Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014

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2010

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Ohio Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
May 6, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winners:
John Kasich Republican Party
Mary Taylor Republican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
John Kasich Republican Party
Mary Taylor Republican Party
John R Kasich.jpg

Ohio State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor

Current trifecta for Republicans
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State executive offices in Ohio
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The Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbents John Kasich (R) and Mary Taylor first won election in 2010 and ran for re-election successfully in 2014.[1] Kasich and Taylor defeated Democratic candidates Ed FitzGerald and Sharen Neuhardt as well as Green Party candidates Anita Rios and Bob Fitrakis to new four-year terms.[2][3]

Ohio is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Only affiliated voters can vote for candidates in the primary election; however, voters do not choose their affiliation until election day, when they request a party's ballot.[4]

Candidates

General election

Republican Party John Kasich/Mary Taylor Green check mark transparent.png - Incumbents [5]
Democratic Party Ed FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt[6][7]
Green Party Anita Rios/Bob Fitrakis[8][9]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Larry Ealy/Ken Gray[10]

Disqualified

Green Party Dennis S. Spisak/Suzanne Patzer[11]
Libertarian Party Charlie Earl/Sherry Clark[12][13]

Declined to run or withdrew

Democratic Party Tim Ryan - U.S. House Rep. Ohio's 13th Congressional District[14][15]
Democratic Party Betty Sutton - Former 13th District House Rep.[14][16]
Democratic Party Richard Cordray - Director of the United States Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and former attorney general, state treasurer[14]
Democratic Party Todd Portune - Hamilton County Commissioner[17][18]

Results

General election

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kasich/Mary Taylor Incumbent 63.8% 1,922,436
     Democratic Ed FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt 32.9% 989,201
     Green Anita Rios/Bob Fitrakis 3.3% 99,415
Total Votes 3,011,052
Election Results via New York Times. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 100% precincts reporting.

Primary election

Democratic primary

Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio - Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngEd FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt 83.2% 362,781
Larry Ealy/Ken Gray 16.8% 73,346
Total Votes 436,127
Election Results Via:WBNS-10TV Election Results. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 100% precincts reporting.


Republican primary

  • Uncontested

Race background

Incumbent Republican John Kasich appeared to be vulnerable in late 2013, as it looked like he would face a primary challenge from the right and a general election made difficult by a full slate of Ohio Libertarian Party candidates. These challenges faded in early 2014, as Kasich faced no primary challengers and the Libertarian gubernatorial candidate was disqualified. Though he still faced two opponents, Democratic Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios, polling in May 2014 showed Kasich with improved ratings and a growing lead.[19]

In August 2014, The Washington Post reported on a series of setbacks for FitzGerald, including poor fundraising, a long-delayed driver's license, an unusual occurrence with a foreign trade representative and a major staff turnover.[20] These events took a heavy toll on FitzGerald's poll numbers, as Kasich's lead widened from single digits to 30 percent in September, according to a Columbus Dispatch poll.[21]

Potential candidates
See also: Ballot access requirements in Ohio

U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan had been considered a strong potential Democratic candidate for the 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election, but ultimately opted against entering the race in March of 2013. He decided that challenging incumbent Gov. John Kasich (R) was not worth forfeiting his seat in the U.S. House, particularly in light of his reappointment to the influential Appropriations Committee in the 113th Congress.[22] [23][24]

Tea Party primary challenge

Ted Stevenot, an Ohio Tea Party leader, had planned to announce a primary challenge to incumbent Governor Kasich.[25] In early January 2014, however, Stevenot and his running mate, Brenda Mack, decided not to challenge Kasich.[26] In his prepared statement, Stevenot said that his running mate's financial history, which had been the subject of recent critical news coverage, was not part of his consideration to withdraw.[27]

Signature controversies
Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party of Ohio had intended to file a full slate of candidates to contest each election. All of these candidates failed to make it on to the ballot because the Ohio Secretary of State threw out enough signatures to disqualify them.[28]

On March 7, 2014, the Libertarian gubernatorial ticket was stricken from the ballot, having initially gotten the Secretary of State's approval, after a legal challenge from a self-identified Libertarian voter.[29] The challenge alleged that Charlie Earl's signature-gathering effort had been led by Democrats but Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted struck Charlie Earl from the ballot on a technicality instead of accepting this reasoning. He found that some of the signature gatherers had failed to properly identify their employer on the correct form and therefore threw out the signatures they had gathered.[30] The legal challenge may affect more than this one candidacy: according to Ballot Access News, "With no gubernatorial candidate on the November ballot, the party will lose its status as a qualified party," which could have consequences in future elections.[31] The Libertarian Party of Ohio failed to win an injunction against this disqualification twice at the district court level and, after a similarly unsuccessful appeal to the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court for emergency relief that would have allowed Charlie Earl to appear on the May 6 primary ballot. The Supreme Court declined to hear the case.[32]On May 2, The Supreme Court rejected the petition.[33] On June 4, a petition for re-hearing before the full Sixth Circuit was rejected, leaving an appeal to the district court as the only possible source of redress.[34][35]

