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Oregon's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Oregon's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 15, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Greg Walden Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Greg Walden Republican Party
Greg Walden.jpg

Oregon U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Oregon.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Oregon held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Incumbent Greg Walden (R) won re-election on November 6, 2012. He defeated two challengers in the general election: Democrat Joyce Segers and Libertarian Joe Tabor. Walden was first elected in 1998 and was the only Republican representative from Oregon serving in Congress at the time of the election.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 6, 2012
May 15, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Oregon has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary April 24. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16.[2]

See also: Oregon elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Greg Walden (R), who first took office in 1999 and won re-election on November 6, 2012.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Oregon's 2nd Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state and includes Wallowa, Union, Baker, Umatilla, Morrow, Grant, Malheur, Harney, Lake, Klamath, Jackson, Deschutes, Crook, Wheeler, Wasco, Sherman and Gilliam counties.[3]

This is the 2nd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Working Families Party Joyce Segers
Republican Party Greg Walden Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Joe Tabor


May 15, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Race background

Competitiveness

In August, 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Report, and The New York Times rated Oregon's 2nd Congressional District as safe Republican.[5][6][7]

Campaign contributions

Joyce Segers[8] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April QuarterlyApril 16, 2012$0$9,699$(8,523)$1,175
Pre-PrimaryMay 10, 2012$1,175$1,590$(1,310)$1,455
July QuarterlyJuly 13, 2012$1,455$5,183$(4,952)$1,685
Running totals
$16,472$(14,785)
Greg Walden[9] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April QuarterlyApril 15, 2012$1,465,216$309,185$(116,450)$1,657,952
Pre-PrimaryMay 3, 2012$1,657,952$59,683$(71,872)$1,645,762
July QuarterlyJuly 15, 2012$1,645,762$368,920$(96,101)$1,918,582
Running totals
$737,788$(284,423)

Election results

U.S. House, Oregon District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Joyce Segers 29.1% 96,741
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGreg Walden Incumbent 68.6% 228,043
     Libertarian Joe Tabor 2.1% 7,025
     Write-In N/A 0.1% 446
Total Votes 332,255
Source: Oregon Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"
U.S. House, Oregon District 2 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJoyce Segers 77.9% 31,157
John Sweeney 22.1% 8,825
Total Votes 39,982

Impact of Redistricting

See also Redistricting in Oregon

The 2nd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of entirely of voters of the old 2nd District.[10][11]

Registration statistics

As of October 30, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Oregon Secretary of State:

Oregon Congressional District 2[12]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 2 406,826 126,449 168,788 111,589 Republican 33.48% 6.66%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Oregon's 2nd District's partisan advantage did not change because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 41D / 59R
  • 2010: 41D / 59R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Oregon's 2nd Congressional District has a PVI of R + 10, which is the 114th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 55-45 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 62-38 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]

District History

2010

On November 2, 2010, Walden won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Joyce B. Segers in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Oregon District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGreg Walden Incumbent 74.1% 206,245
     Democratic Joyce B. Segers 25.9% 72,173
Total Votes 278,418

See also

References