Difference between revisions of "Florida gubernatorial election, 2010"

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! colspan="6" | 2010 Race for Florida Governor - Public Policy Polling<ref>[Full crosstabs and methodology are available free of charge with the press release accompanying each poll.]</ref>  
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Revision as of 07:28, 26 March 2014

Governors
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Breaking news

In the Florida gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, Republican Rick Scott defeated Democrat Alex Sink. Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist, a Republican, chose not to seek re-election in favor of a Senate bid.

Following the August 24, 2010 primary elections, Alex Sink easily became the Democratic nominee while Rick Scott won a very bitter primary battle against Attorney General Bill McCollum.

Lawton "Bud" Chiles, who entered the race in June citing a desire to prevent a major party candidate from winning the governorship, left the race soon after the primary; the small share of voter support he had been picking up shifted mostly to Alex Sink.

November 2, 2010 general election results

Results are complete and certified.[1]

Florida Gubernatorial/Lt. Gubernatorial General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Scott/Jennifer Carroll 48.9% 2,619,335
     Democratic Alex Sink/Rod Smith 47.7% 2,557,785
     Independent Peter L. Allen/John E. Zanni 2.3% 123,831
     No Party Affiliation C.C. Reed/Larry Waldo, Sr. 0.4% 18,842
     No Party Affiliation Michael E. Arth/Al Krulick 0.3% 18,644
     No Party Affiliation Daniel Imperato/Karl Behm 0.3% 13,690
     No Party Affiliation Farid Khavari/Darcy C. Richardson 0.1% 7,487
     Write-in Josue Larouse/Valencia St. Louis 0% 121
Total Votes 5,359,735
Election Results Via: Florida Department of State

Inauguration and transition

Inaugural date

Governor-elect Rick Scott was sworn in on January 4th, 2011. To fund the events on Inaugural Day and planned celebrations leading up the swearing-in, herecruited Washington lobbyist Kathryn Ballard to help with Inaugural fundraising; Ballard worked with Inaugural Committee Finance Director Carrie O’Rourke.

Spencer Geissenger chaired the Inaugural Committee, with assistance from co-chairs Francis Rooney and Kathleen Rooney.[2] Geissenger served on the Rick Scott for Governor campaign as Director of Scheduling and Advance. O'Rourke additionally worked for Scott's campaign bid, as Deputy Director of Finance. Scott recruited her from Bill McCollum's failed gubernatorial bid, where she was finance director.

Transition team

Rick Scott began naming the members of his transition committee in a November 4, 2010 press conference.[3] His nine-member transition team included former Florida Governor Jeb Bush's second in command, Toni Jennings, and Sally Bradshaw, a Bush policy adviser.

Official inquiries to the transition team were asked to use press@scotttransition.com or to call 954-915-3360.

His "Scott Transition" website names several committees:

Subcommittees focused on:

1. Prevention/Diversion, Reduced Recidivism, Operational Efficiencies, Emergency Response
2. Corrections
3. Highway Safety & Motor Vehicles
4. Juvenile Justice
5. Law Enforcement
6. Military Affairs
7. Emergency Management

Subcommittees include:

1. Medicaid Reform
2. Health
3. Healthcare Administration
4. Children & Families
5. Elder Affairs
6. Persons with Disabilities
7. Veterans’ Affairs

Going back to the "7-7-7" pledge of his campaign to create 700,000 Florida jobs within seven years, Scott created the Economic Advisory Council led by Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics President, Donna Arduin.

The transition team also had four named directors:

  • Director of Agency Reviews, Adam Hollingsworth
  • Director of Policy, Pamela Pfeifer
  • Director of Scheduling and Operations, Edward Miyagishima
  • Director of Communications, Brian Burgess

Appointments in the Scott Administration

In his October 4th press conference, Governor-elect Scott announced that Enu Mainigi, his personal attorney, would fill a then-unnamed senior role in his administration. Also, Mary Anne Carter, executive director of a PAC run by Scott, joined his staff in a senior capacity.

Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking

2010 Race Rankings Florida
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[4] Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly Politics[5] Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[7] Toss-up
The Rothenberg Political Report[8] Pure Toss-up
Overall Call Toss-up

Changes

4. Larry J. Sabato moved race from "Toss-up" to "Lean Republican" on October 28th.

3. Rasmussen moved race back to "Toss-up" following October 28th polling.

2. Rasmussen moved race from "Toss-up" to "Leans GOP" following October 18th polling.

1. Rasmussen Reports changed race from "Leans GOP" to "Toss-up" following September 22nd polling.

Candidates

The November Ballot – Who Made It? Florida Governor[9]
Nominee Affiliation
Alex Sink, with Rod Smith Democrat
Rick Scott, with Jennifer Carroll Republican
Peter L. Allen, with John E. Zanni Independence Party of Florida
Josue Larouse, with Valencia St. Louis (write-in)
Michael E. Arth, with Al Krulick (unaffiliated)
Daniel Impertato, with Karl C.C. Behm (unaffiliated)
Farid Khavari, with Darcy C. Richardson (unaffiliated)
C.C. Reed, with Larry Waldo, Sr. (unaffiliated)
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.

Florida's Secretary of State maintains an official candidate list.[10]

Democratic

  • Healthcare executive Brian P. Moore previously ran as a Socialist candidate for the U.S. Presidential nomination in 2008.[11]
  • Alex Sink, Florida's Chief Financial Officer, was previously a banking executive. She was the first candidate to make a formal announcement following Charlie Crist's announcement of his intention to seek a U.S. Senate seat.[12][13]

Independence Party of Florida

  • Peter L. Allen, a master electrician and business owner, filed on June 15 2010.[14]

Libertarian

  • John Wayne Smith was the first Libertarian candidate in the party's history to qualify for a nomination for governor of Florida.[15][16]

Republican

  • Retired Army Col. Mike McAllister filed on June 14 2010.[17]
  • Attorney Bill McCollum, Florida's 36th Attorney General, previously served in the Navy JAG Corps and represented Central Florida in Congress from 1981-2001.[18] McCollum announced his candidacy in his hometown of Orlando in the spring of 2009.[19]
  • Rick Scott, an attorney and Navy veteran who has founded several businesses, launched his campaign with an April 2010 press conference in Naples.[20][21]

Unaffiliated

  • Michael E. Arth, a landscape designer and urban developer, filed papers on May 29, 2010.[22]
  • Business owner and non-profit executive Lawton 'Bud' Chiles filed to run on June 3, 2010.[23][24] Less than a week after the primary, he ended his campaign, stepping aside on September 2nd after making it clear he did not want to be the spoiler in the race.[25]
  • Daniel Imperato unsuccessfully sought the Libertarian Party's 2008 Presidential nomination and ran in previous races with several different third parties[26], entered the race June 17, 2010.[27]
  • Economist and author Farid Khavari joined the race in August 2009. He intially positioned himself as a Democratic candidate but later switched to an unaffiliated campaign.[28][29]
  • C.C. Reed also joined the race early, filing papers in October 2008.[30]

Write-in

  • Karl Behm began his campaign in October of 2009.[31]
  • Josue Larouse, who identified himself as an economist, began campaigning very early, filing official papers in October of 2008.[32] Though running as a write-in, he affiliated himself with the Democratic Party on his campaign page.

Polling

General election polling

Pollsters were on the ground quickly the moment the primaries in this closely watched state were over. Around the same time, unaffiliated candidate Bud Chiles, whose struggles to gain traction bottomed out in a 4% showing in the first round of post-primary polls, exited the race just before the Labor Day weekend.

With Chiles in a three-way match-up, Republican candidate Rick Scott, a political neophyte, held a slight lead on Alex Sink. Chiles acknowledged that he has no chance of winning and professed a desire not to be a spoiler, instead stepping aside. Polls were immediately taken of the new battlefield and showed the gap between the major party nominees suddenly dropped down to a single point.

The advantage of getting Chiles out of the race initially went to the Democrats. However, Florida was expected to gain electoral votes in the 2011 redistricting and the state is already both a prize and a bellwether for any Presidential aspirant. The absence of a third party challenge going forward forced both Republican and Democratic strategists on the ground in the Sunshine State to rework their plans, and was the signal for more money and support to flood into the race.

