Difference between revisions of "Florida's 13th Congressional District special election, 2014"

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[[Alex Sink]] featured her father in her first ad of the campaign, released on January 15, 2014.<ref name="dad">[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/01/15/alex-sink-and-the-art-of-the-family-commercial/ ''Washington Post,'' "Alex Sink and the art of the family commercial," accessed January 24, 2014]</ref> In the ad, Sink and her father debate her decision in the special election and attempted to cast her as a bipartisan problem-solver. Social Security is also mentioned in the ad, as the district's population is older than most, making it an important issue in the election.<ref name="dad"/><ref>[http://www.newsmax.com/politics/alex-sink-13th-congressional-district-campaign-ads/2014/01/22/id/548440 ''NewsMax,'' " GOP Ad Attacks Florida Liberal Alex Sink's Bid for Congress," accessed January 24, 2014]</ref> Sink's campaign spent approximately $311,000 to air the ad for 10 days, one of the most substantial ad buys for the campaign at that point in the campaign.<ref name="dad"/>
 
[[Alex Sink]] featured her father in her first ad of the campaign, released on January 15, 2014.<ref name="dad">[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/01/15/alex-sink-and-the-art-of-the-family-commercial/ ''Washington Post,'' "Alex Sink and the art of the family commercial," accessed January 24, 2014]</ref> In the ad, Sink and her father debate her decision in the special election and attempted to cast her as a bipartisan problem-solver. Social Security is also mentioned in the ad, as the district's population is older than most, making it an important issue in the election.<ref name="dad"/><ref>[http://www.newsmax.com/politics/alex-sink-13th-congressional-district-campaign-ads/2014/01/22/id/548440 ''NewsMax,'' " GOP Ad Attacks Florida Liberal Alex Sink's Bid for Congress," accessed January 24, 2014]</ref> Sink's campaign spent approximately $311,000 to air the ad for 10 days, one of the most substantial ad buys for the campaign at that point in the campaign.<ref name="dad"/>
  
Sink released another ad, "Solutions," that criticized [[David Jolly]] (R) as a past lobbyist for "special interests."<ref>[http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/new-sink-ad-bashes-washington-lobbyist-jolly-on-special-interests/2162745 ''Tampa Bay Times,'' "New Sink ad bashes 'Washington lobbyist' Jolly," accessed January 28, 2014]</ref>
+
Sink released another ad in January 2014, "Solutions," that criticized [[David Jolly]] (R) as a past lobbyist for "special interests."<ref>[http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/new-sink-ad-bashes-washington-lobbyist-jolly-on-special-interests/2162745 ''Tampa Bay Times,'' "New Sink ad bashes 'Washington lobbyist' Jolly," accessed January 28, 2014]</ref>
  
 
===DCCC===
 
===DCCC===

Revision as of 09:23, 28 January 2014

CongressLogo.png
Special Elections to the 113th Session of Congress, 2013-2014

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Other 2013-2014 Election coverage
2014 Congressional Elections2014 U.S. Senate Elections
2014 U.S. House Elections
The 13th Congressional District of Florida will hold a special election for the U.S. House in 2014.

The special election will be held to fill the vacancy left by the death of Rep. C.W. Bill Young (R).

Young died on October 18, 2013, following complications resulting from a chronic injury.[1] At the time of his death, Young was the longest serving House Republican.[2][3]

Under Florida law, Governor Rick Scott (R) has no authority to appoint a replacement, but called a special election to fill Young's seat.[4][5]

Florida is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[6][7][8]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
November 19, 2013[9]
January 14, 2014
March 11, 2014

Candidates

General Election Candidates

Democratic primary

Republican primary

Third party candidates

Did not qualify

Potential candidates

Withdrew from race

Declined to run

Election results

Republican primary

U.S. House, Florida District 13 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDavid Jolly 44.6% 20,337
Kathleen Peters 31% 14,120
Mark Bircher 24.5% 11,158
Total Votes 45,615
Source: Unofficial results via Associated Press[33]

