sean Stipe


March 6, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Libertarian PartyLibertarian candidate

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, Ohio District 9 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMarcy Kaptur Incumbent 73% 217,771
     Republican Samuel Wurzelbacher 23% 68,668
     Libertarian Sean Stipe 3.9% 11,725
Total Votes 298,164
Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic Primary

U.S. House, Ohio's 9th Congressional District Democratic Primary Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMarcy Kaptur Incumbent 56.2% 42,902
Dennis J. Kucinich Incumbent 40% 30,564
Graham Vesysey 3.8% 2,900
Total Votes 76,366

Republican Primary

U.S. House, Ohio's 9th Congressional District Republican Primary Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSamuel Wurzelbacher 51.4% 15,166
Steven Kraus 48.6% 14,323
Total Votes 29,489

Race background

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in Ohio in 2012 as 1 of the 10 states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[10] Ohio tied with Pennsylvania for 9th on the list.[10]

Impact of Redistricting

See also Redistricting in Ohio

Following the 2010 Census, Ohio was forced to eliminate two of its 18 congressional seats. Other than Ohio, only New York lost two seats. Although Ohio still saw positive net growth (only Michigan lost population in the past decade), urban areas in the state saw steep population declines. Of Ohio's five largest cities -- Columbus, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Toledo and Akron -- only Columbus showed population growth (10.6% since 2000). Of the five, Cleveland suffered the sharpest decline, losing 17.1% its population.[11]

Taken together, these factors required legislators to cut a district from the Cleveland area. However, state lawmakers were bound to preserve (and expand) Marcia Fudge's (D) heavily African American 11th District due to provisions of the Voting Rights Act. From early in the process, outspoken Democratic Rep. Dennis Kucinich was seen as a likely target for Ohio's Republican-dominated legislature. Ultimately, the Ohio Legislature decided to eliminate Kucinich's 10th District and connect its remnants with an elongated District 9.

The decision set off a major primary battle between Kucinich and 9th District incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D). At first, the new district favored Kucinich, but revisions to the plan returned a number of Kaptur's old constituents to District 9.[12]

On March 30, 2012, the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting.[5] The 9th District was on the list.[5]

The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[13][14]

 Changes to Ohio's Ninth Congressional District  

Registration statistics

As of October 29, 2012, District 9 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Ohio Secretary of State:

Ohio Congressional District 9[15]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 9 475,188 97,587 48,344 329,257 Democratic 101.86% N/A
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Ohio's 9th District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[16]

  • 2012: 64D / 36R
  • 2010: 59D / 41R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Ohio's 9th Congressional District has a PVI of D+15, which is the 71st most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 68-32 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 64-36 percent over George W. Bush (R).[17]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Marcy Kaptur

Marcy Kaptur (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[18]March 31, 2012$422,910.87$264,334.12$(581,529.67)$105,715.32
July Quarterly[19]July 15$105,715.32$129,130.88$(74,132.45)$160,713.75
Running totals
$393,465$(655,662.12)

Samuel Wurzelbacher

Samuel Wurzelbacher (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[20]March 31, 2012$8,456.40$161,195.62$(87,170.51)$82,481.51
July Quarterly[21]July 15$82,481.51$95,722.81$(163,472.05)$14,732.27
Running totals
$256,918.43$(250,642.56)

Issues

Primary Endorsements

Democratic primary

Marcy Kaptur:

Dennis Kucinich:

Graham Veysey:

  • None found.
    Submit one here.

Republican primary

Samuel Wurzelbacher:

Steven Kraus:

Debates

February 4, 2012

On Saturday, February 4, candidates Kaptur, Kucinich, Veysey, and Kraus participated in a debate held at Sandusky's Ebenezer Baptist Church. The debate was hosted by the NAACP. Coverage of the debate can be found here.

February 13, 2012

On Monday, February 13, Democratic candidates Kaptur, Kucinich, and Veysey participated in a debate for Time Warner Cable's Northeast Ohio Network. Coverage of the debate can be found here.

February 20, 2012

On Monday, February 20, Democratic candidates Kaptur, Kucinich, and Veysey participated in a debate hosted by the City Club of Cleveland. Coverage of the debate can be found here. Full audio of the debate can be found here.

February 22, 2012

On Wednesday, Democratic candidates Kaptur, Kucinich, and Veysey participated in a debate hosted by the Coalition for Hispanic/Latino Issues & Progress (CHIP). Full video of the debate can be found here.

February 23, 2012

On Thursday, February 23, the Sandusky Register hosted a debate featuring the District 9 Democratic candidates. Full video of the debate can be found here.

Polls

District 9 Democratic Primary
Poll Marcy Kaptur Dennis J. KucinichGraham VeyseyUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
American Public Polling
February 20 – 27, 2012
39%35%10%16%+/- Not published200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

The following is a selection of audio and video for the District 9 candidates. Some were released by candidates, others by local media.

Marcy Kaptur


Marcy Kaptur, "Service 2012"[22]











Dennis Kucinich


Dennis Kucinich, "Kucinich Speaks for Unemployed"[23]












Graham Veysey


Graham Veysey, "It's Halftime Northern Ohio"[24]












Samuel Wurzelbacher


WUPW, "Joe The Plumber to run for Ohio's 9th District"[25]













Steven Kraus


Steve Kraus, "Steve Kraus on Energy"[26]













Sean Stipe


Sean Stipe, "Biden calls on Libertarians"[27]












District History

2010

On November 2, 2010, Kaptur won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. She defeated Rich Iott in the general election.[28]

U.S. House of Representatives, Ohio Congressional District 9 Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMarcy Kaptur Incumbent 59.4% 121,819
     Republican Rich Iott 40.6% 83,423
Total Votes 205,242

See also

External links

References

  1. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Ohio"
  2. Ohio Secretary of State, "FAQ," accessed June 29, 2012
  3. Fox 8 Cleveland Kucinich seeks re-election in new Ohio district December 6, 2011
  4. Ohio Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 9, 2012
  5. 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 National Journal, "Modern Gerrymanders: 10 Most Contorted Congressional Districts—MAPS" accessed March 31, 2012
  6. Politico, "Congress 2012: The 5 ugliest member vs. member battles" accessed April 18, 2012
  7. Fox Toledo "Veysey enters tight 9th District race" accessed January 16, 2012
  8. Politico Joe the Plumber running for Congress in Ohio's 9th Congressional District December 6, 2011
  9. Toledo Blade "Auctioneer from Huron to oppose Plumber accessed January 16, 2012
  10. 10.0 10.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012" accessed April 25, 2012
  11. Examiner.com, "4 of 5 big Ohio cities, counties lose people, Whites still dominate, Census says," March 10, 2011
  12. The Hill, "Democratic Reps. Kucinich and Kaptur brace for House survival showdown," December 22, 2011
  13. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Ohio's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  14. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  15. Ohio Secretary of State, "Precinct-By-Precinct Data," March 6, 2012
  16. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Ohio," September 2012
  17. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Marcy Kaptur April Quarterly," accessed July 14, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Marcy Kaptur July Quarterly," accessed October 5, 2012
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Samuel Wurzelbacher April Quarterly," accessed July 14, 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Samuel Wurzelbacher July Quarterly," accessed October 5, 2012
  22. Roll Call YouTube channel
  23. DJKucinich YouTube channel
  24. Graham Veysey for Congress YouTube channel
  25. WUPW YouTube channel
  26. TeamKraus YouTube channel
  27. SeanStipe YouTube channel
  28. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"