Difference between revisions of "Georgia's 8th Congressional District elections, 2012"

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===Department of Justice lawsuit===
 
===Department of Justice lawsuit===
On June 29, 2012 the [http://www.justice.gov/ Department of Justice] filed a suit in federal court against the state of [[Georgia]], alleging that service members, their family members and overseas civilian voters won’t have time to vote by absentee ballot in run-off elections, if they are required.<ref name="lawsuit">[http://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/2012/06/military-justice-sues-georgia-over-voting-delays-062912w/ ''Marine Corps Times'' "Justice sues Georgia over voting deadlines" Accessed July 24, 2012]</ref> According to the [http://www.fvap.gov/reference/laws/uocava.html Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act] (UOCAVA), states must transmit all validly requested ballots to UOCAVA voters at least 45 days before an election, unless a hardship exemption is obtained, for which [[Georgia]] failed to file.<ref name="lawsuit"/> However, this conflicts with the timeline for runoff elections, in which the primary runoff, by law, must be held 21 days after the regular or special primary election, and if a  run-off is required after the Nov. 6 general election, it will be held 28 days later, on Dec. 4, which also wouldn’t provide the required 45 days.<ref name="lawsuit"/>  
+
On June 29, 2012 the [http://www.justice.gov/ Department of Justice] filed a suit in federal court against the state of [[Georgia]], alleging that service members, their family members and overseas civilian voters wouldn’t have time to vote by absentee ballot in run-off elections, if they are required.<ref name="lawsuit">[http://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/2012/06/military-justice-sues-georgia-over-voting-delays-062912w/ ''Marine Corps Times'' "Justice sues Georgia over voting deadlines" Accessed July 24, 2012]</ref> According to the [http://www.fvap.gov/reference/laws/uocava.html Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act] (UOCAVA), states must transmit all validly requested ballots to UOCAVA voters at least 45 days before an election, unless a hardship exemption is obtained, for which [[Georgia]] failed to file.<ref name="lawsuit"/> However, this conflicted with the timeline for runoff elections, in which the primary runoff, by law, must be held 21 days after the regular or special primary election, and if a  run-off is required after the Nov. 6 general election, it must be held 28 days later, on Dec. 4, which also wouldn’t provide the required 45 days.<ref name="lawsuit"/>  
  
As part of the lawsuit, the [http://www.justice.gov/ Department of Justice] is asking [[Georgia]] to "extend the ballot receipt deadline to Aug. 31 for these voters, to send ballots by express delivery as soon as possible before the Aug. 21 run-off election, and inform UOCAVA voters no later than July 7 of their right to request a state write-in absentee ballot or their official absentee ballot for any run-off election by downloading it from the Internet, by email, or by fax."<ref name="lawsuit"/>
+
As part of the lawsuit, the [http://www.justice.gov/ Department of Justice] asked [[Georgia]] to "extend the ballot receipt deadline to Aug. 31 for these voters, to send ballots by express delivery as soon as possible before the Aug. 21 run-off election, and inform UOCAVA voters no later than July 7 of their right to request a state write-in absentee ballot or their official absentee ballot for any run-off election by downloading it from the Internet, by email, or by fax."<ref name="lawsuit"/>
  
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in Georgia]]''
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in Georgia]]''
  