Endorsements

David Jolly

C.W. Bill Young's widow, Beverly Young, endorsed at David Jolly's campaign kickoff event on November 7, 2013, and announced that her late husband asked Jolly to run for his seat.[34][35][36]

Former St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Baker endorsed Jolly on November 10, 2013. In the endorsement he said, “We need a leader who will be a strong voice for our community and a strong leader in Washington to help turn back the tide of irresponsible federal spending and debt. David Jolly knows Pinellas and has worked to support Congressman Young’s many efforts – from industry to tourism to the support of our veterans. David won’t need a guidebook to know where to start and what to do.”[37]

Former “Price is Right” game show host Bob Barker endorsed Jolly in a campaign ad on December 11, 2013.[38]

“Because with Jolly,” Barker said at the end of the ad, “the choice is right.”[38]

Other endorsements include:[37]

  • Former U.S. Ambassador Mel Sembler
  • Former U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense and U.S. Secretary of the Navy Gordon England,
  • Rep. Richard Nugent
  • State Representative Larry Ahern
  • Former Pinellas County Commissioner and School Board member Nancy Bostock
  • City of Seminole Mayor Leslie Waters
  • Former Pinellas Park Mayor Bill Mischler

Mark Bircher

Bircher was endorsed by former Rep. Allen West.[39][40]

Kathleen Peters

Peters was endorsed by one of Young’s sons, Bill Young II.[39][35][36]

Alex Sink

On November 27, 2013, Rep. Kathy Castor announced that she would host a fundraiser for Alex Sink (D).[41] The event took place on December 17, 2013. Contributions ranged from $5,000 to be a chair, $1,000 to be a host or $250 for admission.[41]

Sink announced on December 19, 2013, an endorsement from Realtors Political Action Committee (RPAC), the political arm of the National Association of Realtors.[42][43] In a statement, Pinellas Realtors Organization chair Brandi Gabbard said Alex Sink’s hard work on housing issues during her business career and her tenure as Florida Chief Financial Officer as the primary reasons for their support.[42]

Alex Sink has been a strong leader for REALTORS® and homeowners, including leading the charge to ensure that affordable, long-term financing is available to prospective homebuyers. She has a proven record of working with Republicans and Democrats to get results for Florida families,” said Gabbard. "In Congress, I have every confidence Alex Sink will continue to stand up for homeowners and REALTORS® and ensure our voices are heard,” continued Gabbard. “She will protect the mortgage interest deduction and equally important will work to return fairness to the flood insurance market.”[42]

Other endorsements and contributions came from:[44][45]

Polls

Republican primary

Republican primary candidates
Poll Neil Brickfield David JollyFrank HibbardKathleen PetersMark BircherSomeone elseUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
St. Pete Polls
November 5, 2013
16%19%15%0%0%29%20%+/-4.41,079
St. Pete Polls
November 18, 2013
0%39.2%0%17.3%0%30.9%12.6%+/-2.81,252
Human Events and Gravis Marketing
January 8, 2014
0%34%0%28%25%0%14%+/-3976
St. Pete Polls
January 9, 2014
0%36.5%0%23.9%26.3%0%13.3%+/-3.8653
AVERAGES 4% 32.18% 3.75% 17.3% 12.83% 14.98% 14.98% +/-3.5 990
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary candidates
Poll Jessica Ehrlich Alex SinkSomeone elseUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
St. Pete Polls
November 5, 2013
11%71%9%9%+/-5.11,079
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


General election

General election match-up
Poll David Jolly (R) Alex Sink (D)Lucas Overby (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
St. Pete Polls
November 5, 2013
31%52%0%17%+/-31,079
St. Pete Polls
January 15, 2014
47%43%4%6%+/-2.71,278
McLaughlin & Associates
January 21, 2014
43%38%4%15%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 40.33% 44.33% 2.67% 12.67% +/-3.53 919
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Potential general election match-up
Poll Neil Brickfield (R) Alex Sink (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
St. Pete Polls
November 5, 2013
30%51%19%+/-31,079
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Potential general election match-up
Poll Frank Hibbard (R) Alex Sink (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
St. Pete Polls
November 5, 2013
31%52%17%+/-31,079
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Issues

