Oregon's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Oregon's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 15, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Earl Blumenauer Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Earl Blumenauer Democratic Party
Earl Blumenauer.jpeg

Oregon U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Oregon.png
The 3rd Congressional District of Oregon held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Incumbent Earl Blumenauer (D) was re-elected on November 6, 2012, having defeated three challengers in the general election by a landslide, earning over 74 percent of the vote.[1][2]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 6, 2012
May 15, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Oregon has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary April 24. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16.[3]

See also: Oregon elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Earl Blumenauer, (D), who has served since 1996 and won re-election on November 6, 2012.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Oregon's 3rd Congressional District is located in the northeastern corner of the state and includes Washington, Clackamas and Multnomah counties, was well as Portland.[4]

This is the 3rd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Earl Blumenauer Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Ronald Green
Libertarian Party Michael Cline
Progressive Party Green Party Woodrow Broadnax


May 15, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Race background

Competitiveness

In August, 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Report, and The New York Times rated Oregon's 3rd Congressional District as solid Democratic.[8][9][10]

Impact of Redistricting

See also Redistricting in Oregon

The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]

Registration statistics

As of October 30, 2012, District 3 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Oregon Secretary of State:

Oregon Congressional District 3[13]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 3 426,401 220,629 80,464 125,308 Democratic 174.20% 12.57%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Oregon's 3rd District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[14]

  • 2012: 71D / 29R
  • 2010: 69D / 31R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Oregon's 3rd Congressional District has a PVI of D + 21, which is the 46th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 75-25 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 69-31 percent over George W. Bush (R).[15]

Campaign contributions

Earl Blumenauer (2012)[16] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April QuarterlyApril 14, 2012$534,813$108,538$(912,878)$551,473
Pre-PrimaryMay 3, 2012$551,473$21,014$(20,716)$551,771
July QuarterlyJuly 14, 2012$551,771$207,304$(109,893)$649,182
Running totals
$336,856$(1,043,487)

2012 Election Results

U.S. House, Oregon District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEarl Blumenauer Incumbent 74.5% 264,979
     Republican Ronald Green 19.8% 70,325
     Progressive Woodrow Broadnax 3.7% 13,159
     Libertarian Michael Cline 1.9% 6,640
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 772
Total Votes 355,875
Source: Oregon Secretary of State
U.S. House, Oregon District 3 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRonald Green 64.3% 14,844
Delia Lopez 35.7% 8,237
Total Votes 23,081

District History

2010

On November 2, 2010, Blumenauer won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Delia Lopez, Michael Meo and Jeff Lawrence in the general election.[17]

U.S. House, Oregon District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEarl Blumenauer Incumbent 70.1% 193,104
     Republican Delia Lopez 24.6% 67,714
     Progressive Michael Meo 2.3% 6,197
     Libertarian Jeff Lawrence 3% 8,380
Total Votes 275,395

See also

References