Scott's brusing primary seemed, for a time, to be a Pyhrric victory. Sink led in most polls and the bitter fight for the Republican nomination had left donors and volunteers tapped out and brought skeletons out of the closet. In late summer, Alex Sink led in most polls and was, on average, just outside the margin of error in the contest to govern the Sunshine State.

However, polls taken in late September showed a marked, if slight, reversal - putting Rick Scott just barely into the lead. Close inspection of the numbers shows that Scott was gaining while Sink was stable. Assuming that the Republican had to win over some McCollum supporters in the wake of the primary, this made sense.

CNN/Time

2010 Race for Florida Governor - CNN / Time / Opinion Research Corporation
Date Reported Sink (D Scott (R) Other No Opinion
September 24-28, 2010[33] 47% 45% 6% 2%
(Sample) n=786 MoE=+/- 3.5% p=0.05
September 2-7, 2010[34] 49% 42% 6% 3%
(Sample) n=899 MoE=+/- 3.5% p=0.05

Mason-Dixon

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Mason-Dixon Polling
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Other Don't Know
September 20-22, 2010[35] 47% 40% 1% 11%
(Sample) n=625 MoE=+/- 4.0% p=0.05

Public Policy Polling

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Public Policy Polling
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Other Don't Know
October 9-10, 2010[36] 41% 46% - 14%
(Sample) n=448 MoE=+/- 4.6% p=0.05

Quinnipiac

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Quinnipiac
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Other Don't Know
September 23-28, 2010[37] 49% 43% 1% 7%
(Sample)[38] n=1,151 MoE=+/- 2.9% p=0.05

Rasmussen Reports

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Other Don't Know
October 28, 2010[39] 48% 45% 3% 4%
October 18, 2010[40] 50% 44% 6% 0%
October 7, 2010[41] 50% 47% 3% 0%
September 30, 2010[42] 46% 41% 5% 7%
September 22, 2010[43] 50% 44% 6% 0%
September 1, 2010[44] 45% 44% 9% 2%
(Sample)[45] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05
2010 Race for Florida Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Chiles (I) Other Don't Know
August 25, 2010[46] 41% 36% 8% 5% 9%
(Sample)[47] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Zogby

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Zogby
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Other Don't Know
September 30, 2010[48] 38.5 41.1% 5.3% 15.1%
(Sample)[49] n=802 MoE=+/- 3.5% p=0.05

Primary election polling

Hypothetical three-way races

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported McCollum (R) Sink (D) Chiles (I) Other Don't Know
August 2, 2010[50] 27% 31% 20% 8% 13%
Date Reported Scott (R) Sink (D) Chiles (I) Other Don't Know
August 2, 2010[51] 35% 31% 26% 6% 12%

Hypothetical two-way races

2010 Race for Florida Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported McCollum Sink Other Don't Know
June 9, 2010[52] 40% 38% 8% 14%
May 18, 2010[53] 43% 35% 11% 11%
April 20, 2010[54] 45% 38% 7% 10%
March 25, 2010[55] 47% 36% 5% 12%
February 18, 2010[56] 48% 35% 4% 12%
January 27, 2010[57] 46% 35% 5% 13%
December 16, 2009[58] 44% 39% 5% 12%
Date Reported Scott Sink Other Don't Know
June 9, 2010[59] 45% 40% 3% 12%
May 18, 2010[60] 41% 40% 7% 12%
(Sample)[61] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05
2010 Race for Florida Governor - Public Policy Polling[62]
Date Reported McCollum Sink Other Don't Know
July 21, 2010[63] 23% 37% -% 26%
March 10, 2010[64] 44% 31% -% 25%

August 24, 2010 primary

Alex Sink, Florida's elected CFO, took the Democratic primary against comparatively weak opposition from Brian Moore. Meanwhile, the bitterly fought GOP primary came down to an upset victory for multi-millionaire Rick Scott, leaving analysts to debate how much owed to voter disenchantment with incumbents and how much to Mr. Scott's extraordinary ability to self-fund.[65][66]

Turnout was high on both sides, with Democrats sending over 850,000 voters to the polls and the GOP racking up over 1.2 million ballots - early indicators for what would be exceptionally high turnout in November.

