Difference between revisions of "Bruce Rauner"

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}}{{tnr}}{{submit a bio}}'''Bruce Rauner''' {{2014is}} a [[Republican]] candidate for [[Governor of Illinois]] in the [[Illinois gubernatorial election, 2014|2014 elections]].<ref name=gov14>[http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/clout/chi-bruce-rauner-raises-13-million-in-a-month-for-governors-race-20130402,0,2651981.story ''The Chicago Tribune,'' "Bruce Rauner raises $1.3 million in a month for governor's race," April 2, 2013]</ref><ref name=declared14>[http://thesouthern.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/rutherford-announces-gov-campaign-in-southern-illinois/article_56d5ef6c-cc7b-11e2-ac3e-0019bb2963f4.html ''The Southern,'' "Rutherford announces gov. campaign in Southern Illinois," June 2, 2013]</ref> The primary is scheduled for March 18, 2014. {{Nov2013genelection}}
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}}{{tnr}}{{submit a bio}}'''Bruce Rauner''' {{2014is}} a [[Republican]] candidate for [[Governor of Illinois]] in the [[Illinois gubernatorial election, 2014|2014 elections]].<ref name=gov14>[http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/clout/chi-bruce-rauner-raises-13-million-in-a-month-for-governors-race-20130402,0,2651981.story ''The Chicago Tribune,'' "Bruce Rauner raises $1.3 million in a month for governor's race," April 2, 2013]</ref><ref name=declared14>[http://thesouthern.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/rutherford-announces-gov-campaign-in-southern-illinois/article_56d5ef6c-cc7b-11e2-ac3e-0019bb2963f4.html ''The Southern,'' "Rutherford announces gov. campaign in Southern Illinois," June 2, 2013]</ref> The primary is scheduled for March 18, 2014. {{Nov2014genelection}}
  
 
==Elections==
 
==Elections==
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Rauner {{2014isrunning}} for [[Illinois state executive official elections, 2014|election]] as [[Governor of Illinois|Illinois Governor]] in 2014. Rauner {{2014isseeking}} the [[Republican]] nomination in the primary election on March 18, 2014. {{Nov2014genelection}}<ref name=gov14/><ref name=declared14/>
 
Rauner {{2014isrunning}} for [[Illinois state executive official elections, 2014|election]] as [[Governor of Illinois|Illinois Governor]] in 2014. Rauner {{2014isseeking}} the [[Republican]] nomination in the primary election on March 18, 2014. {{Nov2014genelection}}<ref name=gov14/><ref name=declared14/>
 
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{{Ilgovbackground2014}}
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====Polls====
 +
{{Poll
 +
|Title=Republican gubernatorial primary - hypothetical match-up
 +
|Poll1=[http://capitolfax.com/2013/07/08/poll-shows-rauner-movement/ Capitol Fax/We Ask America Poll]<br>(June 20, 2013)
 +
|Response1=Dan Rutherford
 +
|Response2=Bill Brady
 +
|Response3=Bruce Rauner
 +
|Response4=Kirk Dillard
 +
|Numberpolled1=1310
 +
|Margin of error1 = 2.8
 +
|Response1Poll1% = 22
 +
|Response2Poll1% = 18
 +
|Response3Poll1% = 12
 +
|Response4Poll1% = 11
 +
|Response5Poll1%=38
 +
}}
 
====Campaign media and advertisements====
 
====Campaign media and advertisements====
 
{|
 
{|

Revision as of 10:57, 5 September 2013

Bruce Rauner
Bruce Rauner.jpg
Candidate for
Governor of Illinois
PartyRepublican
Elections and appointments
Next generalMarch 18, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Personal
ProfessionVenture Capitalist
Websites
Personal website
Campaign website
BP-Initials-UPDATED.png
Know more information about this profile?
Submit a bio
Bruce Rauner was a Republican candidate for Governor of Illinois in the 2014 elections.[1][2] The primary is scheduled for March 18, 2014. The general election took place November 4, 2014.

