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Virginia gubernatorial election, 2013

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The Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2013 following a Democratic primary election on June 11, 2013 and a Republican statewide convention on May 17-18, 2013.

Incumbent Bob McDonnell (R) is term limited from running for re-election in 2013.

Race background

Current Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell (R) is ineligible to run for re-election in 2013 because of term limits. The term limits Virginia imposes on its governors are more strict than any other state in the country: under the commonwealth's constitution, no governor may serve back-to-back terms. This means that McDonnell, unlike other governors in their first term, is ineligible to run for re-election until a full term has passed.

There are no such term limits on the attorney general, and many were surprised at current AG Ken Cuccinelli's (R) decision to run for governor rather than seek another term. If not for Cuccinelli, Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling would have been the frontrunner for the Republican nomination to succeed current Governor Bob McDonnell. Bolling expressed more disappointment than surprise that Cuccinelli had chose to challenge him in the gubernatorial primary rather than be his lieutenant gubernatorial running-mate, noting "nothing he does surprises me."[1]

Bolling suspended his campaign on November 28, 2012, citing his slim chances beating tea party favorite and attorney general Ken Cuccinelli for the party's nomination. Bolling's withdrawal stems from a decision by Virginia Republicans to change their method for selecting gubernatorial nominees from open primary election to closed nominating convention.[2] Although Bolling was explicit about ending his pursuit of a place on the Republican ticket, he waited until March 12 before ruling out the possibility of running as an independent candidate instead.[3] About the alternative of seeking re-election to his current post, Bolling stated that, “Under normal circumstances, I would be open to the possibility of running for another term as lieutenant governor, but I would not be interested in running on a statewide ticket with Mr. Cuccinelli.”[4] He later said he regretted dropping out of the race as early as he did.[5]

McDonnell had previously pledged his support for Bolling's candidacy- in part because Bolling refrained from challenging McDonnell for governor in 2009. After Bolling bowed out, McDonnell chose to endorse fellow Republican Cuccinelli for his successor, despite Cuccinelli's outspoken opposition to McDonnell's Transportation Initiative, which is considered to be the centerpiece of his gubernatorial legacy. Ironically, Cuccinelli's future general election opponent, former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe, has been equally outspoken on the issue, but as an advocate and defender of the outgoing governor's approach to amending the state's transportation funding policy. [6][7][8]

Like Cuccinelli, McAuliffe faces no primary contest. The two contenders will square off in the general election on November 5, 2013.[9]


[edit]

Deadline Event
March 28 Last day to file candidacy for primary election
May 17-18 Republican primary convention
May 20 Voter registration deadline for primary election
June 11 Primary election, last day for non-party candidates to file candidacy
June 17 Last day for Independent candidates to file for general election
Oct. 15 Voter registration deadline for general election
Nov. 5 General election

Primary Candidates

Democratic candidates

Republican candidates

  • Republican Party Ken CuccinelliGreen check mark.jpg - The current Attorney General of Virginia, Cuccinelli cemented his party's nomination for governor on January 13, 2013, being the only Republican to file the necessary paperwork by the convention's deadline. Afterward, he stated publicly that he intended to serve the entirety of his current term as attorney general. In Virginia, the last six consecutive elected attorneys general sought the governorship and stepped down early for campaign purposes, and [12] Cuccinelli's decision to break with tradition elicited criticism from Democrats and outgoing incumbent Bob McDonnell, who resigned the attorney general's post in Feb. 2009 before winning election as governor that November. Those criticizing Cuccinelli argue that absent this custom, the "full-time" demands of the attorney general's office cannot be met- and that taxpayers deserve more than a part-time leader.[13] Another reason attorneys general typically do not hold on to their jobs while seeking the top office is that there is a fundraising disadvantage associated with double duty. Virginia election law does not allow state officials running for state office to raise money for their campaigns during the General Assembly session, which will run 46 days starting in January.

Other candidates

Third party candidates

Declined

  • Bill Bolling- The current Lieutenant Governor of Virginia and one time GOP front-runner announced on March 12, 2013 that had decided against running as an Independent candidate, an alternative he seriously considered following his withdrawal from the Republican gubernatorial race on November 28, 2012. His decision to opt out of a Republican bid was a consequence of the Republican Party of Virginia's reintroduction of a closed nominating convention in 2013, a setting which Bolling believed lent conservative attorney general Ken Cuccinelli, his "intraparty rival,"[17] a categorical advantage.[18][17][19]
  • Democratic Party (United States) Chap Peterson - a current state Senator[20]
  • Democratic Party (United States) Mark Warner[21]
  • Democratic Party (United States)Tom Perriello