Polls ahead of the primary suggested that Alex Sink held a lead over either possible Republican challenger, something that changed in later polls and did not ultimately predict the race.

2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary[67]
Candidates Percentage
Brian P. Moore (D) 23.10%
Alex Sink (D) 76.90%
Total votes 860,587
2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary[68]
Candidates Percentage
Mike McAllister (R) 10.14%
Bill McCollum (R) 43.45%
Rick Scott (R) 46.41%
Total votes 1,281,650

Fact checking campaign issues

Rick Scott spent over $23 million from his personal fortune, with the effect that Bill McCollum found himself facing a very different, and far more difficult, campaign than he, and most race watchers, had anticipated. McCollum's own ad campaign and those of groups supporting his campaign drew attention for its perceived tone; speaking to this, he asserted, "There's no negative advertising in my campaign at all." Campaign research and data site PolitiFact weighed the claim and gave its 'Pants on Fire' rating to the statement.[69] McCollum was also judged to have likely overstated the extent of Scott's knowledge of fraud charges leveled against Columbia/HCA, a hospital company for which he served as CEO until shortly before the federal investigation began.[70], a claim that Democrat Alex Sink may also have mischaracterized in her campaign ads.[71]

Another key area on contention was in the fight over reputations, with both GOP candidates called out for their characterizations of the competition. Mr. Scott sought to connect Mr. McCollum with both lobbying for questionably legal causes related to mortgage relief for immigrants[72] and accepting donations from lobbyists working for Planned Parenthood[73], neither one of which has stood up to scrutiny.

Facing the race for the governor's seat of a key state with 25 electoral seats, both major parties ran ads attacking the opposition candidates, with some questions about accuracy and some home runs on both sides. Alex Sink, who worked as a bank executive, came under fire from the Republican Governor's Association for her pay levels and for decisions she made to cut jobs,[74] and Democrats set their sites on Bill McCollum, with ads questioning his own pay as a member of Congress[75].

While some charges might have had merit, ads accusing McCollum of trying to cut Social Security[76] and of dismissing the severity of the subprime mortgage fallout[77] were also deemed as largely false.

Media buys

If there was any doubt as to Florida's spot at the top of coveted gubernatorial seats, the combined $6 million that national Republicans and Democrats sent to the state immediately after the primary settled that question.

The Republican Governor's Association has already funded a $2 million ad buy to target Democratic nominee Alex Sink and, on September 3rd, transferred an additional $2 million to the Florida Republican Party, money which will immediately be spent to run ads.[78]

The Democratic Governor's Association has already sent $2 million to Alex Sink's campaign and will likely soon respond to the RGA's upping the ante.


RGA TV' 'Florida Sunk' ad.

Alex Sink for Governor' 'Happen' ad.

Campaign finance

The Florida Secretary of State makes PDFs of all reports and addenda for candidates available free and online at their "Division of Elections" site.

Candidates for 2010 are most easily searchable using the "Campaign Documents Search Portal"

The Division of Elections also lists commonly used codes and abbreviations in campaign finance reports.

Additionally, information on campaign finance disclosures is broken down into several useful metrics on "Follow the Money."

The cost of the race

Rick Scott numbered among the wealthiest candidates seeking office in 2010, and his ability to self fund drewcriticims from his Democratic opponent. Though Alex Sink outshone him in pure fundraising, the $52 million of his personal fortune that Scott loaned to his campaign puts his overall figures well above Sink.

Speaking to the St. Petersburg Times editorial board, Sink lamented that Scott was trying to buy the race and guessed that he might commit another $20 million of his own money to the race before the Election.[79]

Required forms

Candidates for statewide office commonly use the following forms to report contributions and expenditures. More extensive information about legal requirements is provided at the Florida Divisions of Elections Statewide or Multicounty Candidate Forms listing. Several additional forms are used and this list is illustrative, not exhaustive.

