Piotr Blass

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This election page was last edited at 9:04 pm November 29, 2014.
Piotr Blass
Piotr Blass.JPG
Former candidate for
Governor of Florida
PartyWrite-in
Elections and appointments
Last electionNovember 4, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Personal
ProfessionBusinessman
Websites
Personal website
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Piotr Blass was a write-in candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2014 elections.[1] Piotr Blass lost the general election on November 4, 2014.

He last sought elected office in 2012 as an Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate from Florida. He was defeated on November 6, 2012 by incumbent Bill Nelson.[2]

Elections

2014

See also: Florida gubernatorial election, 2014

Blass ran on a write-in ticket for Governor of Florida in 2014. His running mate for lieutenant governor was Bob Wirengard. The general election took place November 4, 2014.

Results

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Florida, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Scott/Carlos Lopez-Cantera Incumbent 48.1% 2,865,343
     Democratic Charlie Crist/Annette Taddeo-Goldstein 47.1% 2,801,198
     Libertarian Adrian Wyllie/Greg Roe 3.8% 223,356
     No Party Affiliation Glenn Burkett/Jose Augusto Matos 0.7% 41,341
     No Party Affiliation Farid Khavari/Lateresa Jones 0.3% 20,186
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0% 137
Total Votes 5,951,561
Election Results via Florida Division of Elections.

Race background

Republican incumbent Rick Scott was re-elected to a second term as governor in 2014. Sources such as Governing, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, The Washington Post and Daily Kos had rated Scott among the most vulnerable governors of the electoral cycle.[3][4][5][6][7] Polls projected an extremely close contest between Scott and his prime contender, former Republican Governor Charlie Crist, who became a Democrat before mounting his comeback bid against Scott. Indeed, the race came down to the wire on election night.[8]

Education debate

Charlie Crist and Rick Scott sparred over education funding as the primary election transitioned into a general election. Prior to the Republican primary, Scott announced that he would boost per-pupil spending to record levels if re-elected in November. The governor's office published a statement promising an increase in per-pupil funding to $7,132 per student for the 2016 fiscal year, which would surpass the $7,126 per student rate passed during Crist's first year as governor in 2007. He cited improving job figures in his office's optimistic outlook on public education financing.[9]

Crist toured the state in a school bus in August in order to highlight cuts in public education since Scott won election. He noted that the governor facilitated $1.3 billion in education cuts during the 2012 fiscal year.[9] Crist stated on his campaign website that he would push public schools and their partners to reach the top 10 percent of schools globally as measured by reading, math and science scores by 2020.[10]

Ad spending, influence

The Scott vs. Crist election battle played out largely through television ads during the general election. Whether sponsored internally or produced and aired under the auspices of independent expenditures, the commercials were predominantly negative, with each candidate and his outside backers barring no holds to disgrace the other before Florida's electorate of active television viewers.

In late September, Scott upped the ante on media spending for the race by sinking an additional $8 million on television commercials, next to Crist's roughly $5.5 million ad-buy increase on current and future spots. Already a wallet-shattering sum, those ad-buys put the total amount spent on behalf of the two frontrunners' marketing campaigns past the $50 million mark. Scott was responsible for 71 percent, or over $35 million, of this pot, far eclipsing contributions from Crist and his supporters. The incumbent's standing in the race remained precarious during the marketing blitz, but polls conducted during this stage indicated a slight improvement for Scott. These marginal gains invited comparisons to his road from virtual no-name to victory back in 2010, which was attributed in large part to a massive emphasis on TV commercials.[11]

A September 23 article in The Miami Herald pointed out that a candidate's on-air presence does not guarantee success in an election, although Florida's media-marketing landscape is such that a candidate who neglects television altogether is almost guaranteed to fail. "If TV ads decided the governor’s race, Scott would win in a landslide," the article stated.[11]

Primary races

In June 2013, ex-Florida Sen. Nan Rich became the first Democratic candidate in the race. She was later joined by former Florida Gov. and newly-minted Democrat Charlie Crist. Crist's candidacy loomed heavy over Scott's re-election campaign, according to match-up and approval polls dating back as far as May 2012.[12][13][14]