On August 22, 2011, [[Georgia]] [[Republican]] leadership released their proposed Congressional redistricting map. Due to population growth, Georgia gained a [[Georgia's 14th congressional district elections, 2012|14th Congressional district]] following the 2010 census. The new district, according to the plan, will be located in the northwestern part of the state.<ref name=ajccong/> [[U.S. House|U.S. Rep.]] [[Tom Graves]] ([[Republican|R]]) was drawn into the new district, leaving his current [[Georgia's 9th congressional district elections, 2012|9th District]] seat open in 2012. The new [[Georgia's 9th congressional district elections, 2012|9th District]] will lean [[Republican]].<ref name=ajccong/> In addition, the plan displaces [[U.S. House|US Rep.]] [[John Barrow]] ([[Democratic|D]]), but [[John Barrow|Barrow]] (who has been displaced before) planned to move in order to remain in the [[Georgia's 12th congressional district elections, 2012|12th District]].<ref name=ajccong/> [[U.S. House|US Rep.]] [[Sanford Bishop]]'s ([[Democratic|D]]) district will become a majority-minority district. Also, [[U.S. House|U.S. Rep.]] [[Phil Gingrey]]'s ([[Republican|R]]) [[Georgia's 11th congressional district elections, 2012|11th District]] will pick up part of Atlanta. Overall, the plan is expected to bolster the Republican majority in the state's Congressional delegation.<ref name=ajccong>[http://www.ajc.com/news/georgia-politics-elections/gop-redistricting-plan-would-1131416.html ''Atlanta Journal Constitution,'' "GOP redistricting plan would tighten grip on congressional delegation," August 22, 2011]</ref>
+
On August 22, 2011, [[Georgia]] [[Republican]] leadership released their proposed Congressional redistricting map. Due to population growth, Georgia gained a [[Georgia's 14th congressional district elections, 2012|14th Congressional district]] following the 2010 census. The new district, according to the plan, was located in the northwestern part of the state.<ref name=ajccong/> [[U.S. House|U.S. Rep.]] [[Tom Graves]] ([[Republican|R]]) was drawn into the new district, leaving his former [[Georgia's 9th congressional district elections, 2012|9th District]] seat open in 2012. The new [[Georgia's 9th congressional district elections, 2012|9th District]] leans [[Republican]].<ref name=ajccong/> In addition, the plan displaced [[U.S. House|US Rep.]] [[John Barrow]] ([[Democratic|D]]), but [[John Barrow|Barrow]] (who had been displaced before) planned to move in order to remain in the [[Georgia's 12th congressional district elections, 2012|12th District]].<ref name=ajccong/> [[U.S. House|US Rep.]] [[Sanford Bishop]]'s ([[Democratic|D]]) district became a majority-minority district. Also, [[U.S. House|U.S. Rep.]] [[Phil Gingrey]]'s ([[Republican|R]]) [[Georgia's 11th congressional district elections, 2012|11th District]] picked up part of Atlanta. Overall, the plan was expected to bolster the Republican majority in the state's Congressional delegation.<ref name=ajccong>[http://www.ajc.com/news/georgia-politics-elections/gop-redistricting-plan-would-1131416.html ''Atlanta Journal Constitution,'' "GOP redistricting plan would tighten grip on congressional delegation," August 22, 2011]</ref>
  
In redistricting, [http://thehill.com/ The Hill] published a list of the [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting Top Ten House Members] who were helped by [[Redistricting in Indiana|redistricting]].<ref name="hill">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting ''The Hill'' "House members most helped by redistricting" Accessed April 17, 2012]</ref> [[Austin Scott]] ranked 5th on the list.<ref name="hill"/> The article notes that in the [[Redistricting in Georgia|redistricting process]], controlled by a [[Republican]] legislature, many African Americans voters were moved into [[Sanford Bishop]]’s [[Georgia's 2nd congressional district|district]], giving [[Austin Scott]] a safe [[Republican]] seat.<ref name="hill"/>
+
In redistricting, [http://thehill.com/ The Hill] published a list of the [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting Top Ten House Members] who were helped by [[Redistricting in Indiana|redistricting]].<ref name="hill">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting ''The Hill'' "House members most helped by redistricting" Accessed April 17, 2012]</ref> [[Austin Scott]] ranked 5th on the list.<ref name="hill"/> The article noted that in the [[Redistricting in Georgia|redistricting process]], controlled by a [[Republican]] legislature, many African Americans voters were moved into [[Sanford Bishop]]’s [[Georgia's 2nd congressional district|district]], giving [[Austin Scott]] a safe [[Republican]] seat.<ref name="hill"/>
  
 
The new [[Georgia's 8th congressional district|8th district]] is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/09/georgia-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "Georgia's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
 
The new [[Georgia's 8th congressional district|8th district]] is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/09/georgia-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "Georgia's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
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====Cook Political Report's PVI====
 
====Cook Political Report's PVI====
 
:''See also: [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index]]''
 