This is one of several complications arsing from new ballot access rules. The rules set vote thresholds that no third parties had met. They would effectively eliminate third parties from the May primary ballots. As it stands, only two Green Party and two Libertarian candidates will be in the general and all four were emergency write-in candidates, not their parties' original choices, who qualified for the general election by receiving enough write-in votes in the primary. Additionally, with no candidate for governor, the Libertarian Party of Ohio will cease to exist as a political party with ballot placement as it cannot achieve the 2 percent of votes necessary to retain its status.[32]

Green Party

Both of the Green Party's candidates were also disqualified for signature-related issues. Two alternative candidates filed to run as write-ins on the Green Party line: Anita Rios and Bob Fitrakis for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, respectively. To get on the November ballot, Rios and Fitrakis needed to receive 500 write-in votes in the primary on May 6. They succeeded and participated in the general election.[36]

Polls

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
February 12-17, 2014
43%38%19%+/-2.71,370
Magellan Strategies for the Liberty Foundation of America
April 14-15, 2014
47%41%12%+/-3.35857
SurveyUSA
April 24-28, 2014
46%36%18%+/-4618
Rasmussen Reports
May 7-8, 2014
45%38%17%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac
May 7-12, 2014
50%35%14%+/-2.91,174
YouGov
July 7-24, 2014
49%43%8%+/-03,624
Qunnipiac
July 24-28, 2014
48%36%16%+/-2.71,366
YouGov
August 18, September 2, 2014
50%37%13%+/-3.02,978
Rasmussen Reports
September 8-9, 2014
50%30%20%+/-4.0780
Columbus Dispatch
September 3-12, 2014
59%29%10%+/-2.71,185
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
54%35%11%+/-32,728
The Columbus Dispatch
October 22-31, 2014
62%34%4%+/-3.31,009
AVERAGES 50.25% 36% 13.5% +/-2.97 1,536.58
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Ohio Governor's Race 2014
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldCharlie EarlNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
(November 5-6, 2013)
41%41%6%13%+/-4.0595
Public Policy Polling
(December 6-8, 2013)
40%38%6%16%+/-3.11,011
AVERAGES 40.5% 39.5% 6% 14.5% +/-3.55 803
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Potential match-ups

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%33%20%+/-3.2941
Public Policy Polling
(August 16-19, 2013)
35%38%27%+/-4.2551
Quinnipiac University Poll
(November 19-24, 2013)
44%37%19%+/-2.71,361
AVERAGES 42% 36% 22% +/-3.37 951
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Cordray
Poll John Kasich Richard CordrayOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%36%18%+/-3.2941
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Money in the race

Mid-year campaign financial reports detailing the first six months of the year were due on July 31, 2013. Incumbent Kasich reported about $4.4 million on hand at the end of June, raising nearly $2.6 million in the first half of the year. Challenger Ed FitzGerald brought in over $600,000, leaving him with $544,000 on hand.[37]

Campaign media

Ed FitzGerald


Ed FitzGerald ad: Working

John Kasich


John Kasich ad: Purpose

Past elections

2010

Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kasich/Mary Taylor 49% 1,889,186
     Democratic Ted Strickland/Yvette McGee Brown Incumbent 47% 1,812,059
     Libertarian Ken Matesz/Margaret Ann Leech 2.4% 92,116
     Green Dennis Spisak/Anita Rios 1.5% 58,475
     Write-In David Sargent 0% 633
Total Votes 3,852,469
Election Results Via: Ohio Secretary of State

2006

Governor of Ohio, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTed Strickland 60.5% 2,435,505
     Republican J. Kenneth Blackwell 36.6% 1,474,331
     Non-Partisan William S. Peirce 1.8% 71,437
     Non-Partisan Robert Fitrakis 1% 40,967
     Write-In James Lundeen 0% 579
     Write-In Larry Bays 0% 73
Total Votes 4,022,892
Election Results Via: Ohio Secretary of State

