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Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010

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Breaking news

In the Idaho gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, incumbent Republican Butch Otter defeated Democrat Keith Allred to win re-election.

Following the May 25, 2010 primary elections, Allred and Otter both easily won their party nominations.

November 2, 2010 general election results

By law, the Secretary of State had to certify results by the 18th of November (see Sec. 34-1215, Idaho Code).

Results were certified on November 15.[1]

Idaho Governor, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngC.L. "Butch" Otter Incumbent 59.1% 267,483
     Democratic Keith Allred 32.9% 148,680
     Independent Jana M. Kemp 5.9% 26,655
     Libertarian Ted Dunlap 1.3% 5,867
     Independent Pro-Life (Marvin Thomas Richardson) 0.9% 3,850
Total Votes 452,535
Election Results Via: Idaho Secretary of State


Inauguration and transition

Inaugural date

Butch Otter officially began his second term on January 10, 2011.

Transition team

As a re-elected incumbent, Governor Otter did not have a full transition effort.

May 25, 2010 primary

Among major party contenders, both Democrat Keith Allred and Republican Butch Otter secured a plurality, thereby avoiding run-offs.

2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary [2]
Candidates Percentage
Green check mark.jpg Keith Allred (D) 81.7%
Lee R. Chaney, Jr. (D) 18.3%
Total votes 27,412
2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary [3]
Candidates Percentage
Walt Bayes (R) 3.0%
Green check mark.jpgGovernor C. L. "Butch" Otter (R) 54.6%
Ron Peterson (R) 5.2%
Rex Rammell (R) 26.0%
Sharon Margaret Ullman (R) 8.4%
Tamara Wells (R) 0.3%
Fred Nichols (write-in) (R) 0.0%
Total votes 163,111

Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking

2010 Race Rankings Idaho
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[4] Solid Republican
Congressional Quarterly Politics[5] Likely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[7] Solid GOP
The Rothenberg Political Report[8] Currently Safe Republican
Overall Call Republican

Polling

2010 Race for Idaho Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Otter (R) Allred (D) Other Don't Know
August 31, 2010 [9] 52% 36% 7% 5%
July 15, 2010 [10] 53% 36% 3% 7%
May 11, 2010 [11] 54% 32% 5% 9%
March 23, 2010 [12] 60% 28% 3% 9%

Candidates

The November Ballot – Who's Made It? Idaho Governor[13]
Nominee Affiliation
Keith Allred Democrat
C.L. “Butch” Otter Republican
Ted Dunlap Libertarian
Pro-Life (Marvin Thomas Richardson) Independent
Jana M. Kemp Independent
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.

Democratic

  • Keith Allred, a professor of conflict resolution and leadership who also founded the nonpartisan 'Common Interest' activist group to encourage citizen involvement in legislation.
  • Retired Marine Lee R. Chaney Jr., who also ran for governor on the Democratic ticket in 2006.

Independent

  • Jana M. Kemp, a businesswoman and author who previously served in Idaho's House of Representatives
  • Marvin Richardson, a long term abortion issues activist who has legally changed his middle name to 'Pro-Life'; in addition to campaign and activism work, he owns a organic strawberry farm. His perpetual candidacy and unorthodox approach earned him national media attention.[14]

Libertarian

  • Business owner and Air Force vet Ted Dunlap

Republican

Political Landscape

Both of Idaho's United States Senate seats in 2010 were held by Republicans. Idaho's delegation to the U.S. House was comprised of 1 Democrat and 1 Republican. The incumbent governor, C. L. "Butch" Otter, is a Republican.

Previous Presidential election results:
2008 - Barack Obama: 36.1%; John McCain: 61.53%
2004 - John Kerry: 30%; George W. Bush: 68%

Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[15]
Candidates Percentage
Dirk Kempthorne (R) 67.7%
Robert C. Huntley (D) 29.1%
Peter Rickards (I) 3.2%
Total votes 381,248
2002 Gubernatorial Results[16]
Candidates Percentage
Dirk Kempthorne (R) 56.3%
Jerry M. Brady (D) 41.7%
Daniel L.J. Adams (L) 2.0%
Kevin Powers (I) 0.0%
Total votes 411,477
2006 Gubernatorial Results[17]
Candidates Percentage
C.L. "Butch" Otter (R)' 52.67%
Jerry M. Brady (D) 44.11%
Ted Dunlap (L) 1.61%
Marvin Richardson (CON) 1.62%
Total votes 450,832

Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 67.2%
Al Gore (D) 27.6%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 68.4%
John Kerry (D) 30.3%
2008 Presidential Results[18]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 61.2%
Barack Obama (D) 35.9%
1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 42.0%
Bill Clinton (D) 28.4%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 52.2%
Bill Clinton (D) 33.6%

See also

External links

Campaign Sites

References

  1. Idaho Secretary of State, "2010 - General Election: Statewide Totals", updated November 15, 2010, accessed November 10, 2010 and November 30, 2010
  2. Idaho Secretary of State Elections Division - 2010 Primary Results Statewide
  3. Idaho Secretary of State Elections Division - 2010 Primary Results Statewide
  4. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  5. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  6. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  7. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  8. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  9. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Idaho Governor: Otter (R) 52%, Allred (D) 36%", September 3, 2010
  10. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Idaho Governor: Otter (R) 53%, Allred (D) 36%", July 21, 2010
  11. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Idaho Governor: Otter 54%, Allred 32%", May 14, 2010
  12. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Idaho Governor: Otter 60%, Allred 28%", March 31, 2010
  13. Idaho Secretary of State, “Candidate List, November 2, General Election”, accessed September 6, 2010
  14. The Daily Beast, "The Candidate Named "Pro-Life"", October 31, 2010
  15. Idaho Secretary of State, “Idaho General Election Results: November 3, 1998"
  16. Idaho Secretary of State, “Idaho General Election Results: November 5, 2002"
  17. Idaho Secretary of State, “Idaho General Election Results: November 7, 2006"
  18. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010