  • Appointment of Campaign Treasurer and Designation of Campaign Depository for Candidates, Form DS-DE 9 (This is used to report the formation of a committee for a campaign and serves as the initial campaign finance report of an election cycle.)
  • Campaign Treasurer's Report - Expenditures and Distributions, Form DS-DE 14B (This is used to report all contributions and expenditures in a given period.)
  • Irrevocable Statement to Voluntarily Abide by the Expenditure and Contributions Limits on Personal and Party Funds, Form DS-DE 90 and Candidate for Governor or Cabinet Officer Request for Contributions, Form DS-DE 98 (These are used to agree to abide by spending limits and to request public funding.

Reporting periods and due dates

In Florida, candidates for gubernatorial and cabinet office follow a modified series of reports and due dates, available online at the Secretary of State's site. Reporting periods and due dates for statewide candidates for the November 2010 elections were as follows:

  • 1st Quarter 2009 (January 1, 2009 - March 30, 2009): due April 10, 2009
  • 2nd Quarter 2009 (April 1, 2009 - June 30, 2009): due July 10, 2009
  • 3rd Quarter 2009 (July 1, 2009 - September 30, 2009): due October 13, 2009
  • 4th Quarter 2009 (October 1, 2009 - December 31, 2009): due January 11, 2010
  • 1st Quarter 2010: due April 10, 2010
  • F1 2010 (April 1, 2010 - July 16, 2010): due July 23, 2010
  • F1B 2010 (July 17, 2010 - July 23, 2010): due July 30, 2010
  • F2 2010 (July 17, 2010 - July 30, 2010): due August 6, 2010
  • F2B 2010 (July 31, 2010 - August 6, 2010): due August 13, 2010
  • F3 2010 (July 31, 2010 - August 19, 2010): due August 20, 2010
  • G0 2010 (August 20, 2010 - September 3, 2010): due September 10, 2010
  • G1 2010 (August 20, 2010 - September 10, 2010): due September 17, 2010
  • G1B 2010 (September 11, 2010 - September 17, 2010): due September 24, 2010
  • G2 2010 (September 11, 2010 - September 24, 2010): due October 1, 2010)
  • G2B 2010 (September 25, 2010 - October 1, 2010): due October 8, 2010
  • G3 2010 (September 25, 2010 - October 8, 2010): due October 15, 2010
  • G3B 2010 (October 9, 2010 - October 15, 2010): due October 22, 2010
  • 4th Quarter 2010 (October 28, 2010 - December 31, 2010): due January 10, 2011 (This report may not be required of all candidates running in 2010.)

Rick Scott

Rick Scott Campaign Finance Reports[80]
Report Date Filed Beginning Balance Cash Contributions Loans In-Kind Contributions (Total Expenditures) Cash on Hand
G1B 2010 September 24, 2010 $134,686.32 $184,795.50 $1,100,000.00 $333,671.83 $(1,203,217.70) $216,264.12
G1 2010 September 17, 2010 $195,013.32 $55,221.12 $0.00 $286,826.60 $(115,548.12) $134,686.32
G0 2010 September 10, 2010 $1,722,945.58 $43,233.06 $0.00 $53,032.67 $(1,571,165.32) $195,013.32
F3 2010 August 20, 2010 $1,294,752.14 $69,236.53 $12,000,000.00 $1,765.85 $(11,611,043.09) $1,722,945.58
F2B 2010 August 13, 2010 $863,804.32 $6,373.00 $3,000,000.00 $0.00 $(2,575,425.18) $1,294,752.14
F2 2010 August 6, 2010 $1,138,349.25 $18,270.00 $0.00 $0.00 $(292,814.93) $863,804.32
F1B 2010 July 30, 2010 $656,997.18 $15,327.00 $1,000,000.00 $0.00 $(533,974.93) $1,138,349.25
F1 2010 July 23, 2010 $0.00 $415,126.24 $22,900,000.00 $500.00 $(22,658,629.06) $656,997.18
Totals $807,582.45 $40,000,000.00 $675,796.95 $(40,561,818.33)