:''See also: [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index]]''
In 2012, ''Cook Political Report'' released its updated figures on the [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index|Partisan Voter Index]], which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. [[Georgia's 8th congressional district]] has a PVI of R+15, which is the 51st most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by [[John McCain]] (R), 62-38 percent over [[Barack Obama]] (D). In 2004, George W. Bush won the district 65-35 percent over [[John Kerry]] (D).<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/application/writable/uploads/2012_PVI_by_District.pdf ''Cook Political Report'' "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012]</ref>
+
In 2012, ''Cook Political Report'' released its updated figures on the [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index|Partisan Voter Index]], which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. [[Georgia's 8th congressional district]] had a PVI of R+15, which was the 51st most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by [[John McCain]] (R), 62-38 percent over [[Barack Obama]] (D). In 2004, George W. Bush won the district 65-35 percent over [[John Kerry]] (D).<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/application/writable/uploads/2012_PVI_by_District.pdf ''Cook Political Report'' "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012]</ref>
  
 
==District history==
 
==District history==

Revision as of 15:01, 16 November 2012

2014



CongressLogo.png

Georgia's 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
July 31, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Austin Scott Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Austin Scott Republican Party
Austin Scott.jpg

Georgia U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Georgia.png
The 8th congressional district of Georgia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Austin Scott was unchallenged and won the election.[1]
This is the 8th congressional district prior to the 2010 redistricting.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 25, 2012
July 31, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Georgia is one of 19 states to use an open primary system. When runoff elections are used, voters must vote in same party's runoff election as they voted for in the first round election.

Voter registration: Voters must have registered to vote by July 2, 2012 to vote in the primary election.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Georgia elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Austin Scott (R), who was first elected in 2010.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Georgia's 8th congressional district is located mainly in south central Georgia and extends north through the middle portion of the state.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party No candidates declared to run
Republican Party Austin ScottGreen check mark transparent.png


July 31, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

  • No candidates declared an intent to run

Republican Party Republican Primary

Election results

General election

U.S. House, Georgia District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAustin Scott Incumbent 100% 197,789
Total Votes 197,789
Source: Georgia Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Georgia's 8th district is a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Georgia's 8th district as solidly Republican.[5]

Department of Justice lawsuit

On June 29, 2012 the Department of Justice filed a suit in federal court against the state of Georgia, alleging that service members, their family members and overseas civilian voters wouldn’t have time to vote by absentee ballot in run-off elections, if they are required.[6] According to the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act (UOCAVA), states must transmit all validly requested ballots to UOCAVA voters at least 45 days before an election, unless a hardship exemption is obtained, for which Georgia failed to file.[6] However, this conflicted with the timeline for runoff elections, in which the primary runoff, by law, must be held 21 days after the regular or special primary election, and if a run-off is required after the Nov. 6 general election, it must be held 28 days later, on Dec. 4, which also wouldn’t provide the required 45 days.[6]

As part of the lawsuit, the Department of Justice asked Georgia to "extend the ballot receipt deadline to Aug. 31 for these voters, to send ballots by express delivery as soon as possible before the Aug. 21 run-off election, and inform UOCAVA voters no later than July 7 of their right to request a state write-in absentee ballot or their official absentee ballot for any run-off election by downloading it from the Internet, by email, or by fax."[6]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Georgia

On August 22, 2011, Georgia Republican leadership released their proposed Congressional redistricting map. Due to population growth, Georgia gained a 14th Congressional district following the 2010 census. The new district, according to the plan, was located in the northwestern part of the state.[7] U.S. Rep. Tom Graves (R) was drawn into the new district, leaving his former 9th District seat open in 2012. The new 9th District leans Republican.[7] In addition, the plan displaced US Rep. John Barrow (D), but Barrow (who had been displaced before) planned to move in order to remain in the 12th District.[7] US Rep. Sanford Bishop's (D) district became a majority-minority district. Also, U.S. Rep. Phil Gingrey's (R) 11th District picked up part of Atlanta. Overall, the plan was expected to bolster the Republican majority in the state's Congressional delegation.[7]

In redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[8] Austin Scott ranked 5th on the list.[8] The article noted that in the redistricting process, controlled by a Republican legislature, many African Americans voters were moved into Sanford Bishop’s district, giving Austin Scott a safe Republican seat.[8]

The new 8th district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Georgia's 8th District became more Republican as a result of redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 35D / 65R
  • 2010: 40D / 60R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Georgia's 8th congressional district had a PVI of R+15, which was the 51st most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 62-38 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush won the district 65-35 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Austin Scott won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Jim Marshall (D) in the general election.[13]


U.S. House of Representatives, Georgia's 8th Congressional District, General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAustin Scott 52.7% 102,770
     Democratic Jim Marshall 47.3% 92,250
Total Votes 195,020


See also

External links

References