Florida's 12th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 12th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Gus Bilirakis Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Dennis A. Ross Republican Party
Dennis A. Ross.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 12th congressional district of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 12th congressional district prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Gus Bilirakis was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place .[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Dennis A. Ross (R), who was first elected in 2010. Ross ran in the 15th district in 2012.

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 12th congressional district is located in western Florida and includes all of Pasco county, as well as parts of Pinellas and Hillsborough counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Jonathan Michael Snow
Republican Party Gus BilirakisGreen check mark transparent.png
Independent Paul Sidney Elliott
Independent John Russell


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent No Party Affiliation

Election Results

U.S. House, Florida District 12 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGus Bilirakis Incumbent 63.5% 209,604
     Democratic Jonathan Michael Snow 32.9% 108,770
     Independent Paul Sidney Elliot 1.5% 4,915
     Independent John Russell 2.1% 6,878
Total Votes 330,167
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 12th district is a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 12th as a solidly Republican district.[7]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

A little more than half of Gus Bilirakis' old district fell in the redrawn 12th district, which stretches from the western coast inland, north of Tampa.[8]

Prior to the 2012 redistricting, Florida's 12th congressional district encompassed much of Polk County, as well as parts of rural and suburban east Hillsborough County and a small piece of western Osceola County. In the redistricting process the 12th district was redrawn to no longer include Polk County. It is now all of Pasco county, as well as parts of Pinellas and Hillsborough counties.

The 12th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 12th District's partisanship was unaffected by redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 44D / 56R
  • 2010: 44D / 56R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 12th congressional district has a PVI of R+6, which is the 163rd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 53-47 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 57-43 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Dennis A. Ross won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Lori Edwards (D) and Randy Wilkinson (I) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House of Representatives, Florida's 12th Congressional District, General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDennis A. Ross 48.1% 102,704
     Democratic Lori Edwards 41.1% 87,769
     Tea Party Randy Wilkinson 10.7% 22,857
Total Votes 213,330

See also

External links

References