Sink's residency

In January 2014, Alex Sink (D) defended herself against claims that she was a "carpetbagger," after she moved into the district from Thonotosassa, Florida, approximately 30 miles away.[46][47] Sink justified the move, and said that she had years of business experience in the district and a good knowledge of the area.[46]

“It’s not like I moved from Miami,” she said.[46]

State Rep. Kathleen Peters (R) responded by saying that Sink "barely put her big toe in the community."[46]

Republican donations to Democrats

David Jolly (R) reportedly donated nearly $30,000 to the Democratic Party and Democratic candidates since 2006, with the biggest contribution made to former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., but other donations to Dick Durbin, Barbara Mikulski and late Sen. Daniel Inouye.[48]

“David has been a strong Republican supporter as the numbers show. David also has personal relationships with Democrats and Independents, and in non-competitive races he has supported them,” said Sarah Bascom, a spokeswoman for Jolly. “David has said from day one that this race is about working together with Republicans, Democrats and Independents all for the betterment of Pinellas County.”[48]

Media


Sink's first ad of the campaign, "Working Together."

NRCC's January 2014 ad, "Another Tax and Spender Florida Can't Afford."

Sink's ad, "Solutions," criticized Jolly as a lobbyist for special interests.

Alex Sink

Alex Sink featured her father in her first ad of the campaign, released on January 15, 2014.[49] In the ad, Sink and her father debate her decision in the special election and attempted to cast her as a bipartisan problem-solver. Social Security is also mentioned in the ad, as the district's population is older than most, making it an important issue in the election.[49][50] Sink's campaign spent approximately $311,000 to air the ad for 10 days, one of the most substantial ad buys for the campaign at that point in the campaign.[49]

Sink released another ad in January 2014, "Solutions," that criticized David Jolly (R) as a past lobbyist for "special interests."[51]

DCCC

On January 17, 2014, reports circulated that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) reserved more than $200,000 in air time between January 21-27, 2014, in support of Alex Sink (D).[52]

Only a few days later, on January 21, 2014, the DCCC released an ad targeting David Jolly (R).[53] The ad, with an estimated cost of $200,000, attacked Jolly for his prior experience as a lobbyist, and featured a clip of Jolly saying he was “proud of the work [he’s] done” as a lobbyist.[53]

NRCC

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) made its first independent expenditure in January 2014, with a $100,000 online ad attacking Sink for her use of a taxpayer-funded plane during her time in state government.[52]

The NRCC launched a $725,000 TV ad campaign for David Jolly on January 22, 2014. The advertising campaign continued through February 2014.[54]

On January 22, 2014, the NRCC released a $230,000 ad buy against Alex Sink, criticizing her "cute ads" featuring her father and accuses Sink of being in favor of raising taxes.[55] The ad, "Another Tax and Spender Florida Can't Afford," came as part of a larger $725,000 ad buy by the NRCC in January 2014.[55]

Primary election


Kathleen Peters' first ad of the campaign, released in December 2013.

State Senator Kathleen Peters released her first ad of the campaign on December 6, 2013. In the ad, Peters criticized Jolly, saying "the choice is clear: A Washington lobbysit who has put his special interest clients first; or a local community leader who has put Pinellas families first."[56] The ad, costing an estimated $22,000, came just a day after David Jolly released his first ad buy of the campaign, costing just $6,000.[57]

Campaign donors

Between October 1, 2013, and December 25, 2013, Alex Sink (D) raised approximately $1.1 million, with contributions coming from Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, and House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer.[58][59] Sink took criticism after financial disclosures revealed that 83 percent of her donations came from outside Pinellas County and the state of Florida.[47]

On the Republican side, David Jolly raised $388,000 during the same time period, with contributions coming from Wayne Berman, a Republican lobbyist, and retired game show host Bob Barker.[60]

State Senator Kathleen Peters raised $169,000 during the same time period, and Mark Bircher reportedly took in $58,000.[60]

