Incumbents with a primary challenger in the 2013 state legislative elections

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2013 Competitiveness Overview
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Primary competition (state comparison)
Incumbents with no challenges at all in 2013
Incumbents defeatedVictorious challengers
Primary competitiveness
Major party challengers (state comparison)
List of candidates with no competition
Open seats (state comparisons)
Long-serving senatorsLong-serving reps
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Comparisons Between Years
Competitiveness IndexAbsolute Index
2013 State Legislative Elections
Competitiveness Studies from Other Years
200720092010201120122014

There are 220 seats in two states with a general election in 2013. We took a look at each of the states to see how many state legislative incumbents who chose to run for re-election in 2013 did not face a primary challenger.

Our main findings:

  • The incumbent is running in 206 (93.6%) of the 220 races.
  • In 191 (86.8%) of the 220 seats up for election in 2013, the incumbent did not see an opponent in the primary election.
    • Overall, 206 incumbents ran for re-election, meaning incumbents who did not see a primary challenge amounted to 92.7% of all running incumbents.
  • In 15 (7.3%) of the 206 districts in which the incumbent ran for re-election, the incumbent saw a primary opponent.

Because only two states are holding elections in 2013, the sample size is small when conducting analysis. It is therefore helpful to compare the states holding elections in 2013 to the 44 states that held elections in 2012. Here is how the four states would have ranked in 2012, based on the percentage of incumbents with no primary challenger.

  • New Jersey: 34th
  • Virginia: 43rd
State Senate at stake Senate without primary challenge House at stake House without primary challenge Total without primary challenge  % without primary challenge
New Jersey 40 33 80 65 98 85.2%
Virginia -- -- 100 93 93 93.0%

Comparison to 2011

See also: Incumbents with no primary challenger in the 2011 state legislative elections
State Senate at stake Senate without primary challenge House at stake House without primary challenge Total without primary challenge  % without primary challenge
Louisiana 39 18 105 48 66 61.7%
Mississippi 52 33 122 80 113 76.9%
New Jersey 40 31 80 49 80 81.6%
Virginia 40 34 100 85 119 98.3%

Thus, there were 26 more incumbents with no primary challenger in 2013 in the three chambers that can be compared.

See also