Elections

2014

See also: Illinois gubernatorial election, 2014

Rauner ran for election as Illinois Governor in 2014. Rauner sought the Republican nomination in the primary election on March 18, 2014. The general election took place November 4, 2014.[1][2]

Challenges for Gov. Quinn

Current incumbent Pat Quinn, a Democrat who went from lieutenant governor to governor following Rod Blagojevich's 2009 impeachment, won a full term in 2010 and lost his bid for re-election in 2014 to Republican Bruce Rauner. According to multiple outside ratings, Quinn was among the most vulnerable governors in the 2014 electoral cycle.[3]

Incumbent Lt. Gov Sheila Simon (D) announced in February 2013 that she would not run for re-election in 2014 alongside Quinn, her 2010 running mate. Simon said she wanted to seek a new office that would allow her to have a "greater impact," and later declared her candidacy for state comptroller.[4][5] Simon's thinly veiled swipe at the office's impact was followed shortly thereafter by the Illinois House of Representatives' approval of a proposal seeking to eliminate the position of lieutenant governor altogether by constitutional amendment, effective after the 2018 election. In order for the measure to be passed, it would need the approval of both the State Senate and Illinois voters.[6] Quinn said he wanted “a people person” to replace Simon, and ultimately settled on former Chicago public schools chief Paul Vallas.[7]

The 2014 electoral cycle marked the first time in Illinois history that candidates for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor ran on a single ticket in the primary election phase. Spurred by the 2010 election fiasco when Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor Scott Lee Cohen had to drop out of the race after being arrested on charges of steroid use and domestic battery, the new joint ticket rule intended to increase the importance of the lieutenant governor based on its partnership with the governor. In theory, allowing gubernatorial candidates to handpick their running mates for the primary would cause campaigns to "better define their priorities for voters and cover more ground as election season gets underway."[7]

As of November 2014, Illinois is one of 14 Democratic state government trifectas. In such a blue state, it was expected that Quinn's biggest threat in 2014 would come from a fellow Democrat. The potential primary challenges for Quinn included William "Bill" Daley, a past U.S. Commerce Secretary and White House chief of staff, and attorney general Lisa Madigan. Quinn dodged both bullets as both potential challengers removed themselves from contention by September 2013. Madigan dropped her long anticipated bid in June 2013 in order to seek another term as attorney general.[8][9][10] In September 2013, after a promising first stretch of campaigning, Daley abruptly ended his campaign for the Democratic nomination.[11][10] Called "a member of Chicago's first political family," for his relation to two of Chicago's longest-reigning mayors, Daley's departure in particular was a coup for Quinn, whose apparently bleak re-election prospects improved markedly in his absence.[12]

Quinn was the fifth out of a total of 46 previous Illinois lieutenant governors to have succeeded to the governorship mid-term. As governor, Quinn emphasized improving the state government's ethical standards and protecting public-sector labor unions. His tenure was marred by steep, deeply unpopular budget cuts and tax increases stemming from long-term state debt among other issues that contributed to his status among the least popular governors facing re-election in 2014.[13]

Endorsements

Bruce Rauner earned the endorsement of the Chicago Tribune prior to the general election.[14] The Chicago Tribune traditionally endorses Republican candidates for statewide and national office, with the notable exception of the paper's endorsement for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 presidential election.[15]

Third-party candidates

Quinn and Rauner ran against Libertarian candidate Chad Grimm. There were three other third party tickets in race, led by Michael Oberline (Constitution) Scott Summers (Green) and Michael Hawkins (Independent), until an August 22 petition challenge ruling by the Illinois State Board of Elections disqualified their respective parties from appearing on the November 4 ballot. It was the first time in a decade that the Libertarian Party, which survived the signature challenge, was the only minor party to compete for Illinois statewide office in the general election.[16]

Primary review, cross-party vote phenomenon

On September 3, 2013, individuals aiming to qualify for a slot on the March 2014 primary ballot began gathering signatures. The filing period for major party primary candidates ended on December 2, 2013, with only one Democrat, Tio Hardiman, filing to go up against Quinn. On the Republican end, candidates included state Sens. Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, state treasurer Dan Rutherford and venture capitalist Bruce Rauner. Early polls showed Rutherford as the front-runner for the GOP nomination, but Rauner rocketed ahead of the pack by November 2013 and maintained a 15-point average lead up to the March primary, which he won.[17]