District history

2012

See also: Florida's 13th Congressional District elections, 2012

Due to redistricting, Young ran in the 2012 election for the U.S. House to represent Florida's 13th District. Young won the nomination in the Republican primary on August 14, 2012. Jessica Ehrlich ran as a Democrat. He was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[61]

U.S. House, Florida District 13 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngC.W. Bill Young Incumbent 57.6% 189,605
     Democratic Jessica Ehrlich 42.4% 139,742
Total Votes 329,347
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"
U.S. House, Florida District 13 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngC.W. Bill Young Incumbent 69.1% 39,381
Darren Ayres 18.5% 10,544
Madeline Vance 12.4% 7,049
Total Votes 56,974

2010

On November 2, 2010, Vern Buchanan won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James T. Golden (D) in the general election.[62]

U.S. House, Florida District 13 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan incumbent 68.8% 183,341
     Democratic James T. Golden 31.2% 83,123
Total Votes 266,464

See also

External links

References

  1. CNN.com, "Rep. Bill Young, longest-serving GOP member in House, dies at age 82", accessed October 18, 2013
  2. Politico, "Bill Young, longest-serving House Republican, dies", accessed October 18, 2013
  3. Tampa Bay Times, "U.S. Rep. C.W. Bill Young's death leaves political void," accessed October 21, 2013
  4. Reuters.com, "Rep. Bill Young, longest serving Republican in U.S. Congress, dead at 82," accessed October 24, 2013
  5. Tampa Bay Times, "With Rep. C.W. Bill Young's death, Pinellas a bellwether for 2014," accessed October 24, 2013
  6. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  7. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 TBN Weekly, "Campaigns begin for District 13 House seat," accessed November 11, 2013
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 Tampa Bay Times, "Former state Rep. Larry Crow announces for Young seat," accessed October 15, 2013
  11. Politico, "Alex Sink announces for Bill Young Florida seat," accessed October 30, 2013
  12. 12.0 12.1 Tampa Bay Times, "David Jolly entering race for Young's seat, draws Beverly Young's endorsement," accessed November 4, 2013
  13. 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 13.4 13.5 13.6 13.7 Tampa Bay Times, "C.W. Bill Young's widow still considering run for his seat," accessed October 30, 2013
  14. AP Results, "January 14 Election Results," accessed January 14, 2014
  15. 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 15.4 Florida Division of Elections, "Candidate Listing for 2014 Special Election - Congressional 13," accessed November 19, 2013
  16. Lucas Overby for Congress, "Home," accessed October 21, 2013
  17. 17.0 17.1 Tampa Bay Times, "Brickfield, Jolly eyeing Bill Young seat," accessed October 15, 2013
  18. Sunshine State News, "Alex Sink Facing Watered-Down GOP Opposition for Open Congress Seat," accessed November 11, 2013
  19. Tampa Bay Times, "Bill Young's bro mulling congressional bid," accessed October 24, 2013
  20. Tampa Bay Times, "In Pinellas, Alex Sink chooses a house and gets a clearer path to Democratic congressional nomination," accessed November 7, 2013
  21. Tampa Bay "Attorney Jessica Ehrlich to challenge Rep. C.W. Bill Young again" Accessed April 19, 2013
  22. Tampa Bay Times, "Pinellas Commissioner Charlie Justice won't seek Bill Young's seat," accessed October 28, 2013
  23. Tampa Bay Times, "Alex Sink is running for C.W. Bill Young's congressional seat, will move to Pinellas," accessed October 30, 2013
  24. Tampa Bay Times, "Not all Republicans are standing behind David Jolly," accessed November 14, 2013
  25. Tampa Bay Times, "Pinellas Commissioner Karen Seel won't run for Congress," accessed November 6, 2013
