Incumbents with a primary challenger in the 2012 state legislative elections
There are 5,984 state legislative districts, in 43 states, with a seat up for election on November 6, 2012. We took a look at each of the 43 states to see how many state legislative incumbents who chose to run for re-election in 2012 faced or will face a primary challenger.
Once a state releases official primary candidate lists, Ballotpedia staff analyzes the data to determine primary competitiveness. Thus far, 18 states have been analyzed.
Our main findings:
- The incumbent chose to run for re-election in 1,688 (77.8%) of the 2,169 analyzed districts holding state legislative elections in 2012.
- In 1,263 (74.8%) of those 1,688 districts, the incumbent faced no challenger in the primary.
- Thus, only 425 (25.2%) of incumbents faced a primary opponent.
- Thus far, 2 states have held primaries. In those states, 48 incumbents faced an opponent in a primary.
- Of those 48 incumbents who faced a primary, 8 were defeated.
|State||Senate at stake||Incumbents w/o primary||House at stake||Incumbents w/o primary||% w/o primary||Primary challenger rank||Overall competitive rank|
- State legislative elections, 2012
- Impact of term limits on state legislative elections in 2012
- Partisan balance of legislatures and 2012 competitiveness
- Major party candidates with no major party challengers in the November 2012 state legislative elections
- Open seats in the 2012 state legislative elections
- Incumbents with no primary or general election challengers in the 2012 state legislative elections