Long affiliated with the Republican Party, Crist's first party switch occurred in 2010, when, after losing the Republican primary for U.S. Senate to Marco Rubio, he changed his registration to Independent as an alternative route to reaching the general election ballot. In the fall of 2013, Crist became a Democrat; This latest party makeover was widely interpreted as a strategic maneuver to help him unseat Scott in the 2014 governor's race.[15]

As the Crist story unfolded and media coverage about Scott's struggles increased, a slew of other lesser-known hopefuls began filing for the office, mainly as write-ins or with no party affiliation. By October 2013, there were over twenty potentials actively petitioning for a place on the primary and general election ballots.[16] When the filing window finally closed on June 20, 2014, the number had dropped to 18 qualified gubernatorial candidates. The Republican field settled to three, including Scott, while the Democratic field remained a head-to-head battle between Crist and Rich. Unopposed Libertarian nominee Adrian Wyllie earned a direct pass to the general election, along with nine write-ins and three candidates with no stated party preference.[17]

Under Article IV of the Florida Constitution, gubernatorial nominees are required to select running mates after the primary, though they are permitted to do so in advance. Customs for selecting running mates vary across Florida's main political parties. For example, Crist was chided for breaking with party tradition when he announced Annette Taddeo-Goldstein as his lieutenant governor pick prior to the primary. "Because he’s been a life-long Republican, Charlie Crist might be excused for not knowing that Democrats typically don’t choose a running mate until they win the nomination," jabbed Nan Rich, his Democratic primary challenger, in a July campaign press release.[18]

In January, Scott appointed Carlos Lopez-Cantera as Florida's new lieutenant governor, ending an extended vacancy in the office that began with former-Lt. Gov. Jennifer Carroll's March 2013 resignation amid a public relations scandal. Since Lopez-Cantera's appointment occurred during a gubernatorial election year, his qualifications as a campaigner factored significantly into his selection. Scott and Carroll shared the ticket in 2010, so the governor was left with the responsibility of picking not only a new lieutenant governor to serve out Carroll's term, but also a new running mate for the 2014 election.

Scott and Crist handily secured their respective parties' nominations in the August 26 primary election.[19]

Scott and Cantera-Lopez were elected governor and lieutenant governor on a joint ticket in the general election on November 4, 2014.

Polls

General election
Crist vs. Scott vs. Wyllie

Florida Governor Three-way match-up
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)Adrian Wyllie (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University
July 17-21, 2014
39%37%9%12%+/-2.81,251
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce)
August 10-13, 2014
35%41%4%11%+/-4.0627
Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/UF Bob Graham Center
August 27-31, 2014
31%41%6%9%+/-3.4814
Public Policy Polling
September 4-7, 2014
42%39%8%11%+/-3.4818
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
September 23-15, 2014
39%44%7%9%+/-4.2571
Quinnipiac University
September 17-22, 2014
42%44%8%5%+/-3.1991
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
September 19-22, 2014
42%43%4%11%+/-4.1588
New York Times/CBS/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014
44%47%0%9%+/-25,689
Public Policy Polling
October 3-4, 2014
45%43%8%5%+/-3.41,161
University of North Florida
September 29-October 8, 2014
43%38%10%9%+/-4.74471
University of Florida
October 7-12, 2014
40%40%6%14%+/-3.2781
CNN/ORC
October 9-13, 2014
44%44%9%4%+/-31,035
St. Pete Polls
October 17, 2014
45.3%43.9%8.4%2.5%+/-2.31,855
Quinnipiac University
October 14-20, 2014
42%42%7%9%+/-3.1984
Quinnipiac University
October 22-27, 2014
43%40%8%9%+/-3.4817
AVERAGES 41.09% 41.79% 6.83% 8.63% +/-3.34 1,230.2
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)
Major party candidates