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 82,596,338 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 36.4 percent of the VEP.[38] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[39]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[40]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Indiana (28 percent), Texas (28.5 percent) and Utah (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (59.3 percent), Wisconsin (56.9 percent) and Alaska (55.3 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[41]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes for top office  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,200,000 33.5 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 290,000 55.3 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,550,000 34.4 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 875,000 41.2 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,750,000 31.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,025,000 53.0 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,089,880 42.3 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney general 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 150,000 30.3 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 5,951,561 42.7 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,575,000 38.2 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 366,125 36.2 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 440,000 39.1 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,550,000 39.5 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,350,000 28.0 Secretary of state 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,150,000 50.6 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 875,000 42.8 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,440,000 44.2 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 625,000 59.3 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,750,000 41.9 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,150,000 43.9 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,151,835 42.7 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 2,025,000 51.3 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 650,000 29.7 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,450,000 32.3 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 365,000 46.1 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 550,000 41.3 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 600,000 31.8 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 500,000 48.8 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,825,000 30.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 550,000 38.3 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,900,000 28.8 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,900,000 40.7 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 248,670 43.8 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,150,000 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 825,000 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,500,000 52 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,500,000 36.1 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 325,000 41.7 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,246,301 34.8 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 279,412 44.5 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,400,000 29.1 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,750,000 28.5 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 550,000 28.8 Attorney general 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,200,000 36.7 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,050,000 41.6 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 460,000 31.8 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,425,000 56.9 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 38.7 Governor 52,703 33.6
United States 82,596,338 36.4

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on November 19, 2014. The results in this table draw from unofficial results as of November 12, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
February 5, 2014 Filing deadline
May 6, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
November 25, 2014 Completion of state canvass of vote results
January 12, 2015 Inauguration of all state-wide executive officeholders

Recent news

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All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Ohio Gubernatorial elections News Feed

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See also

External links

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References

  1. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  2. Cincinnati.com, "Election 2014," accessed November 4, 2014
  3. NBC News, "Decision 2014 – Ohio Governor," accessed November 4, 2014
  4. Ohio Secretary of State Website, "Frequently Asked Questions about General Voting and Voter Registration," accessed January 3, 2014
  5. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  6. The Plain Dealer, "Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald files paperwork needed to intensify gubernatorial run (video)," March 11, 2013
  7. The Columbus Dispatch, "Ed FitzGerald names Sharen Neuhardt as running mate," February 6, 2014
  8. The Plain Dealer, "Libertarian, Green parties post write-in candidates for primary in hopes of reaching November ballot," February 26, 2014
  9. Ohio Secretary of State, "Results," accessed May 9, 2014
  10. Ohio Secretary of State, "SECRETARY OF STATE JON HUSTED RECEIVES STATEWIDE CANDIDATE PETITIONS FOR MAY PRIMARY," February 6, 2014
  11. Cleveland.com, "Green Party candidate Dennis Spisak plans second bid for governor," November 25, 2013
  12. Facebook, "Earl and Clark for Ohio," accessed August 29, 2013
  13. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  15. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  16. The Plain Dealer, "Former Rep. Betty Sutton will not run for governor," March 22, 2013
  17. WCPO Cincinnati, "Hamilton County Commissioner Todd Portune announces bid for Ohio governor mansion," December 31, 2013
  18. The Plain Dealer, "Todd Portune ends exploration of governor's race," February 4, 2014
  19. Quinnipiac, "Ohio Gov Roars Past Little Known Challenger, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For Life Options Outweighs Death Penalty," May 14, 2014
  20. The Washington Post, "The remarkable implosion of Ed FitzGerald," August 26, 2014
  21. Columbus Dispatch, "Ohio governor: Kasich ahead by 30 points in new poll," September 14, 2014
  22. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  23. The Plain Dealer-Sun News, "Rep. Tim Ryan considering a run for Ohio governor," April 25, 2012
  24. Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  25. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea party leader takes first step toward challenging John Kasich in GOP primary," January 6, 2014
  26. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea Party primary challenge to Kasich fizzles," January 6, 2014
  27. Ohio Liberty Coalition, "Stevenot Decides Not to Run for Governor," January 6, 2014
  28. The Plain Dealer, "Ed FitzGerald faces only primary among statewide candidates; Libertarians fail to field full slate," March 10, 2014
  29. Akron Beacon Journal Online, "Libertarian governor candidate challenged in Ohio," March 10, 2014
  30. The Republic, "Ohio elections chief disqualifies 2 Libertarian candidates from May primary after protests," March 10, 2014
  31. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  32. 32.0 32.1 Libertarian Party of Ohio v. Jon Husted, "APPLICATION FOR STAY AND EMERGENCY INJUNCTION ADDRESSED TO JUSTICE KAGAN," accessed May 2, 2014
  33. The Republic, "Ohio Libertarians' ballot plea denied at US Supreme Court, re-filed with 2nd justice," May 2, 2014
  34. Ballot Access News, "Sixth Circuit Won’t Rehear Ohio Libertarian Party Ballot Access Case," June 4, 2014
  35. Seymour Tribune, "Legal options trimmed for Libertarian Ohio governor candidate; federal court won't rehear case," June 4, 2014
  36. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Green Party Still Has Chance to Qualify its Gubernatorial Candidate for the November Ballot," March 24, 2014
  37. The Bellingham Herald, "Ohio gov holds $4.4M in campaign cash for 2014 bid," July 31, 2013
  38. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  39. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  40. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  41. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014