Florida's 14th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 14th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Kathy Castor Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Connie Mack Republican Party
Connie Mack.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 14th congressional district of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 14th congressional district prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Kathy Castor was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place .[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Connie Mack (R), who was first elected in 2004. Mack ran for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election in 2012. [3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 14th congressional district is located in the Gulf Coast region in southwestern Florida and includes Hillsborough county and a small portion of Pinellas county.[4]

On March 30, 2012 the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting. [5] The 14th district was included in the list.[5]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Kathy Castor Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Evelio Otero Jr.


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Note: Mark Sharpe suspended his bid for the 14th district in February 2012, citing the "Democratic-leaning nature of the new lines".[6][9]

Election Results

U.S. House, Florida District 14 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKathy Castor Incumbent 70.2% 197,121
     Republican Evelio Otero Jr. 29.8% 83,480
Total Votes 280,601
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 14th district is a solidly Democratic district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 14th as a solidly Democratic district.[10]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

In redistricting the 11th district became the new 14th congressional district. [6] On March 30, 2012, the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting. [5] The 14th district was included in the list.[5]

Prior to redistricting the 14th district was located in the Gulf Coast region in southwestern Florida and included all of Lee County and portions of Charlotte and Collier counties. Fort Myers, Naples, Cape Coral and part of Port Charlotte were also located in the district.

The 14th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 14th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 62D / 38R
  • 2010: 63D / 37R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 14th congressional district has a PVI of D+11, which is the 94th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 66-34 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 59-41 percent over George W. Bush (R).[14]

District history

2008

On November 4, 2008, Connie Mack won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Robert M. Neeld (D), Burt Saunders (I), and Jeff George (I) in the general election.[15]

United States House of Representatives, Florida Congressional District 14 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngConnie Mack Incumbent 59.4% 224,602
     Democratic Robert M. Neeld 24.8% 93,590
     Independent Burt Saunders 14.5% 54,750
     Independent Jeff George 1.3% 4,949
Total Votes 377,891

See also

External links

References