Tennessee gubernatorial election, 2014

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Tennessee Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
August 7, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Bill Haslam Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Bill Haslam Republican Party
Bill Haslam.jpg

Tennessee State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor

Current trifecta for Republicans
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State executive offices in Tennessee
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The Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Bill Haslam (R) was running for re-election. Haslam faced Charles V. "Charlie" Brown (D), Libertarian Party candidate Daniel Lewis, Green Party candidate Isa Infante, Constitution Party candidate Shaun Crowell and two independent candidates. Haslam won election to another four-year term in office. The gubernatorial election was the only state executive election in Tennessee in 2014.

Tennessee is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2][3]

Candidates

General election

Republican Party Bill Haslam - IncumbentGreen check mark transparent.png[4]
Democratic Party Charles V. "Charlie" Brown[5]
Constitution Party Shaun Crowell - former Libertarian candidate for US Senate[5]
Green Party Isa Infante[5]
Libertarian Party Daniel Lewis[5] - appeared on the ballot as an Independent, though this was the subject of a lawsuit[6]
Independent Steve Coburn[7]
Independent John Jay Hooker[5]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Ron Noonan[7]
Democratic Party Kennedy Spellman Johnson[7]
Democratic Party William H. "John" McKamey - former Sullivan County Supervisor[5]
Republican Party Mark "Coonrippy" Brown - firearm dealer and Youtube celebrity[8][9]
Republican Party Donald Ray McFolin[7]
Republican Party Basil Marceaux, Sr. - perennial candidate[5]

Disqualified

Democratic Party Mark Clayton - controversial former candidate for US Senate[7][10]
Democratic Party Jesse Gore[5][11]
Independent Jondavid Balunek[5][11]
Independent J. D. Ellis[5][11]

Withdrawn

Democratic Party Ed Borum[5][12]
Independent Carl Twofeathers Whitaker - Former independent candidate for Governor[13][7][5]
Independent Linda Perry[7][5]

Declined

Democratic Party Craig Fitzhugh - current State House Minority Leader[14][15]
Democratic Party Sara Kyle - former director of the Tennessee Regulatory Authority.[16][17]

Results

General election

Governor of Tennessee, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Haslam Incumbent 70.3% 951,796
     Democratic Charles V. "Charlie" Brown 22.8% 309,237
     Independent John Jay Hooker 2.3% 30,579
     Constitution Shaun Crowell 2% 26,580
     Green Isa Infante 1.4% 18,570
     Independent Steve Coburn 0.6% 8,612
     Independent Daniel Lewis 0.6% 8,321
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0% 33
Total Votes 1,353,728
Election Results via Tennessee Secretary of State.

Primary election

Republican primary

Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBill Haslam 87.7% 570,997
Mark "Coonrippy" Brown 6.8% 44,165
Donald Ray McFolin 3.5% 22,968
Basil Marceaux, Sr. 2% 13,117
Total Votes 651,247
Election Results Via:Tennessee Secretary of State.

Democratic primary

Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCharles V. "Charlie" Brown 41.7% 95,114
William H. "John" McKamey 26% 59,200
Kennedy Spellman Johnson 24.4% 55,718
Ron Noonan 7.9% 17,993
Total Votes 228,025
Election Results Via:http://state.tn.us/sos/election/results/20140807_DemocraticPrimaryCounty.pdf Tennessee Secretary of State].


Polls

General election polling

Governor of Tennessee
Poll Bill Haslam (R) Charles V. "Charlie" Brown (D)Other/UnsureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
August 11-12, 2014
55%30%15%+/-3750
YouGov
August 18-September 2, 2014
56%29%15%+/-41,056
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
58%30%13%+/-5974
AVERAGES 56.33% 29.67% 14.33% +/-4 926.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Hypothetical match-up

Governor of Tennessee - Hypothetical match-up
Poll Bill Haslam (R) William H. "John" McKamey (D)Other/UnsureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports April 29-30, 2014
57%27%16%+/-0750
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5-24, 2014
55%32%13%+/-41,460
AVERAGES 56% 29.5% 14.5% +/-2 1,105
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Past elections