Crist vs. Scott (June 2014 - present)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Cherry (R-Florida Chamber of Commerce)
June 11, 2014
38%41%21%+/-3.5806
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
June 20-23, 2014
41%42%8%+/-3.5541
Gravis Marketing
June 20-23, 2014
39%41%15%+/-3.01,232
Survey USA/WFLA-TV
June 30-7/2
43%45%5%+/-3.4558
Survey USA/WFLA-TV
July 17-21, 2014
46%40%6%+/-3.5564
Quinnipiac University
July 17-21, 2014
45%40%9%+/-2.81,251
Rasmussen Reports Poll
July 29-30
41%42%9%+/-3.0900
SurveyUSA/WFLA TV
July 31-August 4, 2014
43%45%4%+/-3.4859
Rasmussen Reports Poll
September 8-10, 2014
42%40%9%+/-3.01,000
Rasmussen Reports
October 15-17, 2014
47%47%6%+/-31,114
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
45%46%9%+/-25,422
Gravis Marketing
October 22-24, 2014
44%42%14%+/-3861
AVERAGES 42.83% 42.58% 9.58% +/-3.09 1,259
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)
Hypothetical general election match-ups (May 2012 - June 2014)
Crist vs. Scott

Crist vs. Scott (January 2014 - June 2014)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Florida Poll
January 27-February 1, 2014
47%40%13%+/-31,006
University of North Florida
March 6-16, 2014
34%33%17%+/-4.35507
Sunshine State News/VSS
March 31-April 3, 2014
44%45%10%+/-3.46800
SurveyUSA Poll
April 10-24, 2014
46%41%6%+/-4.5502
Mason Dixon Poll
April 15-22, 2014
42%42%12%+/-3.8700
Rasmussen Reports Poll
April 21-22, 2014
45%39%10%+/-4750
Quinnipiac University
April 23-28, 2014
48%38%12%+/-2.61,413
News Channel 8/Survey USA Poll
April 30, 2014
44%41%8%+/-4.3-
Gravis Marketing
April 23-25, 2014
43%44%9%+/-3.0907
McLaughlin (R-American Future Fund)
May 4-6, 2014
38%42%20%+/-3.4800
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
May 9-12, 2014
44%41%8%+/-4.2554
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
May 20-22, 2014
40%42%8%+/-4.3531
Saint Leo University
May 28-June 4, 2014
41%43%16%+/-3.5420
Public Policy Poll
June 4-9, 2014
42%42%16%+/-3.3672
SurveyUSA/WFLA-TV
June 5-10, 2014
44%40%8%+/-3.4556
AVERAGES 42.8% 40.87% 11.53% +/-3.67 553.6
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)

Crist vs. Scott (May 2012 - January 2014)
Poll Charlie Crist (D) Rick Scott* (R)Don't Know/RefusedOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Florida Opinion Research
May 23–25, 2012
48.1%34.1%12.8%5.0%+/-3.46802
Quinnipiac University Poll
June 11-16, 2013
47%37%12%4%+/-2.91,176
Public Policy Poll
September 27-29, 2013
50%38%12%0%+/-4.1579
University of Florida Poll
September 30-October 8, 2013
44%40%14%2%+/-4.27526
Cherry Communication/Florida Chamber of Commerce Poll
October 4-8, 2013
46%41%13%0%+/-4.0618
Quinnipiac University Poll
November 12-17, 2013
47%40%14%8%+/-2.41,464
Saint Leo Polling Institute Poll of Likely voters
December 1-8, 2013
46%34%20%0%+/-5.0318
Fabrizio McLaughlin & Associates Poll (Internal, leaked)
November 24-26, 2013
49%45%6%0%+/-3.11,000
Public Policy Poll
January 16-21, 2014
43%41%15%0%+/-6.3591
Quinnipiac University Poll
January 22-27, 2014
50%34%12%4%+/-2.51,565
AVERAGES 47.01% 38.41% 13.08% 2.3% +/-3.8 863.9
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)
Hypothetical general election match-ups (June 2013 - April 2014)
Rich vs. Scott

