United States Senate elections in Washington, 2012

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections in Washington

November 6 Election Winner:
Maria Cantwell Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Maria Cantwell Democratic Party
Maria Cantwell.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Solid D (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Washington.png
Voters in Washington elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.

Incumbent Maria Cantwell (D) won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 18, 2012
August 7, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Washington has a top-two primary system, in which the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, go on to the general election.[2]

Voter registration: Voters must register to vote in the primary by July 9, 2012, or July 30, 2012 in-person for first-time voters.[3] For the general election, voter registration deadlines are October 9, 2012, and October 28, 2012 for first-time voters.[3]

See also: Washington elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by Maria Cantwell (D). First elected in 2000, Cantwell ran for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Maria Cantwell Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Michael Baumgartner


August 7, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic candidates

Republican Party Republican candidates

Independent Third party candidates

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, Washington, General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaria Cantwell Incumbent 60.5% 1,855,493
     Republican Michael Baumgartner 39.5% 1,213,924
Total Votes 3,069,417
Source: Washington Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Washington's top-two primary system meant that all candidates were included on one ballot. The top two vote-getters, regardless of party, continued to the general election.

Incumbent Maria Cantwell had a $4.5 million advantage over any of her challengers.[5]

According to the Washington Republican Party Chairman Kirby Wilbur, state Senator Michael Baumgartner and political newcomer Art Coday were the top Republican hopes. He said Cantwell had "a record that she has to answer for... This is an election really about Maria Cantwell."[5]

Baumgartner considers his an "underdog campaign."[6] He said Cantwell "bought her way into office 12 years ago.... At the end of the day campaigns aren't about dollars, they're about who has better solutions."[5]

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releasesd race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There were seven possible designations:[7]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- Washington Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[8]     
September 13, 2012[9]     
August 21, 2012[10]     
July 12, 2012[11]     
May 31, 2012[12]     
May 10, 2012[13]     
March 22, 2012[14]     
March 1, 2012[15]     
January 26, 2012[16]     
December 22, 2011[17]     
December 1, 2011[18]     

Polls

Maria Cantwell vs. Michael Baumgartner

Maria Cantwell vs. Michael Baumgartner
Poll Maria Cantwell Michael BaumgartnerAnother CandidateNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports (October 14,2012)
52%37%1%9%+/-4.5500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Patty Murray won re-election to the U.S. Senate, defeating Dino Rossi (R).[19]

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngPatty Murray Incumbent 52.4% 1,314,930
     Republican Dino Rossi 47.6% 1,196,164
Total Votes 2,511,094

2006

On November 7, 2006, Maria Cantwell (D) won re-election to the U.S. Senate, defeating Mike McGavick (R), Robin Adair (I), Bruce Gurthrie (L), and Aaron Dixon (Green).[20]

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaria Cantwell Incumbent 56.9% 1,184,659
     Republican Mike McGavick 39.9% 832,106
     Independent Robin Adair 0.8% 16,384
     Libertarian Bruce Guthrie 1.4% 29,331
     Green Aaron Dixon 1% 21,254
Total Votes 2,083,734

See also

References

  1. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Washington Secretary of State "Top 2 Primary: FAQ," accessed May 17, 2012
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 Washington Secretary of State "Dates and Deadlines," accessed May 25, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 Huffington Post "Maria Cantwell's Marital Status Used By GOP Opponent In Political Attack," accessed January 6, 2012
  5. 5.0 5.1 5.2 Seattle Times "Senate race Cantwell's to lose — unless Obama support craters," July 10, 2012
  6. The Republic "Republican US Senate challenger Michael Baumgartner is a man in a hurry," July 14, 2012
  7. Cook Political Report "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011
  8. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  10. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  11. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  12. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  13. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  14. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  17. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  18. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  19. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006"