2010

Governor of Tennessee, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Haslam 65% 1,041,545
     Democratic Mike McWherter 33.1% 529,851
     Independent Carl Twofeathers Whitaker 0.4% 6,536
     Independent Brandon Dodds 0.3% 4,728
     Independent Bayron Binkley 0.3% 4,663
     Independent June Griffin 0.2% 2,587
     Independent Linda K. Perry 0.1% 2,057
     Green Howard Switzer 0.1% 1,887
     Independent Samuel D. Duck 0.1% 1,755
     Independent Thomas Smith, II 0.1% 1,207
     Independent Toni K. Hall 0.1% 993
     Independent David Gatchell 0.1% 859
     Independent Boyce T. McCall 0.1% 828
     Independent James Reesor 0.1% 809
     Independent Mike Knois 0% 600
     Independent Donald R. McFolin 0% 583
     Write-In Various 0% 61
Total Votes 1,601,549
Election Results Via: U.S. Election Atlas

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 82,596,338 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 36.4 percent of the VEP.[18] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[19]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[20]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Indiana (28 percent), Texas (28.5 percent) and Utah (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (59.3 percent), Wisconsin (56.9 percent) and Alaska (55.3 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[21]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes for top office  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,200,000 33.5 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 290,000 55.3 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,550,000 34.4 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 875,000 41.2 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,750,000 31.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,025,000 53.0 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,089,880 42.3 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney general 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 150,000 30.3 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 5,951,561 42.7 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,575,000 38.2 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 366,125 36.2 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 440,000 39.1 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,550,000 39.5 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,350,000 28.0 Secretary of state 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,150,000 50.6 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 875,000 42.8 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,440,000 44.2 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 625,000 59.3 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,750,000 41.9 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,150,000 43.9 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,151,835 42.7 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 2,025,000 51.3 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 650,000 29.7 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,450,000 32.3 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 365,000 46.1 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 550,000 41.3 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 600,000 31.8 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 500,000 48.8 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,825,000 30.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 550,000 38.3 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,900,000 28.8 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,900,000 40.7 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 248,670 43.8 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,150,000 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 825,000 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,500,000 52 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,500,000 36.1 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 325,000 41.7 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,246,301 34.8 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 279,412 44.5 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,400,000 29.1 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,750,000 28.5 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 550,000 28.8 Attorney general 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,200,000 36.7 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,050,000 41.6 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 460,000 31.8 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,425,000 56.9 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 38.7 Governor 52,703 33.6
United States 82,596,338 36.4

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on November 19, 2014. The results in this table draw from unofficial results as of November 12, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
April 3, 2014 Filing deadline
August 7, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
January 17, 2015 Gubernatorial inauguration

State executive organization

Executive officials in Tennessee are part of a three-pronged government structure that includes state legislators and state judges.

TN state org chart.JPG

Ballotpedia reports

To learn more about developments in these races, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:

Recent news

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See also

External links

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References

  1. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  4. Governing, "Tennessee Gov. Haslam to Run for Re-Election," December 18, 2012
  5. 5.00 5.01 5.02 5.03 5.04 5.05 5.06 5.07 5.08 5.09 5.10 5.11 5.12 Tennessee Secretary of State, "Elections," April 7, 2014
  6. Ballot Access News, "Tennessee Libertarian Party Files Ballot Access Lawsuit," August 3, 2014
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 Tennessee Secretary of State, "Petitions Issued by State Election Commission Office," March 26, 2014
  8. UPI, "Man running for Tennessee governor to get his raccoon back," January 8, 2014
  9. The Raw Story, "Tennessee man runs for governor in GOP primary for right to shower with his raccoon," January 8, 2014
  10. Times Free Press, "Tennessee Democrats act to keep anti-gay activist out of governor race," April 6th, 2014
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 Tennessee Secretary of State, "Petitions Filed," accessed April 22, 2014
  12. Tennessee Secretary of State, "Petitions Issued by State Election Commission Office," accessed May 15, 2014
  13. Communication with Whitaker campaign staff, By: Kristen Mathews, December 27, 2013
  14. Nashville City Paper, "House Minority Leader Craig Fitzhugh ponders run in 2014 governor race," December 12, 2012
  15. Nashville Scene, "Fitzhugh Passes on Run for Governor," July 22, 2013
  16. The Tennessean, August 6, 2013
  17. WBIR, "Tennessee Democrats hamstrung by lack of candidates," January 23, 2014
  18. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  19. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  20. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  21. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014