Governor of Florida Hypothetical Match-Up Poll
Poll Nan Rich (D) Rick Scott* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 11-16, 2013)
36%42%18%+/-2.91,176
Public Policy Poll
(September 27-29, 2013)
36%37%27%+/-4.1579
University of Florida Poll
(September 30-October 8, 2013)
28%43%27%+/-4.27526
Cherry Communication/Florida Chamber of Commerce Poll
(October 4-8, 2013)
29%40%31%+/-4.0618
Quinnipiac University Poll
(November 12-17, 2013)
35%43%14%+/-2.41,646
Public Policy Poll
(January 16-21, 2014)
34%40%25%+/-6.3591
Quinnipiac University
(January 22-27, 2014)
37%41%19%+/-2.51,565
University of Florida
(January 27-February 1, 2014)
36%41%0%+/-3.01,006
Saint Leo University
(March 16-19, 2014)
32%40%28%+/-3.5401
Quinnipiac University
(April 23-28, 2014)
36%42%15%+/-2.61,413
AVERAGES 33.9% 40.9% 20.4% +/-3.56 952.1
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)

2012

See also: United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012

Blass ran in the 2012 election for the U.S. Senate, representing Florida. Blass sought the nomination on the Independent ticket.[20] The signature filing deadline for candidates wishing to run was June 8, 2012. The primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. He was defeated in the general election on November 6, 2012 by incumbent Bill Nelson.[21]

The University of Virginia's Center for Politics published an article called Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 22, 2012, detailing the eight races in the Senate in 2012 that would decide the political fate of which party would end up with control in 2013.[22] The Senate seat in Florida was the toss up state ranked second in likelihood of ending up Democratic, behind New Mexico's Senate seat.[22] Incumbent Bill Nelson's mediocre approval rating was the reasoning behind the "toss-up" classification of the Senate seat, but Nelson was expected to gain Democratic support in time for the election in 2012.[22] Nelson was also expected to face significant opposition from Connie Mack, U.S. representative from the 14th District, in the general election on November 6, 2012.[22]

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See also

External links

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References

  1. Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election," June 20, 2014
  2. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  3. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
  4. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top gubernatorial races," September 27, 2013
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14," October 6, 2013
  6. Governing, "2014 Governors Races," September 10, 2014
  7. The Cook Political Report, "Governors Race Ratings 2014," September 15, 2014
  8. The New York Times, "2014 Florida Election Results," accessed November 5, 2014
  9. 9.0 9.1 Education Week, "School Spending Under Spotlight in Florida Gubernatorial Race," August 25, 2014
  10. Charlie Crist for Governor, "Education," accessed October 13, 2014
  11. 11.0 11.1 The Miami Herald, "Marc Caputo: With $50 million in TV ad spending, Rick Scott-Charlie Crist race is one big marketing campaign," September 23, 2014
  12. The Sun Sentinel, "Charlie Christ Announces Candidacy For Florida's Governor, As A Democrat," November 4, 2013
  13. Politico, "Ex-GOP Fla. Gov. Charlie Crist to run for job as Democrat," November 1, 2013
  14. The Daily Caller, "Charlie Crist briefly visits with Democratic Governors Association," January 9, 2013
  15. The Hill, "Charlie Crist joins Democratic party ahead of gubernatorial election," December 8, 2012
  16. Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election - Governor," accessed October 7, 2013
  17. Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election - Governor," accessed July 22, 2014
  18. Nan Rich for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Press release: Statement from Senator Nan Rich regarding Charlie Crist’s selection of a potential running mate," July 17, 2014 (dead link)
  19. My Florida - Election Watch, "2014 Primary, Unofficial Election Night Results," accessed August 26, 2014
  20. Jackson County Times, "Two Jackson County Natives Vie for U.S. Senate Seat," accessed January 5, 2012 (dead link) (dead link)
  21. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  22. 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 Center for Politics, "Tilting the Toss Ups – the Eight Races That Will Decide the Senate" accessed April 9, 2012