Alex Sink

Alex Sink Campaign Finance Reports[81]
Report Date Filed Beginning Balance Cash Contributions In-Kind Contributions (Expenditures) (Other Distributions) Cash on Hand
G1B 2010 September 24, 2010 $5,177,453.96 $386,222.73 $160,176.49 $(119,158.03) $(847.86) $5,443,670.80
G1 2010 September 17, 2010 $4,990,932.48 $223,561.50 $65,148.08 $(36,730.15) $(309.87) $5,177,453.96
G0 2010 September 10, 2010 $4,570,325.53 $525,179.83 $161,712.27 $(102,374.64) $(2,198.24) $4,990,932.48
F3 2010 August 20, 2010 $5,720,695.97 $150,032.56 $158,673.72 $(1,298,803.63) $(1,599.37) $4,570,325.53
F2B 2010 August 13, 2010 $5,724,263.58 $26,447.50 $16,963.27 $(30,015.11) $(0.00) $5,720,695.97
F2 2010 August 6, 2010 $5,723,443.74 $28,617.34 $146,138.53 $(26,749.49) $(1,048.01) $5,724,263.58
F1B 2010 July 30, 2010 $5,715,871.77 $31,852.70 $105,871.91 $(23,210.96) $(1,069.77) $5,723,443.74
F1 2010 July 23, 2010 $5,046,877.74 $1,108,624.32 $1,162,000.16 $(423,406.33) $(16,223.96) $5,715,871.77
Q1 2010 April 10, 2010 $4,455,804.95 $1,105,542.49 $680,503.29 $(342,590.26) $(17,789.44) $5,046,877.74
Q4 2009 January 11, 2010 $3,735,469.44 $1,051,413.35 $589,128.62 $(324,442.36) $(6,635.48) $4,455,804.95
Q3 2009 October 13, 2009 $2,315,282.11 $1,604,463.87 $403,960.41 $(182,189.95) $(2,086.59) $3,735,469.44
Q2 2009 July 10, 2009 $1,211,711.05 $1,286,803.99 $326,670.18 $(182,062.86) $(1,170.07) $2,315,282.11
Q1 2009 April 10, 2009 $0.00 $1,126,126.30 $140,673.69 $(55,088.94) $(0.00) $1,211,711.05
Totals $8,654,888.48 $4,117,620.62 $(3,146,822.71) $(50,978.66)

Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[82]
Candidates Percentage
Jeb Bush (R) 55.3%
Kenneth H. “Buddy” MacKay (D) 44.7%
Total votes 3,964,159
2002 Gubernatorial Results[83]
Candidates Percentage
Jeb Bush (R) 56.0%
Bill McBride (D) 43.2%
Robert Kunst (I) 0.8%
Total votes 5,100,311
2006 Gubernatorial Results[84]
Candidates Percentage
Charlie Crist (R) 52.2%
Jim Davis (D) 45.1%
Max Linn (Ref) 1.9%
John Smith 0.3%
Richard Dembinsky 0.2%
Karl Behm 0.2%
Total votes 4,829,123

Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 48.8%
Al Gore (D) 48.8%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 52.1%
John Kerry (D) 47.1%
2008 Presidential Results[85]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 48.1%
Barack Obama (D) 50.9%


1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 40.9%
Bill Clinton (D) 39.0%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 42.3%
Bill Clinton (D) 48.0%