A newcomer to politics, Rauner achieved the name recognition he needed to overcome his more established opponents with the help of massive campaign spending totaling nearly $14 million, including $6 million of his own money—the highest amount a candidate has ever spent on his own primary campaign for governor in Illinois.[18][19]

Unofficial results from the March 18 primaries revealed some steep deviations from typical voting behaviors recorded in past elections. Based on the breakdown of votes in the Republican and Democratic gubernatorial primaries provided by the Chicago Tribune on election night, Ballot Access News analyzed what appeared to be a spectacularly low turnout of Democratic voters (438,112 votes) in the party's nominally contested primary. They detected that hundreds of thousands of Democratic voters must have taken advantage of the state's mixed-hybrid primary system to vote the Republican ballot instead of their own. Under Illinois' primary rules, voters can change parties each year but must declare a party affiliation at the polls. Depending on which party is chosen, the voter will then be counted as registered for that party. Voters may change party affiliation at polls or caucus.[20]

The mass cross-over by Democrats was linked to one specific issue highlighted in this year's GOP governor's race: government employee unions. Most of the Democrats who participated in the Republican primary did so in order to ensure Kirk Dillard, who sided with the unions in the state senate, would lose to Bruce Rauner, who promised to curtail union influence.[21]

In Illinois, the last time more votes were cast in the Republican than the Democratic gubernatorial primary was 1986; not since the 1940s had so few votes been cast in a Democratic gubernatorial primary election. Compared to the last five Illinois gubernatorial elections, there was no significant spike in Republican votes in 2014, indicating the trend reversal was caused by a tremendous drop in Democratic gubernatorial primary votes cast.[21]

Polls

Republican gubernatorial primary - hypothetical match-up
Poll Dan Rutherford Bill BradyBruce RaunerKirk DillardMargin of ErrorSample Size
Capitol Fax/We Ask America Poll
(June 20, 2013)
22%18%12%11%38%+/-2.81,310
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign media and advertisements


"Upside Down" - released June 11, 2013

"Back To Work" - released June 11, 2013

Recent news

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See also

External links

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References

  1. 1.0 1.1 The Chicago Tribune, "Bruce Rauner raises $1.3 million in a month for governor's race," April 2, 2013
  2. 2.0 2.1 The Southern, "Rutherford announces gov. campaign in Southern Illinois," June 2, 2013
  3. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 11, 2012
  4. Chicago Tribune, "Simon will not run again for lieutenant governor," February 13, 2013
  5. Chicago Magazine, "What Happens After Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon Quits Pat Quinn’s Team," March 26, 2013
  6. The Chicago Tribune, "House votes to eliminate lieutenant governor post," April 12, 2013
  7. 7.0 7.1 CBS Local - Chicago, "2014 Governor Candidates To Choose Running Mates," August 24, 2013
  8. Capitol Fax, "This just in… Lisa Madigan announces re-election bid," July 15, 2013
  9. Governing, "William Daley Considering Bid for Illinois Governor," December 21, 2012
  10. 10.0 10.1 Chicagobusiness.com, "Daley files paperwork for governor run," June 10, 2013
  11. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named dropout
  12. New Jersey Herald, "Daley: Exit from race doesn't mean I couldn't win," September 17, 2013
  13. St. Louis Today, "Illinois Gov. Quinn 2nd least popular incumbent going into 2014," April 9, 2013
  14. Chicago Tribune, "For governor: The Tribune endorses Bruce Rauner, to revive Illinois," October 10, 2014
  15. Chicago Sun-Times, "Chicago Tribune endorses Obama. First Democrat to get Trib presidential nod," October 17, 2008
  16. Ballot Access News, "Libertarian Party Statewide Slate Will Appear on Illinois Ballot," August 22, 2014
  17. CapitolFax.com, "Capitol Fax/We Ask America Poll - Poll shows Rauner movement," July 8, 2013
  18. Crain's Chicago Business, "How Bruce Rauner won the GOP primary," March 19, 2014
  19. Peoria Public Radio, "How the self-funding of Rauner's campaign is impacting the race for Governor," March 12, 2014
  20. Chicago Tribune, "Election Calendar, Primary Results," last updated March 18, 2014
  21. 21.0 21.1 Ballot Access News, "Shockingly Low Turnout in Illinois Democratic Primary Suggests Many Democrats Voted in Republican Primary," March 20, 2014