Difference between revisions of "2009 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index"

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'''By Geoff Pallay with Kevin Diana, Tyler King and Justin Haas'''''
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{{CA2009toc}}'''By Geoff Pallay with Kevin Diana, Tyler King and Justin Haas'''''
 
[[File:3Competitive 2009.jpg|350px|right|link=2009 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index|]]
 
[[File:3Competitive 2009.jpg|350px|right|link=2009 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index|]]
 
'''180''' of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats were up for election in the November 3, 2009 elections. Only the [[New Jersey General Assembly]] and [[Virginia House of Delegates]] held regular elections in 2009.   
 
'''180''' of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats were up for election in the November 3, 2009 elections. Only the [[New Jersey General Assembly]] and [[Virginia House of Delegates]] held regular elections in 2009.   

Latest revision as of 21:21, 8 September 2012

2009 Competitiveness Overview
3Competitive 2009.jpg
Primary competition (state comparison)
Major party challengers (state comparison)
Open seats (state comparisons)
Competitiveness IndexAbsolute Index
Comparisons Between Years
2009 State Legislative Elections
Competitiveness Studies from Other Years
200720102011
By Geoff Pallay with Kevin Diana, Tyler King and Justin Haas
3Competitive 2009.jpg

180 of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats were up for election in the November 3, 2009 elections. Only the New Jersey General Assembly and Virginia House of Delegates held regular elections in 2009.

This article is an overview of our analysis of the degree of competitiveness in 2009's state legislative elections. The analysis utilized this 3-factor "Competitiveness Index" .

Using our 3-factor "Competitiveness Index", we've contrasted the two states that held elections.

This study was conducted looking back on the elections, after they had already taken place. The primary purpose of this was in order to use these results to contrast with the upcoming 2011 elections.

Status House
Seats up 180
Incumbents running 161
 % with no incumbent 10.5%
Incumbents with no primary 131
 % with no primary 81.4%
Candidates with no major party opposition 48
 % with no major party opposition 26.7%

Comparing the two states to the 2010 Competitiveness Index reveals that New Jersey would have ranked among the more competitive states while Virginia would have been near the bottom of the rankings.

Open seats

Main article: Open seats in the 2009 state legislative elections

In 161 (89.5%) of the 180 seats up for election on November 3, the incumbent ran for re-election.

In 19 (10.5%) of the 180 seats up for election on November 3, the incumbent did not run for re-election.

Primary challenges

Main article: Incumbents with no primary challenger in the 2009 state legislative elections

Least competitive state

  1. Virginia: 4.44%. In Virginia, 4 out of 100 incumbents running for election in 2009 faced a primary, which means that 95.66% of the 90 incumbents running automatically advanced to the general election.


Most competitive state

  1. New Jersey: 36.62%. In New Jersey, 26 out of 71 incumbents running for election in 2009 faced a primary, which means that 63.38% of the 71 incumbents running automatically advanced to the general election.

No opposition

Main article: Major party candidates with no major party challengers in the November 2009 state legislative elections

Least competitive state

  1. Virginia: 44.00% In Virginia, 44 of 100 seats up for election contain only one major party candidate, meaning in 66.00% of the races there are Democratic and Republican candidates.

Most competitive state

  1. New Jersey: 5.00%. In New Jersey, 4 of 80 seats up for election contain only one major party candidate, meaning in 95.00% of the races there are Democratic and Republican candidates.