See also

External links


Candidate pages

References

  1. Florida Division of Elections, "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: General Election," accessed November 8, 2010, November 29, 2010, and December 21, 2010
  2. 'St. Petersburg Times, "Rick Scott turns to top lobbyist to help finance inauguration," November 15, 2010
  3. Orlando Sentinel, "Rick Scott taps insiders with government experience to aid transition," November 4, 2010
  4. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  5. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  6. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  7. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  8. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  9. [http://election.dos.state.fl.us/candidate/canlist.asp Florida Secretary of State, Division of Elections, “Candidate Listing for 2010 General Election ”, accessed September 6, 2010]
  10. Florida Secretary of, State Division of Elections, "Candidate listing," accessed July 2, 2010
  11. Candidate Tracking System, "Brian P. Moore," accessed July 2, 2010
  12. Politico, "CFO Alex Sink enters race for governor," May 14, 2009
  13. Candidate Tracking System, "Alex Sink," accessed July 2, 2010
  14. Candidate Tracking System, "Peter L. Allen," accessed July 2, 2010
  15. Libertarian Viewpoint "John Wayne Smith DID IT – Makes Florida History ," June 23, 2010
  16. Candidate Tracking System, "John Wayne Smith," accessed July 2, 2010
  17. Candidate Tracking System, "Mike McAllister," accessed July 2, 2010
  18. Candidate Tracking System, "Bill McCollum," accessed July 2, 2010
  19. Bill McCollum for Florida Governor 2010, "At McCollum rally, GOP unity," May 19, 2009
  20. Rick Scott for Governor, "Conservative Outsider Rick Scott Wants to Take Florida in a New Direction," April 13, 2010
  21. Candidate Tracking System, "Rick Scott," accessed July 2, 2010
  22. Candidate Tracking System, "Michael E. Arth," accessed July 2, 2010
  23. Candidate Tracking System, "Lawton 'Bud' Chiles," accessed July 2, 2010
  24. CQ Politics, "Chiles enters Florida race," June 3, 2010
  25. Politico, "Chiles expected to quit Florida race," August 31, 2010
  26. Independent Political Report, "The Return of Daniel Imperato," June 18, 2010
  27. Candidate Tracking System, "Daniel Imperato," accessed July 2, 2010
  28. Candidate Tracking System, "Farid Khavari," accessed July 2, 2010
  29. Farid Khavari for Governor, "Noted Economist Declares Candidacy For Florida Governor, Denounces $50 Billion Cover-Up," August 31, 2009
  30. Candidate Tracking System, "C.C. Reed," accessed July 2, 2010
  31. Candidate Tracking System, "Karl Behm," accessed July 2, 2010
  32. Candidate Tracking System, "Josue Larouse," accessed July 2, 2010
  33. CNN/Time, “CNN/Time Opinion Research Poll: ALASKA, CALIFORNIA, FLORIDA, ILLINOIS”, September 29, 2010
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  36. [Public Policy Polling Public Policy Polling, “Sink Clings to Lead Over Scott for FL Gov.”, October 13, 2010]
  37. Quinnipiac, “Despite Annoying Ads, Scott Leads In Florida Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval 16 Points In The Hole”, October 1, 2010
  38. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  39. Rasmussen Reports, "Florida Governor: Scott (R) Still Slightly Ahead of Sink (D)," October 27, 2010
  40. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor Scott (R) Builds Small Lead Over Sink (D)," October 20, 2010]
  41. Rasmussen Reports, "Scott (R) Still Slightly Ahead of Sink (D)," October 11, 2010
  42. Rasmussen Reports, "Scott (R) Sink (D) Race A Toss-Up," October 1, 2010
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  45. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  46. Rasmussen Reports, "Florida Governor: Scott (R) 41%, Sink (D) 36%, Chiles (I) 8%," August 27, 2010
  47. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  48. TCPalm.com/Zogby, "Sink, Scott neck and neck to be next governor," October 6, 2010
  49. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  50. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor: Florida Governor: Scott (R) 35%, Sink (D) 31%, Chiles (I) 16%," August 4, 2010
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  52. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor: Scott 45%, Sink 40%," June 9, 2010
  53. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor: Newcomer Scott Mixes Up the Race," May 18, 2010
  54. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor: McCollum (R) 45%, Sink 38%," April 20, 2010
  55. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Florida Governor: McCollum 47%, Sink 36%," March 25, 2010
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  61. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  62. [Full crosstabs and methodology are available free of charge with the press release accompanying each poll]
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  64. Public Policy Polling, "McCollum up for Governor," March 10, 2010
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  73. PolitiFact Florida, "Bill McCollum and his supposed Planned Parenthood problem," June 23, 2010
  74. PolitiFact Florida, "Republican Governors Association blasts Sink's record, compensation as bank executive," February 23, 2010
  75. 'PolitiFact Florida, "Florida Democrats say McCollum voted to raise congressional pay, earns $75,000 pension," February 24, 2010
  76. PolitiFact Florida, "Democrats say McCollum voted to "dismantle" Social Security ," February 3, 2010
  77. PolitiFact Florida, "Florida Dems say Bill McCollum out of touch on subprime mortgage crisis," May 8, 2010
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