  26. Tampa Bay Times, " Rick Baker won't run for Rep. C.W. Bill Young's seat, but David Jolly will," accessed November 5, 2013
  27. Tampa Bay Times, " Rick Baker won't run for Rep. C.W. Bill Young's seat, but David Jolly will," accessed November 5, 2013
  28. Saint Peters Blog, "Bill Young, Jr. announces HE WILL NOT seek his father’s congressional seat," accessed November 4, 2013
  29. Sunshine State News, "Bill Young II Could Follow His Father to Congress," accessed October 23, 2013
  30. 30.0 30.1 30.2 Tampa Bay Tribune, "Young’s House seat drawing interest, including from wife," accessed October 11, 2013
  31. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named norun
  32. Politico, "GOP ex-mayor won’t run in Florida 13th District," accessed November 4, 2013
  33. Associated Press, "U.S. House Florida January 14 election," accessed January 14, 2014
  34. The Hill, "Bill Young's widow says Young asked Jolly to run," accessed November 11, 2013
  35. 35.0 35.1 The Hill, "Drama roils race to replace Rep. Bill Young," accessed January 13, 2014
  36. 36.0 36.1 [www.politico.com/story/2013/12/kathleen-peters-bill-young-florida-special-election-100811.html Politico, "Kathleen Peters splits Bill Young family," accessed January 14, 2014]
  37. 37.0 37.1 Saint Peters Blog, "Rick Baker endorses David Jolly in special election for Congressional District 13," accessed November 12, 2013
  38. 38.0 38.1 Politico, "Bob Barker endorses Jolly in Fla.," accessed December 13, 2013
  39. 39.0 39.1 Human Events, "Florida-13 special GOP primary tight; Jolly holds slight lead in 3-way race to replace Young," accessed January 12, 2014
  40. Saint Peters Blog, "Final poll of GOP primary in CD 13 shows David Jolly well ahead; Kathleen Peters slips to third," accessed January 12, 2014
  41. 41.0 41.1 Tampa Bay Tribune, "Castor to raise $$ for Sink," accessed November 27, 2013
  42. 42.0 42.1 42.2 Tampa Bay NewsWire, "Alex Sink announces REALTOR® support for U.S. House election," accessed December 23, 2013
  43. Open Secrets, "National Assn of Realtors," accessed December 23, 2013
  44. Politico, "David Jolly wins GOP primary in Florida," accessed January 14, 2014
  45. Politico, "Fla.’s Alex Sink dominating cash race vs. GOP," accessed January 6, 2014
  46. 46.0 46.1 46.2 46.3 Washington Post, "Democrat Alex Sink: ‘It’s not like I moved from Miami’," accessed January 13, 2014
  47. 47.0 47.1 Watchdog.org, "FL’s special election darling sinks to top with out-of-district cash," accessed January 16, 2014
  48. 48.0 48.1 Politico, "GOP candidate’s Democratic giving past," accessed November 18, 2013
  49. 49.0 49.1 49.2 Washington Post, "Alex Sink and the art of the family commercial," accessed January 24, 2014
  50. NewsMax, " GOP Ad Attacks Florida Liberal Alex Sink's Bid for Congress," accessed January 24, 2014
  51. Tampa Bay Times, "New Sink ad bashes 'Washington lobbyist' Jolly," accessed January 28, 2014
  52. 52.0 52.1 The Hill, "DCCC preps $200K TV buy in Florida-13 special," accessed January 20, 2014
  53. 53.0 53.1 Politico, "Florida House special election 2014: DCCC hits David Jolly over lobby past," accessed January 24, 2014
  54. Politico, "NRCC to launch major Florida ad campaign," accessed January 22, 2014
  55. 55.0 55.1 Tampa Bay Times, "New GOP ad bashes Alex Sink as tax-raising, Obamacare lover," accessed January 24, 2014
  56. Tampa Bay Times, "With new ads, Pinellas congressional race heats up," accessed December 9, 2013
  57. Roll Call, "Second Republican Goes on the Air in Florida Special Election (Updated)," accessed December 9, 2013
  58. Politico, "Fla.’s Alex Sink dominating cash race vs. GOP," accessed January 6, 2014
  59. Watchdog.org, "FL’s special election darling sinks to top with out-of-district cash," accessed January 16, 2014
  60. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named donorsoct
  61. ABC News "2012 General Election Results"
  62. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013