February-May 2013

Governor of Virginia: Cuccinelli v. McAuliffe
Response Quinnipiac University
(Feb. 14-18, 2013)
Roanoke College Poll
(April 8-14, 2013)
Washington Post (Registered Voters)
(April 29-May 2, 2013)
Washington Post (Likely Voters)
(April 29-May 2, 2013)
NBC News/Marist Poll
(April 28-May 2, 2013)
Quinnipiac University
(May 8-13, 2013)
Average
Terry McAuliffe (D) 38%29%41%41%43%43% 39.17%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38%34%46%51%41%38% 41.333%
Undecided 21%38%13%8%16%17% 18.833%
Number polled 1,1126298876631,0951,286 945.33
Margin of error +/-2.0+/-3.9%+/-4.0%+/-5.0%+/-3.0%+/-2.7% 3.43%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Three way hypothetical match-up poll

Governor of Virginia: Three-way race (with Bolling)
Response Quinnipiac University
(Feb. 14-18, 2013)
Average
Terry McAuliffe (D) 34% 34%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) 31% 31%
Bill Bolling (I) 13% 13%
Undecided 21% 21%
Number polled 1,112 1,112
Margin of error +/-2.9 2.9%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

June 2012

Governor of Virginia (Republican): Bolling v. Cuccinelli
Response Quinnipiac University
May 30 - June 4, 2012
Average
Bill Bolling 15% 15%
Ken Cuccinelli 51% 51%
Someone else 2% 2%
Wouldn't vote 1% 1%
Don't know 31% 31%
Number polled 1,282 1,282
Margin of error +/-2.7 2.7%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign websites

Terry McAuliffe

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YouTube

Ken Cuccinelli

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YouTube

Campaign advertisements

McAuliffe


McAuliffe praises incumbent Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) for his efforts to amend state transportation funding policy - March 1, 2013


McAuliffe releases first TV ad of campaign - May 1, 2013

Cuccinelli


Cuccinelli releases first TV spot entitled "All About" introducing himself as gubernatorial candidate - April 26, 2013


Cuccinelli prescribes tax cuts for small businesses and middle-class families and closing tax loopholes in second ad, "Your Side" - May 13, 2013

Additional reading

See also

External links

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References

  1. Richmond Times Dispatch, "Bolling on Cuccinelli: 'Nothing he does surprises me'," December 6, 2011
  2. The Washington Post, "GOP Fratricide in Virginia," December 1, 2012
  3. Washington Post, "Bill Bolling decides not to seek GOP nomination for VA governor," November 28, 2012
  4. The Roanoke Times, "Could Bolling run for governor as an independent?," November 28, 2102
  5. The Richmond Times-Dispatch, "Bolling regrets dropping out of the race so soon," April 22, 2013
  6. The Collegian, "Obama victory could cost Democrats Virginia governorship," November 15, 2012
  7. NBC 12- Decision Virginia 2013, "Transportation battle creates awkward political triangle," March 26, 2013
  8. Washington Post, "Cuccinelli vs. McAuliffe: Virginia governor’s race holds the eyes of the nation," March 29, 2013
  9. Associated Press - abc7.com, "Terry McAuliffe qualifies for Virginia June Democratic primary ballot," March 27, 2013
  10. Washington Post.com, "Cuccinelli revved up to race McAuliffe for Virginia governor," January 4, 2012
  11. Washington Post.com, "Cuccinelli revved up to race McAuliffe for Virginia governor," January 4, 2012
  12. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named gopnom
  13. The Washington Times, "Va. AG Cuccinelli will defy tradition, stay on job while campaigning," January 14, 2013
  14. FoxNews.com, "Gatecrasher for Governor: Tareq Salahi wants to call Virginia statehouse home," April 25, 2012
  15. News Times, "In Virginia, the top newsmakers to watch in 2013," December 23, 2012
  16. The Washington Post, "Salahi announces independent run for Va. governor," January 14, 2013
  17. 17.0 17.1 The Richmond Times-Dispatch, "Bolling says major announcement set for March 14," February 7, 2013
  18. Bill Bolling Lieutenant Governor, "Press release: Bolling Says No to Possible Independent Campaign for Governor," March 12, 2013
  19. The Roanoke Times, "Could Bolling run for governor as an independent?," November 28, 2102
  20. Washington Post.com, "Virginia state Sen Petersen will run for governor adviser says," April 30, 2012
  21. Blue Virginia, "Larry Sabato: Mark Warner might run for governor, could appoint his senate successor," February 8, 2012
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