Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2014

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Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
June 24, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Mary Fallin Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mary Fallin Republican Party
Fallin.jpg

Oklahoma State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor, Superintendent, Insurance Commissioner, Labor Commissioner

Current trifecta for Republicans
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State executive offices in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.png
The Oklahoma gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Mary Fallin (R) was first elected in 2010 and was running for re-election. The general election ballot featured Fallin, Democratic candidate Joe Dorman and independent candidates Richard Prawdzienski and Kimberly Willis. Fallin won another four-year term in office.

The governor's office shifted from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party with Fallin's 2010 victory. Recent elections have not gone down to the wire as Brad Henry (D) and Fallin won by at least 20 percent in 2006 and 2010, respectively.

Oklahoma is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote, so an unaffiliated voter must be authorized by a party in order to vote in the primary.[1]

Both legislative chambers and the governor's office were held by a single party prior to the general election, making Oklahoma a state government trifecta. If Dorman had won the 2014 election, the state would have lost trifecta status. Learn more about the latest developments in state government trifectas by clicking here.

Candidates

General election

Republican Party Mary Fallin - Incumbent[2][3]Green check mark transparent.png
Democratic Party Joe Dorman - State representative[4]
Independent Richard Prawdzienski - Former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party[5]
Independent Kimberly Willis[6]

Lost in primary

Republican Party Chad Moody[6]
Republican Party Dax Ewbank[6]

Removed from ballot

Independent Joe Sills[6][7]

Withdrawn

Republican Party Randy Brogdon - Former state senator[8][9]
Democratic Party RJ Harris - Businessman, 2012 Independent candidate for Congress[10][11]

Results

General election

Governor of Oklahoma, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMary Fallin Incumbent 55.8% 460,298
     Democratic Joe Dorman 41% 338,239
     Independent Kimberly Willis 2.1% 17,169
     Independent Richard Prawdzienski 1.1% 9,125
Total Votes 824,831
Election Results via Oklahoma State Election Board.

Primary election

Republican primary

Governor of Oklahoma, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMary Fallin 75.5% 200,035
Chad Moody 15.4% 40,839
Dax Ewbank 9.1% 24,020
Total Votes 264,894
Election Results Via:Oklahoma State Election Board.

Democratic primary

  • Uncontested

Race background

Recent Republican strength

Oklahoma has elected Republicans to federal offices for decades but Democrats controlled much of state government through the early 21st century. The Democrats held the state legislature as recently as 2004 and controlled the governor's office until the 2010 elections when current incumbent Mary Fallin defeated Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins (D). Since 2010, Oklahoma has been strongly Republican at the state level and confirmed this assessment with Fallin's re-election in 2014.

General election issues

Fallin has been a popular governor, with her approval ratings hanging around 60 percent through spring 2014.[12] Her challenger, Joe Dorman, is a conservative state representative who has made much of his campaign about education reform in Oklahoma.[13] An important piece of Dorman's education pitch is his opposition to the Common Core State Standards Initiative. Governor Fallin signaled her opposition to Common Core by signing legislation on June 5 to repeal Common Core standards in Oklahoma.[14]

Fallin's polling rollercoaster

In mid-July, a Rasmussen poll found a much closer race than expected between Fallin and Dorman.[15] A July poll also showed Fallin's popularity and job approval ratings falling to around 50 percent.[16] By mid-October, Fallin's poll numbers had rebounded with successive polls showing a 24-point lead over Dorman.[17]

Polls

Oklahoma Governor's Race 2014 - Fallin vs. Dorman
Poll Mary Fallin * (R) Joe Dorman (D)Other/UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
July 15-16, 2014
45%40%15%+/-4750
Sooner Survey
July 20-25. 2014
44%31%26%+/-4.3500
News9/SoonerPoll
August 28-30, 2014
50%32%18%+/-4603
YouGov
August 18-September 2, 2014
53%35%18%+/-5821
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
56%32%12%+/-5995
AVERAGES 49.6% 34% 17.8% +/-4.46 733.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Note: An asterisk (*) denotes incumbent status.

