Ballotpedia's 2012 General Election Preview Articles: North Carolina Congressional Seats

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October 30, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional team

North Carolina's Congressional Elections in 2012
U.S. Senate Election? U.S. House seats Possible competitive races?
No 13 3 (7th, 8th, 11th)

RALEIGH: North Carolina: North Carolina has 13 U.S. House seats on the ballot in 2012. Eleven incumbents are running for re-election and face at least one challenger in the general election (100%). The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[1] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[1]

After taking control of the state legislature in 2010, state Republicans redrew the districts to heavily favor Republicans.

The Democratic Party currently holds six of the 13 Congressional seats from North Carolina. Three of the most competitive races this year are the 7th, 8th, and 11th (where an incumbent is retiring), districts.[2][3]

In North Carolina's 7th Democratic incumbent Mike McIntyre is challenged by David Rouzer (R), in a Republican leaning district. The 7th is between a toss-up and leaning Democratic. McIntyre is hoping to survive by distancing himself from his fellow Democrats.[3] The Cook Political Report rates this race a tossup.[4]

In the 8th district, Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell is challenged by Richard Hudson (R) in one of the most vulnerable Democratic districts. After redistricting, his district strongly favors Republicans.[5] Kissell has not received monetary assistance from the Democratic Party, while the Republican Party has been pouring money into Hudson's campaign.[6] Despite the fact that the majority of voters in this district are registered Democrats, the district has a history of voting Republican, and after redistricting the ratio of democrats to republicans has decreased.[6] The disparity of funds and the new political demographic have analysts favoring Hudson in this race, but Kissell has won against long odds in the past: in 2006, he won the primary for the Democratic nomination without the support of the party.[7] Kissell's conservative voting record and his opposition to Barack Obama has caused some rifts in a local chapter of the Democratic Party.[8]

North Carolina's 11th is considered to be Leaning Republican. After Democratic incumbent Heath Shuler's retirement, his former chief of staff, Hayden Rogers, is struggling to keep the district in Democratic hands. He is challenged by Mark Meadows (R) in a redrawn district that is more conservative than before.[9] The Cook Political Report rates this race as "likely republican."[10] North Carolina's 11th District has been included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identifies districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[11]

The organization Fairvote, which studies the US House elections, projects that Democrats will win three districts with Republicans taking the remaining 10.[12]

In North Carolina, the polling places will be open from 6:30 AM to 7:30 PM Eastern Time.[13]

See also: State Poll Opening and Closing Times (2012)

Here is a complete list of U.S. House candidates appearing on the general election ballot in North Carolina:

Members of the U.S. House from North Carolina -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 7 4
     Republican Party 6 9
Total 13 13
 Congressional Redistricting Map, approved July 2011 

For more information, view Redistricting in North Carolina.

See also

North Carolina