Florida's 16th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 16th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Vern Buchanan Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Thomas J. Rooney Republican Party
Thomas J. Rooney.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 16th congressional district of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 16th congressional district prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Vern Buchanan won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place .[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Tom Rooney (R), who was first elected in 2008. Rooney ran in the 17th district in 2012.[3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 16th congressional district is located in west central Florida and includes all of Sarasota county, and part of Manatee county.[4]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Keith Fitzgerald
Republican Party Vern Buchanan Green check mark transparent.png


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Election Result

U.S. House, Florida District 16 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan Incumbent 53.6% 187,147
     Democratic Keith Fitzgerald 46.4% 161,929
Total Votes 349,076
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Florida's 16th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[7]

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 16th district is a leaning Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 16th as a leaning Republican district.[8]

Florida's 16th was also considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings.[9]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

Prior to redistricting the 16th district stretched from the Gulf of Mexico to the Atlantic Coast and included parts of Charlotte, Glades, Hendry, Highlands, Okeechobee, St. Lucie, Martin, and Palm Beach counties. Also included within the district were Port Charlotte, Port St. Lucie, and Palm Beach.

The 16th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[10][11]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 16th District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[12]

  • 2012: 45D / 55R
  • 2010: 44D / 56R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 16th congressional district has a PVI of R+5, which is the 189th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 51-49 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 55-45 percent over John Kerry (D).[13]

Campaign donors

2012

Vern Buchanan (2012)[14] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[15]April 15, 2012$1,122,759.82$484,332.21$(133,893.41)$1,473,198.62
July Quarterly[16]July 15, 2012$1,473,198.62$335,458.83$(287,984.22)$1,520,673.23
Running totals
$819,791.04$(421,877.63)

According to an article on July 16, 2012, Buchanan raised more than $330,000 after April 1. However, almost half was spent on a required refund of past illegal campaign donations, payments to attorneys dealing with four federal investigations and expenses for other court-related expenses.[17]

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Tom Rooney won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Jim Horn (D) and William Dean (I) in the general election.[18]

United States House of Representatives, Florida's 16th Congressional District, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngThomas J. Rooney Incumbent 66.8% 162,285
     Democratic Jim Horn 33.1% 80,327
     Independent William Dean 0.1% 151
Total Votes 242,763

See also

External links

References