Past elections

2010

Governor of Oklahoma, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMary Fallin 60.4% 625,506
     Democratic Jari Askins 39.6% 409,261
Total Votes 1,034,767
Election Results Via: Oklahoma State Election Board

2006

Governor of Oklahoma, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBrad Henry 66.5% 616,135
     Republican Ernest Istook 33.5% 310,327
Total Votes 926,462
Election Results Via: Oklahoma State Election Board

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 82,596,338 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 36.4 percent of the VEP.[18] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[19]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[20]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Indiana (28 percent), Texas (28.5 percent) and Utah (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (59.3 percent), Wisconsin (56.9 percent) and Alaska (55.3 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[21]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes for top office  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,200,000 33.5 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 290,000 55.3 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,550,000 34.4 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 875,000 41.2 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,750,000 31.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,025,000 53.0 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,089,880 42.3 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney general 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 150,000 30.3 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 5,951,561 42.7 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,575,000 38.2 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 366,125 36.2 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 440,000 39.1 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,550,000 39.5 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,350,000 28.0 Secretary of state 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,150,000 50.6 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 875,000 42.8 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,440,000 44.2 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 625,000 59.3 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,750,000 41.9 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,150,000 43.9 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,151,835 42.7 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 2,025,000 51.3 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 650,000 29.7 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,450,000 32.3 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 365,000 46.1 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 550,000 41.3 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 600,000 31.8 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 500,000 48.8 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,825,000 30.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 550,000 38.3 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,900,000 28.8 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,900,000 40.7 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 248,670 43.8 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,150,000 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 825,000 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,500,000 52 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,500,000 36.1 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 325,000 41.7 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,246,301 34.8 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 279,412 44.5 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,400,000 29.1 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,750,000 28.5 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 550,000 28.8 Attorney general 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,200,000 36.7 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,050,000 41.6 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 460,000 31.8 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,425,000 56.9 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 38.7 Governor 52,703 33.6
United States 82,596,338 36.4

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on November 19, 2014. The results in this table draw from unofficial results as of November 12, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
April 11, 2014 Filing deadline for all candidates[22]
June 24, 2014 Primary election
August 26, 2014 Runoff primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
January 12, 2015 Inauguration day for state executive officials elected in November

Recent news

This section displays the most recent stories in a Google news search for the term "Oklahoma + governor + elections"

All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election News Feed

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See also

External links

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Suggest a link

References

  1. Oklahoma State Election Board Website, "Voter Registration in Oklahoma," accessed January 3, 2014
  2. Oklahomans for Ballot Access Reform, "Governor Mary Fallin Has Made Moves Toward A Re-election Bid; Who Will Oppose Her?," July 10, 2013
  3. Tulsa World, "Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin kicks off re-election campaign," October 18, 2013
  4. KFOR, "Rep. Joe Dorman to explore run for governor," December 17, 2013
  5. Oklahomans For Ballot Access Reform, "Richard Prawdzienski Announces Independent Bid For Governor’s Seat," February 25, 2014
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Oklahoma State Election Board, "Candidates for Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Offices," April 14, 2014
  7. KJRH Tulsa, "Guilty plea disqualifies independent candidate Joe Sills from Oklahoma governor race," April 21, 2014
  8. Tulsa World, "Randy Brogdon to make another run for governor," December 30, 2013
  9. NewsOK, "Randy Brogdon dissolves Oklahoma gubernatorial race corporation," February 20, 2014
  10. RJ Harris, "RJ Harris for Oklahoma Governor," August 8, 2013
  11. NewsOK, "R.J. Harris, Democratic candidate for Oklahoma governor, drops out of race," January 23, 2014
  12. The Washington Post, "Mary Fallin, crisis governor," May 1, 2014
  13. Joe Dorman for Oklahoma, "Issues," accessed June 6, 2014
  14. NewsOn6, "Governor Fallin Signs Bill To Repeal, Replace Common Core Standards," June 5, 2014
  15. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2014: Oklahoma Governor," July 18, 2014
  16. KGOU, "Mary Fallin In A Close Contest With Joe Dorman For Reelection," July 19, 2014
  17. Oklahoma News9, "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Fallin Leads Dorman In Race For Governor, But Many Voters Undecided," September 4, 2014
  18. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  19. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  20. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  21. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014
  22. Oklahoma Secretary of State, "2014 Statewide Elections," January 3, 2014